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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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9 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

What is MTC2?

 

MTC2

 

Usually we don't say the names of the chains we scrape because back when Keyser started doing MTC1, people started assuming that Keyser was some insider with access, which they wanted to avoid.

Edited by Menor
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The Suicide Squad California Harkins T-7 Days

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 17 4,440 25 0.56% $323 $12.92
Cine 1 4 1,708 167 9.78% $2,672 $16.00
             
Total 21 6,148 192 3.12% $2,995 $15.59

At same time

15% of Black Widow Gross - $1.98M

13.2% of Black Widow Admits - $1.75M

 

The film is selling ok in Cine 1, being about 25% of Black Widow but Normal shows are really bad with 12 of them not selling any ticket. Will do next check on Monday, then I will have Jungle Cruise comp as well. TSS is already ahead JC in Cine1 but way way behind in Normal.

 

 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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MTC 1 is suggesting $2.9M but MTC 2 is just $2.4M. Mid point is $2.65M, let's call that?

 

Spoiler

Calculation

690/.84 = 820 / 30% = 2.73M Adj for ON 2.85M

 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That seems like a really bad PSm unless I am reading it wrong. 40% means just 18K today i.e. 1.66x PSm.

I was off slightly. Its about 21K and so close to 45%. 

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12 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Jungle Cruise Harkins California T-1 Day

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 20 5,269 240 4.55% $3,025 $12.60
Cine 1 4 1,708 186 10.89% $2,976 $16.00
             
Total 23 6,977 426 6.11% $6,001 $14.08

 

Well decent increase and probably 3x PSm to $18K in Harkins California as compared to $73K of BW on 62 shows. Purely that would be $3.2M but smaller films may have bigger ratio in popular locs. However reopening of Ontario shall cancel some of that.

Jungle Cruise Harkins California

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 22 5,453 832 15.26% $10,442 $12.55
Cine 1 4 1,708 421 24.65% $6,736 $16.00
             
Total 26 7,161 1,253 17.50% $17,178 $13.71

 

23.5% of Black Widow - $3.1M ($3.25M adj for ON)

 

I have used Black Widow comp since it is only comp I have but JC will probably over index here. How much? Well IDK for sure but probably around +20% what BW ratio was. So thinking around $2.6-2.7M which is in line with MTC 2 and MTC 1 calculations.

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

86

14550

15016

466

3.10%

 

Total Showings Added Today

2

Total Seats Added Today

281

Total Seats Sold Today

54

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp #1

 

   %

 

Sold T-8

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

AQP II

56.41

 

69

819

 

2/86

2754/3573

22.92%

 

2.71m

 

2.84m

TSS (AQP adj)

---

 

53

462

 

0/86

14419/14881

3.10%

 

---

 

---

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (QP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp #2 

 

   %

 

Sold T-8

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

F9

34.54

 

100

1323

 

0/84

11791/13114

10.09%

 

2.45m

 

2.57m

BW

13.30

 

204

3473

 

0/151

19486/22959

15.13%

 

1.76m

 

1.84m

TSS (F9 adj)

---

 

50

457

 

0/74

12317/12774

3.58%

 

---

 

---

TSS (BW adj)

---

 

50

462

 

0/80

13508/13970

3.31%

 

---

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (F9 adj) and TSS (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's and BW's track respectively.

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  1.18848x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-8* [5.86m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

=====

 

It's a start.  But kinda uneven with some theaters seeing a relatively healthy bounce and others still crickets.  Also would expect a drop in ticket sales tomorrow and Friday as a review bump is just that.  Still, "It's a start" really is the best way to put it, I think.

 

Also the Black Widow comp barely moved because it was at this point in BW's track that Cinema West locations started to have verifiable seat maps once again. The last holdout will show up on tomorrow's report so BW will have an unadjusted comp once again.

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

87

14606

15124

518

3.43%

 

Total Showings Added Today

1

Total Seats Added Today

108

Total Seats Sold Today

52

 

T-7 Unadjusted Comp

 

   %

 

Sold T-7

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

BW

13.58

 

151

3814

 

0/177

21748/25562

14.92%

 

1.79m

 

1.88m

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

T-7 Adjusted Comps 

 

   %

 

Sold T-7

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

 

Ont Comp

AQP II

55.75

 

103

922

 

2/85

2631/3553

25.95%

 

2.68m

 

2.80m

F9

35.01

 

91

1414

 

0/86

11869/13283

10.09%

 

2.49m

 

2.60m

TSS (AQP adj)

---

 

52

514

 

0/87

14475/14989

3.43%

 

---

 

---

TSS (F9 adj)

---

 

38

495

 

0/75

12387/12882

3.84%

 

---

 

---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track and TSS (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  1.11700x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-7* [5.51m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

=====

 

Color me relatively surprised.  Practically no drop from yesterday's sales.  Still a long way to go, but have to say this is a good sign.

