Jump to content

grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

Recommended Posts

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

You sir gave me a mini heart-attack there, thinking OMG did it bottled to just 140K MTC 1 and MTC 2 on Thursday. Then I read Saturday and took sigh of relief.

That is why I explicitly mention BO day/date as someone expressed confusion when I mentioned OD/D2/D3. That said there appears to be limited walk ups today. Its looking quite front loaded :-( I ought to have realized since all shows are 7PM or later, with strong PS there is limited potential to add final day sales. GVK was not just after 7PM. There were shows through the day. 

 

I will update thursday number shortly 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



22 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

04/24 Saturday BO

Mortal Kombat(T-2)

MTC1 - 48051/701336 585391.00 3692 shows(428 Theatres) +12241 // 114 sellouts

MTC2 - 44867/537557 529837.66 3566 shows(294 Theatres) +9838 // 53 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer Saturday

MTC1 - 76665/616580 983409.00 4133 shows(410 Theatres) +8798 // 268 sellouts 

MTC2 - 63636/427943 866571.60 3471 shows(276 Theatres) +7828 // 168 sellouts

 

Great increase for MK and good for DS. But DS is still far ahead of MK. I dont see how it can catch up. 

 

 

It's down about 28k tickets at MTC1 and 19k at MTC2. I expect it will gain well over 10k at each just from tomorrow's PS. Walk-ins will be much stronger as well for MK. I think it will comfortably surpass DS on Saturday as well. 

Edited by Menor
  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Demon Slayer Thursday(Final Update)

MTC1 - 91470/418388 1302986.00 2691 shows(354 Theatres) +17514 // 389 sellouts

MTC2 - 91947/390643 1261195.93 3257 shows(276 Theatres) +15548 // 254 sellouts

 

Its ticket sales were highly PS driven and final few days had little boost. Of course shows started only at 7PM and so for previews this is not bad. But its disappointing considering how strong PS looked few days ago. Still Friday definitely will increase but now I think MK will win the weekend even with Thursday previews for DS. I am thinking ~ 4.5-4.7m Thursday for now. Sorry guys for setting too high expectations. 

On 4/21/2021 at 8:19 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Demon Slayer Thursday 4/22 (T-1)

MTC1 - 73956/406129 1070205.00 2569 shows(353 Theatres) +6975// 267 sellouts

MTC2 - 76399/368843 1054656.60 3012 shows(276 Theatres) +5907 // 216 sellouts

 

Definite sign of front loading. I am not sure what to project. GVK did slightly < 2x at MTC1 and about 2.2x at MTC2. But this will not be able to go that high. May be 250K admits at this point. That would be ~ 3.5m across tracked shows. Probably tracking towards 6-6.5m thursday BO. 

 

 

 

 

On 3/31/2021 at 9:43 PM, keysersoze123 said:

GVK OD Final Number

MTC1 - 190839/590028 2278435.00 3756 shows

MTC2 - 204241/671478 2130360.57 5109 shows

 

Just from the tracked shows we have 4.41 million. I think another 500K from non reserved shows from both the MTC. That would add another 1100-1200 shows. But just extrapolating from tracked shows I am thinking 8.5-9m OD(This is still a guess). This is not including PWP. I saw around 2850 PWP between 2 MTC but my data for MTC1 wont be complete as last update was yesterday afternoon and they removed the PWP shows from same day shows. So there could have been another 50 shows if there were late bookings. Roughly around 600K between 2 MTC. But not all of them may be for GVK. Deadline reported 10K overall booked but that is for entire week. So take it with a grain of salt. 

 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 4
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/21/2021 at 2:53 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Mortal Kombat Friday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 477 2862 16.67%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 255 2275 11.21%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1981 515 16711 11.85% 9 92
           
$150 PWPs: 22        
$200 PWPs: 1        
$250 PWPs: 8        
$300 PWPs: 15        
Total 46        

Showings added: 5

Seats added: 1157

 

GvK comp: 6.42M

 

MK has surpassed the pace of GvK, let's see if it can keep it up tomorrow.

Mortal Kombat Friday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 714 2862 24.95%  

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 408 2275 17.93%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 31ish HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
3285 1304 16871 19.47% 9 95
           
$150 PWPs: 22        
$200 PWPs: 1        
$250 PWPs: 8        
$300 PWPs: 15        
Total 46        

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 160

 

GvK comp: 6.61M

 

Well MK didn't beat GvK over the same timeframe, but it still did really well and increased the comp.

