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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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On 1/31/2020 at 8:22 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-6)

MTC1 - overall 1415 shows 18558/302388 323928.08  +2624
MTC2 - overall 1289 shows 6487/226009 84922.27 +1029

 

I guess it will slow down until Monday next week. MTC1 numbers are ok but MTC2 numbers are poor. My initial projection based on current numbers is around 5.5m previews. 
 

Birds of Prey (T-4)

MTC1  - overall 1423 shows 21771/303536 377776.26 +3213 
MTC2  - overall 1291 shows 7853/226189 102404.62  +1366

 

I did not update yesterday night, so this is for day and half. No change in prediction. I think real action should happen in last 48 hours. 

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Birds of Prey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 105 1790 5.87%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 68 1506 4.52%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
368 71 9724 3.78% 9 46

 

Terminator comp: 5.80M

Joker comp: 5.76M

Adjusted Joker comp: 5.34M

Hobbs comp: 5.40M

Birds of Prey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 122 1790 6.82%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 72 1506 4.78%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
408 40 9724 4.20% 9 46

 

Terminator comp: 5.05M

Joker comp: 5.86M

Adjusted Joker comp: 5.59M

Hobbs comp: 5.21M

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 41 1696 2.42%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 55 1506 3.65%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
177     N/A 10258 1.73% 9 47

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 42 1696 2.48%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 56 1506 3.72%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
191 14 10258 1.86% 9 47

 

Tomorrow will be the last daily update probably until Black Widow releases. I'll update weekly until then.

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On 1/28/2020 at 7:42 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Sonic the Hedgedog(T-16)

MTC1 - overall 678 shows 2554/115554 40881.61
MTC2 - overall 992 shows 2200/156128 27271.63 

 

This was sometime this afternoon and I was hoping to see a big boost bcos of Atom/Tmobile offer. But nothing big so far though numbers overall are bigger than where Bad Boys was around this time 🙂

 

Sonic the Hedgedog(T-11)

Sonic MTC1 Prev - overall 799 shows 5501/135581 86472.71 70316.30
Sonic MTC2 Prev - overall 1024 shows 3829/161668 47663.50 33845.37 

 

Numbers are good considering we have over 11 days of PS left. 
 

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Honestly, if BOP comes in at around 5-6M previews, I don't see it making much more than ~45M opening weekend. Even if it's well-received by audiences, that would likely translate into a sub-150M domestic total (although stranger things have happened). 

 

Pre-sales at my local haven't moved in 2 days :lol: It probably won't even be worth reporting comps until Tuesday/Wednesday, or even day of release to be honest. 

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Birds of Prey - MTC4
Opening Weekend Seat Report: T-4 days and counting
               
  Last
Day
2 Days
Ago
3 Days
Ago
4 Days
Ago
5 Days
Ago
   
Shows Added 7 0 25 - -    
Seats Added -311 2,313 4,425 - -    
Seats Sold 1,017 616 688 - -    
               
  Shows Seats
Left
Total
Seats
Matinee Evening Total
Sold
Pct.
Sold
D-0 451 102,246 104,177 - 1,931 1,931 1.85%
D-1 649 157,309 159,018 241 1,709 1,950 1.23%
D-2 793 190,252 191,292 427 1,040 1,467 0.77%
D-3 763 184,670 185,185 264 515 779 0.42%
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Birds of Prey Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 59 383 14,068

2.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 39

 

Comp

0.291x of It: Chapter Two 4 days before release (3.05M)

0.247x of Joker (3.29M)

1.680x of Terminator (3.95M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.697x of Hobbs & Shaw (4.04M)

 

Even if you want to argue the Super Bowl stole this movie's buzz or thunder today, this is still not looking good for the movie's chances. We'll see what the next few days have in store I guess.

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Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 37 112 6,898 1.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 14

 

Comp

0.848x of Maleficent 11 days before release (1.95M)

0.129x of Frozen II (1.1M)

2.732x of Dolittle (2.53M)

 

In contrast, I feel good about this. I don't feel like the pregame spot helped it that much since it's only 2 tickets higher than the previous sales high, but anything helps I guess. At the very least, I'm feeling more confident in 3M+ previews.

