The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

2 minutes ago, john2000 said:

i mean so this comp isnt very good comparison ?

 

Ahh. Yeah not right now. It’ll probably be better to compare the second day of PS of Maleficent. I’ll change that

[Jonwo]

On 2/14/2020 at 4:17 AM, filmlover said:

I wouldn't worry too much about Paramount. They have a number of movies with potential (A Quiet Place 2, Spongebob, Top Gun 2, Infinite, Without Remorse, The Trial of Chicago 7, Clifford, Coming 2 America, The Tomorrow War) coming up this year while next year they have the next Mission: Impossible movie and the newest movies from Chazelle and most likely Scorsese if his is shooting soon. Every studio goes through a dry spell every now and then: look at the comeback Sony has made in recent years after a few rough ones, for example.

Now that the ViacomCBS merger has happened, the studio is now in steady waters. 

[keysersoze123]

Call of the Wild(T-5)

MTC1 - overall 447 shows 1870/78532 31754.56 26153.97

MTC2 - overall 568 shows 1200/76207 13780.30 9488.87

 

Almost non existent PS but real action for these movies will be from wednesday onwards. I hope it does enough to hit mid teens OW. 

[ZackM]

Sonic - MTC4 Opening Weekend Seat Report: D-2
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Shows Added	12	9	29	96	-
Seats Added	1,336	725	5,941	26,352	-
Seats Sold	18,992	18,420	5,178	2,892	-
	Shows w/o Reserved Seats	Shows w/ Reserved Seats	Seats Left	Total Seats	Matinee	Evening	Total Sold	Pct. Sold
D-0 (Final)	205	90	8,235	11,169	-	2,934	2,934	26.27%
D-1 (Final)	399	266	39,565	60,052	5,407	15,080	20,487	34.12%
D-2 (8PM EST)	555	342	47,525	68,679	10,599	10,555	21,154	30.80%
D-3	517	317	60,698	63,799	2,154	947	3,101	4.86%
Total	1,676	1,015	156,023	203,699	18,160	29,516	47,676	23.41%

Edited February 16, 2020 by ZackM

[Eric Atreides]

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	42	8,937	0.47%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.396x of Maleficent 19 days before release (911K)
1.312x of Dolittle (1.21M)

1.000x of Sonic (3M)

[Eric Atreides]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-96 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	362	12,658	2.86%

 

Total Seats LOST Today: 2

 

Yeah, slow day today for both movies.

[XXR vs XXR]

Looks like I totally missed the Sonic train. Nice job for it. 

Ah well, just noticed Onward was on sale and so far at my theater it has sold 4 tickets across six show times.

[keysersoze123]

Invisible Man(T-11)

MTC1 - overall 661 shows 1833/139882 32306.93 26808.86

MTC2 - overall 766 shows 773/143200 9577.42 6989.71

 

I have been hearing that this movie could breakout. But no signs from PS perspective. 

[lorddemaxus]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Invisible Man(T-11)

MTC1 - overall 661 shows 1833/139882 32306.93 26808.86

MTC2 - overall 766 shows 773/143200 9577.42 6989.71

 

I have been hearing that this movie could breakout. But no signs from PS perspective. 

I guess we won't get an actually well performing horror film until Quiet Place 2. I expected that The Invisible Man would underperform though. The trailers were garbage (made the movie look like a generic horror film) and Blumhouse marketing has been weak over the past year. The only reason I'm hyped for the film is because of Leigh Whannell and Elisabeth Moss. I wouldn't have seen the movie at all if I didn't know who they were and only saw the trailers.

[ZackM]

Sonic - MTC4 Opening Weekend Seat Report: D-3
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Shows Added	6	12	9	29	96
Seats Added	1,041	1,336	725	5,941	26,352
Seats Sold	20,422	18,992	18,420	5,178	2,892
	Shows w/o Reserved Seats	Shows w/ Reserved Seats	Seats Left	Total Seats	Matinee	Evening	Total Sold	Pct. Sold
D-0 (Final)	205	90	8,235	11,169	-	2,934	2,934	26.27%
D-1 (Final)	399	266	39,565	60,052	5,407	15,080	20,487	34.12%
D-2 (Final)	555	342	44,700	68,679	10,599	13,380	23,979	34.91%
D-3 (8PM EST)	517	323	44,142	64,840	10,692	10,006	20,698	31.92%
Total	1,676	1,021	136,642	204,740	26,698	41,400	68,098	33.26%

 

 

Under indexed all weekend, but that Sunday hold is something.

