Jump to content
grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Should be more. Completely non-existent IP.

 

Edit: I was referring for THU.

 

Let me get clarification one more time. Did THU just went from 24K to 45K on final day. because MTC 2 went from 12k to 42K (3.5x).

 

Harkins was over 3x as well.

MTC1 always has a bad PSm. F9 was like 1.5x. Anyway that MTC1 data suggests more like 10 million to me, considering walkups should be relatively higher than F9 (not sure why @keysersoze123 is expecting lower) 

Edited by Menor
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

MTC 2 was 1.8x for F9 IIRC. Here MTC 1 is just 1.8x while MTC 2 is 3.5x. That's too much.

If using the same numbers that you are using for JC (Wed night), MTC2 was 2.14x for F9. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Menor said:

If using the same numbers that you are using for JC (Wed night), MTC2 was 2.14x for F9. 

Checked F9 MTC1, it was 1.95x vs 2.15x.

  

On 6/24/2021 at 5:47 AM, keysersoze123 said:

 

Previews - 67647/506916 965359.00 3034 shows

Friday -  91549/1083834 1174406.00 6086 shows

 

On 6/25/2021 at 9:18 AM, keysersoze123 said:

F9 MTC1

Previews - 131637/518700 1770173.00 3198 shows

Friday PS - 143293/1103847 1765561.00 6282 shows

 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
Link to post
Share on other sites
15 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jungle Cruise Megaplex Thursday

 

1696/15853 in 14 theaters. 

 

Black Widow comp: 2.70M

 

Performing really well here, which isn't much of a surprise considering it's a family movie and Utah. I am surprised at the Black Widow comp though.

Guess this wasn’t so surprising after all

  • Like 1
  • Astonished 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Also seems like a similar underperformance in Denver as it had for Jumanji. My Jumanji prediction was like 3.75M. Way under the actual. I checked the comp yesterday, and after removing 15% it was like 2.8M for Jungle Cruise. I’ll have to check when I get home but I guess these types of movies don’t do as well in Denver. Or they just don’t presell as well and have huge late walkups

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/27/2021 at 3:29 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

  Th Fr Sat Sun Total Comp Prediction
Stillwater 13 14 23 9 59  
Roadrunner 29 36 24 14 103 $1,139,212.67
Green Knight 65 37 22 11 135  
Old 26 52 19 16 113 $20,136,187.83
Escape 2 32 31 20 4 87 $13,657,330.86
Jungle Cruise 116 182 131 53 482  
Snake Eyes 74 63 42 35 214 $30,108,903
F9 489 674 443 197 1,803 $18,724,795
BW 1,310 972 584 278 3,144 $12,320,790

 

  Th Fr Sat Sun Total Comp Prediction
Stillwater 40 67 62 36 205  
Roadrunner 100 119 74 54 347 $4,112,278
Green Knight 203 178 102 65 548  
Old 181 285 119 48 633 $6,505,060
Escape 2 187 194 65 19 465 $5,971,790
Jungle Cruise 404 758 387 119 1,668  
Snake Eyes 217 237 184 91 729 $31,684,312
F9 1,155 2,017 941 440 4,553 $27,897,815
BW 2,333 2,445 1,206 582 6,566 $24,115,286

 

Jacksonville OW sales by day with comps; all taken Friday morning.   In the previous iteration, I was only using sales to OW multipliers for the comps, but I updated to factor in the ratio between preview multipliers (i.e. Stillwater had a much higher preview sales to gross multi than Roadrunner so I expanded that to the full weekend.)  I feel pretty good about the averages, though hopefully JC can hit the higher end of the range.  

