The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

On 8/29/2017 at 5:49 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Baby Driver, The Dark Tower, and Girls Trip are gone.

 

Wind River: 4 (Average)

The Big Sick: 2 (Return; Average)

Cars 3: 2 (Return; 2nd Smallest)

 

All Saints: 4 (Down 1; Biggest)

Annabelle: Creation: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Birth of the Dragon: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

The Hitman's Bodyguard: 4 (Down 1; 2nd Biggest and Average)

Leap!: 4 (Down 2; 2nd Biggest and Average)

Logan Lucky: 4 (Down 1; 4th Smallest)

Spider-Man: Homecoming: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Despicable Me 3: 2 (Down 2; 3rd Smallest)

Dunkirk: 2 (Down 1; 2nd Smallest)

The Emoji Movie: 2 (Down 1; Average)

The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature: 2 (Down 1; Average)

Terminator 2: Judgement Day 3D: 2 (Down 3; Average)

Wonder Woman: 2 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):
 

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

 

 

The Big Sick, Birth of the Dragon, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, and Terminator 2: Judgement Day 3D are gone.

 

It: 7 (Average)

Home Again: 4 (2nd Biggest)

9/11: 4 (Biggest)

 

Annabelle: Creation: 4 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)

The Emoji Movie: 4 (Up 2; Average)

The Hitman's Bodyguard: 4 (Flat; Average)

Leap!: 4 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

Wind River: 4 (Flat; Average)

All Saints: 3 (Down 1; 2nd Smallest)

Logan Lucky: 3 (Down 1; Average)

Spider-Man: Homecoming: 3 (Down 1; Smallest)

Dunkirk: 1 (Down 1; Smallest)

The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature: 1 (Down 1; Average)

Wonder Woman: 1 (Down 1; 2nd Smallest)

 

During the weekend, It has 11 showings swapping the biggest auditorium with Wind River and taking over Emoji and Leap! at night

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small): 

Spoiler

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Edited September 5, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

@CJohn OH MY FUCKING GOD THIS THEATER IS RUN BY MORONS. They're fucking idiots for only giving It a large auditorium for 2 showings a night on the weekend. What the fuck?

 

Either my theater is one of the lucky few getting 9/11 or that 400 TC was bullshit.

Edited September 5, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[CJohn]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

@CJohn OH MY FUCKING GOD THIS THEATER IS RUN BY MORONS. They're fucking idiots for only giving It a large auditorium for 2 showings a night on the weekend. What the fuck?

 

Either my theater is one of the lucky few getting 9/11 or that 400 TC was bullshit.

It should have both of the biggest auditoriums to itself

 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

It should have both of the biggest auditoriums to itself

 

I can guarantee they'll be scrambling to swap It's dedicated screen and Home Again on Saturday. They'll see the first show on Friday is nearly sold out and go "SHIT!" while Home Again only has like 15 seats sold

Edited September 5, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Wait, did I say Wind River has the biggest full time during the week? Because 9/11 does  @CJohn

[Rumpot]

3 hours ago, Rumpot said:

I'm seeing a LOT of new showings added in Northern Virginia and DC to numerous theaters for Thursday - checking on AMC app so these are all AMCs:

 

3 added to AMC Georgetown (now 5)

2 IMAX added to AMC Hoffman Center 22 (now 6)

4 added to AMC Wheaton Mall (now 6), 2 added to AMC Academy (now 4)

2 added to AMC St. Charles Town Center (730 and 1030 completely SOLD OUT and the 2 showings added for 7 and 10 more than 50% full)

6 added to AMC Columbia 14 , 2 are IMAX (10 now)

3 added to AMC Security Square (5 now)

7 added to AMC White Marsh 16 (11 now)

 

What is most interesting to me is these smaller theaters with a lot of seats filled.  The most popular theater around here is AMC Tyson's corner which only has 2 Dolby shows and 2 regular as of now.  For even the most popular movies this theater fills up and the surrounding ones don't usually fill more than 40%....but here the surrounding theaters are doing extremely well even the late showings.  Accordingly a lot of new showings being added to those.  

 

The preview number for IT could end up pretty ridiculous...

