The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Do we know what was Endgame's Canada OW?

 

Plus what is the potential for Shang Chi. Can it hit double digits in Canada over the weekend. I expect this to be big in Toronto/Vancouver areas where the chinese population should be big. 

c$38.5m. was $28.5m back then now $31.5m with better ER.

 

@keysersoze123

Edited September 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Menor the Destroyer]

41 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said:

Pretty close to national. I would expect Shang to come in right around that 1.75 mark, but we’ll see when we see.

The T-1 comp being posted a couple hours later would likely depress that multi.

[ThomasNicole]

Seems the question now is if it will be closer to 8M or 9M, but anyway it will be a great preview number and should lead to a strong weekend that hopefully will calm down the doom and gloom.

 

Hoping for 9M tho, acceleration so far seems good enough, if tomorrows did really good i think it will be more probable than 8M.

Edited September 1, 2021 by ThomasNicole

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, Menor said:

The T-1 comp being posted a couple hours later would likely depress that multi.

Depends when T-0 gets counted I suppose. Having windows of 21-27 hours sometimes instead of strict 24 can make comps a little more error prone but that’s just the nature of the beast as IRL stuff can interfere with the timing.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Shang-Chi on Saturday for Thursday:

CINEMARK (44)

6pm XD (16), 915 XD (14)

630 3D (5), 945 3D (0)

7pm (9), 1015 (0)

 

AMC (313)

6pm (11), 630 (3), 830 (3)

7pm Dolby (159)

730 3D (8)

8pm IMAX (129)

 

Shang-Chi today for Thursday

CINEMARK: (98) +54

6pm XD (35), 915 XD (23)

630 3D (12), 945 3D (0)

7pm (23), 730 (1), 8 (0), 830 (0), 1015 (4)

 

AMC: (523) +210

6 (34), 630 (16), 830 (75)

7PM DOLBY (186)

730 3D (13)

8pm IMAX (199)

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$28.5M. 

Amazing. Canada has grown faster than US and that is saying something considering Endgame did 357m+ in NA. for Comparison TDK grossed 10.53m OW in Canada while its overall record OW was 158.4m in 2008. Avatar opened to "just"  6.26m in Canada and grossed over 100m total. 

 

Endgame records will stand this decade for sure. 

[Mr Terrific]

SIAP

What is reasonable guess for 3D/4D if it hits $8m previews?

Thanks. 

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, Mr Terrific said:

SIAP

What is reasonable guess for 3D/4D if it hits $8m previews?

Thanks. 

64/78

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The Fridays at my theaters still lack matinees. Earliest showtimes begin around 3. Is this an east coast thing or everywhere?

 

Aka I wonder if early estimates are underrating which would cause freakouts while the night shows explode and make up for it. Or that Saturday holds better

[charlie Jatinder]

32 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Amazing. Canada has grown faster than US and that is saying something considering Endgame did 357m+ in NA. for Comparison TDK grossed 10.53m OW in Canada while its overall record OW was 158.4m in 2008. Avatar opened to "just"  6.26m in Canada and grossed over 100m total. 

 

Endgame records will stand this decade for sure. 

I suppose the numbers reported at WoKJ are in US$. If so, ER in 2008 was $1=C$1.05. 

 

Growth in local currency is 2.86x. If they are already in C$, then 3x.

 

Edit: Looking at HP 6 numbers, they seems to be in C$. HP 6 did C$30.5M which was US$32M in Nov 2007.

 

Edit 2: Not enough data to prove anything.

Edited September 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[TalismanRing]

37 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

The Fridays at my theaters still lack matinees. Earliest showtimes begin around 3. Is this an east coast thing or everywhere?

 

Aka I wonder if early estimates are underrating which would cause freakouts while the night shows explode and make up for it. Or that Saturday holds better

 

No, my local multiplex have Friday starts at 11am. Looking at Manhattan - lots of shows starting at 10/11.

Edited September 2, 2021 by TalismanRing

[Tinalera]

Shang Chi-

Toronto Ontario

 Taken Aug 1st for Friday Aug 3

 

