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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-3 days Thursday: 1804(+272)/18498(+1503) in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 6.30M [3779(+339)]

Fast 9 comp: 13.63M

 

T-4 days Friday: 1448(+319)/48654(+12589) in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 11.58M [3289(+411)]

Fast 9 comp: 22.37M

 

Fantastic day here as well

Shang-Chi Megaplex

 

T-2 days Thursday: 2121(+317)/19574(+1076) in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 6.38M [4387(+608)]

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 6.68M

Fast 9 comp: 12.79M

 

T-3 days Friday: 1800(+352)/59082(+10428) in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 12.08M [3919(+630)]

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 12.65M

Fast 9 comp: 22.47M

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8 minutes ago, Menor said:

Sunday and Monday were both good overall. I suspect today won't be a bad day either based on my intermediate runs at MTC2.

I should clarify — some regionals seem to be on a pretty steady seesaw. Don’t really know why. But it is the sort of things that mostly washes out at national scale data, and national data is really where it’s at.

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18 minutes ago, Porthos said:

*checks something unrelated*

 

 

Ummmm....

 

WHEN DID SHANG-CHI GET AN EARLY ACCESS SHOWING?????

 

(Just saw a 5pm showing over at Cen Arden labeled "Early Access")\

 

EDIT:::

 

Not showing up on Fandango, so that would explain why I never noticed it. 

 

Has this been a Cinemark exclusive all along and no one told me???

 

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I'll do a more through scan tonight, but it looks like Century Arden has the only Early Access showing of Shang-Chi in the entire region.  I'll double check Regals tonight.

 

I'll add it to the comp, but not as part of today's sales.

 

Not gonna bump things up too much as it's presently only 48 tickets sold, but I don't want to muck with the day-to-day analysis too much by claiming it as part of today's sales.

 

In case any of the national trackers want to check this out, this is "MovieId=86123" over at MTC2.

 

It'll be an utter pittance of showings as I can't even find any info whatsoever about this on Google. But I've found it at at least one other random Cinemark location.

 

...

 

Seriously, was the like no press release about this?  Like, at all???  Checked out the Twitter feed on Cinemark and came up nada.  

 

...

 

How random.  Whatever.

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21 minutes ago, Menor said:

I think it's normalization after yesterday seemed a bit too good to be true (86% of BW's pace was too big). Probably will trend better tomorrow. 

Yeah it is. I should add that today's pace was about 72% of BW. Still a solid pace, it would end at 8.56M for the straight BW comp, and 8.96M for the adjusted.

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Annnnnnyway....

 

35 minutes ago, Jamiem said:

By the way forgot to ask this a while back but does the MTC data include people that rent out a full theatre for the $200-300? Or are you unable to track that? @keysersoze123 @Menor

 

Because it seems to be a somewhat popular thing to do to make sure that people know who will be in the theatre with them with Delta concerns. 

 

To add what others have said, locally, there's almost no showings for any Private Watch Parties on Thursday Night.  Not like at the height of things like GvK.

 

Near as I can tell, out of all the theaters I track, only three Cinemark locations are publicizing PWPs for Thur Night.  Combined, three out of five PWPs have been sold.  At $250 a pop, that's not nothing.  But at only three, it's still not worth noting.  For comparison, AQP II (which was the last major movie to really have many PWPs) had 9 PWPs sold while GvK had ***83***.  

 

In other words:  Meh.

 

It's right at the border of mattering (looks to be the equivalent of about 75 to 80 tickets by some rough math), and I suppose if all five showings sell out, I'll thinking about making some sort of adjustment for it.  But until then, I repeat: Meh.

 

(Yes, this is what I was looking into when I got sidetracked)

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3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Annnnnnyway....

 

 

To add what others have said, locally, there's almost no showings for any Private Watch Parties on Thursday Night.  Not like at the height of things like GvK.

 

Near as I can tell, out of all the theaters I track, only three Cinemark locations are publicizing PWPs for Thur Night.  Combined, three out of five PWPs have been sold.  At $250 a pop, that's not nothing.  But at only three, it's still not worth noting.  For comparison, AQP II (which was the last major movie to really have many PWPs) had 9 PWPs sold while GvK had ***83***.  

 

In other words:  Meh.

 

It's right at the border of mattering (looks to be the equivalent of about 75 to 80 tickets by some rough math), and I suppose if all five showings sell out, I'll thinking about making some sort of adjustment for it.  But until then, I repeat: Meh.

 

(Yes, this is what I was looking into when I got sidetracked)

Thanks for contextualising with local numbers, does seem it will have a minimal effect at best.

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1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

 

In case any of the national trackers want to check this out, this is "MovieId=86123" over at MTC2.

 

It'll be an utter pittance of showings as I can't even find any info whatsoever about this on Google. But I've found it at at least one other random Cinemark location.

 

...

 

Seriously, was the like no press release about this?  Like, at all???  Checked out the Twitter feed on Cinemark and came up nada.  

 

...

 

How random.  Whatever.

Yeah this is weird. I guess I'll figure out how to account for it tomorrow. Probably will not make a big difference anyway. 

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Shang-Chi and the Legend of The Ten Rings

North Shore Cinema (2 days before previews, 3 before release)

Mequon, WI

9/3/21

 

6:00 - 40/116

7:00 - 93/301 - UltraScreen 

7:45 - 9/63

8:30 - 0/146


215.6% ahead of Birds of Prey ($104.2M)

14.5% ahead of Venom ($91.9M)

95.9% of Ant-Man and The Wasp ($72.7M)

67.2% of Spider-Man: Homecoming ($78.8M)

59% of Thor: Ragnarok ($72.6M)

50.7% of IT ($62.6M)

47.8% of Justice League ($44.9M)

 

 

It’s good to back dropping some ticket tracking locally y’all. Anyways while these comparisons are very old, it’s impressive that Shang-Chi for the most part is closely following these comparisons during a pandemic with less preview showtimes. I think that a $65m-$70m weekend seems really likely.

