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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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10 hours ago, Eric E Coyote said:

Aside, I've reached the 2,000 post milestone here! Don't know if I should be proud of that or not, but I am only 51 posts away from reaching second place. @WrathOfHan better watch his back!

Surprised you aren't at top already but Porthos is rightfully there. Han gotta be more active before I came around in late 2018.

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7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Surprised you aren't at top already but Porthos is rightfully there. Han gotta be more active before I came around in late 2018.

Before late 2018, Han was just a carefree teen with no cares or responsibilities in the world. Then he went to college and is trying to be a working man. He’s getting busy with his responsibilities.

 

Of course I’m older than him and make 75% of the daily posts here. I guess I have no life then 😣

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44 minutes ago, Eric E Coyote said:

Of course I’m older than him and make 75% of the daily posts here. I guess I have no life then 😣

Yeah sometime feels bad for myself too. 😐

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12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

SJ2 PS down 35% tomorrow but I expect overall drop to be better as it had great walk ups today. I think SJ2 will win saturday as well and weekend would not be close. 

Theoretically speaking SAT holds should be quite good since FRI occupancy was so high.

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On 7/16/2021 at 11:09 PM, Eric E Coyote said:

Snake Eyes Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 87 5202 1.67%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 96

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.081x of Mortal Kombat's Fri T-6 (738K)

0.097x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-6 (1.88M)

0.259x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-6 (1.99M)

Snake Eyes Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 91 5202 1.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.076x of Mortal Kombat's Fri T-5 (693K)

0.088x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-5 (1.71M)

0.257x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-5 (1.98M)

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On 7/16/2021 at 11:14 PM, Eric E Coyote said:

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 46 7427

0.62%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 897

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

0.687x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-13 (5.29M)

 

Finally we have a comp! Though don't expect this comp to last nor be truly indicative of anything at this point.

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 49 7427 0.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.563x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-12 (4.34M)

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On 7/16/2021 at 11:20 PM, Eric E Coyote said:

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 32 190 7364

2.58%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 933

Total Seats Sold Today: 26

 

Comp

0.356x of F9 T-20 (2.53M)

0.129x of Black Widow T-20 (1.71M)

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 204 8111 2.52%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 3

Total Seats Added Today: 747

Total Seats Sold Today: 14

 

Comp

0.358x of F9 T-19 (2.54M)

0.135x of Black Widow T-19 (1.79M)

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10 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Theoretically speaking SAT holds should be quite good since FRI occupancy was so high.

It did drop big today. I think both SJ2 and BW should be very close. I would say 10.3m each. May be BW could squeak through or SJ2 will. But not much separating the 2 today. 

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I think I will take a break again. Nothing interesting to track and life is extremely busy these days. Only thing about Suicide Squad preview release is small for now. If it gets interesting close to release I will come back. Otherwise I will look at Shang Chi. Hopefully 1st Marvel that is not Hybrid even in September could be interesting. Hopefully COVID is not a factor as well. 

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28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

It did drop big today. I think both SJ2 and BW should be very close. I would say 10.3m each. May be BW could squeak through or SJ2 will. But not much separating the 2 today. 

That would mean opening day audience were perhaps one that sports guy fan. Sports star films are quite frontloaded.

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On 7/16/2021 at 10:24 PM, Porthos said:

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

13711

13952

241

1.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

34

 

Day 3 Unadjusted Comp - PROBABLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

 

   %

 

Sold Day 3

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

F9

43.90

 

78

549

 

0/92

13434/13983

3.93%

 

3.12

 

3.26

BW

16.09

 

185

1498

 

0/104

16688/18186

8.24%

 

2.12

 

2.22

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

Day 3 Adjusted Comp - CERTAINLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

 

   %

 

Sold Day 3

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

AQP II

77.85

 

47

307

 

2/28

1036/1343

22.86%

 

3.74

 

3.91

TSS (adj)

---

 

29

239

 

0/81

13593/13832

1.73%

 

---

 

---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

13693

13952

259

1.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

18

 

Day 4 Unadjusted Comp - PROBABLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

 

   %

 

Sold Day 4

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

F9

44.42

 

34

583

 

0/92

13400/13983

4.17%

 

3.15m

 

3.30m

BW

16.16

 

105

1603

 

0/104

16583/18186

8.81%

 

2.13m

 

2.23m

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

Day 4 Adjusted Comp - CERTAINLY LOL AT THIS POINT - USE AT OWN RISK

 

   %

 

Sold Day 4

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

AQP II

76.04

 

31

338

 

2/28

1005/1343

25.17%

 

3.65m

 

3.82m

TSS (adj)

---

 

18

257

 

0/81

13575/13832

1.86%

 

---

 

---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

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7 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That would mean opening day audience were perhaps one that sports guy fan. Sports star films are quite frontloaded.

 

They would watch game 5 last night - they may come back out tonight, to get hyped for game 6:)...

