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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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I expect to be tackling Jungle Cruise this week, whenever Cineplex does the advances. Hoping TSS goes up as well. Will try for thursday and friday counts this week.

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Yes @Inceptionzq, it might not be as big PSm as J2 but those aren't expectations either. T-4 previews are 78% which will mean $3.7M previews but I am hoping for $2.5-3M only.

 

Cruella had 2.5x PSm, I am thinking of 3x for J2. Probably 40K in MTC2.

 

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-12 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

13601

13952

351

2.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

13

 

T-12 Adjusted Comp #1

 

   %

 

Sold T-12

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

AQP II

59.25

 

44

589

 

5/71

2472/3061

19.24%

 

2.84m

 

2.98m

TSS (AQP adj)

---

 

13

349

 

0/81

13468/13817

2.53%

 

---

 

---

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (QP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

T-12 Adjusted Comp #2 

 

   %

 

Sold T-12

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

F9

34.18

 

38

1021

 

0/79

11394/12415

8.22%

 

2.43m

 

2.54m

BW

13.13

 

94

2658

 

0/119

16602/19260

13.80%

 

1.73m

 

1.81m

TSS (BW adj)

---

 

13

349

 

0/69

11361/11710

2.98%

 

---

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's and BW's track.

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  1.20139x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-13* [5.92m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

81

13587

13952

365

2.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

14

 

T-11 Adjusted Comp #1

 

   %

 

Sold T-11

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

AQP II

58.27

 

34

623

 

4/71

2438/3061

20.35%

 

2.80m

 

2.93m

TSS (AQP adj)

---

 

14

363

 

0/81

13454/13817

2.63%

 

---

 

---

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (QP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

T-11 Adjusted Comp #2 

 

   %

 

Sold T-11

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

F9

33.61

 

59

1080

 

0/79

11335/12415

8.70%

 

2.39m

 

2.50m

BW

13.12

 

108

2766

 

0/119

16494/19260

14.36%

 

1.73m

 

1.81m

TSS (BW adj)

---

 

14

363

 

0/69

11347/11710

3.10%

 

---

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's and BW's track.

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  1.20539x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-11* [5.94m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

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On 7/24/2021 at 11:00 PM, Snake Eric said:

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 37 118 7571 1.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.114x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-5 (2.22M)

0.333x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-5 (2.57M)

1.297x of Snake Eyes T-5 (1.81M)

 

Well, yesterday was fun while it lasted. We're probably destined to have another rough weekend (yes I know that the film didn't have much potential in pre COVID times or whatever. Repeating this stuff doesn't mean I can't be frustrated or annoyed by this)

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 37 149 7571 1.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 31

 

Comp

0.116x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-4 (2.26M)

0.369x of Cruella's Thu+Fri (2.84M)

1.419x of Snake Eyes T-4 (1.99M)

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On 7/24/2021 at 11:06 PM, Snake Eric said:

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 298 8111 3.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 23

 

Comp

0.352x of F9 T-12 (2.50M)

0.147x of Black Widow T-12 (1.94M)

 

Well I mean this was one of the film's better days, but I'm no longer holding my breath. At this point, anything could happen and it's hard to really feel hopeful about this stuff these days. I know I sound really moody tonight, but that just comes from a real bad movie market IMO

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 299 8111 3.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 1

 

Comp

0.346x of F9 T-11 (2.45M)

0.142x of Black Widow T-11 (1.88M)

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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Jungle Cruise T-4 Jacksonville 5 27 4,984 69 4 1.38%
    Phoenix 6 23 4,221 73 7 1.73%
    Raleigh 7 28 3,374 62 14 1.84%
Jungle Cruise Total     18 78 12,579 204 25 1.62%
Stillwater T-4 Jacksonville 5 8 1,273 8 0 0.63%
    Phoenix 6 8 676 5 3 0.74%
    Raleigh 6 10 1,016 8 1 0.79%
Stillwater Total     17 26 2,965 21 4 0.71%
Suicide Squad T-12 Jacksonville 6 21 3,964 81 0 2.04%
    Phoenix 6 19 3,761 100 9 2.66%
    Raleigh 7 23 2,986 113 5 3.78%
Suicide Squad Total     19 63 10,711 294 14 2.74%
The Green Knight T-4 Jacksonville 5 8 1,044 20 3 1.92%
    Phoenix 5 7 895 22 2 2.46%
    Raleigh 6 11 1,304 22 5 1.69%
The Green Knight Total     16 26 3,243 64 10 1.97%

