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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Comp

0.302x of Maleficent (694K)

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It will make a billion but i have to wonder if disney is a tad disappointed ( funny as it sounds) they just bulit a theme park segment dedicated to the trilogy and even with rise of the resistance ride (which has its had problems) disney needs this to work. Theyve got a space ship themed hotel on the go and related. I think at the end of the day disney was really pushing for a much bigger take for trilogy. Its by no means a failure but all the investment in the current trilogy and the reception they might be wondering what next.

 

It wouldnt surprise me with success of mandalorian and if the obi and other series potential  success if the star wars theme park gets revamped into more of an OT ish theme. 

 

Ive read rumors that the next saga was going tp go knights of old republic. I wonder if thats still a thing.

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Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.283x of Maleficent 18 days before release (651K)

 

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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11 minutes ago, Eric Laurence said:

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.283x of Maleficent 18 days before release (651K)

 

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I think this is a flop unless Downey stans show up for movie. 

Edited by Madhuvan

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19 hours ago, Tinalera said:

It will make a billion but i have to wonder if disney is a tad disappointed ( funny as it sounds) they just bulit a theme park segment dedicated to the trilogy and even with rise of the resistance ride (which has its had problems) disney needs this to work. Theyve got a space ship themed hotel on the go and related. I think at the end of the day disney was really pushing for a much bigger take for trilogy. Its by no means a failure but all the investment in the current trilogy and the reception they might be wondering what next.

 

It wouldnt surprise me with success of mandalorian and if the obi and other series potential  success if the star wars theme park gets revamped into more of an OT ish theme. 

 

Ive read rumors that the next saga was going tp go knights of old republic. I wonder if thats still a thing.

Now that is easily believable. Have to assume they were hoping closer to 1.5B. 

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1 hour ago, cdsacken said:

Now that is easily believable. Have to assume they were hoping closer to 1.5B. 

Thats my thinking too. The fact its going to take past new yearscday to get a billion is certainly going to get disney talking.

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I don't think it is just the WW number, either. TRoS is going to fall way short of 600M DOM. I think it is tracking for something in the 515-525M range. That's got to be far below expectations, and we all know the studios take a bigger cut of DOM vs INTL gross. I'll bet they miss profit estimates by multiple hundred million dollars.

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3 hours ago, doublejack said:

I don't think it is just the WW number, either. TRoS is going to fall way short of 600M DOM. I think it is tracking for something in the 515-525M range. That's got to be far below expectations, and we all know the studios take a bigger cut of DOM vs INTL gross. I'll bet they miss profit estimates by multiple hundred million dollars.

Is the rumor true that lucasfilm takes 65% of Dom bo?

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48 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

Is the rumor true that lucasfilm takes 65% of Dom bo?

Yes...so the DOM decrease probably hurts even more that the INT one...

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TROS probably split,

0.65*510 +

0.40*530 +

0.25*16

= 547.5 global theatrical returns (1056 ww)

 

That covers prod budget and most of/all of global marketing budget with all of non-theatrical to follow.

 

Movie should make big profits even if Dom and OS-Ch end up way lower, say 485 and 505 respectively.

0.65*485 +

0.40*505 +

0.25*16

= 521.25 (1006 ww)

 

For tent-poles one does not even expect all of marketing budget to be recovered by theatrical grosses and it's common for home market, merch to do that. But for TROS with dom % being high, China being miniscule and high numbers compared to the 300 odd prod budget healthy profits are a given.

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The Grudge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 15 33 3,087 1.07%

 

Comp

0.500x of Crawl 3 days before release (500K)

0.268x of Scary Stories (625K)

0.733x of 47 Meters Down (378K)

0.333x of Doctor Sleep (500K)

1.064x of Black Christmas (245K)

 

Eh, I guess this is alright? We'll see how ticket sales the next couple days and walk-ups affect the movie

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Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 25 32 5,566 0.57%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 86

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.278x of Maleficent 17 days before release (640K)

0.076x of Frozen II 17 days before release (651K)

 

I mean...there's a new comp.

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When do we think Birds of Prey tickets will go on sale? What about Onward? Mulan?

 

BOP is on February 7th, but I don’t expect a long selling window so maybe January 20-22?

 

Onward could actually go on sale before BOP (or around the same time) and I think Mulan will be the week after Onward comes out.

 



 

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The Grudge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 26 61 3,882 1.57%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 11

Total Seats Added Today: 795

Total Seats Sold Today: 28

 

Comp

0.622x of Crawl 2 days before release (622K)

0.313x of Scary Stories (729K)

1.089x of 47 Meters Down (562K)

0.424x of Doctor Sleep (635K)

1.298x of Black Christmas (298K)

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Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 25 33 5,566 0.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 1

 

Comp

0.289x of Maleficent 16 days before release (666K)

0.062x of Frozen II 16 days before release (529K)

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Posted (edited)
15 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

When do we think Birds of Prey tickets will go on sale? What about Onward? Mulan?

 

BOP is on February 7th, but I don’t expect a long selling window so maybe January 20-22?

 

Onward could actually go on sale before BOP (or around the same time) and I think Mulan will be the week after Onward comes out.

 



 

Bop will porlly be about 2 weeks before up here. Mulan might besame. Onward im not sure about.

Edited by Tinalera

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