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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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I don't have any Japanese film number, but Baahubali 2 being a non-Hollywood film Thursday previews were

AMC - 295k on 103 locs
Cinemark - 940k on 122 locs
REGAL - 344k on 82 locs
Rest - 395k on 80 locs

 

That was however probably because more shows were given to Cinemark as they have higher revenue share % at 60-65% while AMC was just 49% which is something TFA got.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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11 minutes ago, Menor said:

Pretty sure for DS OD is Thursday, then D2 Friday and so on. 

I can’t see anyway other way to interpret the posts that makes sense, But... it’s not 😆   
 

I mean, this is just a normal Friday opener with Thursday previews, right? Or is Thursday actually the OD?

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39 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

MTC 1 and 2 will probably be around 60-70% depending on final screencount for DS. If it get to 250K, that will be $3.3-3.4M Approx, $4.75-5.75M depending on release size, perfectly fine.

 

Expecting
5.5
4.5
5.5
3.5 // 19 weekend

As long as its final gross is higher than 20, I think it is a win.

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Just now, WandaLegion said:

I can’t see anyway other way to interpret the posts that makes sense, But... it’s not 😆   
 

I mean, this is just a normal Friday opener with Thursday previews, right? Or is Thursday actually the OD?

Well technically it is just like pre-CoVID Thurs preview but many times non-Hollywood films Thursday are reported as a separate day instead of rolling them in Friday like Hollywood studios do. Donno how Funimation rolls. Need to check.

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1 minute ago, PKMLover said:

As long as its final gross is higher than 20, I think it is a win.

it is a win as long as its higher than 6-7M weekend, which is well already happened. so already a win.

prior to pre-sales my expectations were $10-15M full run.

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3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Well technically it is just like pre-CoVID Thurs preview but many times non-Hollywood films Thursday are reported as a separate day instead of rolling them in Friday like Hollywood studios do. Donno how Funimation rolls. Need to check.

Ah, okay. Interesting. For purposes of the fantasy movie league it will be quite important whether the official weekend figure is FSS or TFSS — though I guess I can just make it one way or the other by fiat if there’s any uncertainty.   
 

 

Anything  north of 5 for previews would be pretty great imo. I mean even 4M previews*3.3 prev:wknd would get it a figure that would be really strong for anime films even under normal conditions, and far above what I expected 10 days ago.

 

Edit: Hah, jinx 😉

Edited by WandaLegion
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Unless there's some issue, DS has $11.8K sales on Village East Cinema in NY on 7 shows. So I suppose it is doing well outside 2 MTCs, but then I guess this cinema is one of those old prestigious theaters, so may be selling better than others.

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On 3/27/2021 at 3:28 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla vs Kong(T-4)

MTC1 -    61608/457533 851782.00 2482 shows(322 theatres) +6581 //238 shows have not sold any tickets and 299 sellouts

MTC2 -    59274/458154 665407.40 3073 shows(271 293 theatres) +5849 //443 shows have not sold any tickets and 227 sellouts

 

PWP MTC1 has 799 shows sold out and MTC2 has 1451 shows sold out for the opening day. 

I used to track theatre counts for MTC2 through the theatre name but that is not accurate as there are duplicates. So I updated theatre count using theatre id which is more accurate. On MTC1 the theatre count is low relative to theatres I am tracking is either due to theatre not having reserved seating or  its open friday to sunday.  You will see more theatres for weekend shows. 

 

On 4/18/2021 at 2:23 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Mortal Kombat(T-5)

MTC1 - 35245/483505 503918.00 2344 shows(424 theatres) // 66 sellouts

MTC2 - 34293/416785 420226.57 2671 shows(294 theatres) // 52 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer Day 2

MTC1 - 48091/271269 620763.00 1759 shows(358 theatres) // 273 sellouts

MTC2 -  37050/181304 503914.33 1377 shows(268 theatres) // 173 sellouts

 

Slightly over day and half of data. 