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/29/2021 at 12:15 PM, Menor said:

Suicide Squad MTC2

 

Thursday

Showings: 1397 (+4)

Seats Sold: 6979/224106 (+826)

 

Comps: 

0.308x F9 (estimated) at the same point (2.19 million)

0.124x BW (estimated) at the same point (1.64 million)

 

Friday:

Showings: 3211 (nc)

Seats Sold: 5022/531206 (+476)

Comps:

0.231x F9 (estimated) at the same point (5.24 million)

0.128x BW (estimated) at the same point (3.37 million)

Thursday

Showings: 1397 (nc)

Seats Sold: 7805/224104 (+826)

 

Comps:

0.321x F9 (estimated) at the same point (2.28 million)

0.131x BW (estimated) at the same point (1.73 million)

 

Friday

Showings: 3215 (+4)

Seats Sold: 5665/532165 (+643)

 

Comps:

0.240x F9 (estimated) at the same point (5.44 million)

0.132x BW (estimated) at the same point (3.47 million)

 

All comps saw improvement today. This weekend will be crucial though. F9 saw a big improvement over the weekend so TSS needs to sell at a much faster pace to keep up.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Will have counts up later today, got things to do.

 

For those following the incredibly exciting news of whats going on in Ontario, Ontario talking about post stage 3, meetings requirements of percentages.

 

But heres the slightly confusing bit. They are saying that capacity limits will be lifted when we leave stage three. Mask requirements still will be in effect Alright fine, BUT, in the same news, they also say places that involve things like working out, eating (restaurants, theatres I would assume), when taking off mask, that when not wearing mask people will be required to still keep social distancing, or have barriers.

 

So, IMO, this tells me that either Theatres will have to continue to restricted seating, or they start putting barriers beside seats, which would be kind of weird. Hard to say till we get there, but possiblity even coming out of stage 3 theatres may still have some distancing/restrictions in place, therefore not having full seating.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, Menor said:

Thursday

Showings: 1397 (nc)

Seats Sold: 7805/224104 (+826)

 

Comps:

0.321x F9 (estimated) at the same point (2.28 million)

0.131x BW (estimated) at the same point (1.73 million)

 

Friday

Showings: 3215 (+4)

Seats Sold: 5665/532165 (+643)

 

Comps:

0.240x F9 (estimated) at the same point (5.44 million)

0.132x BW (estimated) at the same point (3.47 million)

 

All comps saw improvement today. This weekend will be crucial though. F9 saw a big improvement over the weekend so TSS needs to sell at a much faster pace to keep up.

It needs to add more shows. Will not happen until tuesday/wednesday next week. At least at MTC1 I see it go up as its filling up.

 

SS Previews(T-6)

MTC1 - 22413/229051 388334.95 1089 shows. 

 

On Jungle Cruise the pace seem below SJ for now. Its just under 75K at MTC1 and at 70K at MTC2. Thinking around 300K between 2 chains and around $3.2m. SJ2 did 4.7m between 2 chains. I am sticking to 9m true friday. Let us see if that goes up. 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 4
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 1/31/2020 at 10:22 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-6)

MTC1 - overall 1415 shows 18558/302388 323928.08  +2624
MTC2 - overall 1289 shows 6487/226009 84922.27 +1029

 

I guess it will slow down until Monday next week. MTC1 numbers are ok but MTC2 numbers are poor. My initial projection based on current numbers is around 5.5m previews. 
 

So TSS is about 20% higher in both MTC, but this is a 2020 comp. @keysersoze123 about how much higher is your coverage now than then?

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
46 minutes ago, Menor said:

So TSS is about 20% higher in both MTC, but this is a 2020 comp. @keysersoze123 about how much higher is your coverage now than then?