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Jungle Cruise T-3 Jacksonville 5 27 4,984 79 10 1.59%
    Phoenix 6 23 4,221 78 5 1.85%
    Raleigh 7 28 3,374 82 20 2.43%
Jungle Cruise Total     18 78 12,579 239 35 1.90%
Stillwater T-3 Jacksonville 5 8 1,273 10 2 0.79%
    Phoenix 6 8 676 8 3 1.18%
    Raleigh 6 10 1,016 8 0 0.79%
Stillwater Total     17 26 2,965 26 5 0.88%
Suicide Squad T-11 Jacksonville 6 21 3,964 84 3 2.12%
    Phoenix 6 19 3,761 104 4 2.77%
    Raleigh 7 23 2,986 114 1 3.82%
Suicide Squad Total     19 63 10,711 302 8 2.82%
The Green Knight T-3 Jacksonville 5 8 1,044 31 11 2.97%
    Phoenix 5 7 895 28 6 3.13%
    Raleigh 6 11 1,304 28 6 2.15%
The Green Knight Total     16 26 3,243 87 23 2.68%

 

Green Knight is probably the winner of the day.  

 

Comps:

 

Green Knight T-3

Old - .87x (1.305m)

Escape Room 2 - 1.176x (1.41m)

Average - 1.36m

 

Stillwater T-3

12 Mighty Orphans - 1.24x (no preview, 900k weekend)

Roadrunner - .59x (118k)

 

Jungle Cruise T-3

Snake Eyes - 1.45x (2.03m)

F9 - .165x (1.17m)

BW - .067x (874k)

Average - 1.36m

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33 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said:

Didn’t Roadrunner have 250k previews?

 

There's some question there.  Deadline's Saturday update had "Estimated $250k from Thursday previews" while their Sunday specialty article said "Nearly $200k in Thursday previews."  I'm not sure which is actually correct but I figured the figure that came out later would probably be better.

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First of all, I felt pretty confident in the last weeks but that my prediction for Snake Eyes was so wrong irritates me a lot. Maybe it was just hardcore fans buying advance tickets and the GA didn't care after the modest reviews or people just wait 45 days. However, I have to learn to not ignore negative signs.

The Green Knight (the release which interests me most this week), counted today at 6am EST for Friday:


NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): - (so far no showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
15 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 2 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
- (so far no showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
22 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 58 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
62 (4 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 159.
Comps: Zola, counted on June 30 for June 30 (2.2M OW, 0.5M on Wednesday), had in the same 5 theaters 104 sold tickets.
The Goldfinch (2.7M OW, bad reviews) had on Wednesday of its release week in the same 5 theaters 136 sold tickets for Friday.
The Good Liar (5.6M OW, 63% at RT) had on Monday in 4 theaters 26 sold tickets (so here minus Arizona =137) for Friday.

Looking good in my theaters too. Probably a film for a niche audience but this niche audience seems to be interested.


Stillwater, counted today at 6am EST for Friday:


NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): - (so far no showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
4 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
- (so far no showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
1 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 4 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
7 (4 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 17.
Comps later in the week but so far it's even below Those Who Wish Me Dead.


Jungle Cruise, counted today at 6am EST for Friday:


NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 66 (8 showtimes, 4 reported Sell Outs, the same annoying stuff as for TSS)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
33 (11 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 16 (11 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
8 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
14 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 78 (11 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
141 (11 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 357.
Comps: Dora and the Lost City of Gold (17.4M OW) had on Thursday in the same 7 theaters 384 sold tickets for Friday.
Dolittle (21.8M OW) had on Monday
in 6 theaters (no showtimes in NY) 143 sold tickets (so here vs 291).
Not that bad, at least better than expected and it gets a lot of showtimes.

Edited by el sid
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TSS counted today at 6am EST for Thursday, August 5 (10 days to go):

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 122+ (4 showtimes, still 2 probably not true Sell Outs reported)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
100 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 9 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
7 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
10+ (2 showtimes, now both times Sell Outs reported, 10 sold tickets was the number before the SO reports)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 183 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
407 (10 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 838+.
Up 43% since July 17.
Birds of Prey (33.0M) had on its release day in the same 7 theaters 2.085 sold tickets for its previews so TSS is now at 40% with 10 days left to come closer or overtake.
The Conjuring had in the same 7 theaters 641 sold tickets 7 days later = the Monday of its release week for Friday.
AQP II had in the same 7 theaters 747 sold tickets for Thursday, also 7 days later.
And Hobbs & Shaw had in the same 7 theaters 1.194 sold tickets for Thursday also 7 days later. Finally here my numbers are not such an outlier because 838 vs 1.194 fits very well to the 1.2x H&S numbers of @Porthos. TSS will very probably overtake H&S within the next 7 days (but H&S had also good Friday presales).
After no progress during the weekdays the last days were a bit better but I still see no direct boost. OTOH if it follows the jumps of F9, AQPII or The Conjuring3, everything is ok (presales-wise).