	friday
29	12	41	Vip
29	12	41
29	12	41
17	30	47
1	56	57	vip
2	55	57
11	33	44
0	61	61
17	22	39
19	14	33
11	33	44
10	38	48
63	93	156	Imax
84	84	168
108	47	155
82	82	164
26	15	41	4dx
28	12	40
30	12	42
27	24	51
2	381	383	avx
4	375	379
9	362	371
0	387	387
1	222	223	reg
7	204	211
19	182	201
5	218	223	mandarin with sub
3	245	248
98	144	242	imax	sco
112	151	263
0	318	318
141	118	259
1	313	314	3d
0	318	318
0	318	318
0	318	318
14	350	364
21	337	358
81	209	290
48	350	398
5	299	304	reg
0	390	390
4	300	304
1	226	227
4	380	384
9	206	215
2	306	308
25	331	356
60	119	179
13	276	289
0	390	390
2	227	229
1	31	32	vip	varsity
1	31	32
1	33	34
1	31	32
2	30	32	vip
2	30	32
6	18	24
0	36	36
13	14	27
12	10	22
14	20	34
5	15	30		sellout
2	202	204	reg
7	192	199
7	183	190
5	192	197
35	380	415
30	398	428
130	207	337
24	405	429	3d
51	214	265	avx	Yonge Eglinton
41	232	273
102	133	235
59	213	272
3	58	61	vip
1	58	59
13	33	46
11	36	47
13	47	60
20	37	57
39	15	54
31	28	59
4	400	404	3d
0	406	406
7	304	311	reg
9	388	397
6	309	315
0	406	406
20	274	294
9	298	307
77	168	245	York	avx3d
5	384	389	avx
7	382	389
17	346	363
12	365	377
0	253	253	3d
8	227	235
12	365	377
5	242	247
0	253	253
4	439	443	reg
13	420	433
16	410	426
9	434	443
34	254	288	imax	egtwn
45	245	290
94	134	228
68	198	266
15	202	217	3d
0	211	211
46	138	184
3	231	234
4	298	302	reg
2	205	207
0	306	306
1	206	207
3	299	302
11	190	201
0	306	306
4	199	203
0	211	211
0	211	211
3	204	207
6	412	418	avx3d	queen
4	414	418
28	100	128
4	414	418
84	105	189	avx
106	74	180
122	61	183
105	84	189
10	83	93	vip
25	62	87
26	51	77
24	70	94
48	26	74
55	25	80
47	29	76
1	104	105
0	109	109
122	61	183
3	102	105
3	240	243	reg
6	294	300
7	289	296
7	285	292
3	270	273
12	257	269
0	279	279
12	251	263
4	239	243
7	232	239
7	291	298	2 additonal sellouts
33	274	307	Imax	Empress
79	225	304
110	144	254
56	255	311
0	347	347	3d
5	338	343
1	343	344
5	334	339
45	285	330
41	233	274
0	246	246	reg
2	240	242
2	240	242
8	228	236
28	312	340
21	326	347
78	227	305
3971		39191
Total seats sold	`	Total seats sold and available

[Tinalera]

As I thought, good old Cineplex dropping the bomb of extra shows and screens. Yay! 

 

Toronto sales for Shang Chi seem very strong, theres definitely an interest in the movie. Have to wonder how much of it is a brand new character, seeing as last character Origin film was Captain Marvel (?)

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Mr Terrific said:

SIAP

What is reasonable guess for 3D/4D if it hits $8m previews?

Thanks. 

 

1 hour ago, Lokis Legion said:

64/78

 

8 hours ago, Lokis Legion said:

Meltdown bar $80,366,312

 

 

      

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

 

 

 

      

Well, the meltdown bar is 4day and we’re definitely going over 8 for previews, so this checks out pretty well I feel?

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, Lokis Legion said:

Well, the meltdown bar is 4day and we’re definitely going over 8 for previews, so this checks out pretty well I feel?

 

You love tempting fate, don'tcha?   I mean,  I think it's going over 8, but... 

 

...

 

Lemme put it this way.

 

IN NO WAY ON GOD'S GREEN EARTH WOULD SHANG-CHI DOING "ONLY" 75M ON THE FOUR DAY BE WORTHY OF A MELTDOWN.

 

Like, I get the joke you're going for.  But, no.  Not remotely.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

IN NO WAY ON GOD'S GREEN EARTH WOULD SHANG-CHI DOING "ONLY" 75M ON THE FOUR DAY BE WORTHY OF A MELTDOWN.

Oh what do you know of Meltdown dear sire.

 

Moment tracking thread say $10M THU and it didn't hit $85M 4 days, there will be MELTDOWNS.

[Jamiem]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

You love tempting fate, don'tcha?   I mean,  I think it's going over 8, but... 

 

...

 

Lemme put it this way.

 

IN NO WAY ON GOD'S GREEN EARTH WOULD SHANG-CHI DOING "ONLY" 75M ON THE FOUR DAY BE WORTHY OF A MELTDOWN.

 

Like, I get the joke you're going for.  But, no.  Not remotely.

Agreed particularly as it would be a Labor Day record by a large margin. 

 

That said most of the US data is pointing to at least at 8m preview number but with Canada over performance and likely late walk ups due to Delta concerns in some regions I would be shocked by a number under 9m and I am expecting 10m. 

[iHeartJames]

I promised my boyfriend anal if this goes pass 8 so fingers crossed

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Oh what do you know of Meltdown dear sire.

 

"

 

Oh,I think I know a thing or two about box-office related meltdowns. 

 

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Moment tracking thread say $10M THU and it didn't hit $85M 4 days, there will be MELTDOWNS.

 

This kinda presupposes that the tracking thread doesn't say "10m Thr", for the record.

 

Even so, I stand by my initial statement.