The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[BadOlCatSylvester]

When are you all going to start tracking Candyman? I know tickets went on sale today.

[DInky]

I almost want No Time To Die to get delayed again just for laughs.

[Eric Atreides]

26 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

When are you all going to start tracking Candyman? I know tickets went on sale today.

Monday. My hands are very full at the moment

[el sid]

Reminiscence counted today at 12pm EST for Friday, August 20:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 77 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 6 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 4 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 3 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 66 (7 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 65 (6 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 225.
Up only 22% since yesterday.

Comps: Stillwater (5.2M OW) had on Wednesday for Friday 41 sold tickets in 6 theaters (so here vs 148),
THWB (11.4M OW) had also on Wednesday for Friday 132 sold tickets
and TWWMD had on Wednesday in 4 theaters 81 sold tickets, Reminiscence has in the same 4 theaters 211 sold tickets today.

Paw Patrol: The Movie counted today at 12pm EST for Friday, August 20:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): still no showtimes
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 86 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 46 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 35 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 14 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 19 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 29 (5 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 279.

Up 40% since yesterday.
Comps: Dolittle (21.8M OW) had in 7 theaters on Wednesday for Friday 240 sold tickets and and in the same 6 theaters 212.
The Boss Baby 2 (16.0M OW) had also on Wednesday in the same 6 theaters 140 sold tickets.

The Protege counted today at 12pm EST for Friday, August 20:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 15 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 3 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 4 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 5 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 26 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 30 (3 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 83.

Comps: The Rhythm Section had on Wednesday for Friday 104 sold tickets in the same 7 theaters
and TWWMD had 81 in 4 (so vs 76 here).
 

The Night House counted today at 12pm EST for Friday, August 20:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 10 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 2 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): no showtimes
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 1 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 18 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 40 (3 showtimes)
 

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 72.

Comps: Old had on Wednesday for Friday 262 sold tickets
and The Forever Purge had on Wednesday for Thursday 168 sold tickets.
Sub 5M OW probably.

Overall that was a really slow day.

[DInky]

 

Reminiscence rotten right from the get-go.

[TwoMisfits]

7 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

4.3K added on TUE. I suppose another 6K today and 15K+ on THU for 35K final PS, right where we had it few days back. As for PSm, still feel 3.5-4x, for 120-140K. Using $8.5 ATP, $1.05-1.2M in MTC 2. 

 

As for MTC 1, its not doing well at moment. Just 13K till yesterday, adding mere 3K on TUE. May be 4.5K today and 10K tomorrow for 20K final PS. 3.25x PSm for 65K final aka $650K. Adding non-coverage locs will take it to $775K. 

 

That make it feel like all MTC3 audience went to MTC2. TUnless MTC1 improves, it will be mid $4M. 

 

That's what would happen in my area - my 2 closest theaters are Cinemarks...if I went 3-5 more minutes away, they'd be Regals...so I look to both if I want to see something (and who has better prices and times, with Cinemark for me being #1 if all else is equal)...

 

That said, I was at Regal today for the final Kid Summer movie HTTYD3, b/c they had a Wednesday showing, and I couldn't do a Tuesday movie this week b/c of dental appointments...and $1 tickets for 4 interested kids is a winner:)...

Edited August 19, 2021 by TwoMisfits

[BadOlCatSylvester]

2 minutes ago, DInky said:

 

Reminiscence rotten right from the get-go.

We should seriously make that into a reaction here. The ones on the bottom right of each post? Can this site add more?

[Legion Again]

5 hours ago, john2000 said:

if shang chi hit 60 mill ow or so then no , everything will be fine also their take for box office is a little out of place and the reason is here

 

 

 

 

 

 

in these 4 weeks many things changed and by a big margin yet the BO as you can see didnt.... and the dalies for holdovers are very normal so for now......

 

 

 

Yep. This weekend is probably targeting ~65M, nothing to indicate a delta issue given what’s opening. Next weekend could go below 50M depending on Candyman, but then probably looking at O/U 100M for Labor Day, one of the highest of the pandemic.

[Inceptionzq]

16 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

133

1752

7.59%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

82

1016

8.07%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
514	113	13962	3.68%	14	75

 

Black Widow day 2 comp: 8.70M

Suicide Squad comp: 8.64M

Fast 9 comp: 9.48M

 

So like I said yesterday, the comps are gonna be weird. I would definitely take the under on these. I think I'll be able to count at my normal time tomorrow, if not, I will on Thursday. So we'll see how much that affects the comps.

Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

154

1752

8.79%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

83

1016

8.17%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 16 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
554	40	13962	3.97%	14	75

 

Black Widow day 3 comp: 7.97M

Suicide Squad comp: 8.94M

Fast 9 comp: 9.19M

 

So as expected, the comps fell. Except for TSS, but that's just due to the weakness of its presales, especially in the middling days. 44 tickets sold at the 6 Regals @charlie Jatinder. Not sure how useful that'll be because they aren't presale heavy in Denver.

[TwoMisfits]

So, was it ever officially declared that Regal came to no deal on Paw Patrol (both my Regals set, both don't have it, so I figure it's a certainty but I didn't see the news here)...

