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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Eric Atreides Global Phenomenon

Eric Atreides

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Posted

I talked about this stuff with @Spidey Freak yesterday, where obviously this stuff is never perfect, but I feel like Fandango's list is a good indicator of what people are feeling, and what they're excited for. And, at least for last year, you can see where the discrepancy in these lists come from, in both placement and rankings. Glass got hit hard by bad reviews, and Dumbo was boring as sin to kids. Lion King had an empty August to make its money, which helped it jump over the other movies ahead of it, while Star Wars had December to boost its legs (though granted it didn't even have a subtitle yet, but I digress).

 

Oh yeah, also from Fandango

 

Quote

Most Anticipated Actress:

  1. Gal Gadot  (“Wonder Woman 1984”)
  2. Scarlett Johansson (“Black Widow”)
  3. Emily Blunt (“A Quiet Place 2,” “Jungle Cruise”)
  4. Margot Robbie (“Birds of Prey,” “Barbie”)
  5. Zendaya (“Dune”)
     

Most Anticipated Actor:

  1. Chris Pine (“Wonder Woman 1984”)
  2. Paul Rudd (“Ghostbusters: Afterlife”)
  3. Ryan Reynolds (“Free Guy”)
  4. Daniel Craig (“No Time to Die”)
  5. Robert Downey Jr. (“Dolittle”)
     

Most Anticipated Villain:

  1. Kristen Wiig as Cheetah (“Wonder Woman 1984”)
  2. Rami Malek as Safin (“No Time to Die”)
  3. Ewan McGregor as Black Mask (“Birds of Prey”)
  4. Jim Carrey as Dr. Ivo Robotnik (“Sonic the Hedgehog”)
  5. Charlize Theron as Cipher (“Fast & Furious 9”)
     

Most Anticipated Family Film:

  1. “Mulan”
  2. Pixar’s “Soul”
  3. “Sonic the Hedgehog”
  4. “Dolittle”
  5. “Jungle Cruise”
     

Most Anticipated Horror Film:

  1. “A Quiet Place 2”
  2. “Halloween Kills”
  3. “The Invisible Man”
  4. “The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It”
  5. “The Grudge”
     

Most Anticipated Live-Action Comedy:

  1. “Ghostbusters: Afterlife”
  2. “Bill and Ted Face the Music”
  3. “Bad Boys For Life”
  4. “Legally Blonde 3”
  5. “The Lovebirds”

 

Judging the people who didn't put Timmy in for Most Anticipated Actor by the by

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pepsa Blockbuster

pepsa

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Eric Laurence said:

I talked about this stuff with @Spidey Freak yesterday, where obviously this stuff is never perfect, but I feel like Fandango's list is a good indicator of what people are feeling, and what they're excited for. And, at least for last year, you can see where the discrepancy in these lists come from, in both placement and rankings. Glass got hit hard by bad reviews, and Dumbo was boring as sin to kids. Lion King had an empty August to make its money, which helped it jump over the other movies ahead of it, while Star Wars had December to boost its legs (though granted it didn't even have a subtitle yet, but I digress).

TLK was in 2018 clearly seen as a top 3 contender for 2019 by most of the BOM members not because of the empty august but because of it being the most popular animation movie and the clear intrest in disney remakes

 

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Gavin Feng Box Office Gold

Gavin Feng

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I have a question about Top Gun 2. Could we expect it to be a box office hit after we see no position in Fandnago's list for it? I couldn't remember the last time a A-level military Hollywood movie earned huge money, maybe American Sniper? But can we expect TG2 to be another AS because I'm not sure if the former could bring the same feeling to audience. 

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The Fast and the Furiosa Sleeper Hit

The Fast and the Furiosa

Posted
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9 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

I have a question about Top Gun 2. Could we expect it to be a box office hit after we see no position in Fandnago's list for it? I couldn't remember the last time a A-level military Hollywood movie earned huge money, maybe American Sniper? But can we expect TG2 to be another AS because I'm not sure if the former could bring the same feeling to audience. 

I think it’s being fairly overpredicted across the board. Something like this would be perfect for Father’s Day. It should do better than 100 mil total but more than 150 would definitely be an overperformance

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Gavin Feng Box Office Gold

Gavin Feng

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4 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

I think it’s being fairly overpredicted across the board. Something like this would be perfect for Father’s Day. It should do better than 100 mil total but more than 150 would definitely be an overperformance

THX. The first movie came out more than 30 years ago and became a phenomenal performance in box office. I was wondering if it could be a hit driven by something like nostalgia because I don't really know how US audience feel about Top Gun.

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The Fast and the Furiosa Sleeper Hit

The Fast and the Furiosa

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3 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

THX. The first movie came out more than 30 years ago and became a phenomenal performance in box office. I was wondering if it could be a hit driven by something like nostalgia because I don't really know how US audience feel about Top Gun.

I more or less agree that it will be nostalgia driven, but that only takes you so far. Outside of the MI franchise, paramount has struggled mightily to gain much of anything. They need to be on their A game to crack into other audience demos. Most under 20 years old aren’t going to care about this

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RockyMountain Sleeper Hit

RockyMountain

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Posted
29 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

THX. The first movie came out more than 30 years ago and became a phenomenal performance in box office. I was wondering if it could be a hit driven by something like nostalgia because I don't really know how US audience feel about Top Gun.

THe intro to Top Gun is probably in the top 2 or 3 intros in cinematic history. THe plot is indeed paper thin and the movie is mainly sold on eye candy and an awesome soundtrack.

 

I think this movie will do well just because people still like jets and people really love that Top Gun music. 

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Fandango just released their most anticipated of 2020 poll results

 

Most Anticipated Movie:

“Wonder Woman 1984”

“Black Widow”

Marvel’s “Eternals”

“Mulan”

“No Time to Die”

“A Quiet Place 2”

“Birds of Prey”

“In the Heights”

Pixar’s “Soul”

“Fast & Furious 9”

In the Heights popping up on the list at all bodes well for it

 

Onward completely missing out (including the family list) is pretty bad for it.  It may end up being another TGD to Soul’s IO.

Edited by The Panda
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lorddemaxus Global Phenomenon

lorddemaxus

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4 minutes ago, The Panda said:

In the Heights popping up on the list at all bodes well for it

 

Onward completely missing out (including the family list) is pretty bad for it.  It may end up being another TGD to Soul’s IO.

As its been said before, these lists don't usually list many animated films but considering how close it is to the movie's release date, I would say its a bit concerning. I would have expected Onward to be in here instead of Soul but Onward doesn't have very good trailer views though.

 

I'm really hoping In the Heights becomes a breakout film next year too. 

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Tinalera Box Office Gold

Tinalera

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4 hours ago, RockyMountain said:

THe intro to Top Gun is probably in the top 2 or 3 intros in cinematic history. THe plot is indeed paper thin and the movie is mainly sold on eye candy and an awesome soundtrack.

 

I think this movie will do well just because people still like jets and people really love that Top Gun music. 

The opening with the ships launching off the carrier with danger zone playing floored me first time i watched it. Every now and again ill watch just the opening its just so awesome.

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Eric Atreides Global Phenomenon

Eric Atreides

Posted
Posted

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 30 5,480 0.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 1

 

Comp

0.294x of Maleficent (676K)

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