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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Shang Chi Harkins T-5 Days

 

Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
Normal 155 40,886 1,110 2.71% $13,042 $11.75
Cine 1 16 4,818 1,063 22.06% $16,463 $15.49
Cine Capri 4 1,782 114 6.40% $1,668 $14.63
IMAX 2 890 188 21.12% $2,820 $15.00
             
Total 177 48,376 2,475 5.12% $33,993 $13.73

 

Sold 169 seats today. SAT before release, so down day.

you mean that its normal ? i ask bc i didnt understand your comment

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Just now, Lokis Legion said:

Probably 9+, but the admit/admit comps without any ATP consideration should end up in 8-9 range yes.

thanks man ...though i am a man of the 9-10 range 👁️‍🗨️

Edited by john2000
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13 minutes ago, Menor said:

Key is today. Sunday bumps usually set the tone for how the final week will go. I had set a target of 35.5k at MTC2, let's see if it gets there.

If daily pace is 50-60% of BW for next few days, that will be quite ok IMO. PSm shall be better than BW in theory. 

 

Looked up BW, seems like it did 4600 in 26 hours on SUN. So I guess 2300-2800 be fine for SC.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

If daily pace is 50-60% of BW for next few days, that will be quite ok IMO. PSm shall be better than BW in theory. 

 

Looked up BW, seems like it did 4600 in 26 hours on SUN. So I guess 2300-2800 be fine for SC.

BW had July 4th and had a massive bump on Monday which SC cannot match. So 2300-2800 would be an awful number to me. 

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On 8/28/2021 at 7:12 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-5 Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 43 7,251 439 30 6.05%
    Phoenix 6 34 5,968 507 53 8.50%
    Raleigh 8 31 3,846 493 57 12.82%
  Shang-Chi Total   20 108 17,065 1,439 140 8.43%

 

Another big jump, increasing a couple more percentage points on BW.  I missed commenting on it, but yesterday's total surpassed TSS's preview morning run.

 

Comps

BW - .45x (5.95m)

F9 - 1.26x (8.96m)

TSS - 3.04x (12.47m)

 

T-5 snapshot comparison

 

 

Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
Black Widow Jacksonville 6 64 11,033 1,028 54 9.32%
  Phoenix 6 54 8,930 853 35 9.55%
  Raleigh 7 47 5,803 1,312 86 22.61%
Black Widow Total   19 165 25,766 3,193 175 12.39%
F9: The Fast Saga Jacksonville 6 38 7,449 320 37 4.30%
  Phoenix 6 47 7,731 386 37 4.99%
  Raleigh 7 29 3,811 434 24 11.39%
F9: The Fast Saga Total   19 114 18,991 1,140 98 6.00%
Suicide Squad Jacksonville 6 24 4,399 159 17 3.61%
  Phoenix 6 24 3,826 160 23 4.18%
  Raleigh 8 25 3,230 154 8 4.77%
Suicide Squad Total   20 73 11,455 473 48 4.13%
Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 43 7,251 439 30 6.05%
  Phoenix 6 34 5,968 507 53 8.50%
  Raleigh 8 31 3,846 493 57 12.82%
Shang-Chi Total   20 108 17,065 1,439 140 8.43%

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-4 Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 43 7,251 467 28 6.44%
    Phoenix 6 34 5,968 569 62 9.53%
    Raleigh 8 31 3,846 527 34 13.70%
  Shang-Chi Total   20 108 17,065 1,563 124 9.16%

 

I'm not buying into the 8m+ previews yet with it still <50% of BW's sales at this point.  Leaning more towards 7m at this point in time.  

 

Comps

BW - .46x (6.09m)

F9 - 1.26x (8.94m)

TSS - 3.05x (12.49m)

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18 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I went to buy my ticket for Shang-Chi today (would have bought first day of presales but was waiting for some personal news) and Cinemark's site isn't accepting credit payments currently 

Ok if this is a widespread thing then I may have to throw out my projections for the day lol. Thanks for the heads up. 

