The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

On 5/15/2021 at 10:59 PM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	152	453	14577	3.11%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp

0.457x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-12 Before Release (4.43M)

1.420x of Mortal Kombat T-12 Before Release (12.91M)

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	152	518	14577	3.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 65

 

Comp

0.466x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-11 Before Release (4.52M)

1.146x of Mortal Kombat T-11 Before Release (10.42M)

[Eric Duncan]

On 5/15/2021 at 11:02 PM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

Cruella Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	87	7377	1.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

Cruella Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	107	7377	1.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

[Eric Duncan]

On 5/15/2021 at 11:05 PM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	38	4426	0.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	48	4426	1.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-12 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	5	71	2472	3061	589	19.24%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2*
Total Seats Added Today	n/a
Total Seats Sold Today	44

* NOTE: The two new showings added were from a theater which is non-reserved seating, and thus has no seat count available.

 

T-12 Comp      VERY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
GvK	57.07		227	1032		3/101	3138/4170	24.75%		5.48m

NOTE: Tickets have been on sale for five days longer for AQP Part II than GvK had been on sale locally this far from their respective premieres. 

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)

8

 

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Regal ($199)	1
Adjusted Seats	22

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25 - rounded down], 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25 - rounded down], and 22 seats for Regal [$199/$9.25 - rounded up]

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism for Cinemark and Cinema West in this post.  However, it appears that we can track Regal PWPs to the movie purchased, as mentioned in this later post.

 

SECOND NOTE:  Since A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella are both debuting on the same day and both have PWPs available for purchase, I am not approximating the tickets sold at Cinemark and Cinema West locations for either movie on this track.  For the record, however, 8 PWP showings were purchased before tickets for Cruella  went on sale, for an approximation of 128 tickets.

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	71	2438	3061	623	20.35%

 

Total Sellouts Removed Today	1
Total Seats Sold Today	34

* NOTE: The two new showings added were from a theater which is non-reserved seating, and thus has no seat count available.

 

T-11 Comp      VERY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
GvK	50.82		194	1226		3/101	2944/4170	29.40%		4.88m

NOTE: Tickets have been on sale for five days longer for AQP Part II than GvK had been on sale locally this far from their respective premieres. 

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)

8

 

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Regal ($199)	1
Adjusted Seats	22

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25 - rounded down], 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25 - rounded down], and 22 seats for Regal [$199/$9.25 - rounded up]

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism for Cinemark and Cinema West in this post.  However, it appears that we can track Regal PWPs to the movie purchased, as mentioned in this later post.

 

SECOND NOTE:  Since A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella are both debuting on the same day and both have PWPs available for purchase, I am not approximating the tickets sold at Cinemark and Cinema West locations for either movie on this track.  For the record, however, 8 PWP showings were purchased before tickets for Cruella  went on sale, for an approximation of 128 tickets.

[xiazhi]

On 5/14/2021 at 11:32 PM, titanic2187 said:

It will be very saddening if AQP2 failed to beat GvK's opening. It is a full theatrical release with higher capacity allowance and theater count  , combined with the fact that AQP1 made more money than KOTM and 2 months worth of progress in term of vaccination and reduction in outbreak.  

 

If all those improvement don't warrant a at least 40m 3 days opening (Ideally 50m), I don't know what else need to be done.  

AQP2 may fail to open with 50m under normal circumstances. You picked the wrong movie.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

A Quiet Place 2 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

86

1594

5.40%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

48

1415

3.39%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
294	21	12828	2.29%	14	70
$150 PWPs:	3
$200 PWPs:	1
$250 PWPs:	1
$300 PWPs:	1
Total	6

 

A Quiet Place 2 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

87

1594

5.46%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

52

1415

3.67%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
313	19	12828	2.44%	14	70
$150 PWPs:	3
$200 PWPs:	1
$250 PWPs:	1
$300 PWPs:	1
Total	6

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Cruella Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

13

654

1.99%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

34

749

4.54%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
81	19	4317	1.88%	11	34
$150 PWPs:	3
$200 PWPs:	1
$250 PWPs:	1
$300 PWPs:	1
Total	6

Cruella Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

13

654

1.99%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

34

749

4.54%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
88	7	4843	1.82%	12	36
$150 PWPs:	3
$200 PWPs:	1
$250 PWPs:	1
$300 PWPs:	1
Total	6

 

Showings added: 2

Seats added: 526

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	152	518	14577	3.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 65

 

Comp

0.466x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-11 Before Release (4.52M)

1.146x of Mortal Kombat T-11 Before Release (10.42M)