Ok now AMC Tyson's added 8 showings including 2 IMAX so now 12 (from 4).  The others are adding even more...AMC St. Charles just added 4 more.  Certainly won't be tough to find a theater to watch IT around here!

Edited September 5, 2017 by Rumpot

[DAJK]

It, Home Again, and Wind River are all opening at my theatre Friday (It on Thursday though).

 

Mine and my boss's predictions are similar, although he's a bit lower on it and a bit higher on Home Again for the weekend/week.

 

I'm saying Wind River does maybe our equivalent of $5M. 18A in BC, definitely has the senior's crowd appeal but a lot of seniors are usually turned off by an 18A rating.

Home Again $11M. I was always going to go somewhat high on chick flicks, but Girl's Trip outright bombed this past week, so I'm going a bit conservative. But I wouldn't be surprised if my boss is right and it does our equivalent of $16-17M

It I have at only $6.5M previews (it's a thursday night, and with a 14A rating, high schoolers will be a big demo for the target audience here). But $27.7M OD and our equivalent of $71.6M for the weekend. By boss is lower at high 50's.

[dxmatrixdt]

Any idea what will pair up with It for the 200 or so drive in double features?  Assuming It takes the majority of the drive in double features and not the new Reese movie.  WB has Annabelle, Dunkirk, and Wonder Woman.  Annabelle makes the most sense and all 3 of those WB movies have upcoming marks they could hit, if they get that extra boost.....WW @ 4.0 multiplier, Dunkirk at 200M, and Annabelle at 100M.

[grim22]

Just now, Matrix4You said:

Any idea what will pair up with It for the 200 or so drive in double features?  Assuming It takes the majority of the drive in double features and not the new Reese movie.  WB has Annabelle, Dunkirk, and Wonder Woman.  Annabelle makes the most sense and all 3 of those WB movies have upcoming marks they could hit, if they get that extra boost.....WW @ 4.0 multiplier, Dunkirk at 200M, and Annabelle at 100M.

 

Studios don't care about a 4x multiplier, and WW might get there without a boost. It has passed all other milestones it could possibly have. Dunkirk is a bit too far away from 200M for double features to help. Annabelle has synergy, genre and is close to the milestone. Pretty sure it will be Annabelle and IT on all double features.

[YM!]

Holy Shit! For North Shore, IT got 6 more showtimes for previews. It has 9 in total, which is 3 more showtimes than Homecoming at the same time.

[grim22]

Looks like Thor 3 tickets go on sale on Thursday, 60 days before release. That is one of the longer presale windows I can recall. Some theaters, specifically IMAX ones, have showtimes listed for previews already.

[YM!]

On 9/4/2017 at 1:39 PM, YourMother said:

IT

North Shore Cinema (9/7/17: 3 days before previews, 4 days before release)

7:00 - 73/301 Ultrascreen 

10:00 - 18/301 Ultrascreen 

12:00 - 7/144

 

98/746 - 13.1% of tickets sold

 

IT

South Shore Cinema (2nd Most Popular Theater in Wisconsin) (9/7/17: 3 days before previews, 4 days before release)

7:00 - 81/170 Superscreen

10:00 - 47/170 Superscreen

12:00 - 6/130

 

134/470 - 28.5% of tickets sold

IT

North Shore Cinema (2 days before previews, 3 days before release: 9/7/17)

Mequon WI

 

7:00 - 94/301 Ultrascreen 

7:30 - 1/139

8:00 - 6/116

8:30 - says sold out but unsure might be an error

10:00 - 24/301 Ultrascreen 

10:30 - 1/139

11:00 - says sold out but might be error

11:30 - 6/116

12:00 - 11/130

 

Definitely outpacing Apes and Dunkirk and Pirates too. In terms of tickets sold, it's running about 67.7% of Homecoming's tickets minus the two sellouts, which if it follows it exactly is a $79.2M OW, but considering final showtimes were posted 30 minutes ago, all and all this is really good.