Edited by el sid
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THE PRODIGAL DAUGHTER IS RETURNING. EXACT DATE TBD

 

83E60B21-E8BA-42ED-A35B-9EB342E6D295.jpeg

 

😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭

 

Apparently they are an independent chain from Massachusetts. I think they only have like two theaters. So I wonder if they bought the whole franchise, or they just bought this theater. Either way, thank the ever loving God.

 

EEA40099-67D1-4128-9137-8D69538D6A50.jpeg

 

AND PS. Those poor posters 🥺

 

 

B864BF43-135F-47C1-A48A-9F03D866744E.jpeg

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On 7/25/2021 at 3:17 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 51 687 7.42%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 53 1015 5.22%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST ~26 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
217 23 11053 1.96% 15 51

 

Cruella comp: 1.59M

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 62 687 9.02%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 64 1015 6.31%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 25 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
263 46 11053 2.38% 15 51

 

Cruella comp: 1.64M

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On 7/25/2021 at 3:20 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Suicide Squad Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 100 661 15.13%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 44 753 5.84%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
306 12 10067 3.04% 15 48

 

Black Widow comp: 2.19M

F9 comp: 3.76M

AQP2 comp: 4.91M

Suicide Squad Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 102 661 15.43%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 44 753 5.84%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 25 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
316 10 10067 3.14% 15 48

 

Black Widow comp: 2.17M

F9 comp: 3.71M

AQP2 comp: 4.77M

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22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@Menor can you have a look at JC tonight.

Yeah it's running right now. I am a bit busy tonight so in case I don't post until tomorrow it's looking like about 7k Thursday and 12k Friday.

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Stillwater
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
7/26/2021 7/29/2021 0 2 0 130 0.00%
7/26/2021 7/30/2021 0 4 5 260 1.92%
             
The Green Knight
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
7/26/2021 7/29/2021 0 3 27 221 12.22%
7/26/2021 7/30/2021 0 8 28 624 4.49%
             
Jungle Cruise
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
7/26/2021 7/29/2021 0 10 102 1334 7.65%
7/26/2021 7/30/2021 0 19 136 2568 5.30%

 

Obviously Stillwater ain't gonna be a big presales movie but a flop seems inevitable. Most adult dramas released since things began to open up haven't fared all too well.

 

The Green Knight, on the other hand, is actually off to a promising start here. It has more young adult/milennial appeal compared to Stillwater, undoubtedly tied to the studio distributing it, but I think it can actually outgross Stillwater over the weekend. I don't think Zola sold a fraction of the tickets at this point, and while showtimes were far more limited, it's actually ahead of Snake Eyes! (Thursday is 96% and Friday is 53% of where Old was on Monday!)

 

Jungle Cruise is well ahead of everything else from last weekend and is continuing to build ticket sales nicely. Most sales are for XD showings, but standard screens aren't slacking that much. I don't have many good comps for this, but we all know it's going to readily win the weekend without much of a fight. (It could honestly win the weekend from its Friday number alone at this point!)

 

Thursday/Friday combined:

  • 138% of In The Heights
  • 227% of Peter Rabbit 2
  • 294% of Old

 

The Suicide Squad
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
7/26/2021 7/29/2021 0 9 71 1234 5.75%
7/26/2021 7/30/2021 0 19 48 1924 2.49%

 

Most of these tickets are for XD. The standard 6:20, 8:40, and 9:30 Friday shows at one of the two theaters have yet to sell a SINGLE ticket. 9 were sold for evening XD shows.

 

Compared to Jungle Cruise at the same point in time...

  • Thursday: 71 for TSS, 36 for JC (97% higher)
  • Friday: 48 for TSS, 42 for JC (14% higher)
  • TOTAL: 119 for TSS, 78 for JC (53% higher)

Maybe sales will spike once reviews get out if they're strong as GOTG, but....

 

 

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Finished quicker than I had estimated. 

 

Jungle Cruise MTC2

Thursday

Showings: 1550

Seats Sold: 7077/243394 (+2089)

 

Friday

Showings: 3159 (+139)

Seats Sold: 12855/529537 (+4434)

 

Friday is definitely dominating Thursday at this point. Don't remember a good comp for what this means though, maybe later I'll dig through Jumanji numbers that Keyser posted way back.

 

 

Edited by Menor
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Just as a quick heads up that this week at work I'm looking to be a little bit busier than I usually am, so I won't track Green Knight or Stillwater this weekend. I know that sounds disappointing, but that's life sometimes. Hope you guys understand.

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28 minutes ago, Menor said:

Finished quicker than I had estimated. 

 

Jungle Cruise MTC2

Thursday

Showings: 1550

Seats Sold: 7077/243394 (+2089)

May be say 8.4k by Tuesday and 10.5-11k by Wed. 3x PSm for 32-33K final, that will suggest something around $2M. Need to buckle up the pace for next 2 days.

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