The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

Harkins Till 19:00 - $102,482 24.9% 151 shows (205 more to go)

[Menor the Destroyer]

In the run that finished about 20 minutes ago it was at 186515. I think it will start slowing down from here. If it still runs 50% ahead of F9 then it will be at 220k final, but expecting more like 215k.

[Eric Duncan]

15 hours ago, Eric Belov said:

Space Jam: A New Legacy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	43	386	7824	4.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 119

 

Comp

3.016x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-9 Before Release (23.24M)

Space Jam: A New Legacy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting (Fri)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	43	501	7824	6.40%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 115

 

Comp

0.386x of Godzilla vs. Kong's Wed T-8 Before Release (3.75M)

3.093x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-8 Before Release (23.84M)

0.500x of F9's Thu T-8 Before Release (3.55M)

[keysersoze123]

BW MTC1 at 247246/735519 3368382.00 4624 shows. Its almost at same time as my final F9 update(15 minutes earlier). its at 1.9x F9. MTC2 would be lower like 1.65x as F9 overperformed there big time. But BW has canada which F9 did not if I am not wrong. So my guess would be ~13.5m previews for BW. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins Till 19:00 - $102,482 24.9% 151 shows (205 more to go)

Harkins till 20:10 - $148,327 25.1% 210 shows (147 more to go)

 

I will probably track the next 147 shows now as there will be very limited walkins post 21:00 I suppose.

Edited July 9, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[keysersoze123]

Black Widow Friday (PS END)

MTC1  - 225260/1242734 2735507.00 7183 shows(433 Theatres)

MTC2 -  165691/1022525 1855471.55 7462 shows(308 Theatres)

 

Good day. I am thinking 450K should be the target and I would say $28m friday. 

 

Edit: Added MTC2 as well. Still sticking with same number. MTC1 will continue to overperform relative to MTC2(or otherway around for F9).

 

 

 

Edited July 9, 2021 by keysersoze123

[Menor the Destroyer]

I agree with 13.5-14 based on MTC1. Hopefully it has a good day tomorrow. 

[Porthos]

29 minutes ago, Menor said:

I agree with 13.5-14 based on MTC1. Hopefully it has a good day tomorrow. 

 

Selfishly I am, naturally, hoping for the high end of this estimate. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins till 20:10 - $148,327 25.1% 210 shows (147 more to go)

 

I will probably track the next 147 shows now as there will be very limited walkins post 21:00 I suppose.

Crossed $202K as on 21:30.

 

Still a lot of walk-ins coming for shows. 60 more shows to go. Possibly $250-260K final. 

[charlie Jatinder]

29 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Crossed $202K as on 21:30.

 

Still a lot of walk-ins coming for shows. 60 more shows to go. Possibly $250-260K final. 

$238K including last 60 shows pre-sales. Will probably add another $4-5K. So about $242K + 5% for the seat blocked and walk-ins I missed in many shows. $255K.

 

Will do detailed post why 23:00.

 

This would be $14.2M usually. Adjusting for Canada $13.75M Approx. However use of this data is mostly for estimating non MTC data. 

Edited July 9, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

Black Widow Harkins Previews

 

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	327	76,639	16,345	21.33%	$176,322	$10.79
Cine 1	17	5,461	3,077	56.34%	$44,763	$14.55
Cine Capri	9	4,718	1,281	27.15%	$14,780	$11.54
IMAX	3	1,335	480	35.96%	$7,200	$15.00
Total	356	88,153	21,183	24.03%	$243,065	$11.47

 

 

Top Locs

Mountain Grove, CA - $24,952

Cerritos 16, CA - $21,326

Estrella Fall, Phoenix - $17,706

Chino Hill, CA - $16,284

 

State

Arizona - $152,500 (25)

California - $73,091 (4)

 

Good walk in in last 1 hour even, worth $5K. The actuals could be $260K.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

14.25 Previews. Best case scenario $15M.

 

14.5
26
27
21.5

89

 

On higher end may be 96, but that's probably fan in me thinking.

Spoiler

	T-17	T-10	T-7	T-3	T-2	T-1	Final
A	0.98	1.32	1.64	2.16	2.41	2.82	4.17
R	0.77	1.03	1.28	1.69	1.93	2.28	3.43
C	0.49	0.65	0.79	1.07	1.26	1.53	2.70
M+H	0.06	0.08	0.09	0.13	0.16	0.19	0.41
US-R	0.48	0.66	0.81	1.12	1.42	1.68	3.59
CA	0.01	0.02	0.15	0.23	0.27	0.32	0.65
	2.78	3.76	4.76	6.40	7.44	8.83	14.95

 

Edited July 9, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Inceptionzq]

11 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Widow Megaplex

 

T-1 day Friday(244 showings): 6283(+1529)/64029(+240) in 14 theaters. $84,821 with $13.50 ATP

 

I'll do a Denver and Megaplex Thursday update around preview start time, and another Friday update tonight.

Black Widow Megaplex

 

Friday(243 showings): 8544(+2261)/63476(-553) in 14 theaters. $115,344 with $13.50 ATP

 

I guess they realized they may have gone a bit overboard with the showings and removed one whole showing. I will probably do an update in the morning too

[DAJK]

Both the theater I currently work at and the one I used to work at both suggest 12.6M previews, which is a funny coincidence.

[charlie Jatinder]

29 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Both the theater I currently work at and the one I used to work at both suggest 12.6M previews, which is a funny coincidence.

How much they sold in absolute #s. I think Victoria Cineplex had 350 something sold 3 days back.

[DAJK]

21 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

How much they sold in absolute #s. I think Victoria Cineplex had 350 something sold 3 days back.

I can’t give out any info publicly that I obtained through my job, but from the seat trackers that I have in my computer as a customer, I think it was 300+ at one theater and 500+ at another. There’s two more theaters in town playing it but I can’t imagine that either of them broke 200

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I can’t give out any info publicly that I obtained through my job, but from the seat trackers that I have in my computer as a customer, I think it was 300+ at one theater and 500+ at another. There’s two more theaters in town playing it but I can’t imagine that either of them broke 200

Understood. Though I was just wondering about info one can check online from website, as I did other day.

[john2000]

any update ?

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, john2000 said:

any update ?

 

My rule is the later it goes, the more we'll be disappointed...F9 (according to a Forbes post) had numbers out by 10:20am EST...it might have been sooner, but Deadline keeps updating their post, so I can't find their original post time...it's 10:20am in 5 minutes:)...

[Menor the Destroyer]

If it continues the trend of Thursday coming in below our expectations and Friday above it will be like 13 million Thurs and 30 million Fri. Here's hoping.