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	162	573	15129	3.79%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 10

Total Seats Added Today: 552

 

Comp

0.499x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-10 Before Release (4.84M)

0.986x of Mortal Kombat T-10 Before Release (8.96M)

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

Cruella Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	107	7377	1.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

Cruella Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	86	122	7854	1.55%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 7

Total Seats Added Today: 477

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

[Eric Duncan]

On 5/16/2021 at 11:13 PM, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	48	4426	1.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	50	4426	1.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

[Legion Again]

23 minutes ago, Eric the Jigsaw Killer said:

Comp

0.499x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-10 Before Release (4.84M)

0.986x of Mortal Kombat T-10 Before Release (8.96M)

💀

 

Spoiler

Neither of these are ideal comps of course, we’re just working with what we’ve got from recent circumstances. Fully expecting AQP to pick up in the home stretch. But, still, yeesh.

 

[lorddemaxus]

Did @keysersoze123 say if he was going to track any of the memorial day releases?

[Porthos]

On 5/16/2021 at 11:51 PM, Porthos said:

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	71	2438	3061	623	20.35%

 

Total Sellouts Removed Today	1
Total Seats Sold Today	34

* NOTE: The two new showings added were from a theater which is non-reserved seating, and thus has no seat count available.

 

T-11 Comp      VERY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
GvK	50.82		194	1226		3/101	2944/4170	29.40%		4.88m

NOTE: Tickets have been on sale for five days longer for AQP Part II than GvK had been on sale locally this far from their respective premieres. 

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)

8

 

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Regal ($199)	1
Adjusted Seats	22

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25 - rounded down], 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25 - rounded down], and 22 seats for Regal [$199/$9.25 - rounded up]

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism for Cinemark and Cinema West in this post.  However, it appears that we can track Regal PWPs to the movie purchased, as mentioned in this later post.

 

SECOND NOTE:  Since A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella are both debuting on the same day and both have PWPs available for purchase, I am not approximating the tickets sold at Cinemark and Cinema West locations for either movie on this track.  For the record, however, 8 PWP showings were purchased before tickets for Cruella  went on sale, for an approximation of 128 tickets.

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	74	2458	3129	671	21.44%

 

Total Showings Added Today	3
Total Seats Added Today	68
Total Seats Sold Today	48

* NOTE: The two new showings added were from a theater which is non-reserved seating, and thus has no seat count available.

 

T-10 Comp      FAIRLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
GvK	47.42		189	1415		7/101	2787/4202	33.67%		4.55m

NOTE: Tickets have been on sale for five days longer for AQP Part II than GvK had been on sale locally this far from their respective premieres. 

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)

9

 

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Regal ($199)	1
Adjusted Seats	22

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25 - rounded down], 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25 - rounded down], and 22 seats for Regal [$199/$9.25 - rounded up]

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism for Cinemark and Cinema West in this post.  However, it appears that we can track Regal PWPs to the movie purchased, as mentioned in this later post.

 

SECOND NOTE:  Since A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella are both debuting on the same day and both have PWPs available for purchase, I am not approximating the tickets sold at Cinemark and Cinema West locations for either movie on this track.  For the record, however, 8 PWP showings were purchased before tickets for Cruella  went on sale, for an approximation of 128 tickets.

[Porthos]

14 months ago [almost to the day]:

 

On 3/12/2020 at 12:36 AM, Porthos said:

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

[Includes Double Features from Wednesday]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	10776	11483	707	6.16%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	5
Total Seats Removed Today	717
Total Seats Sold Today	90

 

T-8 Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
It 2	48.96		140	1444		0/159	17743/19187	7.53%		5.14m

PRE-SALE NOTE: It Chapter 2 had 36 days of pre-sales while A Quiet Place Part II has 22 days of pre-sales.

 

===

 

Wed/Thr Breakdown:

 

Wednesday Night Double Feature Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	7	1080	1568	488	31.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

82

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	9696	9915	219	2.21%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	5
Total Seats Removed Today	717
Total Seats Sold Today	8

 

===

 

Wednesday? Still "Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead". Thursday?  Not exactly looking too hot, he said mildly.  

 

One of the smaller chains in town (not one of the Big Three MTCs) cancelled a few post 9pm showings at three of its locations today.  Expect it to follow suit at the fourth real soon now.  Really am interested to see just how long this takes to play out, and what theaters add showings and which cancel them and when.

