The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

Yes Canada is over-performing but with all its overperformance, it will be just matter of $200K more previews than what normal has been recently.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Hey hey hey, the Meltdown bar is clearly 68,033,544/72,017,777. 

 

Spoiler

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3294135809/

 

[Jamiem]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yes Canada is over-performing but with all its overperformance, it will be just matter of $200K more previews than what normal has been recently.

So $10.2m for previews then 😉

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, Menor said:

Hey hey hey, the Meltdown bar is clearly 68,033,544/72,017,777. 

 

  Hide contents

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3294135809/

 

I have been bested by the facts. 72,017,777 it is.   
 

Spoiler

My personal bar for a meltdown will remain 80,366,312 though

 

[Legion Again]

FWIW the recent run at MTC2 did look much weaker than I was hoping for today, so I have adjusted back down… to 9-10

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, Lokis Legion said:

FWIW the recent run at MTC2 did look much weaker than I was hoping for today, so I have adjusted back down… to 9-10

Which one? The last I took was in line with expectations. Generally Wednesday night is when the surge occurs. So I'm waiting for Keyser's end-of-day post to get a true sense of the day. 

Edited September 2, 2021 by Menor

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, Menor said:

Which one? The last I took was in line with expectations. Generally Wednesday night is when the surge occurs. So I'm waiting for Keyser's end-of-day post to get a true sense of the day. 

9-01 3:15  

 

But like I told Jat I don’t really have a sense of the hourly trends (how much of a non-final-day weekday’s sales is concentrated between, say, 16:00 and 20:00) so I was keeping an open mind until we got keyser 24. Glad to hear that it looked normal to you, fwiw I was targeting a 26% increase in gross today. Not sure if it looks on track for that or if you simply had lower expectations.

[charlie Jatinder]

35 minutes ago, iHeartJames said:

I promised my boyfriend anal if this goes pass 8 so fingers crossed

Fingers crossed as in you want that or don't want that. 

 

I suppose you want that, so be prepared...

[Menor the Destroyer]

11 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said:

9-01 3:15  

 

But like I told Jat I don’t really have a sense of the hourly trends (how much of a non-final-day weekday’s sales is concentrated between, say, 16:00 and 20:00) so I was keeping an open mind until we got keyser 24. Glad to hear that it looked normal to you, fwiw I was targeting a 26% increase in gross today. Not sure if it looks on track for that or if you simply had lower expectations.

From that run and some partial data I had later I'm conservatively expecting 62k in tickets when Keyser posts. ATP will drop a bit so it will probably fall slightly short of your target. But not too far even if it only does 62k (ftr this would require a somewhat lower night bump than BW). 

Edited September 2, 2021 by Menor

[Jamiem]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Fingers crossed as in you want that or don't want that. 

 

I suppose you want that, so be prepared...

[Eric Atreides]

23 hours ago, Eric and the Ten Rings said:

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	93	2627	16255	16.16%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 24

Total Seats Added Today: 3,455

Total Seats Sold Today: 325

 

Comp

1.355x of F9 T-2 (9.62M)

0.613x of Black Widow T-2 (8.09M)

2.925x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (11.99M)

 

Well...there's a lot more showtimes to fill up the next two days.

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	93	3239	16255	16.16%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 2

Total Seats Sold Today: 612

 

Comp

1.282x of F9 T-1 (9.1M)

0.630x of Black Widow T-1 (8.31M)

2.961x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (12.14M)

 

There's another showing marked as a sellout, but last I checked the showing only sold 3 tickets beforehand, so it might be a glitch, though we'll see what happens tomorrow. The other two sellouts sold substantially more, so they seem legit. Overall a pretty decent day, though I feel like Ida diminished sales quite a bit, because here in my area and adjacent ones, shit is rough. I'm honestly amazed I was able to get home from work in that storm.

[Cap]

BOOOOOOOYS. 
 

@Porthos @Lokis Legion @charlie Jatinder @Menor @everyone

 

 

Aka. I’m really living my best life right now watching Tony Leung movies in preparations for tomorrow. I don’t have time for talk about meltdowns. 
 

I think it’s important to keep in mind that the record, even without a pandemic, for Labor Day is $30 million. Anything over 50, regardless of how this is tracking or not should be a victory. Yes, if you want to be personally upset cool. But we haven’t even released the movie yet. Can we not use the M Word until we at least open the weekend thread. 

 

 

Okay time to go back to this sexy, sexy man.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Cap said:

I think it’s important to keep in mind that the record, even without a pandemic, for Labor Day is $30 million.

I think the whole Labor Day record thingy is BS when nothing good released on the weekend for years. 

 

FWIW I think considering September weekends will be better measure if we are simply talking about records.

