The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Tinalera]

1 hour ago, AJG said:

 

"Targets Best R rated debut of Pandemic" is a very valid target title. I'd understand if it were something like "best R rated debut of the Pandemic during the month of August", but the initial title is fine. We've been using the "of pandemic" qualifier for months now.

looking at it again it isn't that bad I guess, I just remember pre pandemic there were some interesting target titles lol. and maybe that set me off lol

 

[charlie Jatinder]

21 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The Suicide Squad Harkins California T-1 Day

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	20	4,842	270	5.58%	$3,428	$12.70
Cine 1	4	1,708	362	21.19%	$5,792	$16.00
Total	24	6,550	632	9.65%	$9,220	$14.59

 

Shows Added	-
Seats Added	-
Seats Sold	192

Comps

1.52x Jungle Cruise - $4.1M

 

JC sold 186 seats T-1 day while TSS sold 192 seats. On final day, JC sold 823 seats for 2.9x PSm. Expecting TSS to sell 750-800 seats for 1380-1430 final, which will give it 1.1-1.15x JC numbers i.e. ~$3M.

 

Addendum:

Estrella Fall and Arizona Mills

Format	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Normal	5	841	58	6.90%	$696	$12.00
Cine 1	4	1,276	177	13.87%	$2,655	$15.00
IMAX	2	890	127	14.27%	$1,905	$15.00
Total	11	3,007	362	12.04%	$5,256	$14.52

 

The numbers are currently 18.4% of BW final #s. Will probably hit 35% in final count. Doing better than CA in these two.

 

At 6PM, CA Harkins is $16,049 on 26 shows. The first shows occupancy is 31% Approx, final number shall be around $21-22K I believe. Good walk-ins, but the base is very low. So let's see.

 

In the 2 AZ theaters, its $8,898 on 12 shows. The first show occupancy is 32.6%, final number shall be $11K probably.

Edited August 6, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Inceptionzq]

On 8/4/2021 at 4:54 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Suicide Squad Megaplex

 

T-1 day Thursday: 467(+116)/9479(+351) in 13 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 1.24M

F9 comp: 2.29M

Suicide Squad Megaplex Thursday

 

1038(+571)/10633(+1154) in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 1.65M

Jungle Cruise comp: 1.65M

 

Funny how the comps are the same, but obviously a big underperformance here. And my only comps being family films don't help

[Menor the Destroyer]

I am a bit busy tonight so probably I won't give another Thursday number tonight. Anyway at this point the 49k projection at MTC2 won't be more than 2-3k off in either direction which makes no big difference. Will update with final Thurs number and Friday PS tomorrow morning. 

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Menor said:

I am a bit busy tonight so probably I won't give another Thursday number tonight. Anyway at this point the 49k projection at MTC2 won't be more than 2-3k off in either direction which makes no big difference. Will update with final Thurs number and Friday PS tomorrow morning. 

Did you check Friday though?

[ThomasNicole]

Previews seems fine. I'm more excited for Friday presales and walkups, this can change everything we discussed (or sadly confirm).

[Inceptionzq]

On 8/4/2021 at 4:47 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Suicide Squad Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

245

984

24.90%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

115

923

12.46%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
898	154	11959	7.51%	15	70

 

Showings added: 4

Seats added: 216

 

Black Widow comp: 2.92M

F9 comp: 4.15M

AQP2 comp: 3.57M

Adjusted Hobbs comp: 4.25M

Adjusted Birds of Prey comp: 3.63M

 

Not that good of a day. Would've liked to have seen something like 185 today. I don't think 4M is possible anymore. It would need to have a last day better than what F9 had(went 1.87x), and I counted that an hour early. And in the comparable theaters, it would have to more than double to at least match Hobbs and BoP.

 

Suicide Squad Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

371

984

37.70%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

227

923

24.59%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1974	1076	12033	16.40%	15	72

 

Showings added: 2

Seats added: 74

 

Black Widow comp: 4.10M

F9 comp: 4.88M

AQP2 comp: 4.30M

Adjusted Birds of Prey comp: 3.71M

Adjusted Hobbs comp: 3.97M

 

Really big last day. Didn't expect it to do this well. The Regal theaters ended up performing really well which is largely the reason for this boost. I know Porthos has some Regal theaters, so we'll see if there's a similar trend there. Not sure about anyone else. F9 is the obvious outlier here, especially with me counting that an hour early. So I'll just ignore that comp. A Quiet Place also seems a little high, but that isn't surprising to me because I don't expect the late walkups to be as strong as it. The Black Widow comp is pretty encouraging to me for 4M previews, but I'll play on the safe side of my comps and go with 3.8M. Which seems like it'll be on the high end of most people here.

[Porthos]

5 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [12:15pm - 12:45pm]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	15173	16843	1670	9.92%

 

Total Showings Added Since Last Night	4
Total Seats Added Since Last Night	279
Total Seats Sold Since Last Night	327

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Unadjusted Comp

%

Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]

Total Sold

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

Comp

Ont Comp

BW

21.31

891

7835

0/258

24466/32301

24.26%

2.81m

2.95m

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Adjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-0 [MId-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
F9	44.45		491	3390		0/170	17331/20721	16.36%		3.16m		3.30m
TSS (F9 adj)	---		297	1507		0/99	13094/14601	10.32%		---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TSS (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  0.78735x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-1* [3.88m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

===

 

Gut instinct says numbers are converging in the 3.5m-ish range.  We'll see how it is at final report in a few hours.