 

Have to admit, I am surprised at the resilience of Wed Double Features.  I suppose that might be the hard core fanbase showing up.  Haven't seen many cancellations at the ticket level yet for Thr (just two that I noticed today).  Then again, not exactly many peeps on Thr in the first place.

 

And just now:

28 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

A Quiet Place Part II Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	74	2458	3129	671	21.44%

 

Total Showings Added Today	3
Total Seats Added Today	68
Total Seats Sold Today	48

* NOTE: The two new showings added were from a theater which is non-reserved seating, and thus has no seat count available.

 

T-10 Comp      FAIRLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
GvK	47.42		189	1415		7/101	2787/4202	33.67%		4.55m

NOTE: Tickets have been on sale for five days longer for AQP Part II than GvK had been on sale locally this far from their respective premieres. 

 

===

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)

9

 

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Regal ($199)	1
Adjusted Seats	22

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25 - rounded down], 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25 - rounded down], and 22 seats for Regal [$199/$9.25 - rounded up]

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism for Cinemark and Cinema West in this post.  However, it appears that we can track Regal PWPs to the movie purchased, as mentioned in this later post.

 

SECOND NOTE:  Since A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella are both debuting on the same day and both have PWPs available for purchase, I am not approximating the tickets sold at Cinemark and Cinema West locations for either movie on this track.  For the record, however, 8 PWP showings were purchased before tickets for Cruella  went on sale, for an approximation of 128 tickets.

 

 

AQP Part II - Take Two will almost certainly be past 707 tickets sold locally come Wednesday night (T-8).  Slightly apples and oranges for a couple of reasons, as there was a AQP double feature sucking down a lot of tickets, while Thr got hit with the first real wave of 'rona apprehension (this was a day or so after the NBA shut down).

 

But even before the 'rona took ahold of public consciousness, it's not like AQP II was setting the world on fire.

 

Not really much to say here, except that I find it interesting that locally at least the second go around of AQP II will match the sales of the first attempt, and that's with most of the region still under a 25% cap.

 

===

 

EDITED:::

 

Mind it is true that one of the theaters I am tracking switched to reserved seating in the downtime.  On the other hand, that accounts for a whopping 17 tickets as of right now, which will be  easily countered by the PWPs that have been sold for AQP II (especially since I know for a virtual fact that the one Regal PWP that has been sold is for AQP II).  So those extra seats being tracked isn't a factor in my opinion, at least at the T-8 marker.

Edited May 18, 2021 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

Had forgotten that it will be nice dataset to compare the AQP with last year PS when it all went wrong. Quite strong performance there.

[Jamiem]

1 hour ago, lorddemaxus said:

Did @keysersoze123 say if he was going to track any of the memorial day releases?

Probably not.

On 5/2/2021 at 4:41 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Roughly DS is looking at 2.45m and MK at 2.55m. 

 

Guys I am taking a break. I will come back when some big movie like next fast movie opens. 

 

Edited May 18, 2021 by Jamiem

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Had forgotten that it will be nice dataset to compare the AQP with last year PS when it all went wrong. Quite strong performance there.

What's semi-interesting is the really ludicrous comp for GvK (which if nothing else has a different pattern of presales) is in the same ballpark as the original projected comp for AQP II against It 2 (4.55m vs 5.14m).

 

If I actually felt comfortable doing it, I'd be tempted to switch to an It 2 comp, adjusted for the extra theater tracking info I have.  Not saying I do feel comfortable doing it (if only for PWPs and different amount of theaters/seating caps).  But lord knows I'm tempted. 

Edited May 18, 2021 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

original projected comp for AQP II against It 2 (4.55m vs 5.14m).

GvK is missing Canada and probably few regions of US, so that make sense.

 

I think $4M Thursday will be a good result, will probably point toward $35M plus weekend.

[Borobudur]

47 minutes ago, Porthos said:

What's semi-interesting is the really ludicrous comp for GvK (which if nothing else has a different pattern of presales) is in the same ballpark as the original projected comp for AQP II against It 2 (4.55m vs 5.14m).

 

If I actually felt comfortable doing it, I'd be tempted to switch to an It 2 comp, adjusted for the extra theater tracking info I have.  Not saying I do feel comfortable doing it (if only for PWPs and different amount of theaters/seating caps).  But lord knows I'm tempted. 

I am not sure what to gauge, but does this mean the pre-sale largely match with last year's pre-sale before corona? 

[Porthos]

7 hours ago, Borobudur said:

I am not sure what to gauge, but does this mean the pre-sale largely match with last year's pre-sale before corona? 

Locally, yes.  Can't speak for elsewhere.  Might just be a statistical blip.