Jump to content
grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

Recommended Posts

7 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Jungle Cruise T-0 Jacksonville 5 32 5,417 238 68 4.39%
    Phoenix 7 27 4,126 206 78 4.99%
    Raleigh 8 30 3,539 238 74 6.73%
Jungle Cruise Total     20 89 13,082 682 220 5.21%
Stillwater T-0 Jacksonville 5 10 1,409 24 5 1.70%
    Phoenix 6 9 914 17 3 1.86%
    Raleigh 7 11 1,111 26 12 2.34%
Stillwater Total     18 30 3,434 67 20 1.95%
The Green Knight T-0 Jacksonville 6 9 1,213 118 32 9.73%
    Phoenix 5 10 1,090 99 31 9.08%
    Raleigh 7 14 1,480 138 60 9.32%
The Green Knight Total     18 33 3,783 355 123 9.38%

 

Comps:

 

Green Knight T-0

Old - 1.08x (1.62m)

Escape Room 2 - 1.437x (1.72m)

Average - 1.67m

 

Stillwater T-0

12 Mighty Orphans - 1.39x (no preview, 900k weekend)

Roadrunner - .49x (97k)

 

Jungle Cruise T-0

Snake Eyes - 1.65x (2.31m)

F9 - .22x (1.58m)

BW - .12x (1.54m)

Average - 1.81m

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Jungle Cruise Late Jacksonville 5 32 5,417 404 166 7.46%
    Phoenix 7 28 4,233 309 103 7.30%
    Raleigh 8 32 3,646 389 151 10.67%
Jungle Cruise Total     20 92 13,296 1,102 420 8.29%
Stillwater Late Jacksonville 5 10 1,409 40 16 2.84%
    Phoenix 6 9 914 30 13 3.28%
    Raleigh 7 11 1,111 64 38 5.76%
Stillwater Total     18 30 3,434 134 67 3.90%
The Green Knight Late Jacksonville 6 10 1,253 203 85 16.20%
    Phoenix 6 11 1,216 160 61 13.16%
    Raleigh 7 14 1,480 194 56 13.11%
The Green Knight Total     19 35 3,949 557 202 14.10%

 

Final run comps (T-1 hour)

 

Green Knight 

Old - .84x (1.265m)

Escape Room 2 - 1.23x (1.47m)

Average - 1.37m

 

Stillwater

Roadrunner - .73x (146k)

 

Jungle Cruise

Snake Eyes - 1.60x (2.25m)

F9 - .29x (2.04m)

BW - .15x (1.96m)

Average - 2.08m

 

Final predictions: Jungle Cruise - 2.1m; Green Knight - 1.3m (seems to be slowing down a bit heading into showtimes); Stillwater - not reported (maybe 200k and gets mentioned in an article)

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Suicide Squad Megaplex

 

T-7 days Thursday: 187/8649 in 12 theaters

 

T-8 days Friday: 142/18606 in 11 theaters

Edited by Inceptionzq
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
19 hours ago, Skipper Eric said:

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 55 313 9903

3.16%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 60

Total Seats Sold Today: 75

 

Comp

0.089x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri T-1 (1.72M)

0.392x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-1 (3.02M)

1.203x of Snake Eyes T-1 (1.68M)

 

Yeah I'm really not sure why Philly is just dead while everybody else is having solid sales. I don't see any real reason why this of all movies would underperform, but I'm sure it's probably doing much better on Friday and Saturday and such. And maybe it's comparing Thursday to Thu+Fri making things muddy, which should clear out tomorrow since I'll actually have solo numbers for Place and Cruella.