 

The Suicide Squad Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT FINAL REPORT [5:40pm - 6:10pm]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	14491	16843	2352	13.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day

682

 

T-0 Unadjusted Comp

%

Sold Since  Mid-Day

Total Sold

Sellouts/ Shows

Seats Left/ Total Seats

Perct Sold

Comp

Ont Comp

BW [4:20 - 5:20]

25.58

1361

9196

0/260

23235/32431

28.36%

3.38m

3.54m

ONTARIO COMP NOTE: Ont Comp is the number given in the Comp column/0.955 to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market.

 

T-0 Adjusted Comp #1 

	%		Sold Since  Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts/ Shows	Seats Left/ Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
F9 [5:30 - 6:10]	47.61		1017	4407		0/161	15341/19748	22.32%		3.38m		3.54m
TSS (F9 adj)	---		591	2098		0/99	12503/14601	14.37%		---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TSS (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

T-0 Adjusted Comp #2 

	%		Sold T-0	Total Sold		Sellouts/ Shows	Seats Left/ Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp		Ont Comp
AQP II [4:15 - 4:55]	69.57		943	3336		37/146	2140/5476	60.92%		3.34m		3.50m
TSS (AQP adj)	---		996	2321		0/111	14387/16708	13.89%		---		---

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TSS (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold without DBOX seats counted, which started to be tracked with F9's track 

 

EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP:  0.72624x of Hobbs & Shaw at T-0 [5:40 - 6:15]* [3.58m after adjusting for pandemic era environment]

* at theaters/showings I had the same level of tracking info.

 

===

 

Gee, I wonder what I think the comp should be.

 

Gonna go with The System and say 3.5m +/- .2m.

 

Some of the comps were taken a little sooner, but, eh.  Those had matinee showings. And with this amount of sales, doubt it matters all that much.

 

Now, we wait.

Edited August 6, 2021 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

@Porthos you asked for ON adjustment. You can use 97%. Canada last week was just 7% for Jungle Cruise.

Edited August 6, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@Porthos you asked for ON adjustment. You can use 97.25%. Canada last week was just 6-7% for Jungle Cruise.

 

I'll keep that in mind for the future, thanks. 👍  Don't think it matters all that much here though.

 

*does some quick checking*

 

Yeah, it lowers the comp to 3.47m or so, which rounds back up to 3.5m.  Might point to 3.4m, but, eh.  Too small to matter here, I think.

[Menor the Destroyer]

30 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Did you check Friday though?

Haven't, will do so in morning. Not at my computer.

[Chicago]

1 hour ago, lorddemaxus said:

I know another flop would cause more doom and gloom (I mean I'm sure another movie releasing after would cause it anyways), but just hoping the second part doesn't happen. The world would be a better place if Ryan Reynolds takes an L. 

Imagine slating one of the few genuinely likeable movie stars. With how miserable the world is right now, we could do with more Ryan Reynolds

[charlie Jatinder]

@keysersoze123 seems not in mood to track TSS. Hopefully he makes visit because TSS largely depend on how much MTC 1 overperformed.

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric Quinn said:

Free Guy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	68	6694	1.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.883x of Snake Eyes T-8 (1.24M)

0.883x of Jungle Cruise T-8 (2.38M)

Free Guy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	87	6694	1.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 19

 

Comp

1.048x of Snake Eyes T-7 (1.47M)

0.967x of Jungle Cruise T-7 (2.61M)

 

Pretty solid review bump that once again shows the film is tracking well in terms of presales and tickets sold. Don't really have anything else to add.

[Eric Duncan]

And now that my Free Guy comp is up...I have to give one final message to good ol' @WrathOfHan before I'm done for the evening...

 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

At 6PM, CA Harkins is $16,049 on 26 shows. The first shows occupancy is 31% Approx, final number shall be around $21-22K I believe. Good walk-ins, but the base is very low. So let's see.

 

In the 2 AZ theaters, its $8,898 on 12 shows. The first show occupancy is 32.6%, final number shall be $11K probably.

At 19:30, CA Harkins is $12,752 in 7 shows with an occupancy of 37.1%. These are first shows of the day, with 19 more remaining. 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

About 55 people at my 7pm XD for TSS tonight

[keysersoze123]

It did fairly well in final few hours.

 

SS Previews Final

MTC1 - 78737/300279 1227843.05 1651 shows

MTC2 - 54078(DBOX adjusted) roughly 700K 2072 shows

 

~ 3.8m previews,

 

Edit: On second thoughts that seem low. May be it will do 4.2m or so. But I am not sure. I expect smaller chains to do worse relative to performance at MTC1. 

Edited August 6, 2021 by keysersoze123

[charlie Jatinder]

Thanks @keysersoze123. I have tried to make sense of other chains and yes $4M seems like it. Ideally these MTC 1 numbers would have meant $5.25M.

 

Edit: I thought MTC2 numbers were MTC1 Friday. 54K is more than what @Menor projected. So yeah $4.2M seems likely.

Edited August 6, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Thanks @keysersoze123. I have tried to make sense of other chains and yes $4M seems like it. Ideally these MTC 1 numbers would have meant $5.25M.

Average ticket price is high for SS due to PLF/Imax dominating its ticket sales. That said F9 sold 140K at MTC1 for 7.1. But average ticket price was lower. I think low 4s is most probable more I ruminate on the numbers.