 

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F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-109 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 47 256 11,893 2.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 24

 

And yeah, this one didn't seem to get any help from the Super Bowl promo. But of course tickets just went on sale two days ago, and it's still more than three months away. Whatever.

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And before I sign off, one last look at some Twitter views for the Super Bowl promos, since the Super Bowl thread has been banished to the Sports thread, and I want to get more likes.

1 hour ago, Eric #RIPKobe said:

Top Gun - 234.9K

Mulan - 1M

F9 - 292.2K

Black Widow - 1.2M

No Time to Die - 618.3K

Minions - 105.8K

Top Gun - 255.7K

Mulan - 1.2M

F9 - 324.9K

Black Widow - 1.4M

No Time to Die - 739K

Minions - 119.4K

 

Basically Disney wins, Bond rules, Minions drool.

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Fast & Furious 9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-109 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

96

14865

15086

221

1.46%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

49

 

Day Three Adjusted Comp (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

 

   %

 

Sold Day 3

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

H&S

298.64

 

7

74

 

0/50

6200/6274

1.18%

 

17.32m

FF9 (adj)

n/a

 

49

221

 

0/96

12569/12790

1.73%

 

n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: FF9 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Hobbs & Shaw

PRE-SALES NOTE:  FF9 had 112 days of pre-sales while Hobbs and Shaw had 35.

 

===

 

Definitely was a SB bounce tonight.  Or rather, the SB ad undoubtedly let it practically pace the amount of tickets sold yesterday (47 vs 49).  Without it, I suspect the tickets sold would have been in the mid-twenties, if not high teens.

 

Still plan on doing a check tomorrow night, then shifting to once a week, followed by once every two weeks when/if it really gets slow going.  

 

The H&S comp is getting more and more lol-worthy (hence the change in designation), but I did think it was a little interesting to see their respective Day 3's.  Even without a SB ad, I suspect FF9 would have tripled it, or come close to that.

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Hey guys so I know I said I’d have some tracking for you for BOP but unfortunately something came up that’s personal that I need to be more attentive to and as a result I won’t be on here as often. I was looking forward to actually tracking movies again with BOP, Sonic and some bigger films in March particularly a Quiet Place coming up. The data I was going to give was very minuscule anyways and you guys would do a great job with or without it. I love your posts and I love tracking box office with you guys even through the surprises and through the bombs (we won’t speak of the historical bomb that occurred this weekend though). Keep up the great work and I hope to be able to check in from time to time. 

Edited by Nova
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Have a feeling BOP will do good. 

I didn't feel buzz for Shazam but I am seeing strong response for this. 

If your movie is good then every publicity is good publicity. 

Things become worse only when movie is meh or bad. 

BOP is going to get strong reviews. 

 

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Birds of Prey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 122 1790 6.82%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 72 1506 4.78%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
408 40 9724 4.20% 9 46

 

Terminator comp: 5.05M

Joker comp: 5.86M

Adjusted Joker comp: 5.59M

Hobbs comp: 5.21M

Birds of Prey Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 147 1790 8.21%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 82 1506 5.44%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
465 57 9724 4.78% 9 46

 

Terminator comp: 4.89M

Joker comp: 5.61M

Adjusted Joker comp: 5.33M

Hobbs comp: 4.96M

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On 2/2/2020 at 2:01 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 42 1696 2.48%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 56 1506 3.72%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
191 14 10258 1.86% 9 47

 

Tomorrow will be the last daily update probably until Black Widow releases. I'll update weekly until then.

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 52 1696 3.07%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 71 1506 4.71%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
232 41 10258 2.26% 9 47
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Sonic the Hedgehog Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 40 282 14.18%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 18 318 5.66%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
117     N/A 3662 3.19% 9 25

 

Adjusted Maleficent comp: 2.68M

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