The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[poweranimals]

1 hour ago, Menor said:

To be fair, I think JC is also overindexing in MTC2. Family films tend to be very strong in MTC2.

What is MTC2?

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

What is MTC2?

 

MTC2

 

Usually we don't say the names of the chains we scrape because back when Keyser started doing MTC1, people started assuming that Keyser was some insider with access, which they wanted to avoid.

Edited July 30, 2021 by Menor

[charlie Jatinder]

The Suicide Squad California Harkins T-7 Days

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	17	4,440	25	0.56%	$323	$12.92
Cine 1	4	1,708	167	9.78%	$2,672	$16.00
Total	21	6,148	192	3.12%	$2,995	$15.59

At same time

15% of Black Widow Gross - $1.98M

13.2% of Black Widow Admits - $1.75M

 

The film is selling ok in Cine 1, being about 25% of Black Widow but Normal shows are really bad with 12 of them not selling any ticket. Will do next check on Monday, then I will have Jungle Cruise comp as well. TSS is already ahead JC in Cine1 but way way behind in Normal.

 

 

Edited July 31, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[keysersoze123]

Jungle Cruise Previews

MTC1 - 44690/284488 679716.78 1496 shows

 

40% of tickets sold today. Thinking ~2.7m previews. 

[charlie Jatinder]

MTC 1 is suggesting $2.9M but MTC 2 is just $2.4M. Mid point is $2.65M, let's call that?

 

Spoiler

Calculation

690/.84 = 820 / 30% = 2.73M Adj for ON 2.85M

 

Edited July 30, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

52 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

40% of tickets sold today

That seems like a really bad PSm unless I am reading it wrong. 40% means just 18K today i.e. 1.66x PSm.

[keysersoze123]

26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That seems like a really bad PSm unless I am reading it wrong. 40% means just 18K today i.e. 1.66x PSm.

I was off slightly. Its about 21K and so close to 45%. 

[charlie Jatinder]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I was off slightly. Its about 21K and so close to 45%. 

still quite bad. Like MTC 2 is going for 3.5x PSm and this only 1.9x.

[charlie Jatinder]

12 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Jungle Cruise Harkins California T-1 Day

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	20	5,269	240	4.55%	$3,025	$12.60
Cine 1	4	1,708	186	10.89%	$2,976	$16.00
Total	23	6,977	426	6.11%	$6,001	$14.08

 

Well decent increase and probably 3x PSm to $18K in Harkins California as compared to $73K of BW on 62 shows. Purely that would be $3.2M but smaller films may have bigger ratio in popular locs. However reopening of Ontario shall cancel some of that.

Jungle Cruise Harkins California

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	22	5,453	832	15.26%	$10,442	$12.55
Cine 1	4	1,708	421	24.65%	$6,736	$16.00
Total	26	7,161	1,253	17.50%	$17,178	$13.71

 

23.5% of Black Widow - $3.1M ($3.25M adj for ON)

 

I have used Black Widow comp since it is only comp I have but JC will probably over index here. How much? Well IDK for sure but probably around +20% what BW ratio was. So thinking around $2.6-2.7M which is in line with MTC 2 and MTC 1 calculations.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	86	14550	15016	466	3.10%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	281
Total Seats Sold Today	54

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp #1

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
AQP II	56.41		69	819		2/86	2754/3573	22.92%		2.71m		2.84m
TSS (AQP adj)	---		53	462		0/86	14419/14881	3.10%		---		---

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (QP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp #2 

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
F9	34.54		100	1323		0/84	11791/13114	10.09%		2.45m		2.57m
BW	13.30		204	3473		0/151	19486/22959	15.13%		1.76m		1.84m
TSS (F9 adj)	---		50	457		0/74	12317/12774	3.58%		---		---
TSS (BW adj)	---		50	462		0/80	13508/13970	3.31%		---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (F9 adj) and TSS (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's and BW's track respectively.

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  1.18848x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-8* [5.86m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

=====

 

It's a start.  But kinda uneven with some theaters seeing a relatively healthy bounce and others still crickets.  Also would expect a drop in ticket sales tomorrow and Friday as a review bump is just that.  Still, "It's a start" really is the best way to put it, I think.

 

Also the Black Widow comp barely moved because it was at this point in BW's track that Cinema West locations started to have verifiable seat maps once again. The last holdout will show up on tomorrow's report so BW will have an unadjusted comp once again.

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	87	14606	15124	518	3.43%

 

Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	108
Total Seats Sold Today	52

 

T-7 Unadjusted Comp

%

Sold T-7

Total Sold

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

Comp

Ont Comp

BW

13.58

151

3814

0/177

21748/25562

14.92%

1.79m

1.88m

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

T-7 Adjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
AQP II	55.75		103	922		2/85	2631/3553	25.95%		2.68m		2.80m
F9	35.01		91	1414		0/86	11869/13283	10.09%		2.49m		2.60m
TSS (AQP adj)	---		52	514		0/87	14475/14989	3.43%		---		---
TSS (F9 adj)	---		38	495		0/75	12387/12882	3.84%		---		---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track and TSS (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  1.11700x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-7* [5.51m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

=====

 

Color me relatively surprised.  Practically no drop from yesterday's sales.  Still a long way to go, but have to say this is a good sign.

