The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Tinalera]

This is so surreal to experience this. With all this and production suspensions it really reminds how many movies and series are in any given time. 

[dudalb]

All of Europe is going into a Italian style  lockdown.

France already closed all places of Entertainment.

The economic ramifications of this is going to be huge.

 

[filmlover]

On 3/13/2020 at 3:26 PM, kitik said:

not a lot to look forward to over the next few weeks!!!!

 

 

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Range	Domestic Total Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Distributor
4/10/2020	Trolls: World Tour	$17,000,000 – $27,000,000	$23,500,000		$60,000,000 – $90,000,000	$81,000,000		Universal
4/17/2020	My Spy	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$6,500,000		$15,000,000 – $35,000,000	$21,000,000		STX
4/24/2020	Antebellum	$9,000,000 – $14,000,000	$12,000,000		$20,000,000 – $40,000,000	$34,000,000		Lionsgate
4/24/2020	Bad Trip		n/a			n/a		United Artists Releasing
5/1/2020	Black Widow	$90,000,000 – $130,000,000	$115,000,000		$220,000,000 – $320,000,000	$306,000,000		Disney / Marvel Studios
5/8/2020	Run	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$10,000,000	NEW	$20,000,000 – $30,000,000	$25,000,000	NEW	Lionsgate
5/8/2020	Run Sweetheart Run		n/a			n/a		OTL Releasing / BH Tilt / Universal

It just dawned on me that Run and Run Sweetheart Run are (were?) supposed to come out on the same weekend. If (key word being "if") everything were to return to normal over the next month or so I hope those two stick with opening on the same date because the "wrong movie!" confusion would be worth it all by itself.

[dudalb]

God, like when a movie is coming out should be the main thing we are worrying about right now.......

 

[kitik]

said the person posting on a box office board!

[filmlover]

17 minutes ago, dudalb said:

God, like when a movie is coming out should be the main thing we are worrying about right now.......

 

 

[Porthos]

19 minutes ago, dudalb said:

God, like when a movie is coming out should be the main thing we are worrying about right now.......

 

If all you think about is COVID-19 24/7, you WILL mess yourself up.  Allowing oneself to think about the trivialities of life, even for a short time, isn't exactly a bad thing.

 

In fact, I'd say it was a good thing.

 

And if that triviality is wondering about a movie schedule or making jokes about them... Well, I can think of far worse trivialities.

Edited March 14, 2020 by Porthos

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, Porthos said:

If all you think about is COVID-19 24/7, you WILL mess yourself up.  Allowing oneself to think about the trivialities of life, even for a short time, isn't exactly a bad thing.

 

In fact, I'd say it was a good thing.

 

And if that triviality is wondering about a movie schedule or making jokes about them... Well, I can think of far worse trivialities.

All news from the industry in the immediate future is gonna be of the "how is COVID-19 affecting it today" variety for sure. One would hope during this unplanned time off they would learn to stop making stupid scheduling decisions like putting two movies with essentially the same title on the same weekend (although it shouldn't be that hard to predict which movie would win: one has Sarah Paulson, and the other doesn't) once we officially return to the mundane activities of everyday life but that's probably asking too much.

[keysersoze123]

Since we are not tracking anything at this point, this thread must be only used to post updates from tracking perspective. We have a COVID-19 thread to monitor overall situation. 

 

It was ok to bring up COVID-19 while we were tracking AQP2 or Mulan as that was a huge factor in BO potential. but now that is out of the window. So I would say let us move all discussions to the right thread. 

 

its very depressing situation but I am with Porthos on not letting it overwhelm us emotionally. 

[john2000]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Since we are not tracking anything at this point, this thread must be only used to post updates from tracking perspective. We have a COVID-19 thread to monitor overall situation. 

 

It was ok to bring up COVID-19 while we were tracking AQP2 or Mulan as that was a huge factor in BO potential. but now that is out of the window. So I would say let us move all discussions to the right thread. 

 

its very depressing situation but I am with Porthos on not letting it overwhelm us emotionally. 

a cats re release could help with that

Edited March 15, 2020 by john2000

[Eric Duncan]

@TMP It took a lot longer than I thought, but here's my post-Roni schedule (don't think I missed anything). It was pretty hard to really find a good opening for each movie. I do not envy the scheduling department. I also didn't really have a good idea on where to put the non-Disney studios' untitled movies that are in production. They're a lot harder to pin down.