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites



4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Demon Slayer Thursday(Final Update)

MTC1 - 91470/418388 1302986.00 2691 shows(354 Theatres) +17514 // 389 sellouts

MTC2 - 91947/390643 1261195.93 3257 shows(276 Theatres) +15548 // 254 sellouts

 

Its ticket sales were highly PS driven and final few days had little boost. Of course shows started only at 7PM and so for previews this is not bad. But its disappointing considering how strong PS looked few days ago. Still Friday definitely will increase but now I think MK will win the weekend even with Thursday previews for DS. I am thinking ~ 4.5-4.7m Thursday for now. Sorry guys for setting too high expectations. 

 

 

Maybe it is time to unleash RT law, MK did 54% on RT after 103 reviews.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



6 minutes ago, Menor said:

It's down about 28k tickets at MTC1 and 19k at MTC2. I expect it will gain well over 10k at each just from tomorrow's PS. Walk-ins will be much stronger as well for MK. I think it will comfortably surpass DS on Saturday as well. 

Yeah the day-of sales can overwhelm even a substantial % PS lead, which DS probably won’t even have. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4.5*4 or so would be a very good debut, pretty in line with more conservative expectations this week and vastly above optimistic ones from two weeks ago. MK really finishing strong. Will be a nice overall weekend for the market. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



11 minutes ago, Menor said:

It's down about 28k tickets at MTC1 and 19k at MTC2. I expect it will gain well over 10k at each just from tomorrow's PS. Walk-ins will be much stronger as well for MK. I think it will comfortably surpass DS on Saturday as well. 

I agree. I posted it before seeing final day sales for DS thursday. But I hope DS does better tomorrow. DS Friday PS today was better than DS Thursday PS yesterday. Plus its expanding in more theatres on friday(some still operate only fri-sun). 

 

Thinking MK - 25m OW(Its PS seem too skewed towards OD and its looking like saturday could stay flat or drop) and DS - 20m(including thursday). But let us wait until tomorrow to be more accurate. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



26 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Demon Slayer Thursday(Final Update)

MTC1 - 91470/418388 1302986.00 2691 shows(354 Theatres) +17514 // 389 sellouts

MTC2 - 91947/390643 1261195.93 3257 shows(276 Theatres) +15548 // 254 sellouts

 

Its ticket sales were highly PS driven and final few days had little boost. Of course shows started only at 7PM and so for previews this is not bad. But its disappointing considering how strong PS looked few days ago. Still Friday definitely will increase but now I think MK will win the weekend even with Thursday previews for DS. I am thinking ~ 4.5-4.7m Thursday for now. Sorry guys for setting too high expectations. 

 

 

All good, these kinds of fan heavy films are hard to predict.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

:hahaha::hahaha:

 

https://deadline.com/2021/04/mortal-kombat-demon-slayer-box-office-battle-1234741769/

 

Current industry projections indicate $8M-$10M for Demon Slayer versus an estimated $10M-$12M start for Mortal Kombat at 3,073 theaters (a pandemic high in regards to bookings). 

In hindsight, were good projections for OD for both.👍

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites







2 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

so domestic box office is now able to accommodate a 30m opener like GvK and MK+DS. AQP2 will challenge 50m mark .

Cruella on same weekend. Should take it well above 50

Link to comment
Share on other sites



39 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

IMO 4-4.25M Thursday for DS. Weekend will probably be $20M. 4.25 5.75 6.75 3.5 = 20.25
 

MK will be extremely ps loaded to miss $10M OD. 10 10-11 5-6 = 25-27

Now hope that the US can pull a 2x legs, can it? All other markets seem to be able to do this.

Link to comment
Share on other sites





3 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

Now hope that the US can pull a 2x legs, can it? All other markets seem to be able to do this.

But remember this opening weekend isn't a complete opening without Canada. If situation improve, Canada may allow theater reopening in full swing late-May or June, that could provide an one-off big gain in DS later run, should 2x isn't a pipe dream at all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



I think is also good to remember that the legs during this pandemic behave different than the legs before the pandemic. Due to the lack of releases the movies are not having the drops it would've been expected during normal times, and both MK and DS will have the next 3 weeks pretty much empty until the first actual major movie come out, with pretty much only each other as an actual competitor.

Edited by ThatWaluigiDude
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.