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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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58 minutes ago, DAJK said:

My theater is getting Hitman’s Bodyguard, Spiral (ugh), ITH, GvK, wrath of man, and Demon Slayer upon reopening. Nice to know GvK might be getting a Canadian expansion this month

 

re: GvK passing KotM

 

Puerto Rico Canada to the Rescue!!!!

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1 hour ago, LegendaryBen said:

Can you please clarify this statement?

I just meant if the Thursday box office number of In the Heights is good but not very good nobody should panic because the legs of this movie are way more important. And it's said to be a perfect movie for the summer and a crowdpleaser so I guess WOM will be very good.

What I also meant is I have no idea what previews/Thursday box office number we should expect for In the Heights. Idk if many people even know that it starts Thursday and not Friday. And it's annoying that 4 of my 7 theaters still didn't add Thursday showtimes.

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 65 848 7.67%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 61 1665 3.66%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
373 26 12923 2.89% 15 63

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 9.23M

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 70 848 8.25%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 63 1665 3.78%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
406 33 12923 3.14% 15 63

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 10.07M

Hobbs and Shaw comp: 12.63M

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For what its worth, Ontario entering phase 1 on June 11. Theatres not looking until Phase 3 (phase 2 is 3 weeks after this, with certain targets met, that puts us around end of June-ish.) Following that will be phase 3 which again looking prolly around mid July for Ontario. As another said sounds like BC is opening their theatres so hopefully some Canada numbers coming soon from there. I (think?) Quebec has theatres opening or opening soon, but not sure.

 

We are getting there slowly but surely in Ontario:tomatoes:

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Update for Friday (still no Thursday showtimes):

 

In the Heights:

4:00: 10/107 (+1)

5:00 Dolby: 25/236 (+1)

6:00 IMAX: 9/372 (+3)

7:30: 2/107 (-)

8:30 Dolby: 20/236 (-)

Total: 66/1,058 (+5)

 

Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard Early Access: 11/107 (+1)

 

The House Next Door: Meet the Blacks:

4:40: 2/70 (-)

7:10: 3/70 (-)

Total: 5/140 (-)

 

ITH comps haven't moved much:

 

38% of AQP2's Friday the day before (7.4M Friday)

62% of AQP2's previews two days out (3M Friday)

80% of Cruella's Friday the day before (6.2M Friday)

314% of Cruella's previews two days out (7.5M Friday)

Edited by WrathOfHan
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On 6/6/2021 at 12:57 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 8.97M

 

On 6/7/2021 at 12:52 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 9.23M

 

2 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Fast 9 Thursday Showings Denver

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 10.07M

 

AQP II comp steadily rising.

 

===

 

What would be a good "target" for F9, anyway for Thr?  Kinda loss my sense of what F9 "should" be aiming for here considering all of the factors (including less than stellar WOM out of China).

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IM for the franchise is hard to say, considering it didn’t really explode until F7 and F8 (which had Easter Sunday/Good Friday considerations making their IM weird). The beat comp imo is H&S, despite being a spin-off. It at least had a summer open — it’s also done a fairly similar amount of raw business to H&S in various OS markets and potentially DOM.  
 

H&S went 5.8 previews, x3 for a 17.8 True Fri, +15% for 20.5M Sat, -23% for 15.9 Sun and a 60M wknd — 10.3x.   
 

Sundays being harsher with no Canada could hurt the IM but only very slightly, if it goes big on previews that also naturally works a little against a large IM. But for now I’m expecting 8.5-9.5ish IM, I guess — if it can continue to match these comps I’d say that’s a great preview for it.

 

Fast 6 did 6.5*15 for 97 with a MDW inflated Sun, but that  was an eternity ago as far as how previews work.

Edited by WandaLegion
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33 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Widow preview may be 35-40%

Was going to say “that’s like Endgame level, no way.” But then I looked up more and realized it’s also 1% more than AM&tW. Pretty crazy how MCU remain relatively backloaded even when the previews go through the moon.

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25 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Was going to say “that’s like Endgame level, no way.” But then I looked up more and realized it’s also 1% more than AM&tW. Pretty crazy how MCU remain relatively backloaded even when the previews go through the moon.

AM2 was probably outlier. CM was 33.5% pre Endgame. Given 2 years ageing of fandom, more folks can go for Thursday previews now so 35-40% will make sense + USA is more previews heavy, so that will inflate things.

 

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24 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

AM2 was probably outlier. CM was 33.5% pre Endgame. Given 2 years ageing of fandom, more folks can go for Thursday previews now so 35-40% will make sense + USA is more previews heavy, so that will inflate things.

 

Summer also inflates preview as % of OD since it’s not a schoolday Th. Totally agree with 35-40%

18 minutes ago, Eric is Full of Pride said:

@charlie Jatinder Let it be known I saw your original projection, and let me say it was not nice of you to change it on us ;)

Gosh, I wonder what the previous projection could have been. Probably 68-70 ish ;) 

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PITTSBURGH TRACKNG - TUESDAY UPDATE!

 

# of Friday Showings: (New Releases in Blue)

 

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It - 18

In the Heights - 18 (7 in XD)

A Quiet Place: Part 2 - 16

Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway - 13

Cruella - 9

Spirit Untamed - 9

Queen Bees - 8

Spiral - 4

Wrath of Man - 2

Raya and the Last Dragon - 1

 

The Hitman's Bodyguard's Wife - Advanced Screening
Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
6/4/2021 0 23 464 2335 19.87%
In the Heights
Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
6/10/2021 0 11 78 1320 5.91%
6/11/2021 0 18 165 2148 7.68%
Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway
Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
6/10/2021 0 7 51 586 8.70%
6/11/2021 0 13 102 1127 9.05%

 

Difference From Yesterday:

 

THWG: +30%

ITH: +40%

PR2: +46%

 

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