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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

I guess the Detective Pikachu hard ups had some reason to believe it might blow up then lol

Ahh the good ol’ days. 

 

Yeah one of my first thoughts when I looked that up was “damn, PDP didn’t even do  half that.” I agree with Eric that the peak (at least DOM) was late 90s.

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<script type="text/javascript" src="https://ssl.gstatic.com/trends_nrtr/2431_RC04/embed_loader.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> trends.embed.renderExploreWidget("TIMESERIES", {"comparisonItem":[{"keyword":"/g/11byz8037n","geo":"US","time":"today 5-y"},{"keyword":"/m/0k2dm","geo":"US","time":"today 5-y"}],"category":0,"property":""}, {"exploreQuery":"date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=%2Fg%2F11byz8037n,%2Fm%2F0k2dm","guestPath":"https://trends.google.com:443/trends/embed/"}); </script>

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Demon Slayer Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 450 1675 26.87%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 402 1813 22.17%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
2464 181 13055 18.87% 9 81

 

Showings added: 17

Seats added: 1488

 

The pace has been really flat for the past few days. Let's see if these new showings will help it pick up

Demon Slayer Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 503 1675 30.03%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 435 1813 23.99%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
2694 230 13433 20.06% 9 86

 

Showings added: 5

Seats added: 378

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Demon Slayer Friday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 402 1678 23.96%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 251 1321 19.00%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1763 185 9195 19.17% 9 79

 

Showings added: 29

Seats added: 2155

 

Seems yesterday was a weird blip. This pace is on track with the other days.

Demon Slayer Friday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 436 1678 25.98%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 266 1321 20.14%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1943 180 10209 19.03% 9 85

 

Showings added: 6

Seats added: 1014

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Mortal Kombat Friday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 401 2862 14.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 198 2275 8.70%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1466 280 15554 9.43% 9 87
           
$150 PWPs: 22        
$200 PWPs: 1        
$250 PWPs: 8        
$300 PWPs: 15        
Total 46        

Showings added: 10

Seats added: 818

 

GvK comp: 5.66M

 

Gaining ground on GvK, but these next couple days will be the real test. Also worth noting that MK OD has more PWPs than GvK OD, but I think MK will have a smaller share than GvK did.

Mortal Kombat Friday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 477 2862 16.67%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 255 2275 11.21%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1981 515 16711 11.85% 9 92
           
$150 PWPs: 22        
$200 PWPs: 1        
$250 PWPs: 8        
$300 PWPs: 15        
Total 46        

Showings added: 5

Seats added: 1157

 

GvK comp: 6.42M

 

MK has surpassed the pace of GvK, let's see if it can keep it up tomorrow.

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23 hours ago, Eric Bombay said:

Mortal Kombat Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting (Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 17 117 1840 10254 17.94%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 35

Total Seats Added Today: 2,962

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 327

 

Comp

0.704x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-3 Before Release (6.75M)

Mortal Kombat Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting (Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 25 118 2348 10318 22.76%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 64

Total Sellouts Added Today: 8

Total Seats Sold Today: 508

 

Comp

0.807x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-2 Before Release (7.75M)

 

Tomorrow will be crucial. GvK exploded on its final day, earning nearly 970 tickets in one day. Of course today was such a good day for MK that I guess it doesn't matter that much, so long as there's enough solid momentum

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@Eric Bombay is that 7.75M # for MK opening day? Or weekend?

 

Anyways, I feel like MK will be more pre-sale heavy than GvK, but it should be at least good for low teens it looks like. Nice.

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Demon Slayer Thursday 4/22 (T-1)

MTC1 - 73956/406129 1070205.00 2569 shows(353 Theatres) +6975// 267 sellouts

MTC2 - 76399/368843 1054656.60 3012 shows(276 Theatres) +5907 // 216 sellouts

 

Definite sign of front loading. I am not sure what to project. GVK did slightly < 2x at MTC1 and about 2.2x at MTC2. But this will not be able to go that high. May be 250K admits at this point. That would be ~ 3.5m across tracked shows. Probably tracking towards 6-6.5m thursday BO. 

 

On 3/30/2021 at 12:27 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla vs Kong (T-1)

MTC1 -  98179/514989 1285424.00 3030 shows(322 theatres) +16089 // 195 shows have not sold any tickets and 815(+205) sellouts

MTC2 -  94470/556644 1034663.48 3995 shows(293 theatres) +16943 //402 shows have not sold any tickets and 429(+101) sellouts

 

PWP MTC1 has 985(+82) sellouts while MTC2 has 1713(+101) sellouts. 

 

Show counts shot up big time. Also data is for just 20 hours and that makes it super impressive. what is missing from $ value is 145 sellouts in non reserved theaters. That could add another 200K(this is a guesstimate). So its ~ 2.5 million between the 2 MTC without PWP.  There is also another 158 non reserved shows which I cannot track. I think it will end up higher in the 2 MTC than what I thought. I am thinking 4-4.5m at this point(300K+ seats sold between the 2 MTC). But I think this will be much bigger market share as well as I am tracking lot more shows than what I did previously. Still based on the I will bump up my OD to 9-10m

 

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Demon Slayer Thursday 4/22 BO (T-2)

MTC1 - 66981/389847 978288.00 2410 shows(352 Theatres) +8098// 226 sellouts

MTC2 - 70492/349034 975425.42 2786 shows(276 Theatres) +8501

 

Good increase in show counts but its slipping off from GVK. Still overall numbers are close in $ value. I am not changing my projections at this point.  

