The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	57	5,272	1.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.260x of Maleficent 4 days before release (599K)

0.245x of Jumanji (1.15M)

 

[DAJK]

Dolittle's gonna BOMB. Tbh though I want to see it over Bad Boys

[Cap]

Congrats folks on the BOFFY Nom for Most Valuable User, everyone. You all deserve it! 

[Eric Duncan]

For the record, Bad Boys sales are very very good. It's about 10 times what Dolittle has at the moment, though of course regional bias since Will Smith's from West Philadelphia, born and raised. But at the very least, it should be around what the tracking numbers from a couple weeks ago.

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, Eric Dolittle said:

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	57	5,272	1.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

Damn. This is ridiculous.

 

Do little Greater, Dolittle.

[Legion Again]

The “movie performance is described by its name” curse strikes again. Studios never learn.

[filmlover]

20 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

The “movie performance is described by its name” curse strikes again. Studios never learn.

Bad news for Ghostbusters: Afterlife.

[el sid]

Bad Boys for Life, counted today at 10am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 362 (total tickets sold for Thursday) + 1 sell out which could be true because that's an evening show and several other shows are also already „almost full“/ 458 (total tickets sold for Friday, 11 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 85 / 87 (4 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 7 / 57 (8 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 119 / 101 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 41 / 13 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): showtimes): 6 / 15 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 68 / 43 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 164 / 119 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 123 / 66 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 161 / 60 (1 showtime)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till today for Thursday: 1.136 +1 sell out and for Friday: 1.019.

Comps: Hobbs & Shaw had on Monday 1.720 / 1.696 sold tickets + 1 sell out, 21 Bridges had on Tuesday 229/263 and Zombieland 2 had on Wednesday 874/887.
Looks good! It's not that much behind Hobbs & Shaw despite having way less showtimes. E.g. H&S had on Monday in the two theaters in LA combined 27 showtimes for Friday whereas BBfL has combined only 5.
 

Dolittle, counted today at 10am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): no showtimes so far
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 28 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 16 (total tickets sold for Friday, 5 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 9 / 6 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 12 / 15 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 / 14 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): showtimes): 2 / 16 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 11 / 17 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 62 / 41 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 16 / 10 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 63 / 40 (3 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 9 theaters till today for Thursday: 209 and for Friday: 175.

Not totally horrible (assuming that it has good jumps in the next days) but far from good. Unfortunately I don't have fitting comps for a Monday. Maybe Maleficent 2 helps a little bit which had on Tuesday 1.056/1.191 sold tickets. But even if Dolittle would double its sales till tomorrow it would reach 15M OW in the best case, at least in this comparison.

Edited January 13, 2020 by el sid

[Inceptionzq]

Dolittle Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

36

316

11.39%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

46

488

9.43%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
128	N/A	3453	3.71%	9	24

 

Jumanji comp: 1.65M

Maleficent comp: 1.85M

 

It's doing better than I expected, but still not good. We'll see if it can keep it up this week.

Edited January 13, 2020 by Inceptionzq

[Inceptionzq]

Bad Boys for Life Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

109

858

12.70%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

65

1470

4.42%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
390	N/A	6236	6.25%	9	32

 

Terminator comp: 4.09M

Adjusted Zombieland comp: 3.64M

Gemini Man comp: 3.79M

Hobbs comp: 4.16M

Adjusted OUATiH comp: 3.56M

[cdsacken]

Bad boys bad boys whatcha gonna do? Whatcha gonna do when they come to theaters near you?

Edited January 14, 2020 by cdsacken

[Poseidon]

2 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dolittle Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

36

316

11.39%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

46

488

9.43%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
128	N/A	3453	3.71%	9	24

 

Jumanji comp: 1.65M

Maleficent comp: 1.85M

 

It's doing better than I expected, but still not good. We'll see if it can keep it up this week.

 

$1,6m-$1,8m could be perfectly fine if it played like a kids movie in the end. 

 

Well, not fine considering the budget, but could still mean well over $30m over the holida weekend. 

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, Poseidon said:

 

$1,6m-$1,8m could be perfectly fine if it played like a kids movie in the end. 