 

IT2 opened $90M plus in 2nd Sep weekend which I don't know is how any better than Labor Day weekend.

[Rorschach]

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

IMAX showings: 104/774

6:00 P.M.: 84/387

9:15 P.M.: 20/387

3D showings: 14/237

6:30 P.M.: 9/85

7:45 P.M.: 2/67

9:45 P.M.: 3/85

2D showings: 188/924

6:15 P.M.: 18/67

7:00 P.M.: 61/135

7:30 P.M.: 18/141

8:00 P.M.: 66/238 

9:30 P.M.: 5/67

10:15 P.M.: 15/135

10:45 P.M.: 5/141

Total Sold: 306/1,935 (15.81% sold)

 

Comps:

Black Widow: $6.83 mil

The Suicide Squad: $11.95 mil

Avg: $9.39 mil

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday:

IMAX showings: 36/1,548

12:30 P.M.: 3/387

3:45 P.M.: 2/387

7:00 P.M.: 28/387

10:15 P.M.: 3/387 

3D showings: 8/580

10:55 P.M.: 0/238

1:15 P.M.: 0/67

4:30 P.M.: 4/67

7:45 P.M.: 0/67

9:30 P.M.: 4/141

2D showings: 206/2,053

10:05 A.M.: 16/135

11:25 A.M.: 4/94

11:45 A.M.: 3/141

1:20 P.M.: 8/135

2:10 P.M.: 9/238

2:40 P.M.: 0/94

3:00 P.M.: 2/141

4:35 P.M.: 9/135

5:25 P.M.: 45/238

5:55 P.M.: 8/94

6:15 P.M.: 30/141

7:50 P.M.: 40/135

8:40 P.M.: 25/238

9:10 P.M.: 7/94

Total Sold: 250/4,181 (5.98% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 556/6,116 (9.09% sold)

 

Comps:

Black Widow: $18.23 mil

The Suicide Squad: $39.97 mil

Avg: $29.1 mil

[lorddemaxus]

Based on how the next week or two go for me in regards to college, I might start tracking the AMC Metreon 16 and a couple other Bay Area cinemas, starting with No Time to Die. Don't know if there's anyone else here already tracking this area tho. 

[keysersoze123]

On 8/31/2021 at 9:27 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Previews (T-2)

MTC1 - 89789/488413 1456903.53 2865 shows (+11147)

MTC2 - 50392/425765 686604.21 3133 shows(+7785)

Shang Chi Friday (T-3)

MTC1 - 83569/1028810 1307816.57 5613 shows(+16153)

MTC2 - 48697/876676 605578.24 6052 shows (+10210)

Shang Chi Saturday(T-4)

MTC1 - 54233/1108790 780772.69 6084 shows (+12006)

MTC2 - 31813/906658 367318.70 6190 shows(+6951)

Shang Chi Previews (T-1)

MTC1 - 106741/496553 1706964.55 2955 shows (+16952)

MTC2 - 62714/437426 847217.55 3239 shows(+12322)

 

Friday(T-2)

MTC1 - 104635/1049190 1611227.01 5755 shows (+21066)

MTC2 -  62984/907790 776121.42 6379 shows (+14287) 

 

Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 - 66911/1123011 952734.16 6191 shows (+12678)

MTC2 - 39995/923499 458032.07 6346 shows (+8182)

 

Black Widow MTC1 (on Jul 7 though I believe it was few hours earlier)

Spoiler

 

Previews - 141757/717631 2051689.00 4383 shows

Friday - 144030/1224424 1847358.00 6973 shows

Saturday - 89750/1268567 1038785.00 7224 shows

 

 

Edited September 2, 2021 by keysersoze123

[Legion Again]

Slower than I would have liked but only by a tad. Given the weather in northeast I’d say a perfectly solid day. I am going back down to 9-10 though.

[Menor the Destroyer]

It's for sure surpassing my targets for 9 (I think even 165k and 115k might suffice for that given the huge ATP diff + Canada). 10 seems tough unless it really explodes tomorrow but fingers crossed.  Ehh maybe,  since this is theatrical exclusive it should have a significantly better trend than BW tomorrow. Have to wait and see. 

Edited September 2, 2021 by Menor

[Jamiem]

5 minutes ago, Menor said:

Ehh maybe,  since this is theatrical exclusive it should have a significantly better trend than BW tomorrow. Have to wait and see. 

Yeah think walkups should be stronger but will likely have more of an impact on FSSM.

[Legion Again]

Yeah as always the last day is make or break in the end 😛   
 

I’m getting around 9.4 if the final day multiplier is 2:1 weighted combination of BW and TSS, or 9.3 if it’s 3:1 weighted. I don’t think it will go below that though of course no guarantees.