 

 

 

 

 

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04/23 Friday BO

Mortal Kombat Friday(T-2)

MTC1 - 70213/631650 946236.00 3326 shows(426 Theatres) +14823 // 197 sellouts

MTC2 - 61400/462701 744782.21 3059 shows(294 Theatres) +11371 // 103 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer Friday

MTC1 - 71756/551543 921042.00 3733 shows(409 Theatres) +8261 // 372 sellouts

MTC2 - 57424/348689 777654.51 2984 shows(276 Theatres) +6745 // 186 sellouts

 

Really strong day for Mortal Kombat and still good PS for DS. MK will win friday BO comfortably with faster PS pace and of course it has PWP as well. 

 

On 4/20/2021 at 7:48 PM, keysersoze123 said:

4/23 Friday BO

Mortal Kombat(T-3)

MTC1 -  55390/620452 764534.00 3252 shows(429 Theatres) +9959 // 135 sellouts

MTC2 - 50029/452759 610898.53 2965 shows(294 Theatres) +8283

 

Demon Slayer Friday

MTC1 - 63495/535221 818630.00 3609 shows(407 Theatres) +7476// 326 sellouts

MTC2 - 50679/324794 686766.07 2717 shows(276 theatres) +6853

 

As I posted above, dramatic increase in show counts for DS. I expect the BO to increase at faster pace in next few days. For MK the PS is chugging along very well and  it  2984 has caught up at MTC2 at least in ticket sales. But I expect DS PS to also increase at better rate soon with increased showcount. Overall BO should see a big boost.

 

MK seem to have few shows on thursday at MTC2(none at MTC1). Its at 647/17075 6158.22 103 shows(19 theatres). Almost no impact to overall OD BO. 

 

 

 

 

 

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04/24 Saturday BO

Mortal Kombat Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 - 35890/698748 447694.00 3674 shows (427 Theatres) +6751 // 71 sellouts

MTC2 - 35029/532265 414348.44 3530 shows(294 Theatres) +5611 // 35 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer Saturday

MTC1 - 66867/614677 859803.00 4113 shows(410 Theatres) +6566 // 210 sellouts

MTC2 - 55808/417962 759488.40 3368 shows(276 Theatres) +4344 // 151 sellouts

 

Saturday PS is still muted but DS is still far ahead though daily pace of MK is slightly better. 

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

4/24 Saturday BO

Mortal Kombat 

MTC1 - 29139/675254 373666.00 3544 shows(420 Theatres) 

MTC2 - 29418/527567 347920.26 3488 shows(294 Theatres)

 

Demon Slayer 

MTC1 - 60301/591297 779539.00 3914 shows(398 Theatres) 

MTC2 -  51464/394560 699913.28 3145 shows(275 Theatres)

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Is there any update if any new thursday screening showed up for MK?

That is too negligible to have any effect on BO. Its only at MTC2 and I see only 799/18115 7356.19 115 shows(19 Theatres). 

 

 

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8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

04/24 Saturday BO

Mortal Kombat Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 - 35890/698748 447694.00 3674 shows (427 Theatres) +6751 // 71 sellouts

MTC2 - 35029/532265 414348.44 3530 shows(294 Theatres) +5611 // 35 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer Saturday

MTC1 - 66867/614677 859803.00 4113 shows(410 Theatres) +6566 // 210 sellouts

MTC2 - 55808/417962 759488.40 3368 shows(276 Theatres) +4344 // 151 sellouts

 

Saturday PS is still muted but DS is still far ahead though daily pace of MK is slightly better. 

 

Do you have infor for Sunday? 

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Just now, PKMLover said:

Do you have infor for Sunday? 

 

Should not matter. Sunday drop will be within norm. Saturday PS provides some info on if it will be frontloaded or not. MK is definitely showing signs for frontloading. 

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11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Should not matter. Sunday drop will be within norm. Saturday PS provides some info on if it will be frontloaded or not. MK is definitely showing signs for frontloading. 

I see. So in normal condition, saturday will jump from friday or at least stay flat but MK presale for saturday is less than 1/2 of its friday. 

What is the normal drop for sunday? 

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IMO going for $5.5M previews but Friday def now looks like will beat Thu. 45 more REGAL theaters opening will reduce MTC 1 and MTC 2 ratio. Can see Fri hit $6-6.5M. Similarly Saturday seems uber strong. 

@WandaLegion you may get that number you said.

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9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Mortal Kombat is just very strong. Too strong. I can even see $8M Friday from here if walk-ins are good. Def 20M weekend, may be even 23.

What if its Saturday drop 40- 50% from Friday? The presale of Sat is around 1/2 of Fri and it has 3 days OW so Sat is supposed to be its biggest day?  

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2 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

What if its Saturday drop 40- 50% from Friday? The presale of Sat is around 1/2 of Fri and it has 3 days OW so Sat is supposed to be its biggest day?  

I usually dont look at SAT PS, as SAT PS grow a lot more on Friday than Fri grow on Thur. Beside PSm increases, so its not new that SAT PS is low but Final gross is more. I will at least expect it to be Flat.

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11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I usually dont look at SAT PS, as SAT PS grow a lot more on Friday than Fri grow on Thur. Beside PSm increases, so its not new that SAT PS is low but Final gross is more. I will at least expect it to be Flat.

What about the Sun drop you expect for these 2 movies? Based on the current trend? 

Can DS Sat jump from Fri?

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