 

Well, not fine considering the budget, but could still mean well over $30m over the holida weekend. 

30 4-day would leave it looking at 80-85 dom imo : 2.7x 4-day/3.3x 3-day.

don't know how much pull this can have os but would guess at max 200-225 ww with 80-85 dom?

that's on 175-200 prod budget + p&a.

[Eric Duncan]

Bad Boys for Life Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	40	932	8,844	10.54%

 

Comp

1.432x of Once Upon 3 days before release (8.3M)

0.602x of It: Chapter Two (6.32M)

0.463x of Joker (6.16M)

3.932x of Gemini Man (6.29M)

3.655x of Terminator (8.59M)

6.340x of 21 Bridges (4.44M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.193x of The Lion King (4.44M)

1.689x of Hobbs & Shaw (9.8M)

 

At first glance, this is probably going to make people here go nuts and expect this to hit 80M or something. However, it's important to recognize Philly demographics. Philly is a majority black city, and Will Smith was born and raised in West Philadelphia. So yeah, there's a lot of Bad Boys fans here. But on the other hand, that's still very strong interest and indicates it should still do a lot of money nationwide I feel.

 

It's especially helped since both el sid and Inceptionzq's data indicate good things. Of course, Inception's data is also skewed since Denver has a significant Latino demographic. But regardless of all that, it would not surprise me if Bad Boys gets to 40M for the 3-Day, at least as of now.

[Eric Duncan]

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	62	5,331	1.16%

 

Total Seats Added Today: 59

Total Seats Sold Today: 5

 

Comp

0.660x of Dora 3 days before release (824K)

1.348x of Abominable (876K)

0.653x of Addams Family (816K)

0.283x of Maleficent (651K)

2.296x of Playing with Fire (1.03M)

0.266x of Jumanji (1.25M)

 

So...yeah, more comps doesn't really help this movie's case. But hey, maybe it'll do better in the next couple days. Crazier things have happened.

[TLK]

3 hours ago, Eric Dolittle said:

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	62	5,331	1.16%

 

Total Seats Added Today: 59

Total Seats Sold Today: 5

 

Comp

0.660x of Dora 3 days before release (824K)

1.348x of Abominable (876K)

0.653x of Addams Family (816K)

0.283x of Maleficent (651K)

2.296x of Playing with Fire (1.03M)

0.266x of Jumanji (1.25M)

 

So...yeah, more comps doesn't really help this movie's case. But hey, maybe it'll do better in the next couple days. Crazier things have happened.

Only 5 seats sold on Monday from Philly market is legit bad. It is going to play as a family film so there's still hope.

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/13/2020 at 1:04 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Dolittle Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

36

316

11.39%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

46

488

9.43%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
128	N/A	3453	3.71%	9	24

 

Jumanji comp: 1.65M

Maleficent comp: 1.85M

 

It's doing better than I expected, but still not good. We'll see if it can keep it up this week.

Dolittle Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

40

316

12.66%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

51

488

10.45%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
155	27	3498	4.43%	9	25

 

Showings added: 1

Seats added: 45

 

Jumanji comp: 1.61M

Maleficent comp: 1.79M

[Inceptionzq]

On 1/13/2020 at 1:29 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Bad Boys for Life Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

109

858

12.70%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

65

1470

4.42%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
390	N/A	6236	6.25%	9	32

 

Terminator comp: 4.09M

Adjusted Zombieland comp: 3.64M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 3.79M

Hobbs comp: 4.16M

Adjusted OUATiH comp: 3.56M

Bad Boys for Life Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

140

858

16.32%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

94

1470

6.39%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
534	144	6799	7.85%	9	36

 

Showings added: 4

Seats added: 563

 

Adjusted Zombieland comp: 3.59M

Adjusted Gemini Man comp: 4.29M

Hobbs comp: 4.92M

Adjusted OUATiH comp: 3.74M

 

Hobbs had a weak day at this point, probably because PLFs weren't added yet, which is why there was such a huge jump. I don't expect it stay this way.

[Nova]

How low can Dolittle go? 

[filmlover]

 

Bad Boys: $35M with a shot at upper $40M

Dolittle: $20-22M