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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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2 hours ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

It's not about one market, it's about THE market. This movie was made to please Chinese audiences, every change they made that turned back a lot of West people was because they expected Chinese people to eat it, a movie like this losing this market is a far bigger problem than a movie like BOP losing the release date.

Oh, I think this was a major consideration in Disney greenlighting this; but I don't think Disney made this only to do well in CHina. If they felt it would not do well also in other countries, they would never have green lit...particulary given how Disney is only going to get 25% of the Chinese take.

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Birds of Prey - MTC4
Opening Weekend Seat Report: T-6 days and counting
               
  Last
Day
2 Days
Ago
3 Days
Ago
4 Days
Ago
5 Days
Ago
   
Shows Added 25 - - - -    
Seats Added 4,425 - - - -    
Seats Sold 688 - - - -    
               
  Shows Seats
Left
Total
Seats
Matinee Evening Total
Sold
Pct.
Sold
D-0 451 103,314 104,726 - 1,412 1,412 1.35%
D-1 646 157,417 158,550 211 1,133 1,344 0.85%
D-2 789 189,552 190,321 298 769 1,067 0.56%
D-3 763 183,626 184,073 224 447 671 0.36%
Edited by ZackM
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22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-7)

MTC1 - overall 1383 shows 15934/296559 280159.82 +5466
MTC2 - overall 1289 shows 5458/226009 71422.56 51649.77 +1287

 

No way to spin the fact that its underperforming at MTC2. Its strong in NYC/LA but seems to underperform elsewhere. That said I would rather have movies overperform in these markets as tickets are priced higher and so there is potential for higher previews. I still dont have any predictions at this point but its way below what I thought from initial start. 

 

FYI Empire 25 is at 939/7910(38 shows) and there the average ticket price is $20. 

Birds of Prey (T-6)

MTC1 - overall 1415 shows 18558/302388 323928.08  +2624
MTC2 - overall 1289 shows 6487/226009 84922.27 +1029

 

I guess it will slow down until Monday next week. MTC1 numbers are ok but MTC2 numbers are poor. My initial projection based on current numbers is around 5.5m previews. 
 

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Birds of Prey Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 59 292 14,068 2.08%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 928

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.255x of It: Chapter Two 6 days before release (2.67M)

0.231x of Joker (3.07M)

1.529x of Terminator (3.59M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.711x of Hobbs & Shaw (4.12M)

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Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 37 90 6,898 1.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 12

 

Comp

0.726x of Maleficent 13 days before release (1.67M)

0.117x of Frozen II (993K)

2.195x of Dolittle (2.03M)

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F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-111 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 41 177 11,009 1.61%

 

It's gonna be hard to really know how well it'll be doing, since it's so far away. The farthest away for any movie I've tracked. The closes movie is Star Wars, and that isn't until a couple months from now and isn't even that perfect of a comp. But I think it's a good start. I thought it would reach 100 tickets, but getting close to 200 seems pretty solid. Interested to see what the next couple months are like.

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11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Fast and Furious 9 (T - ∞ )

MTC1 - overall 553 shows 2414/124062 43757.83

MTC2 - overall 1956 shows 1691/320536 22025.65 

 

 

 

 

Perfect start to break Endgame record 🙂. MTC2 showtimes have confirmed this is gonna have blockbuster release. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WOW. its PS is on fire. 

 

End of Day 1

Fast and Furious 9 (T - 111)

MTC1 - overall 682 shows 7008/152460 124445.53
MTC2 - overall 1960 shows 3282/319730 43343.42 

 

its almost on par with BOP OD but that has only 9 days of PS vs 112 for F9. 

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1 hour ago, xiazhi said:

What's the source for this incentive? And what kind of movies get this incentive? 

 

California annual report and there up to date list:

http://film.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2.0-CFC-Approved-Projects-List-12.16.19.pdf

2018-2019 Birds of Prey WB Studio Enterprises Inc. Feature Film Non-Indie 63 4550 150 93 $ 62,998,000 $ 12,615,000

 

Almost all movies get some incentive, this one in particular is for the spending in California.

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Also, I had no fracking idea that FF9 tickets went on sale today. :ph34r:  Me popping in the thread just now was a complete coincidence.

 

(checking out seats now before I head to bed to gauge how worth it is to pay attention right now)

((SPOILER ALERT: Not very))

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I'm not surprised about BoP pre-sales at all. Those 80-100 mln predictions were insane and didn't have any ground beyond wishful thinking of some members. There's barely any buzz about it, trailer views/social media activity numbers were really really bad for a comic book movie, marketing just wasn't good. And critic reviews won't help it much, just like they didn't help Shazam.

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11 minutes ago, Firepower said:

I'm not surprised about BoP pre-sales at all. Those 80-100 mln predictions were insane and didn't have any ground beyond wishful thinking of some members. There's barely any buzz about it, trailer views/social media activity numbers were really really bad for a comic book movie, marketing just wasn't good. And critic reviews won't help it much, just like they didn't help Shazam.

Man you made your point on the BOP thread so many times. We get it.

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18 minutes ago, Firepower said:

I'm not surprised about BoP pre-sales at all. Those 80-100 mln predictions were insane and didn't have any ground beyond wishful thinking of some members. There's barely any buzz about it, trailer views/social media activity numbers were really really bad for a comic book movie, marketing just wasn't good. And critic reviews won't help it much, just like they didn't help Shazam.

80-100m predictions?? Your kidding right?  Consensus has been 50-65m.70m at most . Don't use predictions by few fanboys as a form of consensus. Tracking and buzz and tracking has always been low .

Now the question is will BOP be able to overperform ,meet or underperform  expectations.

Edited by Liiviig 1998
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