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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's all a matter of screen space. As I said earlier, The Green Knight is getting booked in smaller auditoriums where I am (meaning sell-outs aren't hard to achieve with such limited seating), and it'll likely be frontloaded.

Stillwater probably has an older demos so I wouldnt expect heavy presales however that audience doesn’t seem to be going to theaters right now. So I still expect Green Knight to beat it for opening weekend. 

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Suicide Squad MTC2

 

Thursday

Showings: 1393 (+9)

Seats Sold: 6153/223466 (+2222)

 

Comps: 

0.293x F9 (estimated) at the same point (2.08 million)

0.115x BW (estimated) at the same point (1.52 million)

 

 

Friday:

Showings: 3211 (-4) *

Seats Sold: 4546/531198 (+1672)

 

Comps:

0.226x F9 (estimated) at the same point (5.13 million)

0.122x BW (estimated) at the same point (3.21 million)

 

Wish I had some better comps, but Thursday still looks pretty bad. Friday frankly looks disastrous. Even ignoring the F9 and BW comps, it's not close to on pace to surpass Jungle Cruise's Friday on Saturday night. Let's hope reviews give it a nice boost. 

 

*Regarding the Friday showtimes decreasing, my guess is this is due to whatever DBOX weirdness went on with MTC2 last week. The number of seats available went up. 

 

Edited by Menor
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On 4/17/2021 at 8:26 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Mortal Kombat (T-6)

MTC1 - 28730/469864 415671.00 2291 shows(417 theatres) //  54 sellouts

MTC2 - 28577/412631 350666.93 2647 shows(294 theatres) // 38 sellouts

MTC 2 numbers have DBOX numbers error I suppose, so cutting out may be 3-4k of these and comp is roughly 2 days late. Its barely half of MK in MTC2 without PWPs. This can't be real.

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Looked up BoP comp. Just first 2 days of sales though and I believe MTC 2 data is from like 250 theaters

On 1/30/2020 at 11:16 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-8)

MTC1 - overall 1352 shows 10468/289438 185493.25 
MTC2 - overall 1255 shows 4171/222138 54589.73

 

On 1/31/2020 at 11:07 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-7)

MTC1 - overall 1383 shows 15934/296559 280159.82 +5466
MTC2 - overall 1289 shows 5458/226009 71422.56 51649.77 +1287

 

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Jungle Cruise

Toronto Ontario 

Taken Tues July 28 for Thursday July 29 AND july 30 

 

12 Shows Total

 

    Yonge Dundas

 Thursday  Seats Sold      Total Seats

                   18                  385

Friday          18                 1200

 

Scotia

Thurs NA

Friday         13                 3227

 

Varsity       

Thurs NA    

Friday    0                       812

 

  Yonge Eglinton
Thursday    16               550

Friday         10               812

 

Eglinton Town

Thursday    24               589

Friday          9                2765

 

Yorkdale

Thurs NA

Friday        23               2995 

 

Queensway

Thurs        25                 691

Friday       112               3499

 

Empress Walk

Thursday  18                  661  

 Friday      15                  2892

 

 

Thursday Total Sold 149 (+22)

Total Seats 3396 (-55)

 

Friday Total sold 198

Total seats 18405

Edited by Tinalera
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5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That's much better than MTC 2 I suppose. And quite high ATP, I suppose most sales are in East coast premium properties. Wonder how it is doing in MTC3.

Will check Harkins on Thursday night. @Inceptionzq will probably check Megaplex.

BOP was the same way. High sales in NYC and LA theaters and pretty much DOA everywhere else. 

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4 minutes ago, Menor said:

BOP was the same way. High sales in NYC and LA theaters and pretty much DOA everywhere else. 

Big theaters everywhere are doing well. Metreon, Disney one in Orlando etc. There is still time for rest of the markets to pick up. Even Joker was heavily skewed in big markets early on. Did great on the final day, 

Edited by keysersoze123
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1 hour ago, Menor said:

Suicide Squad MTC2

 

Thursday

Showings: 1393 (+9)

Seats Sold: 6153/223466 (+2222)

 

Comps: 

0.293x F9 (estimated) at the same point (2.08 million)

0.115x BW (estimated) at the same point (1.52 million)

 

 

Friday:

Showings: 3211 (-4) *

Seats Sold: 4546/531198 (+1672)

 

Comps:

0.226x F9 (estimated) at the same point (5.13 million)

0.122x BW (estimated) at the same point (3.21 million)

 

Wish I had some better comps, but Thursday still looks pretty bad. Friday frankly looks disastrous. Even ignoring the F9 and BW comps, it's not close to on pace to surpass Jungle Cruise's Friday on Saturday night. Let's hope reviews give it a nice boost. 

 

*Regarding the Friday showtimes decreasing, my guess is this is due to whatever DBOX weirdness went on with MTC2 last week. The number of seats available went up. 

 

Just ran MTC2 and I am getting 8438/213921 114040.10. I guess its sold post your run. But way weaker compared to MTC1 for sure. 

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4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Just ran MTC2 and I am getting 8438/213921 114040.10. I guess its sold post your run. But way weaker compared to MTC1 for sure. 

I think more likely it's the DBOX discrepancy between the two trackers that has been there for a while. I doubt it sold 2000 tickets in just an hour. Once the numbers are higher in release week it won't make a huge difference. 

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6 minutes ago, Menor said:

I think more likely it's the DBOX discrepancy between the two trackers that has been there for a while. I doubt it sold 2000 tickets in just an hour. Once the numbers are higher in release week it won't make a huge difference. 

I will then stick to MTC1. We will only know once we get ratios post previews. 

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10 minutes ago, Menor said:

I think more likely it's the DBOX discrepancy between the two trackers that has been there for a while. I doubt it sold 2000 tickets in just an hour. Once the numbers are higher in release week it won't make a huge difference. 

Dbox screws me up when I do Toronto because even though there are two "listings" for same show time, both dbox and non don't discriminate between seats sold (IE It says x sold, x available total seats, there is no "dbox sales only" numbers that I can find). I mean if it helps I can manually count the dbox tickets sold (like literally count seats) if that helps

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1 minute ago, Tinalera said:

Dbox screws me up when I do Toronto because even though there are two "listings" for same show time, both dbox and non don't discriminate between seats sold (IE It says x sold, x available total seats, there is no "dbox sales only" numbers that I can find). I mean if it helps I can manually count the dbox tickets sold (like literally count seats) if that helps

In MTC2 there is a similar issue, DBOX seats show up as "unavailable" in the regular showtime even if they aren't sold. The way I usually handle it is: count all "unavailable" seats in the regular showtime, then subtract all "available" (i.e. unsold) DBOX seats in the DBOX showtime. I think that should cancel it out to the correct value. 

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2 hours ago, filmlover said:

It's all a matter of screen space. As I said earlier, The Green Knight is getting booked in smaller auditoriums where I am (meaning sell-outs aren't hard to achieve with such limited seating), and it'll likely be frontloaded.

I mean where I’m looking at least it’s got big screens. At my theater in particular, Green Knight is getting the big house while Jungle is in a smaller house.

 

Also of note, in urban areas I’m seeing Green Knight doubling Jungle at the very least. In rural areas, Jungle is ahead, but Knight is at around 67% of where it’s at. Overall very solid, I wouldn’t be surprised with 2M previews, it’s outpacing Old everywhere by a significant margin. Unless walk ups are utterly trash, this looks strong.

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2 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

What is lol about Black Widow opening to 100? The presales were stunning and it was a MCU movie. It probably does without PA

Because I factored PA into my guesstimation? Look up that club sometime, I wasn’t the only one to bet against it doing 100. 

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