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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4 minutes ago, cax16 said:

SC is selling really well on Thursday at my local theatre, it’s already sold 330 tickets, the only real recent comp

I have is TSS and that finished with just over 100 seats sold. 

20M previews here we go :ohmygod:
 

Spoiler

Regional overperformance? Never heard of her ;) 

 

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35 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said:

20M previews here we go :ohmygod:
 

  Hide contents

Regional overperformance? Never heard of her ;) 

 

I live on the border of a city called Markham in Ontario that has a pretty large Asian population. My theatre is selling well but the theatre in the heart of Markham that is an Imax/VIP theatre is selling really big, already 545 tickets sold and that place is mostly premium prices. It’s especially good when you factor in that we have limited seating in each theatre. But I looked at the surrounding cities and all are selling well as well so I think it’s just doing well in most theatres I’ve looked at. 

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23 hours ago, Eric and the Ten Rings said:

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 69 2302 12800 17.98%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 9

Total Seats Added Today: 1,336

Total Seats Sold Today: 318

 

Comp

1.422x of F9 T-3 (10.09M)

0.630x of Black Widow T-3 (8.31M)

3.107x of The Suicide Squad (12.74M)

 

Pretty good final Monday. I was actually unsure if the F9 comp would see an increase, and while obviously it's not the main comp to look out for, it is still nice to see. Looking forward to the next few days.

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 93 2627 16255 16.16%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 24

Total Seats Added Today: 3,455

Total Seats Sold Today: 325

 

Comp

1.355x of F9 T-2 (9.62M)

0.613x of Black Widow T-2 (8.09M)

2.925x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (11.99M)

 

Well...there's a lot more showtimes to fill up the next two days.

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Shang Chi Previews (T-2)

MTC1 - 89789/488413 1456903.53 2865 shows (+11147)

MTC2 - 50392/425765 686604.21 3133 shows(+7785)

 

Shang Chi Friday (T-3)

MTC1 - 83569/1028810 1307816.57 5613 shows(+16153)

MTC2 - 48697/876676 605578.24 6052 shows (+10210)

 

Shang Chi Saturday(T-4)

MTC1 - 54233/1108790 780772.69 6084 shows (+12006)

MTC2 - 31813/906658 367318.70 6190 shows(+6951)

 

Another good day. Previews sales did not amp up as much as what I thought was possible after yesterday's sales. But Friday had ginormous increase in showcount and excellent ticket sales as well. Tomorrow Friday will overtake Previews PS. 

 

Edit: Updated with Saturday PS. 

Edited by keysersoze123
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On 8/30/2021 at 11:02 PM, Porthos said:

 

Shang-Chi and the Legends of the Ten Rings 

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

156

19111

21852

2741

12.54%

 

Total Showings Added Today

43

Total Seats Added Today

4241

Total Seats Sold Today

335

 

T-3 Comp

 

   %

 

Sold T-3

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

BW

53.81

 

469

5094

 

0/193

22219/27313

18.65%

 

7.44m

TSS

306.26

 

144

895

 

0/100

15314/16209

5.52%

 

12.86m

COMP NOTE: The BW Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). The TSS Comp has not been adjusted.

 

Regal: 572/6465 [8.85% sold] [+90 tickets]

 

===

 

Very solid, but not spectacular day.  Shang-Chi did approx 71% of Black Widow's T-3 locally. 

 

Not too much else to say, except perhaps, yes the TSS comp remains useless.  Barring the occasional blip, here in Sacto it's 'steady as she goes' for a low to mid 8m comp.  Have to see how much showtime expansion helps goose the numbers tomorrow.  BW sold 706 tickets locally at T-2, so 70% of that would be just shy of 500 (491.4).  

 

Shang-Chi and the Legends of the Ten Rings 

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

183

21325

24604

3279

13.33%

 

Early Access Show Added

1

Early Access Seats Added

118

Early Access Seats Already Sold

48

 

Total Showings Added Today

26

Total Seats Added Today

2634

Total Seats Sold Today

490

 

Total Seats Sold Added to Total

538

 

T-2 Comp

 

   %

 

Sold T-2

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

BW

56.53

 

706

5800

 

0/241

25079/30879

18.78%

 

7.81m

TSS

308.76

 

167

1062

 

0/105

15390/16452

6.46%

 

12.96m

COMP NOTE: The BW Comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955). The TSS Comp has not been adjusted.

 

Regal: 725/7155 [10.13% sold] [+153 tickets]

 

===

 

As discussed a bit up thread, I discovered that at least some Cinemark locations (probably a very very few of them) are having a Early Access showing at 5pm, and Century Arden is one of them.  At the time I spotted it, it had sold 48/118 tickets and so I put that information in a separate block.

 

All other screenings contributed 490 tickets sold, which means that Shang-Chi's tickets sold on T-2 was 69% of Black Widow's T-2 tickets sold.

 

So, yes, it was a very nice day locally.  Still thinking mid to low 8's as a local comp, but we'll see what the last two days bring.

Edited by Porthos
Decided that my 'nice' allusion was a *little* too blue, so I edited it out
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Before posting Harkins, Sacramento chart

image.png

As can be seen that, unlike BW where T-2 day was well short of first day of sales, SC has reached its first day of sale like F9. Now let's see if its flat tomorrow like F9 or jump like BW, I suppose/hope the latter. Say 850 tomorrow and 2.1k on final day for total of 6.3k as against 9.2k of BW and 4.4k of F9.
 

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