 

 

Mortal Kombat(T-4) //Friday 4/23

MTC1 - 45431/530769 638335.00 2680 shows(428 theatres) +10186 // 97 sellouts

MTC2 - 41746/424655 510035.04 2714 shows(294 theatres) +7453 // 71 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer Day 2 (Friday 4/23)

MTC1 - 56019/362050 723140.00 2414 shows(370 theatres) +7928 // 302 sellouts

MTC2 - 43826/218606 595180.29 1689 shows (274 theatres) +6776 // 173 sellouts

 

Good increases for both. MK is having stronger sales and will overtake by show day. Anyway it has PWP as well which gives it a big advantage. DS had good increase in show count at MTC1 but MTC2 is still constrained. Still solid numbers. 

Edited by keysersoze123
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On 4/18/2021 at 10:40 PM, Eric Bombay said:

Mortal Kombat Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting (Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 9 61 1194 6048 19.74%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 123

 

Comp

0.687x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-5 Before Release (6.60M)

 

These next few days are crucial. GvK exploded those days, and this is already losing some serious momentum comp-wise.

Mortal Kombat Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting (Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 16 82 1513 7292 20.75%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 21

Total Seats Added Today: 1,244

Total Sellouts Added Today: 7

Total Seats Sold Today: 319

 

Comp

0.701x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-4 Before Release (6.73M)

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58 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

MTC 1 and 2 will probably be around 60-70% depending on final screencount for DS. If it get to 250K, that will be $3.3-3.4M Approx, $4.75-5.75M depending on release size, perfectly fine.

 

Expecting
5.5
4.5
5.5
3.5 // 19 weekend

That is too high a ratio. Why would it do well only at MTC1&2. It seem to be doing well on most locations in MTC1/2 looking at top grossing shows. Its not skewed huge towards big markets. If that were to be true MTC2 numbers would have been mediocre. GVK did 4.4m in tracked shows at 2 MTC and final number was around 8.6m(assuming 1m PWP gross). I am expecting this to have similar ratio. 

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55 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

I feel like I can rarely tell which days keyser means with “OD” or “D2” for this movie. Is 6.5-7 tpsupposed to be the actual OD figure (Th+Fri?). Or just previews? And D2 is Saturday, but since it’s being compared with MK’s OD I guess that’s how he’s referring to Friday? So then afaik we don’t know how actual D2 (Sat) looking?   
 

Anyway 6.5 would be a nutso good preview figure, if those nums are Th only I definitely expect it will go lower as sales remain relatively tapped out. But 6.5M Th+Fr would be pretty disappointing at this point.

Sorry man. OD is opening day and D2 is day 2. Obviously I put T-3 for OD numbers. I just put numbers for DS D2 along with MK OD as that is Friday BO. 

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28 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Well technically it is just like pre-CoVID Thurs preview but many times non-Hollywood films Thursday are reported as a separate day instead of rolling them in Friday like Hollywood studios do. Donno how Funimation rolls. Need to check.

Yeah for some reason, all these anime films are released on Wed/Thu. Some even go on Tuesday. So Thursday will be counted as OD by Mojo and hence everyone else in media, though technically if it was any Hollywood film, Thursday will be rolled in Friday.

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4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@Menor / @keysersoze123 if you get time, can you check in Wednesday and Thursday PWPs. Can assume that all the extra PWPs on Thursday as compared to WED would be for DS.

I checked multiple theatres anecdotally on both MTC and I dont see an option for DS PWP. That is why I stopped checking the number. 

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2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yeah for some reason, all these anime films are released on Wed/Thu. Some even go on Tuesday. So Thursday will be counted as OD by Mojo and hence everyone else in media, though technically if it was any Hollywood film, Thursday will be rolled in Friday.

For some reason I thought we dont have previews anymore and its just OD. That is how it was for GVK. But DS thursday could be previews as shows are starting only at 7PM at few locations I checked. That makes the numbers even more impressive. 

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15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That is too high a ratio. Why would it do well only at MTC1&2

Not just do well at MTC 1 and 2 but release will be MTC 1 and 2 heavier. I am expecting 1.3-1.5k release size, as compared to 3k of GvK.

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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Not just do well at MTC 1 and 2 but release will be MTC 1 and 2 heavier. I am expecting 1.3-1.5k release size, as compared to 3k of GvK.

 

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@Shawn what is the show count/theater count for Demon Slayer. Is there any official word.

They were estimating around 2k as of late last week: https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-a-quiet-place-part-ii-and-f9-hope-to-shepherd-the-next-phase-of-global-recovery/

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