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On 7/17/2021 at 9:12 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Jungle Cruise T-12 Jacksonville 5 27 4,984 35 8 0.70%
    Phoenix 6 23 4,213 22 8 0.52%
    Raleigh 7 26 3,288 26 -6 0.79%
Jungle Cruise Total     18 76 12,485 83 10 0.66%
Old T-5 Jacksonville 5 10 1,921 17 2 0.88%
    Phoenix 6 12 1,788 23 2 1.29%
    Raleigh 8 14 1,324 14 1 1.06%
Old Total     19 36 5,033 54 5 1.07%
Snake Eyes T-5 Jacksonville 5 16 2,916 20 -1 0.69%
    Phoenix 6 11 2,540 33 4 1.30%
    Raleigh 8 17 2,215 55 10 2.48%
Snake Eyes Total     19 44 7,671 108 13 1.41%
Suicide Squad T-19 Jacksonville 5 20 3,795 46 6 1.21%
    Phoenix 6 18 3,651 65 8 1.78%
    Raleigh 7 23 2,986 79 11 2.65%
Suicide Squad Total     18 61 10,432 190 25

1.82%

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Jungle Cruise T-11 Jacksonville 5 27 4,984 39 4 0.78%
    Phoenix 6 23 4,213 22 0 0.52%
    Raleigh 7 26 3,288 29 3 0.88%
Jungle Cruise Total     18 76 12,485 90 7 0.72%
Old T-4 Jacksonville 5 10 1,921 22 5 1.15%
    Phoenix 6 12 1,788 38 15 2.13%
    Raleigh 8 14 1,324 18 4 1.36%
Old Total     19 36 5,033 78 24 1.55%
Snake Eyes T-4 Jacksonville 5 16 2,916 35 15 1.20%
    Phoenix 6 11 2,540 34 1 1.34%
    Raleigh 8 17 2,215 59 4 2.66%
Snake Eyes Total     19 44 7,671 128 20 1.67%
Suicide Squad T-18 Jacksonville 5 20 3,795 57 11 1.50%
    Phoenix 6 18 3,651 67 2 1.84%
    Raleigh 7 23 2,986 83 4 2.78%
Suicide Squad Total     18 61 10,432 207 17 1.98%

 

Decided to do a few comparisons

 

Old T-4 

Forever Purge - 1.529x (2.034m)

Escape Room 2 - 1.695x (2.034m)

 

Snake Eyes T-4

Hitman's Wife - 3.368x (2.745m)

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Old:

 

7:00 Dolby: 18/236

8:15: 0/77

Total: 18/313

 

Comps:

 

14% of F9 Previews three days out (980k)

17% of AQP2 Previews two days out (815k)

62% of Conjuring 3 Friday five days out (6.1M)

129% of Escape Room 2 Previews four days out (1.5M)

300% of Forever Purge Previews two days out (3.9M)

 

The 100% skew towards Dolby makes me believe this is currently A-List sales only. That's not terribly encouraging and could indicate frontloading (especially with bad WOM incoming...)

 

Snake Eyes:

 

7:00 IMAX: 5/372

8:00: 7/107

Total: 12/479

 

Comps:

 

3% of Black Widow Previews the day before (395k)

9% of F9 Previews three days out (630k)

11% of AQP2 Previews two days out (530k)

 

Also not super encouraging but hopefully walkups are good.

 

Joe Bell: 1/67

 

 

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The Suicide Squad, counted yesterday at ca. 2pm EST for Thurday, August 5:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 74+ (4 showtimes, 2 alleged Sell Outs, I don't believe it)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
48 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
3 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
10 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 135 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
309 (10 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 585.

And for Friday, August 6:
NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 37+ (9 showtimes, 4 alleged SOs)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
28 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
1 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
1 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 58 (14 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
164 (15 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 292.

Comps for both days (this is tricky for me because there's so much variation):
The worst comp is of course BW which had on June 12 in 4 theaters 300 sold tickets and even if I sum up both days (would be 135 sold tickets for TSS in the same 4 theaters) it does not look good for TSS (but BW slowed a bit down in its release week from what I read here).
Birds of Prey (33.0M) had (I have no other numbers) on its release day in the same 7 theaters 2.085 respectively 1.664 sold tickets. Means TSS is at 28% respectively 18% with 19 days to go/to come closer or overtake it. I'll always use these final numbers of BoP and therefore the percentages of TSS will become better with each update. The Thursday percentage isn't bad I guess.
The Conjuring 3 (24.1M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 1.435 sold tickets on Thurday of its release week for Friday (= so TSS is at 20.5% at the moment with 18 days left to come closer). But if I take the first number that I have of The Conjuring 3 - counted on May 18 - it had only 124 sold tickets and TSS is way in front (especially if I sum up Thursday and Friday because if TSS wouldn't have shows on Thursday people would probably book the Friday shows).
AQP II (47.5M OW) had in the same 7 theaters 1.582 sold tickets on Thursday of its release week for the same day (= ok 37% at the moment for TSS with 19 days left to come closer). And 9 days before its release AQP II had 402 sold tickets for Thursday so TSS is already in front and has 10 days left to expand the margin. Of course the comps with The Conjuring 3 and AQP II make the numbers for TSS look good because these two films did pretty poor until their release weeks.
Really tricky.

Overall this has also in my theaters no or only a tiny fan rush so far but after I read the reports here I expected way worse numbers (maybe some dozen sold tickets and not nearly thousand).
Still, the fans indeed seem to be sceptical. But if it's true that the embargo drops already on Wednesday and if the reviews are good who knows.

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On 7/16/2021 at 2:52 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 12 687 1.75%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 5 805 0.62%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST ~26 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
66 24 11666 0.57% 15 51

Showings added; 1

Seats added: 325

 

Cruella day 3 comp: 1.05M

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 21 687 3.06%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 10 805 1.24%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD 2 PAST DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
95 29 11666 0.81% 15 51

 

Gonna hold off on the Cruella comp for a bit to let it "catch up". T-11 days comp is also the day 3 comp

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