 

2020

July 3: Trolls World Tour

July 10: A Quiet Place Part II

July 24: Artemis Fowl

 

August 7: Woman in the Window, Peter Rabbit 2

August 14: Mulan, Malignant, The Lovebirds

August 28: The Empty Man

 

September 11: Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It

September 18: New Mutants, Without Remorse

September 25: One and Only Ivan, Saints of Newark

 

October 2: Morbius

October 9: Scoob!

October 16: The King's Man, Candyman

 

November 6: Black Widow, Minions 2

November 13: Deep Water

November 20: In the Heights

November 25: Soul, King Richard

 

December 11: Jungle Cruise

December 18: West Side Story, Wonder Woman 1984, Sponge Out of Water

December 23: The Witches, The King of Staten Island

December 25: The Death on the Nile, The Tomorrow War

 

Chicago 7, Those Who Wish Me Dead, David Copperfield, and Everybody's Talking About Jamie debut in limited first. Bob's Burgers is a Hulu Original Movie

 

2021

January 8: Fatherhood

January 15: Enola Holmes, 355, Venom 2

January 22: Mortal Kombat

January 29: Clouds, Clifford the Big Red Dog

 

February 12: The Eternals

February 19: Tom and Jerry, Coming 2 America

 

March 5: Dune, Jackass 4

March 12: Raya and the Last Dragon

March 19: Snake Eyes

March 26: The Croods 2, Paranormal Activity 7

 

April 2: F9

April 9: Free Guy

April 16: Reminisce

 

May 7: Shang-Chi

May 14: Vivo

May 21: Godzilla vs. Kong

May 28: Cruella

 

June 4: Tenet

June 11: Space Jam 2

June 18: Pixar

 

July 2: Spider-Man 3, Boss Baby 2

July 16: Top Gun 2

Doctor Strange 2: July 30

 

August 6: The Suicide Squad

August 13: Fear Street Part 1

 

September 10: Fear Street Part 2

September 17: Mortal Kombat, The Bad Guys

September 24: Elvis, Hotel Transylvania 4

 

October 1: The Batman

October 15: Hamilton, Halloween Kills

October 22: Fear Street Part 3

 

November: Thor 4

November 19: Matrix 4

November 24: WDAS

 

December 17: Avatar 2

December 22: Black Adam, Sing 2

December 25: Mission: Impossible 7

 

2022

January 14: Sesame Street

February 18: Ant-Man 3

March 4: Pixar

March 25: The Little Mermaid

 

April 1: Minecraft

April 8: Into the Spider-Verse 2

 

May 6: Black Panther 2

May 20: DC Super Pets, John Wick 4

May 27: Pinocchio

 

June 10: Jurassic World: Dominion

June 17: Pixar

 

July 1: Shazam! 2

July 8: Shrunk

July 29: Captain Marvel 2

 

August 12: Peter Pan & Wendy

 

October 7: Guardians 3

October 14: Halloween Ends

 

November 4: Aladdin 2

November 18: The Flash

November 23: WDAS

 

December 16: Aquaman 2

December 23: National Treasure 3

 

Anybody else want to make their own post-Roni mock schedule, please feel free to do so. We've got nothing else to do in this thread

[lorddemaxus]

1 minute ago, Eric Lightfoot said:

October 1: The Batman

The Batman Venice Film Fest Golden Lion Winner confirmed?

[dudalb]

Variety report on the impact of the virus on show business in general:

 

 

https://variety.com/2020/film/box-office/box-office-coronavirus-moviegoing-north-america-1203534698/

 

 

Edited March 15, 2020 by dudalb

[filmlover]

Jungle Cruise around Christmas seems perfect tbh. It looks like the kind of warm weather entertainment that could work just as well in a holiday climate.

[stealthyfrog]

13 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Jungle Cruise around Christmas seems perfect tbh. It looks like the kind of warm weather entertainment that could work just as well in a holiday climate.

Yeah it could be Disney's Jumanji. Seems like a solid crowd-pleaser that might benefit from being one of the first movies once people are more comfortable going out in public again.

[lorddemaxus]

11 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Jungle Cruise around Christmas seems perfect tbh. It looks like the kind of warm weather entertainment that could work just as well in a holiday climate.

Also the Jumanji vibes probably helps.

[Movies4Life]

I think Artemis Fowl will get dumped on Disney+.

[TLK]

There doesn't seem to be much interest in Jungle Cruise based on trailer views. Disney has bigger movies that they can slot in the December holiday frame.

[dudalb]

Mayor of New York City announced all theaters will be closed as of Tuesday.

This is just the beginning.

[stealthyfrog]

Even if some theaters were to remain open very few people would go. Sad times for box office watchers