Jungle Cruise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 55 788 9903 7.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 475

 

Comp

0.401x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thursday (1.92M)

0.152x of A Quiet Place Part II's Thu+Fri (2.95M)

1.927x of Cruella's Thursday (2.7M)

0.619x of Cruella's Thu+Fri (4.77M)

1.031x of Boss Baby 2 (1.35M)

1.209x of Snake Eyes (1.69M)

 

It's a bit all over the place, but it does lean into the high 1s that has been tracking Philly. It is a bit too low compared to other people's tracking though, and Cruella also arguably had the same problem. Maybe it's a sign we're getting 2.7M...nah I'm just kidding. But I do think low 2s are likely despite the discrepancy. 

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/28/2021 at 4:06 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 90 1032 8.72%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 116 1174 9.88%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
465 119 11726 3.97% 15 58

 

Showings added: 8

Seats added: 875

Showings removed: 1

Seats removed: 202

 

Cruella comp: 2.15M

Jungle Cruise Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 167 1032 16.18%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 203 1174 17.29%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 26 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1043 578 12022 8.68% 15 61

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 296

 

Cruella comp: 2.15M

Black Widow comp: 2.16M

Adjusted Hobbs comp: 2.22M

AQP2 comp: 2.27M

 

Just threw some comps in for the heck of it. Kinda interesting how close the Cruella and Black Widow comps are, and how AQP2 is slightly higher. Maybe an example of Premier Access hurting late walkups? Of course BW is more fan driven anyways, so maybe not. I like the Cruella comp, so I'll just go with that. 2.15M

  • Like 6
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Got some numbers around 5:30 and have access to my laptop again:

 

Jungle Cruise:

6:00 Dolby: 32/236

6:30 IMAX: 8/372

7:00: 22/107

7:30 3D: 7/77

9:30 Dolby: 18/236

Total: 87/1,028

 

Comps:

 

14% of Black Widow Previews (1.8M)

32% of F9 Previews (2.2M)

42% of AQP2 Previews (2M)

174% of Snake Eyes (2.4M)

272% of Cruella Previews (3.8M)

621% of Boss Baby 2 Previews (8.1M)

 

I think previews can be 2.2M+ based on these comps. 2.4M sounds about right; maybe it goes over 30M this weekend, which would be very nice!

 

The Green Knight:

7:00: 43/67

8:45: 16/40

9:30: 3/40

Total: 62/147

 

Comps:

 

10% of Black Widow Previews (1.3M)

30% of AQP2 Previews (1.4M)

84% of Old Previews (1.3M)

124% of Snake Eyes Previews (1.7M)

563% of Zola Previews (2.8M OD)

 

This is strong and reminds me of how Midsommar was performing here two years ago. If there's over 2k theaters, I can see 10M happening.

 

Stillwater: 5/107

 

Horrible for Stillwater; it's doing on par or worse than Those Who Wish Me Dead. Good luck getting over 2-2.5M.

  • Like 6
  • Thanks 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Jungle Cruise Megaplex Thursday

 

1696/15853 in 14 theaters. 

 

Black Widow comp: 2.70M

 

Performing really well here, which isn't much of a surprise considering it's a family movie and Utah. I am surprised at the Black Widow comp though.

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

JC is at 28689 in MTC2 as of about 30 min ago. No change in my projection earlier, which was 2.27 million. Will do another couple of runs to see how night walkups go. BW had pretty poor night walkups, which indicates that PA may hurt it, but this is a very different type of film so I'm optimistic. Not gonna bother with Green Knight as that is clearly underperforming big time at MTC2 from yesterday's numbers.

Edited by Menor
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

I’m going to be at work until late tonight, so unfortunately I won’t be able to do any fancy formatting for my update here than if I had my laptop. But here are how things seem to be shaking out here:

 

Stillwater - picking up but still slow. I’d be shocked if they even reported previews, but somewhere around 300-400k seems possible. 
 

Jungle Cruise - pretty much in line with what everyone else is saying. 2.1-2.3M previews.

 

Green Knight - my theater is selling this one like crazy, but looking everywhere else it’s a bit more down to Earth. Still, 1.7M previews wouldn’t surprise me, maybe a bit higher.

