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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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9 minutes ago, Menor said:

Question to other trackers, have you guys been including social distancing blocked seats in the "Seats Available/Total Seats" number? 

 

Before F9 I wasn't, but since Cali is transitioning to eliminating social distancing as a requirement starting on Tuesday, I started counting all seats in the Total Seats column with the F9 track even if a individual theater chain was still social distancing on their own, as trying to mix and match social distanced seats from chain to chain would be a nightmare logistically.  Not so much in a day-to-day track, but I didn't want to deal with the headache of suddenly having a huge number of seats become available when/if a chain suddenly stopped enforcing a social distance mid-track.

 

Probably doesn't matter too much one way or the other.  Just if you don't include them in the total seat column, prepare for a jump in available seats when/if social distance rules are changed mid-track.

 

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Sorry guys. Life has been insanely busy past few weeks. I am in a new job and we are closing on a new home. So have little time to look at BO. I definitely cannot track daily but did a quick look at BW.

 

Black Widow (T-26)

MTC1 - 30950/371916 461263.00 1870 shows 404 Theatres

MTC2 - 22052/394294 294004.53 2553 shows. 304 Theatres

 

Its quite good but nothing crazy. But looks like it should have no problems having the biggest OW of the year though I am not sure about Triple digit from these numbers. I dont know how often I will update but will try to drop in at times. 

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16 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Seems pretty safe to assume we will get biggest 24 hours pre-sales for an MCU solo film behind Endgame and Infinity War. 

 

Though can use confirmation from @Porthos data, as I believe that's the oldest one we have here for old comps.

Bigger than Black Panther or even Thor Ragnarok???? I am doubtful as there were no restrictions back then.

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2 hours ago, Porthos said:

I've seen some discussion in the thread about this the last couple of days, but I don't want to hunt for the quotes.

 

As I look into Canada, not taking caps into account, would it be safe to say that Ontario is the only major holdout right now?  Can't find any easy info on Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and PEI, but as I poke about it does appear that of the major areas of Canada, it's only Ontario which is still shuttered.

 

Which, given it's around 40% of the Canadian market ain't nothing.  But does make me want to adjust my ad-hoc 90% estimate in regards to pre-pandemic movies up to 95%.  Also might mean a slight bump to any AQP II comps, though I suspect F9 will be the best comp when all is said and done.

Ontario theatres won’t open till we get to stage three of our reopening plan. We just entered stage one yesterday and it’s “supposed” to be 21 days between each stage though I doubt that happens. If case counts keep dropping and as more people getting fully vaccinated I think they’ll move up the dates but we’ll see. I’ll let you guys know when things change. 

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52 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Bigger than Black Panther or even Thor Ragnarok???? I am doubtful as there were no restrictions back then.

Record is with Far From Home I think for first 24 hours. MTC 1 3 days is with BP tho. BP was 2, CM 1.8 and SM 1.6ish.

 

 

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1 hour ago, cax16 said:

Ontario theatres won’t open till we get to stage three of our reopening plan. We just entered stage one yesterday and it’s “supposed” to be 21 days between each stage though I doubt that happens. If case counts keep dropping and as more people getting fully vaccinated I think they’ll move up the dates but we’ll see. I’ll let you guys know when things change. 

I admit its tough sometimes watching other theatres with their count and we're like waiting till at least Aug before we possibly see theatres opening. But it is what it is and Im HOPING that we are finally seeing a light....and hoping it's not a train lol

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Time
MTC 1 MTC 2 National Estimate
Pre Fri Sat Sun FSS Overall Pre Fri Sat Sun FSS Overall Pre Fri Sat Sun FSS Overall
24 Hours 0.43 0.22 0.14 0.06 0.85 1.08 0.27 0.13 0.09 0.04 0.52 0.54 1.47 0.82 0.53 0.22 3.05 3.11

 

 

FRI, SAT and SUN are estimated from @Menor update of MTC 2 and past trends. The number filled below days is what scrapped data gives and overall is estimated overall.

 

THU numbers are about where most of our individual trackers data was pointing. $1.5M, so that's a win.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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23 hours ago, Eric is Full of Pride said:

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 53 785 8686 9.04%

 

Total Showings Added in the Last Two Days: 1

Total Seats Added in the Last Two Days: 3,090

Total Seats Sold in the Last Two Days: 83

 

Comp

0.813x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-13 Before Release (7.89M)

1.953x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-13 Before Release (37.82M)

 

So to clarify two things:

 

1. Yes, I forgot to report sales yesterday. Long story short, family came over, I got both distracted and exhausted from it that I could barely stay awake, and then I passed out when I tried to tally up tickets. Sorry for the incomplete picture, but this stuff happens, and I hope you guys understand that I was a bit too busy last night.

 

2. The massive seats jump may seem confusing. Basically, Regal theaters here have just shifted their social distancing policy and are now allowing zero social distancing at all. F9 is reaping those rewards here. AMC is still using social distancing well into Black Widow's opening, but that could change once we get closer to release.

 

And now, onto the real big boy.

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 2 53 846 8686 9.74%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 61

 

Comp

0.853x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-12 Before Release (8.28M)

1.867x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-12 Before Release (36.17M)

 

Oh hey. The GvK comp increased. That's cool I guess.

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23 hours ago, Eric is Full of Pride said:

Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 66 815 10055 8.11%

 

@charlie Jatinder

 

So....

 

Godzilla vs. Kong Final Tickets Sold (Wed): 3,877

A Quiet Place Part II (Thu): 1,967

A Quiet Place Part II (Thu+Fri): 5,179

Cruella (Thu): 409

Cruella (Thu+Fri): 1,273

 

You asked for it, I delivered.

Black Widow Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 66 947 10055 9.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 132

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On 6/12/2021 at 9:01 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

AMC Empire 25

Black Widow

 

IMAX - 185 ( 2 shows)

Dolby - 179 (2 shows)

Prime - 76 (2 shows)

Standard - 39 (2 shows)

 

Total - 479 (8 shows) ~$11K

 

AMC Empire 25 T-26 Days

Black Widow

 

IMAX - 204 ( 2 shows) +19 (~83%)

Dolby - 193 (2 shows) +14 (~75%)

Prime - 85 (2 shows) +9 (~40%)

Standard - 41 (2 shows) +2 

 

Total - 521 (8 shows) +44 ~$12K

 

Yeah this ain't moving much till shows increase in premium property. Smaller theaters will be ones moving the sales from here.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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