The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

9M will be less than 50% drop from true FSS. That's just insane if happens for the genre.

[charlie Jatinder]

I wonder how much business is drive in USA and everywhere else due to more re-watches by fans in absence of newer films and lower competition.

 

Usually one would have one major new release every week, so someone going to watch one film a week may go to newer film, while in current scenario, there aren't a lot of new releases.

 

Also Page 2000. Congrats everyone.

[titanic2187]

 

Apr 26, 2021	-	$1,738,303	-66%	1,605	$1,083	$22,883,103	4
Apr 27, 2021	-	$1,838,162	+6%	1,605	$1,145	$24,816,444	5
Apr 29, 2021	-	$1,348,206		1,247	$1,081	$27,705,843	7

 

Apr 28 should be 1,541,193 

Edited April 30, 2021 by titanic2187

[PKMLover]

9 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

 

Apr 26, 2021	-	$1,738,303	-66%	1,605	$1,083	$22,883,103	4
Apr 27, 2021	-	$1,838,162	+6%	1,605	$1,145	$24,816,444	5
Apr 29, 2021	-	$1,348,206		1,247	$1,081	$27,705,843	7

 

Apr 26 should be 1,541,193 

Demon Slayer total theaters waa dropped on Thursday too, so if we go with average money per theater, Thursday is the same as Monday. 

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

 

Apr 26, 2021	-	$1,738,303	-66%	1,605	$1,083	$22,883,103	4
Apr 27, 2021	-	$1,838,162	+6%	1,605	$1,145	$24,816,444	5
Apr 29, 2021	-	$1,348,206		1,247	$1,081	$27,705,843	7

 

Apr 26 should be 1,541,193 

You mean Apr 28, right? Something weird with the Th TC

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

You mean Apr 28, right? Something weird with the Th TC

pretty normal. theater count changes during weekdays for film. for Hollywood films, website like mojo will keep using same count as was reported for  weekend, while actual theaters may be 100-150 less.

 

Non studio distributor will usually report theatre count with gross for that day.

 

quite possibly theater count on Monday Tuesday is also not 1605. That's just The Numbers putting it probably.

Edited April 30, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Tinalera]

6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I wonder how much business is drive in USA and everywhere else due to more re-watches by fans in absence of newer films and lower competition.

 

Usually one would have one major new release every week, so someone going to watch one film a week may go to newer film, while in current scenario, there aren't a lot of new releases.

 

Also Page 2000. Congrats everyone.

In a way I wonder if this is weirdly replicating WAY back when theatres were only one a screen (before any sort of home video was a thing)  and a there wasn't a new movie ever week, so people would repeat views of a movie. You were only seeing your movie at home when it finally came on TV months or more later.

 

I think there is some definite "hey we can actually see movies again in theatres lets do again". Movie going is being an "event" right now, and people just want to get away from the covid world for a couple of hours.

[keysersoze123]

9 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

9M will be less than 50% drop from true FSS. That's just insane if happens for the genre.

I would say that is unlikely as well. Last week DS had inflated ticket rates. I dont see that now. Friday DS is looking at close to 70% barring huge late night walk ups which I have not seen in post pandemic BO. MK is looking at 80% or bigger drop from last friday. Bottom line is BO is not interesting at this point. 

 

DS Should have better saturday but sunday hold wont be anything like last weekend. I think even 60% drop would be excellent.Still it should beat MK comfortably barring huge PWP for MK which is unlikely in 2nd weekend.  

Edited May 1, 2021 by keysersoze123

[charlie Jatinder]

I assume 70% drop there means in gross and you are assuming the usual higher walkins in 2nd week than 1st week. @keysersoze123

 

70% drop will mean around $1.65-1.7M Friday, perfectly normal for the genre and considering there were only 4 sellouts in NY in morning as compared to 10 on Monday, its not at all surprising either. As you said, Sat will have higher growth than last week but Sunday will be dropping more as well. At this point, I will expect 2.8-3M Sat and 2M Sun for $6.5M ish 2nd weekend. Can however also see it doing 2.4 Sat and 1.7 Sun for 5.8M. In all 5.8-6.5M weekend probably. 

