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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Various theater chains (Michigan)
Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting
           
  Last Day 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago 5 Days Ago
Showings Added 2 0 0 0 0
Seats Added 175 8 4 27 5
Seats Sold 229 253 220 260 120
           
12/6/2019 Showings Seats Left Total Seats Seats Sold Pct. Sold
Total 239 27,015 42,102 15,087 35.83%
           
% of Seats Sold Sellouts 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 8 24 44 68 89
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Jumanji: The Next Level Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 67 166 15,750 1.05%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 6

Total Seats Added Today: 1,456

Total Seats Sold Today: 27

 

Comp

1.012x of Maleficent 6 days before release (2.33M)

0.136x of Frozen II (1.15M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.394x of Hobbs & Shaw (2.29M)

 

I know there's doom and gloom here on Jumanji, and I'd argue things still aren't perfect, but this was a good day, and there were some clear gains here. Hoping the momentum continues.

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Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 2 168 10,360 31,446 32.95%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 112

Total Seats Sold Today: 84

 

Comp

5.447x of Once Upon’s final count (31.59M)

2.991x of It: Chapter Two (31.4M)

2.110x of Joker (28.06M)

14.864x of Maleficent (34.19M)

11.894x of Terminator (27.95M)

3.082x of Frozen II (26.2M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.911x of Lion King (20.96M)

4.326x of Hobbs & Shaw (25.09M)

 

This was an awful day in Philly. Very odd too, since while there were declines in other areas here in this thread, it was not more than half from yesterday. Hopefully this is just a weird fluke and things improve tomorrow, Sunday, and so on.

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26 minutes ago, Eric Plus said:

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 2 168 10,360 31,446 32.95%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 112

Total Seats Sold Today: 84

 

Comp

5.447x of Once Upon’s final count (31.59M)

2.991x of It: Chapter Two (31.4M)

2.110x of Joker (28.06M)

14.864x of Maleficent (34.19M)

11.894x of Terminator (27.95M)

3.082x of Frozen II (26.2M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.911x of Lion King (20.96M)

4.326x of Hobbs & Shaw (25.09M)

 

This was an awful day in Philly. Very odd too, since while there were declines in other areas here in this thread, it was not more than half from yesterday. Hopefully this is just a weird fluke and things improve tomorrow, Sunday, and so on.

Strange thing being that, if we remember, Frozen 2 became stagnant in the last week. Didn't it?

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The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

3

210

10351

24504

14153

57.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

135

 

T-13 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL FOR CM - DON'T USE THERE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-13

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

CM

345.36

 

133

3913

 

2/85

6951/10864

36.02%

 

71.49m

EG

73.59

 

159

18364

 

12/243

6212/24576

74.72%

 

44.15m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

128

13514

 

3/210

9742/23256

58.11%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel and Endgame

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Endgame had 24 days of pre-sales.

 

T-13 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-13

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

IW

154.68

 

94

7754

 

3/118

3541/11295

68.65%

 

60.33m

Solo

362.90

 

86

3305

 

1/87

6043/9348

35.36%

 

51.17m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

114

11994

 

3/210

7145/19139

62.67%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War and Solo.

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales and Solo 21 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals (spoilered for space)

Spoiler

of:

 

   %

 

Final Sold

 

TROS Sold

 

Comp

IW

79.12

 

15159

 

11994

 

30.86m

DP2

147.47

 

8133

 

11994

 

27.43m

Solo

207.19

 

5789

 

11994

 

29.21m

JW:FK

192.58

 

6228

 

11994

 

29.47m

AM&tW

260.46

 

4605

 

11994

 

29.95m

Venom

279.66

 

4493

 

12565

 

27.97m

CM

128.06

 

10553

 

13514

 

26.51m

EG

50.70

 

26655

 

13514

 

30.42m

TLK

123.11

 

10977

 

13514

 

28.32m

It 2

250.10

 

5659

 

14153

 

26.26m

AVG

 

 

 

 

 

 

28.64m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

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Pro.Boxoffice decreased its opening weekend forecast for Jumanji by 12% to $44M and reduced its total run projection by 21% to $210M

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Damn, not Atom...but should pop presales, at least for 15K tickets, at Fandango theaters (so Regals might get a bump, since they won't get help from the Atom deal)...

 

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $5 off 2 tickets Fandango

0 Deal Score 
0 Views 
Fandango is offering $5 off 2 or more tickets with promo code NEXTLEVEL. Offer limit 15,000. Expires 12/13/2019 at 6pm PST or when offer limit is reached, whichever is sooner.

https://mobile.fandango.com/juman...ovie-times
 
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2 hours ago, RamblinRed said:

Pro.Boxoffice decreased its opening weekend forecast for Jumanji by 12% to $44M and reduced its total run projection by 21% to $210M

nothing for star wars:mellow:

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10 hours ago, Porthos said:

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

3

210

10351

24504

14153

57.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

135

 

T-13 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL FOR CM - DON'T USE THERE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-13

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

CM

345.36

 

133

3913

 

2/85

6951/10864

36.02%

 

71.49m

EG

73.59

 

159

18364

 

12/243

6212/24576

74.72%

 

44.15m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

128

13514

 

3/210

9742/23256

58.11%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel and Endgame

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Endgame had 24 days of pre-sales.

 

T-13 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold T-13

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

IW

154.68

 

94

7754

 

3/118

3541/11295

68.65%

 

60.33m

Solo

362.90

 

86

3305

 

1/87

6043/9348

35.36%

 

51.17m

TROS (adj)

n/a

 

114

11994

 

3/210

7145/19139

62.67%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War and Solo.

