The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[pepsa]

5 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Birds of Prey - MTC4 Opening Weekend Seat Report: T-1 days and counting
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Shows Added	54	890	7	7	0
Seats Added	10,198	187,024	694	-311	2,313
Seats Sold	2,722	1,989	1,171	1,017	616
	Shows	Seats Left	Total Seats	Matinee	Evening	Total Sold	Pct. Sold
D-0	452	99,538	103,120	-	3,582	3,582	3.47%
D-1	937	215,158	219,313	305	3,850	4,155	1.89%
D-2	1,140	259,536	262,544	815	2,193	3,008	1.15%
D-3	1,078	251,347	252,611	502	762	1,264	0.50%

 

 

37% increase in daily sales doesn’t seem like what you’d wanna see on a T-1 where great reviews dropped. Hoping MTC1&2 outpaced that.

I am actualy very suprised at the high score after I visited the SK thread. Happy to see it got a great RT score.

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

I guess RT will bump walk-ins. MTC 1 & 2 suggests more like $4-4.5mn but I think reviews may push to $5-6mn.

I don't think the reviews are good enough for that. It's like AMATW level reviews so far

[Krissykins]

14 minutes ago, Menor said:

I don't think the reviews are good enough for that. It's like AMATW level reviews so far

General audience only look at the percentage. 

[BeastByTheBay]

24 minutes ago, Menor said:

I don't think the reviews are good enough for that. It's like AMATW level reviews so far

Isn't AMATW sitting at 88%? It's literally a 2% difference 

[cdsacken]

10 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Poor kid.    Did you find her a maternity pillow or it's equivalent?

Oddly enough no pillow helped. Had to move her to the couch with standard pillow. With her hard cast probably will try to move her to the bedroom next week.

[cdsacken]

10 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Children notoriously hate having to watch TV and movies 

You would be surprised, she's gonna be out of her mind bored with TV. I bought like 30 different types of activities she can do on a tray that goes over her lap. Instead of a wheelchair, a padded wagon which she loves. Spoiled but in this case I'm fine with it.

Edited February 6, 2020 by cdsacken

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

CINEPLEX BANQUE SCOTIA MONTREAL

 

BIRDS OF PREY - THURS FEB 6 2020

 

UltraAvX

6:30pm - 25/377

9:20pm - 16/377

IMAX

7:00pm - 128/343

9:50pm - 15/343

Regular 

6:00pm - 13/226

7:30pm - 33/226

8:50pm - 6/226

10:20pm - 1/226

 

237/2344 (10.11% Sold)

 

Will have final Report with comps later tonight. Hopefully that RT boost everyone is talking about kicks in.

 

Edit: Found a morning comp with Joker - x 0.22 = 2.95m

Edited February 6, 2020 by EarlyDeadlinePredictions

[TwoMisfits]

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-1)

MTC1  - overall 1737 shows 41791/346533 696200.23  +9332
MTC2  - overall 1925 shows 17800/304753 228047.27  +5282

 

if it doubles these numbers tomorrow(not an easy target but possible with walkups) it will hit 5m. I would say ~ 4.5m just to play it safe but it could go lower as well if walkups are bad. 

 

I will say overall its first time I am seeing previews so skewed towards NYC/LA for movies other than very small openers(Only other movie that skewed so much was Gemini Man). Overall WB dropped the ball or as few others mentioned its a movie that is a hard sell as there is little interest.

 

At least strong reviews could potentially help with better than norm legs for the genre. I will update day 1 numbers as well soon.  
 

If it skews so strongly to NY/LA, which I also assume is where movie subscribers skew hard (since they are the most expensive ticket markets and the most interested in movie markets, so they have to overdraw subscribers vs the rest of North America), wouldn't we think it would struggle to have those great walk ups?  Since the NY/LA folks already have the tickets, and it's not showing strength elsewhere?

 

Sigh...I really wanted this to go big in concept b/c I love Harley...but I think it missed hitting the mark - whether b/c it seems to much like a Suicide Squard sequel or b/c it missed the mark as a Birds of Prey concept or b/c, well, I dunno...should have just called the darn thing Harley Quinn...

 

Although here's hoping the Atom deal keeps people walking in all weekend (since it's good til Feb 9, unless it sells out...and with these presale increases, it didn't sell out yet)...

 

 

[cdsacken]

Man I hope 5m happens better yet a 9+ OW multiplier.

[cax16]

Guess we’ll see soon. 

 

[Legion Again]

With respect to industry tracking, it’s not as sophisticated as the data we get in this thread at this point. Even if walkups drive the previews to 5.5, 50M would be a lot to ask of the internal multi.

[cax16]

Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

With respect to industry tracking, it’s not as sophisticated as the data we get in this thread at this point. Even if walkups drive the previews to 5.5, 50M would be a lot to ask of the internal multi.

I agree you 100%. The people tracking in here are very reliable with their information. 

[a2k]

wrong thread...

Edited February 6, 2020 by a2k

[Madhuvan]

11 minutes ago, cax16 said:

I agree you 100%. The people tracking in here are very reliable with their information. 

Reliable 100%, but there is always a chance that movie over performs. 

 

Reviews are fantastic, buzz is building up and wom should be fantastic in US. I still think 6m+ previews can happen. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-1)

MTC1  - overall 1737 shows 41791/346533 696200.23  +9332
MTC2  - overall 1925 shows 17800/304753 228047.27  +5282

 

if it doubles these numbers tomorrow(not an easy target but possible with walkups) it will hit 5m. I would say ~ 4.5m just to play it safe but it could go lower as well if walkups are bad. 

 

I will say overall its first time I am seeing previews so skewed towards NYC/LA for movies other than very small openers(Only other movie that skewed so much was Gemini Man). Overall WB dropped the ball or as few others mentioned its a movie that is a hard sell as there is little interest.

 

At least strong reviews could potentially help with better than norm legs for the genre. I will update day 1 numbers as well soon.  
 

Joker at MTC2 was 63k, with a daily pace of 20k.

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, Menor said:

Joker at MTC2 was 63k, with a daily pace of 20k.

Just under 30% level and 25% pace is consistent with a day or two ago. Would be ~4M, but D-0 should be able to pop more in %?

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Just under 30% level and 25% pace is consistent with a day or two ago. Would be ~4M, but D-0 should be able to pop more in %?

I'm not sure. Usually when T-0 is going to pop you see a big acceleration the day before, like with Bad Boys. But with MTC1 overperforming so much it will likely go a bit higher (though that chain overperformed for Joker as well).

[Krissykins]

15 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Just under 30% level and 25% pace is consistent with a day or two ago. Would be ~4M, but D-0 should be able to pop more in %?

Are you personally expecting a sub $40m weekend then? 

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Are you personally expecting a sub $40m weekend then? 

I’ve got 40 as the O/U point until/unless keyser shows up and tells me same day preview sales are going well.

[Burgess]

Han. His power

It’s interesting because, anecdotally, NTTD seemed to have a bigger reception (through upvotes and comments) on Reddit’s r/movies than any other Super Bowl spot.


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