The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

10 hours ago, Eric E Coyote said:

Aside, I've reached the 2,000 post milestone here! Don't know if I should be proud of that or not, but I am only 51 posts away from reaching second place. @WrathOfHan better watch his back!

Surprised you aren't at top already but Porthos is rightfully there. Han gotta be more active before I came around in late 2018.

[Eric Duncan]

7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Surprised you aren't at top already but Porthos is rightfully there. Han gotta be more active before I came around in late 2018.

Before late 2018, Han was just a carefree teen with no cares or responsibilities in the world. Then he went to college and is trying to be a working man. He’s getting busy with his responsibilities.

 

Of course I’m older than him and make 75% of the daily posts here. I guess I have no life then 😣

[charlie Jatinder]

44 minutes ago, Eric E Coyote said:

Of course I’m older than him and make 75% of the daily posts here. I guess I have no life then 😣

Yeah sometime feels bad for myself too. 😐

[john2000]

@keysersoze123 any updates for widow and space jam   👀

[charlie Jatinder]

12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

SJ2 PS down 35% tomorrow but I expect overall drop to be better as it had great walk ups today. I think SJ2 will win saturday as well and weekend would not be close. 

Theoretically speaking SAT holds should be quite good since FRI occupancy was so high.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Next week will be crazy. 3-4 films battling for #1 with about 15m (maybe 2 going for 20)

[Eric Duncan]

On 7/16/2021 at 11:09 PM, Eric E Coyote said:

Snake Eyes Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	87	5202	1.67%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 96

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.081x of Mortal Kombat's Fri T-6 (738K)

0.097x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-6 (1.88M)

0.259x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-6 (1.99M)

Snake Eyes Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	91	5202	1.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.076x of Mortal Kombat's Fri T-5 (693K)

0.088x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-5 (1.71M)

0.257x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-5 (1.98M)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The NBA Finals has played about 10 ads for both Old and Snake Eyes tonight 

[Eric Duncan]

On 7/16/2021 at 11:14 PM, Eric E Coyote said:

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	46	7427	0.62%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 897

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

0.687x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-13 (5.29M)

 

Finally we have a comp! Though don't expect this comp to last nor be truly indicative of anything at this point.

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	49	7427	0.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.563x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-12 (4.34M)

[Eric Duncan]

On 7/16/2021 at 11:20 PM, Eric E Coyote said:

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	190	7364	2.58%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 933

Total Seats Sold Today: 26

 

Comp

0.356x of F9 T-20 (2.53M)

0.129x of Black Widow T-20 (1.71M)

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting (Thu)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	204	8111	2.52%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 747

Total Seats Sold Today: 14

 

Comp

0.358x of F9 T-19 (2.54M)

0.135x of Black Widow T-19 (1.79M)

[keysersoze123]

10 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Theoretically speaking SAT holds should be quite good since FRI occupancy was so high.

It did drop big today. I think both SJ2 and BW should be very close. I would say 10.3m each. May be BW could squeak through or SJ2 will. But not much separating the 2 today. 

[keysersoze123]

I think I will take a break again. Nothing interesting to track and life is extremely busy these days. Only thing about Suicide Squad preview release is small for now. If it gets interesting close to release I will come back. Otherwise I will look at Shang Chi. Hopefully 1st Marvel that is not Hybrid even in September could be interesting. Hopefully COVID is not a factor as well. 

[charlie Jatinder]

28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

It did drop big today. I think both SJ2 and BW should be very close. I would say 10.3m each. May be BW could squeak through or SJ2 will. But not much separating the 2 today. 

That would mean opening day audience were perhaps one that sports guy fan. Sports star films are quite frontloaded.

[Porthos]

On 7/16/2021 at 10:24 PM, Porthos said:

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	13711	13952	241	1.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

34

 

Day 3 Unadjusted Comp - PROBABLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
F9	43.90		78	549		0/92	13434/13983	3.93%		3.12		3.26
BW	16.09		185	1498		0/104	16688/18186	8.24%		2.12		2.22

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

Day 3 Adjusted Comp - CERTAINLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
AQP II	77.85		47	307		2/28	1036/1343	22.86%		3.74		3.91
TSS (adj)	---		29	239		0/81	13593/13832	1.73%		---		---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	81	13693	13952	259	1.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

18

 

Day 4 Unadjusted Comp - PROBABLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

%

Sold Day 4

Total Sold

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

Comp

Ont Comp

F9

44.42

34

583

0/92

13400/13983

4.17%

3.15m

3.30m

BW

16.16

105

1603

0/104

16583/18186

8.81%

2.13m

2.23m

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

Day 4 Adjusted Comp - CERTAINLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
AQP II	76.04		31	338		2/28	1005/1343	25.17%		3.65m		3.82m
TSS (adj)	---		18	257		0/81	13575/13832	1.86%		---		---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

[TwoMisfits]

7 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That would mean opening day audience were perhaps one that sports guy fan. Sports star films are quite frontloaded.

 

They would watch game 5 last night - they may come back out tonight, to get hyped for game 6:)...