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales and Solo 21 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals (spoilered for space)

  Reveal hidden contents

I'm confused (again). How does using 57.6% sold in the Sacramento area translate/extrapolate to around $28-$29 million so far? Shouldn't the current overall tracking put it at least to $40 million if using Sacramento numbers? (I'm talking about the stuff under "Reveal hidden contents".

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4 minutes ago, jedijake said:

I'm confused (again). How does using 57.6% sold in the Sacramento area translate/extrapolate to around $28-$29 million so far? Shouldn't the current overall tracking put it at least to $40 million if using Sacramento numbers? (I'm talking about the stuff under "Reveal hidden contents".

Because the % sold in Sacramento is based off the number of seats available.

 

The hidden contents is the estimate based off the sales of those movies compared to what their final previews number was nationally. 

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Star Wars: TROS -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 11:00am CST -- 12 Days to Previews  

 

 

Dolby Cinema
07:00pm: 205/205 -- SOLD OUT 

10:40pm: 145/205

02:15am: 18/205 

 

IMAX / IMAX 3D

06:00pm: 118/151 

09:40pm: 104/151 

01:20am: 10/151

 

Real 3D

06:00pm: 20/125 

06:20pm: 1/76

06:25pm: 3/76

06:30pm: 3/76 

06:45pm: 8/60

07:00pm: 10/60

07:15pm: 14/60

09:45pm: 0/125

10:05pm: 0/76

10:10pm: 0/76

10:30pm: 2/76

10:40pm: 0/60

10:50pm: 0/60

11:10pm: 0/60

01:45am: 0/76

 

Digital 

06:00pm: 103/147

06:15pm: 48/60

07:30pm: 42/60

07:45pm: 19/44 

08:00pm: 19/44

08:15pm: 20/44

08:45pm: 76/125

09:50pm: 40/147

09:55pm: 10/76

10:00pm: 10/76

11:25pm: 0/44

11:40pm: 1/44

11:55pm: 0/44

12:25am: 0/125

1:30am: 4/147

1:40am: 0/76

 

Fan Event

05:00pm: 100/125

 

 

TOTAL

1153 tickets sold out of 3638 seats available (31.69%)

 

 

 

Comps to Final Tracked Numbers

Captain Marvel = 1440 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday

Avengers: Endgame = 3623 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday 

Toy Story 4 = 822 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday 

The Lion King = 1570 sold @ 4:00pm - Thursday

Joker = 659 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday

 

Edited by VenomXXR
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Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 Days

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats Sold

Total Seats

Seats Left

Perct Sold

TOTALS

4

256

15363

53600

38237

28.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 188

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The Real 3D showings really inflict a massive hit on the percentage. 

 

At Willowbrook AMC (near me), if you take those away, you have

1092/2496 sold which is 43.75%.

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2 hours ago, jedijake said:

I'm confused (again). How does using 57.6% sold in the Sacramento area translate/extrapolate to around $28-$29 million so far? Shouldn't the current overall tracking put it at least to $40 million if using Sacramento numbers? (I'm talking about the stuff under "Reveal hidden contents".

 

2 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

Because the % sold in Sacramento is based off the number of seats available.

 

The hidden contents is the estimate based off the sales of those movies compared to what their final previews number was nationally. 

What VenomXXR said.  It could be Sacto is buying its tickets early and it'll level off as we get closer to premiere. It could be we have more "prime time" showings available than some other regions, thus people are buying those desirable seats. It could be that Sacto is overperforming.  It could be that the thread's estimations on national numbers are off.  It could be a combination of all of the above.

 

What that stuff in the spoiler bar really says is: If sales stopped today for any reason, the comp out of Sacramento against that movie would be: XXX.  That's pretty much it. It's not even an estimation of national sales, which is why I removed that description, since Sacramento could be non-indicative for whatever reason.

 

The simple fact of the matter is the Sacramento region has bought a ton of tickets.  But it's also bought a ton of tickets for broadly similar films.

 

None of this gets into the fact that the Average Ticket Price isn't being factored into some of those comps.  Like, take Deadpool 2 and It: Chapter 2.  Those had PLF but it didn't have 3D.  That's gonna drag down the ATP and thus the comp, especially since TROS is selling more 3D tickets than normal (at least locally).

 

Basically we're all the blind men and women trying to describe the elephant.  I just happen to be describing  part that seems to be doing pretty well for itself. :) 

 

Edited by Porthos

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21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1765 3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1807 3926

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
9332 93 22870 40.80% 9 182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 22.65M

Final Maleficent count comp: 26.47M

Final IT 2 count comp: 25.23M

Final Hobbs count comp: 26.38M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 26.99M

Final Lion King count comp: 28.29M

 

Average: 26M

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1776 3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1810 3926

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
9410 78 22870 41.15% 9 182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 22.84M

Final Maleficent count comp: 26.69M

Final IT 2 count comp: 25.45M

Final Hobbs count comp: 26.60M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 27.25M

Final Lion King count comp: 28.53M

 

Average: 26.23M

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21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 66 1686

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 56 1610

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
227 29 11405 1.99% 9 58

 

Terminator comp: 4.20M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 2.63M

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.62M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.48M

Hobbs comp: 3.82M

Lion King comp: 1.86M

 

I was adjusting for the wrong theaters for TLK yesterday, so the comp should've been 1.84M. So it wasn't actually a huge jump.

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 74 1686

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 80 1610

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
273 46 11405 2.39% 9 58

 

Frozen 2 comp: 1.50M

Terminator comp: 4.31M

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 2.84M

Adjusted Zombieland 2 comp: 2.77M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 2.43M

Hobbs comp: 4.01M

Lion King comp: 2.05M

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