[filmlover]

The Invisible Man is tracking for a $20M+ debut based on tracking so I wouldn't expect pre-sales to be impressive. If reviews/WOM are good it could have solid legs for a $60M total, which would be good news for the horror genre after all the garbage so far this year.

 

A bunch of theaters are having 3:00 showings for Onward the Saturday of that weekend (the week before it opens). One has to assume Disney's not too thrilled with the tracking numbers for the movie.

[DAJK]

18 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The Invisible Man is tracking for a $20M+ debut based on tracking so I wouldn't expect pre-sales to be impressive. If reviews/WOM are good it could have solid legs for a $60M total, which would be good news for the horror genre after all the garbage so far this year.

 

A bunch of theaters are having 3:00 showings for Onward the Saturday of that weekend (the week before it opens). One has to assume Disney's not too thrilled with the tracking numbers for the movie.

I mean, Disney HAS to realize these numbers are entirely their fault. They've got a movie coming from the most reputable animation studio in the world with two of the biggest names in Hollywood right now attached, with a unique premise and (other than sonic) a largely barren family movie landscape. 

[Inceptionzq]

So I just did a quick check of the Feb 29th showings for Onward. 118 tickets sold vs 35 as of yesterday for Thursday previews in Denver. That’ll definitely affect how Thursday looks. I wonder if it looks similar nationwide. @keysersoze123, could you run numbers for the advanced Saturday showings?

[Eric Atreides]

Onward Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	42	8,937	0.47%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.372x of Maleficent 18 days before release (855K)
1.312x of Dolittle (1.21M)

0.913x of Sonic (2.74M)

 

I'm sure some people are already predicting doomsday for this movie with 0 tickets sold 2 days in a row, but it's important to know that we're still a couple weeks away, and the advance screenings the week prior will limit much interest in buying tickets now. We'll see how this coming week turns out, though I do hope sales happen sooner rather than later.

[Eric Atreides]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-95 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	52	365	12,658	2.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

So I just did a quick check of the Feb 29th showings for Onward. 118 tickets sold vs 35 as of yesterday for Thursday previews in Denver. That’ll definitely affect how Thursday looks. I wonder if it looks similar nationwide. @keysersoze123, could you run numbers for the advanced Saturday showings?

Sure will do. i did not see lots of shows earlier. Let me check and revert back. 

 

Edit: it seems there are 2 different kind of shows in 29th. Advance screening and a marathon show. I had earlier checked for Marathon and there are very few shows for that. Anecdotally the advance screenings are doing good. But let me get the numbers. 

Edited February 17, 2020 by keysersoze123

[keysersoze123]

Onward Advanced Screening(2/29)

MTC1 - 1450/17212 5283.16 (98 shows)

MTC2 -  2678/11378 24908.25 (101 shows)

 

Marathon shows have sold 51 tickets at MTC1(3 shows) and 48 tickets at MTC2(2 shows). 

 

I hope the showcount goes up. Otherwise the numbers are small probably looking at 500K gross with advanced screenings. 

 

Edit: I would ignore $ value as some of the shows returned ticket price as $0 at MTC1. 

Edited February 17, 2020 by keysersoze123

[Porthos]

Fast & Furious 9 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-95 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	96	14687	15050*	314	2.41%

*NOTE:  A few theaters adjusted their seat maps resulting in 14 fewer seats available for purchase region wide.

 

Total Seats Sold This Week

49

 

Next update a week from tonight.

 

===

 

Pretty decent, relatively speaking.  Not a single zero tickets sold day (though there were a pair two ticket days along with a four ticket day) with a couple of double digit days sprinkled in for good measure. Only a matter of time before Sacto joins the zed club, but so far Han and co are fighting the good fight.

Edited February 17, 2020 by Porthos

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/15/2020 at 2:59 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Onward Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

5

1434

0.35%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

7

1610

0.43%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
35	5	7694	0.45%	9	40

 

Sold seats removed: 3

 

Adjusted Maleficent comp on its second day of PS: 1.53M

Onward Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

6

1434

0.42%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

10

1610

0.62%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
39	4	7694	0.51%	9	40

 

Gonna hold back on comps for now since the advanced Saturday screenings are most likely affecting presales for Thursday.

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/10/2020 at 1:53 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

66

1696

3.89%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

77

1506

5.11%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST WEEK	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
283	51	10372	2.73%	9	48

 

Showings added: 1

Seats added: 114

Fast and Furious 9 Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

74

1696

4.36%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

78

1506

5.18%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST WEEK	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
297	14	10372	2.86%	9	48