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/17/2021 at 9:12 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Jungle Cruise	T-12	Jacksonville	5	27	4,984	35	8	0.70%
		Phoenix	6	23	4,213	22	8	0.52%
		Raleigh	7	26	3,288	26	-6	0.79%
Jungle Cruise Total			18	76	12,485	83	10	0.66%
Old	T-5	Jacksonville	5	10	1,921	17	2	0.88%
		Phoenix	6	12	1,788	23	2	1.29%
		Raleigh	8	14	1,324	14	1	1.06%
Old Total			19	36	5,033	54	5	1.07%
Snake Eyes	T-5	Jacksonville	5	16	2,916	20	-1	0.69%
		Phoenix	6	11	2,540	33	4	1.30%
		Raleigh	8	17	2,215	55	10	2.48%
Snake Eyes Total			19	44	7,671	108	13	1.41%
Suicide Squad	T-19	Jacksonville	5	20	3,795	46	6	1.21%
		Phoenix	6	18	3,651	65	8	1.78%
		Raleigh	7	23	2,986	79	11	2.65%
Suicide Squad Total			18	61	10,432	190	25	1.82%

 

Movie	Day	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Jungle Cruise	T-11	Jacksonville	5	27	4,984	39	4	0.78%
		Phoenix	6	23	4,213	22	0	0.52%
		Raleigh	7	26	3,288	29	3	0.88%
Jungle Cruise Total			18	76	12,485	90	7	0.72%
Old	T-4	Jacksonville	5	10	1,921	22	5	1.15%
		Phoenix	6	12	1,788	38	15	2.13%
		Raleigh	8	14	1,324	18	4	1.36%
Old Total			19	36	5,033	78	24	1.55%
Snake Eyes	T-4	Jacksonville	5	16	2,916	35	15	1.20%
		Phoenix	6	11	2,540	34	1	1.34%
		Raleigh	8	17	2,215	59	4	2.66%
Snake Eyes Total			19	44	7,671	128	20	1.67%
Suicide Squad	T-18	Jacksonville	5	20	3,795	57	11	1.50%
		Phoenix	6	18	3,651	67	2	1.84%
		Raleigh	7	23	2,986	83	4	2.78%
Suicide Squad Total			18	61	10,432	207	17	1.98%

 

Decided to do a few comparisons

 

Old T-4 

Forever Purge - 1.529x (2.034m)

Escape Room 2 - 1.695x (2.034m)

 

Snake Eyes T-4

Hitman's Wife - 3.368x (2.745m)

[WrathOfHan]

Old:

 

7:00 Dolby: 18/236

8:15: 0/77

Total: 18/313

 

Comps:

 

14% of F9 Previews three days out (980k)

17% of AQP2 Previews two days out (815k)

62% of Conjuring 3 Friday five days out (6.1M)

129% of Escape Room 2 Previews four days out (1.5M)

300% of Forever Purge Previews two days out (3.9M)

 

The 100% skew towards Dolby makes me believe this is currently A-List sales only. That's not terribly encouraging and could indicate frontloading (especially with bad WOM incoming...)

 

Snake Eyes:

 

7:00 IMAX: 5/372

8:00: 7/107

Total: 12/479

 

Comps:

 

3% of Black Widow Previews the day before (395k)

9% of F9 Previews three days out (630k)

11% of AQP2 Previews two days out (530k)

 

Also not super encouraging but hopefully walkups are good.

 

Joe Bell: 1/67

 

 

[el sid]

The Suicide Squad, counted yesterday at ca. 2pm EST for Thurday, August 5:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 74+ (4 showtimes, 2 alleged Sell Outs, I don't believe it)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 48 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 3 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 10 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 135 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 309 (10 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 585.

And for Friday, August 6:
NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 37+ (9 showtimes, 4 alleged SOs)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 28 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 1 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 1 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 58 (14 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 164 (15 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 292.

Comps for both days (this is tricky for me because there's so much variation):
The worst comp is of course BW which had on June 12 in 4 theaters 300 sold tickets and even if I sum up both days (would be 135 sold tickets for TSS in the same 4 theaters) it does not look good for TSS (but BW slowed a bit down in its release week from what I read here).
Birds of Prey (33.0M) had (I have no other numbers) on its release day in the same 7 theaters 2.085 respectively 1.664 sold tickets. Means TSS is at 28% respectively 18% with 19 days to go/to come closer or overtake it. I'll always use these final numbers of BoP and therefore the percentages of TSS will become better with each update. The Thursday percentage isn't bad I guess.
The Conjuring 3 (24.1M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 1.435 sold tickets on Thurday of its release week for Friday (= so TSS is at 20.5% at the moment with 18 days left to come closer). But if I take the first number that I have of The Conjuring 3 - counted on May 18 - it had only 124 sold tickets and TSS is way in front (especially if I sum up Thursday and Friday because if TSS wouldn't have shows on Thursday people would probably book the Friday shows).
AQP II (47.5M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 1.582 sold tickets on Thursday of its release week for the same day (= ok 37% at the moment for TSS with 19 days left to come closer). And 9 days before its release AQP II had 402 sold tickets for Thursday so TSS is already in front and has 10 days left to expand the margin. Of course the comps with The Conjuring 3 and AQP II make the numbers for TSS look good because these two films did pretty poor until their release weeks.
Really tricky.

Overall this has also in my theaters no or only a tiny fan rush so far but after I read the reports here I expected way worse numbers (maybe some dozen sold tickets and not nearly thousand).
Still, the fans indeed seem to be sceptical. But if it's true that the embargo drops already on Wednesday and if the reviews are good who knows.

[Boxofficerules]

How is Candyman looking? I hope this is the movie that FINALLY breaks Pet Sematarys record of being the highest grossing horror movie that’s directed by a woman.

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/16/2021 at 2:52 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

12

687

1.75%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

5

805

0.62%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST ~26 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
66	24	11666	0.57%	15	51

Showings added; 1

Seats added: 325

 

Cruella day 3 comp: 1.05M

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

21

687

3.06%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

10

805

1.24%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD 2 PAST DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
95	29	11666	0.81%	15	51

 

Gonna hold off on the Cruella comp for a bit to let it "catch up". T-11 days comp is also the day 3 comp