 

(FWIW, the H&S comp dropped a bit because H&S spiked for some reason on T-7.  Wasn't a review drop, but there was probably some reason for the spike [it'll drop back down tomorrow], but I don't care enough to investigate it)

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

 

Movie	Day	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Suicide Squad	T-7	Jacksonville	6	24	4,399	123	26	2.80%
		Phoenix	6	25	4,277	130	14	3.04%
		Raleigh	8	25	3,230	143	14	4.43%
Suicide Squad Total			20	74	11,906	396	54	3.33%

 

Movie	Day	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Don't Breathe 2	T-13	Jacksonville	5	8	1,199	2	2	0.17%
		Phoenix	2	3	293	1	1	0.34%
		Raleigh	5	10	1,070	0	0	0.00%
Don't Breathe 2 Total			11	21	2,562	3	3	0.12%
Respect	T-13	Jacksonville	4	7	1,408	0	0	0.00%
		Phoenix	3	4	564	1	1	0.18%
		Raleigh	6	12	1,621	0	0	0.00%
Respect Total			13	23	3,593	1	1	0.03%
Respect (Fandango Premier)	T-9	Jacksonville	3	3	458	13	13	2.84%
		Phoenix	1	1	66	39	39	59.09%
		Raleigh	4	4	605	53	53	8.76%
Respect (FP) Total			8	8	1,129	105	105	9.30%
Suicide Squad	T-6	Jacksonville	6	24	4,399	142	19	3.23%
		Phoenix	6	25	4,277	137	7	3.20%
		Raleigh	8	25	3,230	146	3	4.52%
Suicide Squad Total			20	74	11,906	425	29	3.57%

 

Per usual, Friday morning update with not much movement for future openers.  Added Don't Breathe 2, Respect and the special Fandango premier for Respect (8/9).  The special is selling pretty well, and this doesn't include one showing marked as sold out (it's one of the best selling theaters I track so I'm more inclined to believe this one).   No change in TSS comps avg projection of 2.37m

[Ezen Baklattan]

10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Jungle Cruise Previews

MTC1 - 44690/284488 679716.78 1496 shows

 

40% of tickets sold today. Thinking ~2.7m previews. 

Right on the money!!!

[john2000]

 

 

 

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Nice. 2.7 million is good. Green Knight was lower than many projected, so I guess the MTC2 underperformance did indicate something there.

 

JC Friday last night was 44148, which is about 43% of F9 at the same point. I'm hoping that ratio to increase for an 11 million Friday. Saturday was 25058 which is slightly down from Friday at the same point. Probably looking for a small bump there.

[Eric Atreides]

15 hours ago, Skipper Eric said:

1.927x of Cruella's Thursday (2.7M)

 

It's a bit all over the place, but it does lean into the high 1s that has been tracking Philly. It is a bit too low compared to other people's tracking though, and Cruella also arguably had the same problem. Maybe it's a sign we're getting 2.7M...nah I'm just kidding. But I do think low 2s are likely despite the discrepancy. 

Wow look at this idiot over here.

[Krissykins]

11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Jungle Cruise Previews

MTC1 - 44690/284488 679716.78 1496 shows

 

40% of tickets sold today. Thinking ~2.7m previews. 

Well done, again! 

[charlie Jatinder]

 

6 minutes ago, Menor said:

Nice. 2.7 million is good. Green Knight was lower than many projected, so I guess the MTC2 underperformance did indicate something there.

 

JC Friday last night was 44148, which is about 43% of F9 at the same point. I'm hoping that ratio to increase for an 11 million Friday. Saturday was 25058 which is slightly down from Friday at the same point. Probably looking for a small bump there.

Was THU final 42K? MTC1 ATP is very high at $15. However I am waiting for clarification but MTC1 PSm was really bad how @keysersoze123 put it. 

 

Anyhow, 44K Friday PS, say 3.25x PSm for 140-145K final i.e. $1.4-1.6M. That should be $10M atleast. 

 

Now I watched the film, found it really ordinary and very bad visually, so IDK how the reception gonna be.

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Was THU final 42K? MTC1 ATP is very high at $15. However I am waiting for clarification but MTC1 PSm was really bad how @keysersoze123 put it. 

 

Anyhow, 44K Friday PS, say 3.25x PSm for 140-145K final i.e. $1.4-1.6M. That should be $10M atleast. 

 

Now I watched the film, found it really ordinary and very bad visually, so IDK how the reception gonna be.

Thursday final was 41,476.

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Was THU final 42K? MTC1 ATP is very high at $15. However I am waiting for clarification but MTC1 PSm was really bad how @keysersoze123 put it. 

 

Anyhow, 44K Friday PS, say 3.25x PSm for 140-145K final i.e. $1.4-1.6M. That should be $10M atleast. 

 

Now I watched the film, found it really ordinary and very bad visually, so IDK how the reception gonna be.

I dont think Jungle Cruise will have same level of walkups as F9. Still should do well considering Rock/blunt. 

 

MTC1 Friday Start

58131/822139 788998.12 4311 shows. 

 

I would say 9m friday for now(minus previews). 

 

Edit; MTC2 is at 52346 tickets(after reducing DBOX overcount). So the ratio between the 2 mtc shows its playing at the same level everywhere. So MTC1 ratio will be lower. 

 

Edited July 30, 2021 by keysersoze123

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont think Jungle Cruise will have same level of walkups as F9. Still should do well considering Rock/blunt. 

Should be more. Completely non-existent IP. Targeted at general audience and low interest in general.

 

Edit: I was referring for THU.

 

Let me get clarification one more time. Did THU just went from 24K to 45K on final day. because MTC 2 went from 12k to 42K (3.5x).

 

Harkins was over 3x as well.

Edited July 30, 2021 by charlie Jatinder