 

(FWIW, the H&S comp dropped a bit because H&S spiked for some reason on T-7.  Wasn't a review drop, but there was probably some reason for the spike [it'll drop back down tomorrow], but I don't care enough to investigate it)

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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Suicide Squad T-7 Jacksonville 6 24 4,399 123 26 2.80%
    Phoenix 6 25 4,277 130 14 3.04%
    Raleigh 8 25 3,230 143 14 4.43%
Suicide Squad Total     20 74 11,906 396 54 3.33%

 

Movie Day Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Don't Breathe 2 T-13 Jacksonville 5 8 1,199 2 2 0.17%
    Phoenix 2 3 293 1 1 0.34%
    Raleigh 5 10 1,070 0 0 0.00%
Don't Breathe 2 Total     11 21 2,562 3 3 0.12%
Respect T-13 Jacksonville 4 7 1,408 0 0 0.00%
    Phoenix 3 4 564 1 1 0.18%
    Raleigh 6 12 1,621 0 0 0.00%
Respect Total     13 23 3,593 1 1 0.03%
Respect (Fandango Premier) T-9 Jacksonville 3 3 458 13 13 2.84%
    Phoenix 1 1 66 39 39 59.09%
    Raleigh 4 4 605 53 53 8.76%
Respect (FP) Total     8 8 1,129 105 105 9.30%
Suicide Squad T-6 Jacksonville 6 24 4,399 142 19 3.23%
    Phoenix 6 25 4,277 137 7 3.20%
    Raleigh 8 25 3,230 146 3 4.52%
Suicide Squad Total     20 74 11,906 425 29 3.57%

 

Per usual, Friday morning update with not much movement for future openers.  Added Don't Breathe 2, Respect and the special Fandango premier for Respect (8/9).  The special is selling pretty well, and this doesn't include one showing marked as sold out (it's one of the best selling theaters I track so I'm more inclined to believe this one).   No change in TSS comps avg projection of 2.37m

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10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Jungle Cruise Previews

MTC1 - 44690/284488 679716.78 1496 shows

 

40% of tickets sold today. Thinking ~2.7m previews. 

Right on the money!!!

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Nice. 2.7 million is good. Green Knight was lower than many projected, so I guess the MTC2 underperformance did indicate something there.

 

JC Friday last night was 44148, which is about 43% of F9 at the same point. I'm hoping that ratio to increase for an 11 million Friday. Saturday was 25058 which is slightly down from Friday at the same point. Probably looking for a small bump there.

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15 hours ago, Skipper Eric said:

1.927x of Cruella's Thursday (2.7M)

 

It's a bit all over the place, but it does lean into the high 1s that has been tracking Philly. It is a bit too low compared to other people's tracking though, and Cruella also arguably had the same problem. Maybe it's a sign we're getting 2.7M...nah I'm just kidding. But I do think low 2s are likely despite the discrepancy. 

Wow look at this idiot over here.

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11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Jungle Cruise Previews

MTC1 - 44690/284488 679716.78 1496 shows

 

40% of tickets sold today. Thinking ~2.7m previews. 

Well done, again! 

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6 minutes ago, Menor said:

Nice. 2.7 million is good. Green Knight was lower than many projected, so I guess the MTC2 underperformance did indicate something there.

 

JC Friday last night was 44148, which is about 43% of F9 at the same point. I'm hoping that ratio to increase for an 11 million Friday. Saturday was 25058 which is slightly down from Friday at the same point. Probably looking for a small bump there.

Was THU final 42K? MTC1 ATP is very high at $15. However I am waiting for clarification but MTC1 PSm was really bad how @keysersoze123 put it. 

 

Anyhow, 44K Friday PS, say 3.25x PSm for 140-145K final i.e. $1.4-1.6M. That should be $10M atleast. 

 

Now I watched the film, found it really ordinary and very bad visually, so IDK how the reception gonna be.

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4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Was THU final 42K? MTC1 ATP is very high at $15. However I am waiting for clarification but MTC1 PSm was really bad how @keysersoze123 put it. 

 

Anyhow, 44K Friday PS, say 3.25x PSm for 140-145K final i.e. $1.4-1.6M. That should be $10M atleast. 

 

Now I watched the film, found it really ordinary and very bad visually, so IDK how the reception gonna be.

Thursday final was 41,476.

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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Was THU final 42K? MTC1 ATP is very high at $15. However I am waiting for clarification but MTC1 PSm was really bad how @keysersoze123 put it. 

 

Anyhow, 44K Friday PS, say 3.25x PSm for 140-145K final i.e. $1.4-1.6M. That should be $10M atleast. 

 

Now I watched the film, found it really ordinary and very bad visually, so IDK how the reception gonna be.

I dont think Jungle Cruise will have same level of walkups as F9. Still should do well considering Rock/blunt. 

 

MTC1 Friday Start

58131/822139 788998.12 4311 shows. 

 

I would say 9m friday for now(minus previews). 

 

Edit; MTC2 is at 52346 tickets(after reducing DBOX overcount). So the ratio between the 2 mtc shows its playing at the same level everywhere. So MTC1 ratio will be lower. 

 

Edited by keysersoze123
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5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont think Jungle Cruise will have same level of walkups as F9. Still should do well considering Rock/blunt. 

Should be more. Completely non-existent IP. Targeted at general audience and low interest in general.

 

Edit: I was referring for THU.

 

Let me get clarification one more time. Did THU just went from 24K to 45K on final day. because MTC 2 went from 12k to 42K (3.5x).

 

Harkins was over 3x as well.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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