[Inceptionzq]

16 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-16 days Thursday: 488(+105)/16744 in 15 theaters

 

T-17 days Friday: 282(+66)/36161(+1538) in 15 theaters

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-15 days Thursday: 551(+63)/16744 in 15 theaters

 

T-16 days Friday: 311(+29)/36161 in 15 theaters

 

Keep in mind, this is 16ish hours of data. Still no comps, but looking ahead, Black Widow had 1519 tickets sold for Thursday on its 6th day of presales, and 842 tickets for Friday. Don't think Thursday will be on pace to be in the 7.5-8M range for the comp. Not exactly sure what to make of Friday's pace because I expect that to be more walkup friendly than BW, but the first comp will probably be under 15M.

[Shawn Robbins]

5 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

We should seriously make that into a reaction here. The ones on the bottom right of each post? Can this site add more?

I second this.

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

So, was it ever officially declared that Regal came to no deal on Paw Patrol (both my Regals set, both don't have it, so I figure it's a certainty but I didn't see the news here)...

Perhaps they just quietly declined without making a big stink about it like when Cinemark boycotted Raya.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Disney/20th Century Studios’ Free Guy is expected to continue its reign at the box office with around $14M,-50%, after beating expectations last weekend with a $28.3M debut; hope that the box office is developing a Teflon tendency against the variant
 

The true test as to whether pandemic and vax cards can derail the box office will be seen in Disney’s Labor Day weekend release of Marvel’s Shang-Chi and the Legend of Ten Rings. That pic is already poised to rank as the best Labor Day weekend opening off all-time at $45M over four days. The pic is fantastic, played through the roof at its world premiere in Hollywood on Monday, and is bound to overindex and make box office history. Knock on wood.

 

Deadline is projecting high single digits for Paw Patrol, 5m for Reminiscence and Protege and 2-3m for Night House

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

I am expecting 15-16M for FG and PP may be 15-20 depending on how MTC1 does.

[Ezen Baklattan]

The Night House (34 total)
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
8/18/2021	8/19/2021	0	2	18	316	5.70%
8/18/2021	8/20/2021	0	8	16	632	2.53%
The Protégé (16 total)
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
8/18/2021	8/19/2021	0	2	4	316	1.27%
8/18/2021	8/20/2021	0	8	12	632	1.90%
Paw Patrol: The Movie
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
8/18/2021	8/20/2021	0	13	314	1018	30.84%
Reminiscence
Tracking Date	Showtime Date	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
8/18/2021	8/20/2021	0	8	10	1084	0.92%

 

Difference from Monday:

• The Protege: +220%
• The Night House: +127%
• Paw Patrol: +65%
• Reminiscence: 25%

On Wednesday, here are some comps for sales here:

• Jungle Cruise - 447
• In The Heights - 339
• The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It - 314
• The Boss Baby: Family Business - 267
• Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway - 234
• Old - 229
• The Green Knight - 149
• Spirit Untamed - 141
• Snake Eyes - 134
• Stillwater - 51
• The Forever Purge - 34

Some of these numbers, especially Spirit and Peter Rabbit, definitely imply a bit of overindexing on family films in this area, so maybe don't read too much into those Paw Patrol numbers. The Night House is a bit ahead of The Forever Purge, and The Protege is looking like a nonstarter here. Reminiscence, though....jesus christ, there's no excuse for those numbers. It seemed like the exact kind of film people would watch on streaming, and it's about to pay the price big time.

[charlie Jatinder]

I didn't thought I will track it but thought to just look by and Paw Patrol

is doing HUGE in Harkins. I checked Estrella Falls, it has sold 153/548 on 4 shows for Friday. In comparison TSS had 159/1219 sold at same time for THU but majority of it was from one Cine 1 show.

 

Now this could be just one day, only way to find is check few others, which I am gonna.

Edited August 19, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[RamblinRed]

2 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Disney/20th Century Studios’ Free Guy is expected to continue its reign at the box office with around $14M,-50%, after beating expectations last weekend with a $28.3M debut; hope that the box office is developing a Teflon tendency against the variant
 

The true test as to whether pandemic and vax cards can derail the box office will be seen in Disney’s Labor Day weekend release of Marvel’s Shang-Chi and the Legend of Ten Rings. That pic is already poised to rank as the best Labor Day weekend opening off all-time at $45M over four days. The pic is fantastic, played through the roof at its world premiere in Hollywood on Monday, and is bound to overindex and make box office history. Knock on wood.

 

Deadline is projecting high single digits for Paw Patrol, 5m for Reminiscence and Protege and 2-3m for Night House

 

 

D'Alessandro is doing some impressive rah-rah writing in that piece. It feels like he is just trying to will SC to a big opening. So far polling suggests there has been little change in behavior - about a 5% drop in people going out and it feels like we are seeing that in weekend totals. So I think he is largely correct that there is little impact to the box office based on the delta variant so far. Hopefully for the movie industry it stays that way, though it numbers keep climbing at some point there will be a drop.

 

[Borobudur]

You guys think at what range SC has to open to finally make studio think that we have gone back to pre-pandemic time? 

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

You guys think at what range SC has to open to finally make studio think that we have gone back to pre-pandemic time? 

 

 

(DIV/0 ERROR) OW.

 

(in other words, there is no possible OW that could make studios think the impossible)

((at least not one that has even an unreasonable chance of happening))

Edited August 19, 2021 by Porthos