 

Has this happened to anyone else? Probably will affect some of our local trackers' numbers if it's a chain-wide issue, especially @Porthos

Edited by Menor
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47 minutes ago, Menor said:

Ok if this is a widespread thing then I may have to throw out my projections for the day lol. Thanks for the heads up. 

 

Has this happened to anyone else? Probably will affect some of our local trackers' numbers if it's a chain-wide issue, especially @Porthos

 

No idea.  Not about to try to purchase a ticket on the corp site to find out, either. ;)

 

FWIW, I was able to get all the way to the payment page on a random movie purchase.  Just didn't try to, you know, actually purchase a ticket. 

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On 8/28/2021 at 3:35 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 332 1786 18.59%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 260 1396 18.62%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1429 91 15536 9.20% 15 84

 

AMCs sold 997
Cinemarks sold 170
Regals sold 203
Harkins sold 59

 

Black Widow comp: 7.12M

Fast 9 comp: 11.98M

 

Hmm maybe it wasn't that much of a blip 2 days ago. I guess if it does end up at 7-8M, then we should expect more days with a flat BW comp, barring an overperformance in Denver. No SS comp today.

Shang-Chi Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 350 1786 19.60%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 281 1396 20.13%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1528 99 15536 9.84% 15 85

 

AMCs sold 1058
Cinemarks sold 184
Regals sold 223
Harkins sold 63

 

Black Widow comp: 7.16M

Fast 9 comp: 11.70M

Suicide Squad comp: 11.73M

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On 8/28/2021 at 3:51 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-5 days Thursday: 1397(+104)/16995 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 5.77M [3197(+167)]

Fast 9 comp: 12.72M

 

T-6 days Friday: 1047(+116)/36065 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 10.54M [2613(+254)]

Fast 9 comp: 21.58M

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-4 days Thursday: 1532(+135)/16995 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 5.88M [3440(+243)]

Fast 9 comp: 13.00M

 

T-5 days Friday: 1129(+82)/36065 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 10.32M [2878(+265)]

Fast 9 comp: 20.48M

 

Friday is still all over the place. Hopefully today will be the last bad day for it.

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Had to take the run a couple of hours before I wanted but SC is at 34283/337782 on 2095 shows in MTC2. Accounting for the extra couple of hours it's around 400 below my target (to hit 118k final). Needs to break 40k by my usual update tomorrow night to be on pace. It is around half of BW and about 10% ahead of F9. I do think that the MTC2 number today was slightly deflated by whatever credit card error as from my partial run in the afternoon it was going really really slow. But things seem to have normalized.

Edited by Menor
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8 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Tried again with Cinemark and still receive this disclaimer: (it’s not my card)

 

  • We're sorry, but we are unable to process credit payments at this time. Please try again at a later time or visit the theater for purchase.

Hmm. So maybe the error is still present. Does Fandango or Atom work?

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Shang Chi Previews(T-4)

MTC1 - 67366/403835 1113774.88 2183 shows

MTC2 - 35428/332275 488767.35 2049 shows

Shang Chi OD(T-5)

MTC1 - 54354/721293 872323.96 3512 shows

MTC2(DBOX Adjusted) - 32363/681584 468755.97 4298 shows

 

So the acceleration has begun. Let us see how things go in next few days. There is still a mountain to climb. I am not changing my predictions for now. 

 

@Menor it appears almost all but 1 theater has merged DBOX and regular shows for previews while OD is still not. But I feel that might happen before showtime starts. 

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BW had $5.15M ($5M US only) worth THU previews on Sunday night, could have been $5.25M probably if not for July 4th. 

SC has $3.25M Approx ($3M US only).

 

BW added $2.9M in next 3 days and eventually $5M in THU sales & walkups. I suppose SC can afford adding $1.8M in next 3 days and then $4M ish on final day, something of sorts.

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