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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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6 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

A 3-day OW above Bad Boys's 4 day? I could easily see at least one of Birds of Prey, Onward, Mulan, and No Time to Die do it. 

The latter 3 were the main contenders that came to mind, and I bet at least one gets there. Curious what Mulan’s long-range tracking will start at when we get out peek in 8 days.

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On 1/22/2020 at 4:43 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Update(T-1)

 

Gentlemen

MTC1 - overall 545 shows 6016/72000 80926.50 +1761
MTC2 - overall 571 shows 1679/73944 19183.00 +434

 

Turning
MTC1 - overall 545 shows 2602/66245 34554.95 +843
MTC2 - overall 595 shows 988/76375 10746.00 +252

 

Ridiculously low sales 1 day before release. Just to refresh the final numbers for dolittle last week( 0.9m previews)

 

MTC1 - overall 1039 shows 17388/164934 240608.47
MTC2  - overall 1147 shows 16011/149357 175777.00

 

I dont think combines sales either one will hit even half the dolittle number ( ~16.7k tickets between 2 MTC). Gentlemen could have a good spurt on the final day and hit 0.5-0.6m previews but Turning number will be so ridiculous that it may not even be reported !!!!

Gentlemen Previews FINAL

MTC1 -  overall 602 shows 17371/78767 226461.91 
MTC2 - overall 596 shows 9657/76540 109547.00

 

It did have a good spurt but final numbers are still meh. I had thought 0.8m previously but comparing to DL it could go lower slightly. SO will say ~ 0.75m  

 

Turning Previews Final

MTC1 - overall 545 shows 9458/66245 120448.97

MTC2  - overall 591 shows 7486/75919 81448.00

 

Also did have a good increase today. I will say 0.45m 

 

Mostly there is little point tracking these movies days ahead of release as most of the ticket sales happen on the final day. 

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1 hour ago, kitik said:

Quick question: when do Birds of Prey tickets go on sale? Tomorrow? Monday?

Or are they already on sale elsewhere around the country?

They went on sale here in the UK last Monday, 20th. 

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11 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

That and unlike Pikachu, it marketing itself more a kids movie especially after Dolittle will help it.

But I'm seeing them market it more towards Twitter and Reddit users rather than kids. 

 

And I doubt Sonic's fanbase is that big these days. The 25th anniversary party (which btw is one of the most godawful things I've ever seen) a few years ago had a pathetic turn out.

Edited by lorddemaxus
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6 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Will we even see an OW above Bad Boys 4-day until May?

Did anyone actually see BB doing numbers closer to what it did before the OD? This year already teached us that there's room to several surprises since there isn't a mega blockbuster stealing all the thunder of the B.O. 

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6 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

A 3-day OW above Bad Boys's 4 day? I could easily see at least one of Birds of Prey, Onward, Mulan, and No Time to Die do it. 

No Time To Die opens Easter weekend. Given the property and the holiday, I think we can expect a 3-day and 4-day larger than Bad Boy's 4. If it opens to $85+ million, like Skyfall, over the 3-day then a $100 million 4-day is on the table.

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7 hours ago, kitik said:

Quick question: when do Birds of Prey tickets go on sale? Tomorrow? Monday?

Or are they already on sale elsewhere around the country?

This weekend I think. Fandango, Cinemark, IMAX, and Regal have showtimes up so it should be within a day or two..

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12 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Will we even see an OW above Bad Boys 4-day until May?

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-tracking-a-quiet-place-part-ii/

 

3/20/2020 A Quiet Place Part II $60,000,000 – $80,000,000 $72,000,000

 

 

🤔 (yes I know it's 1M below, hush)

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1 minute ago, Eric Dolittle said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-tracking-a-quiet-place-part-ii/

 

3/20/2020 A Quiet Place Part II $60,000,000 – $80,000,000 $72,000,000

 

 

🤔 (yes I know it's 1M below, hush)

Huh, I mean Iguess it’s possible considering Us.

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2 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Huh, I mean Iguess it’s possible considering Us.

Audience reception to Us wasn't that strong imo. Like it wasn't hated, but it wasn't as loved as it was by critics imo (I guess that's just my small sample size of people I've talked to, plus legs) but I can't really see AQP2 having similar legs.

 

Also, is it getting IMAX?

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31 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Audience reception to Us wasn't that strong imo. Like it wasn't hated, but it wasn't as loved as it was by critics imo (I guess that's just my small sample size of people I've talked to, plus legs) but I can't really see AQP2 having similar legs.

 

Also, is it getting IMAX?

I hadn’t even seen the forecast for total, was just commenting on OW size. Will be getting IMAX, yup.

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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With pretty much every horror movie underperforming for the past few months (I think the last time we got a horror overperformer was in August with Ready or Not and Scary Stories), I think BOP is a bit too optimistic here with the movie's opening weekend. I think it's gonna open to 60 mil at best and have somewhere around a 160 mil finish (BOP is too pessmistic with legs so it evens out here). 

Edited by lorddemaxus
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Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 30 39 6,299 0.62%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 438

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

0.382x of Maleficent 20 days before release (879K)

1.3x of Dolittle (1.2M)

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I have returned to track, cause of Sonic and a bit more time this semester, these movies will get a North Shore Cinema round up:

Birds of Prey

Sonic The Hedgehog

Fantasy Island 

Onward

Mulan

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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Sonic the Hedgehog(T-19)

MTC1 - overall 531 shows 1251/93246 20569.51 16894.89

MTC2 - overall 960 shows 1671/150492 20617.94 14328.55

 

Not bad considering its so far away from release. Definitely there are signs of this breaking out. Let us see where things are a week from now. 

Edited by keysersoze123
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Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 30 42 6,299 0.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.396x of Maleficent 19 days before release (911K)

1.312x of Dolittle (1.21M)

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