Edited September 6, 2017 by YourMother

[Eevin]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

IT

North Shore Cinema (2 days before previews, 3 days before release: 9/7/17)

 

7:00 - 94/301 Ultrascreen 

7:30 - 1/139

8:00 - 6/116

8:30 - says sold out but unsure might be an error

10:00 - 24/301 Ultrascreen 

10:30 - 1/139

11:00 - says sold out but might be error

11:30 - 6/116

12:00 - 11/130

 

Definitely outpacing Apes and Dunkirk and Pirates too. In terms of tickets sold, it's running about 67.7% of Homecoming's tickets minus the two sellouts, which if it follows it exactly is a $79.2M, but considering final showtimes were posted 30 minutes ago, all and all this is really good.

Seems like a good omen for 80+, given that Homecoming had final showtimes way in advance. Can't see it doing under 60-65 at this point

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, Eevin said:

Seems like a good omen for 80+, given that Homecoming had final showtimes way in advance. Can't see it doing under 60-65 at this point

This is just North Shore, South Shore which is second fiddle in biggest, is having lots of 30% full to near sell outs.

Edited September 6, 2017 by YourMother

[Eevin]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

This is just North Shore, South Shore which is second fiddle in biggest, is having lots of 30% full to near sell outs.

Which is why my real prediction is 110m 

[YM!]

1 minute ago, Eevin said:

Which is why my real prediction is 110m 

Due to the Hurricane, I think $100M+ OW is dead, but I can see $70M-$90M on OW.

[Rumpot]

3 hours ago, Rumpot said:

I have IT at about 52-53 tickets per minute on Fandango right now.  Annabelle was ~35 per min Thursday (preview day) around this time so 50+ per minute 48 hours earlier in the cycle seems pretty impressive.

65-70 IT sales per minute on Fandango now.  Having a little trouble keeping up.  The IT Imax comes separately with a white icon.  

[Deja23]

On 9/2/2017 at 9:12 PM, Deja23 said:

Trying my hand at this for IT at the Cinemark near me.

 

Thursday:

7:00PM 107/152

8:00PM 59/137

9:00PM 47/125

10:15PM 45/152

 

Friday:

10:45AM 18/125

12:25PM 5/152

2:05PM 17/125

3:45PM 8/152

5:25PM 39/125

6:15PM 16/89

7:05PM 50/152

8:45PM 85/125

9:35PM 40/89

10:25PM 26/152

 

I'm too lazy to do it for the other days... 

Not much of a horror movie fan and know nothing about the books or past versions, but it's pretty exciting to watch this movie break out.

 

Thursday: added 2 shows

7:00PM 121/152

7:30PM 6/82

8:00PM 85/137

8:30PM 12/89

9:00PM 79/125

10:15PM 94/152

 

Friday:

10:45AM 28/125

12:25PM 27/152

2:05PM 21/125

3:45PM 13/152

5:25PM 64/125

6:15PM 36/89

7:05PM 120/152 - already bought my ticket for this showing 

8:45PM 104/125

9:35PM 70/89

10:25PM 107/152

 

It's had pretty sizable increase in presales over the past 3 days. I'm surprised since I keep reading about how horror movies are more walk up friendly. And I'm not sure how this compares to past movies as this is my first time tracking a movie...

 

[Hiccup23]

So IT just exploded at my theater. They must be expecting mass attendance. It went from 1,138 total seats to 1,896 total seats. It ranks #2 most seats available for a film after Wonder Woman, which had 1,984 total seats....damn! #3 place is Spider-Man: Homecoming with 1,684 total seats

 

 

 

 

[YM!]

2 hours ago, YourMother said:

IT

North Shore Cinema (2 days before previews, 3 days before release: 9/7/17)

Mequon WI

 

7:00 - 94/301 Ultrascreen 

7:30 - 1/139

8:00 - 6/116

8:30 - says sold out but unsure might be an error

10:00 - 24/301 Ultrascreen 

10:30 - 1/139

11:00 - says sold out but might be error

11:30 - 6/116

12:00 - 11/130

 

Definitely outpacing Apes and Dunkirk and Pirates too. In terms of tickets sold, it's running about 67.7% of Homecoming's tickets minus the two sellouts, which if it follows it exactly is a $79.2M OW, but considering final showtimes were posted 30 minutes ago, all and all this is really good.

Okay after further investigation either the 8:30 showing and 11:00 were cancelled or they actually sold out.