 

 

I’ll try updating again in an hour or two.

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
45 minutes ago, Menor said:

JC is at 28689 in MTC2 as of about 30 min ago. No change in my projection earlier, which was 2.27 million. Will do another couple of runs to see how night walkups go. BW had pretty poor night walkups, which indicates that PA may hurt it, but this is a very different type of film so I'm optimistic. Not gonna bother with Green Knight as that is clearly underperforming big time at MTC2 from yesterday's numbers.

33691 in the latest run. That's very good evening walkups. Probably looking at a 42k+ finish at MTC2, which in a straight comp with F9 would give 2.46 million+.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 4
Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

 


Jungle Cruise Harkins California T-1 Day

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 20 5,269 240 4.55% $3,025 $12.60
Cine 1 4 1,708 186 10.89% $2,976 $16.00
             
Total 24 6,977 426 6.11% $6,001 $14.08

 

Well decent increase and probably 3x PSm to $18K in Harkins California as compared to $73K of BW on 62 shows. Purely that would be $3.2M but smaller films may have bigger ratio in popular locs. However reopening of Ontario shall cancel some of that.

At 6PM $13.1K on 26 shows at 13% occupancy. The 6PM shows had 23% occupancy, so overall shall reach 20%+ I suppose. That will be taking it to $20K plus as against my $18K target. Let's hope.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Menor said:

33691 in the latest run. That's very good evening walkups. Probably looking at a 42k+ finish at MTC2, which in a straight comp with F9 would give 2.46 million+.

This is quite solid especially with F9 comp as that did really well in MTC2. Now with Ontario open, I am hoping it go around $2.75M+. My Harkins comp is looking really good.

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

This is quite solid especially with F9 comp as that did really well in MTC2. Now with Ontario open, I am hoping it go around $2.75M+. My Harkins comp is looking really good.

To be fair, I think JC is also overindexing in MTC2. Family films tend to be very strong in MTC2.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Menor said:

To be fair, I think JC is also overindexing in MTC2. Family films tend to be very strong in MTC2.

Yeah, that's what I meant with using F9 MTC 2 comp.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Menor said:

33691 in the latest run. That's very good evening walkups. Probably looking at a 42k+ finish at MTC2, which in a straight comp with F9 would give 2.46 million+.

36759 in the latest run. No change in prediction. I may update one more time tonight but I don't think there's much uncertainty about where this is finishing in ticket sales at this point. Just depends on if the MTC2 overperformance of F9 cancels out with the (likely) MTC2 overperformance of JC.

 

@charlie Jatinder Fri and Sat are running, but since I am finalizing showtimes first it may not be finished before I sleep. So I will update tomorrow morning if it doesn't.

Edited by Menor
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

I saw the 6pm Cinemark XD of Jungle Cruise. About 20 or so people. Oddly only 1 child, rest were either young or old couples. Wasn't a huge fan but it'll have solid wom. It's a Dwayne Johnson Disney adventure, people will get what they want. Felt like National Treasure a bit. Lots of laughs from audience, tons of action with quick fast cutting editing, tons of riffing and banter. So much CGI.

 

TRAILERS: Ghostbusters, Dune (??), Eternals, Shang-Chi, Clifford, Paw Patrol, Encanto

 

I'll check my theater showtimes for tomorrow later. Would not be surprised if it comes in higher or beats tracking

  • Like 3
  • Astonished 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
23 hours ago, Skipper Eric said:

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 384 8211 4.80%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 100

Total Seats Sold Today: 49

 

Comp

0.383x of F9 T-8 (2.72M)

0.153x of Black Widow T-8 (2.02M)

 

Yeah there was a good review bump here. How effective this was is up to you of course, but it certainly gave the film a solid shot in the arm here in Philly.

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 415 8211 5.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 31

 

Comp

0.393x of F9 T-7 (2.79M)

0.157x of Black Widow T-7 (2.07M)

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.





×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.