[PKMLover]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I assume 70% drop there means in gross and you are assuming the usual higher walkins in 2nd week than 1st week. @keysersoze123

 

70% drop will mean around $1.65-1.7M Friday, perfectly normal for the genre and considering there were only 4 sellouts in NY in morning as compared to 10 on Monday, its not at all surprising either. As you said, Sat will have higher growth than last week but Sunday will be dropping more as well. At this point, I will expect 2.8-3M Sat and 2M Sun for $6.5M ish 2nd weekend. Can however also see it doing 2.4 Sat and 1.7 Sun for 5.8M. In all 5.8-6.5M weekend probably. 

So..... this movie is still not a special case for this genre in the US? I thought it would somehow broke out and be a different case comparing the privous anime movies considering the amouth of positive wom. Or maybe this is already a limit for this genre in the US regardless of the quality of the movie or great wom.... anime audience is still not that high in the US? 

[keysersoze123]

4/30 BO

Mortal Kombat

MTC1 - 30424/432697 337291.00 2523 shows(427 Theatres)

MTC2 - 34075/350654 376478.51 2585 shows(294 Theatres)

 

Demon Slayer

MTC1 - 42519/413652 482688.00 2586 shows(415 Theatres)

MTC2 -30375/305218 393421.18 2332 shows(277 Theatres)

 

One word YAWN. I guess BO is going to be boring until next big release. 

On 4/23/2021 at 8:05 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Friday BO(Final Update)

Mortal Kombat

MTC1 - 176827/684102 2076780.00 3938 shows(429 Theatres) +80024// 1049 sellouts

MTC2 - 148634/500216 1700656.85 3338 shows (294 Theatres) +66363 // 476 sellouts

 

Demon Slayer

MTC1 - 127449/574831 1621027.00 4066 shows(409 Theatres) +41072 // 791 sellouts

MTC2 - 96771/377470 1295967.90 3275 shows(276 Theatres) +28260 // 393 sellouts

 

I am not anticipating huge late ticket sales. But this should be 95%+ of final number. I am thinking flat 10m friday for MK if it has similar PWP numbers to GVK friday, To be conservative I would say 9.5m friday for MK. I am also hoping for lower MTC ratio for DS and it gets around to 5.7-6m friday. but this movie will be hard to project. 

 

 

  

 

[PKMLover]

20 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

4/30 BO

Mortal Kombat

MTC1 - 30424/432697 337291.00 2523 shows(427 Theatres)

MTC2 - 34075/350654 376478.51 2585 shows(294 Theatres)

 

Demon Slayer

MTC1 - 42519/413652 482688.00 2586 shows(415 Theatres)

MTC2 -30375/305218 393421.18 2332 shows(277 Theatres)

 

One word YAWN. I guess BO is going to be boring until next big release. 

  

 

DS fri = 32% last week = $1.8M

[charlie Jatinder]

So both around $1.7M. I suppose MK could be perhaps $1.75M.

[PKMLover]

20 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

So both around $1.7M. I suppose MK could be perhaps $1.75M.

DS has more Imax this weekend comparing to last fri, can it make the $ higher than last friday in percent. 

 

If this weekend it drops 70%, still in line with Australia, so may have the same 2.2x legs ??

Edited May 1, 2021 by PKMLover

[titanic2187]

Omg, this is terrible.....looking to drop at least 70% in its 2nd weekend. 

-

(-)

Mortal Kombat

Warner Bros.

$1,850,000

-80%

3,114

$594

$29,702,000

8

[ThatWaluigiDude]

Any information on the saturday?

[keysersoze123]

I am not seeing a big increase today for either though DS will do better. It will comfortably sell more tickets but morning tickets are cheaper. 

[Boxofficerules]

How’s Spiral looking? Do you think the fact that it’s not coming to VoD will help it and Quite Place 2 out?

[misterpepp]

I'd be interested in how things are looking for Spiral and Wrath of Man. Hopefully the later can do better than other R-rated thrillers like Unhinged, The Little Things, Let Him Go, etc. (Nobody might also be a good comp, though I'm not sure yet if it'll hit that high).

Edited May 2, 2021 by datpepper

[keysersoze123]

Roughly DS is looking at 2.45m and MK at 2.55m. 

 

Guys I am taking a break. I will come back when some big movie like next fast movie opens.