Not sure. From BO perspective wont make a huge difference. I was covering all big markets even back then. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

The Suicide Squad 

Toronto Ontario 

Taken July 30 for Thurs Aug 5 AND Friday Aug 6

 

Thursday 43 Shows 

Friday 45 Shows 

 

Yonge dundas

               Sold       

Thursday  64 (13)      

Friday      44 (31)      

 

Scotia

Thursday 176 (16)  

Friday      90(13)                   

 

Varsity

Thurs      20              

Friday NA

 

Yonge Eglinton

Thurs     40(9)   

Friday    39(9)        

 

Yorkdale

Thurs     13(4)      

Friday     13    

 

Eglinton Town

Thursday  30(13)         

Friday      26(9)          

 

Queensway

Thursday 100(23)     

Friday     70             

 

Empress walk 

Thursday   34 (10)   

Friday        5           

 

Thursday Total Sold 485 (110)

               Total Seats 9553(-207)

Friday Total Sold 324(85)

           Total Seats 9508 (-252)

 

So for simplicity I removed the negative seat count for each theatre and instead just gave a total seats and how much was lost from previous. Just focussed on increased sales per theatre. 

 

 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

TSS counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, August 5 (6 days to go):

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 140+ (4 showtimes and the same Sell Outs stuff, one of the two available shows is now „Almost Full“)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
164 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 16 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
7 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
10+ (3 showtimes, still two Sell Outs reported)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 235 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
547 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.119.
8% up and 78 seats sold since yesterday.

Now at 53.5% of Birds of Prey on its release day.
Hobbs & Shaw had in the same 7 theaters 1.194 sold tickets for Thursday on Monday of its release week. So TSS is now at 94% with 3 days left to come closer or overtake (this seems like a decent percentage for TSS but H&S had a good last week).
Normally movies have a 2 or 2.5 factor from Monday to Thursday in my tracking (e.g. AQP II, The Conjuring3, F9; H&S had rather x3). So let's say TSS has 1.400 sold tickets on Monday, then it would end with ca. 3k tickets on Thursday. Would be ok, 1.5x BoP (but HBO Max). Or maybe (hopefully) the jumps are way better next week. I just took the average jump of movies in the last weeks.
 

And for Friday, August 6:
NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7):120+ (9 showtimes, 4 alleged SOs)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
62 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 15 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9):
4 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11):
10 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 148 (13 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal):
355 (15 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 714.
Up 144% since Saturday July 17.
Birds of Prey had on its release day in the same 7 theaters 1.664 sold tickets for Friday. Means TSS is at 43% now with 6 days left to come closer or overtake it. Given the normal jumps that probably will happen but not much more.
F9 had 1.656 sold tickets in the same 7 theaters for Friday so TSS reached 43% at the moment with 3 days left to come closer.
And H&S had 1.234 sold tickets in the same 7 theaters for Friday so TSS is at 58% at the moment with also 3 days left to come closer.
Overall the Friday improved from disaster to :thinking: in my theaters but I would like to see bigger jumps as soon as possible.

Edited by el sid
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/29/2021 at 4:23 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Suicide Squad Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 117 661 17.70%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 59 753 7.84%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
405 39 10266 3.95% 15 50

 

Black Widow comp: 2.27M

F9 comp: 4.02M

AQP2 comp: 4.87M

 

Comps all went up finally

Suicide Squad Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 122 661 18.46%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 67 753 8.90%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
452 47 10791 4.19% 15 53

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 525

 

Black Widow comp: 2.41M

F9 comp: 4.16M

AQP2 comp: 4.92M

Adjusted Hobbs comp: 5.60M

 

Picking up some steam. The Hobbs comp is still extremely close to @Porthos's

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/29/2021 at 4:25 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Suicide Squad Megaplex

 

T-7 days Thursday: 187/8649 in 12 theaters

 

T-8 days Friday: 142/18606 in 11 theaters

Suicide Squad Megaplex

 

T-6 days Thursday: 221(+34)/9046(+397) in 13 theaters

 

T-7 days Friday: 154(+12)/19554(+948) in 12 theaters

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/29/2021 at 10:42 PM, Skipper Eric said:

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 415 8211 5.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 31

 

Comp

0.393x of F9 T-7 (2.79M)

0.157x of Black Widow T-7 (2.07M)

The Suicide Squad Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting (Thu)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 461 8211 5.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 46

 

Comp

0.404x of F9 T-6 (2.87M)

0.161x of Black Widow T-6 (2.12M)

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.




×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.