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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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The Addams Family 2
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
9/29/2021 9/30/2021 0 9 (+50%) 21 (+17%) 613 (+29%) 3.43%
9/29/2021 10/1/2021 0 17 (+89%) 161 (+79%) 1297 (+86%) 12.41%
             
             
The Many Saints of Newark
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
9/29/2021 10/1/2021 0 8 (--) 237 (+20%) 624 (--) 37.98%
             
             
Venom: Let There Be Carnage
Tracking Date Showtime Date Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
9/29/2021 9/30/2021 0 31 (+72%) 629 (+32%) 2965 (+29%) 21.21%
9/29/2021 10/1/2021 0 53 (+90%) 645 (+58%) 5123 (+40%) 12.59%

 

Venom sales for Friday overtook Thursday previews, which seems promising. A LOT of showtimes are being given to this movie, which can hold a lot more showtimes thanks to a shorter runtime. The non-XD showtimes are also starting to carry their weight, though most Friday shows before 5pm are pretty much dead. Numbers are still like 3x where Jungle Cruise was overall, but that's not a great comp.

 

I thought Newark would gain showtimes thanks to its strong performance, but at this point, only handicapped and front section seats are available for most shows. Similar comps could very well suggest a mid teens opening. 

 

Addams is running 40% of Jungle Cruise, 68% of Boss Baby 2, 77% of Peter Rabbit 2, and 128% of Spirit Untamed. The comps average out to around a $4m Friday, which seems fair, maybe even closer to $5m.

Edited by Ezen Baklattan
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23 hours ago, Eric Soprano said:

The Addams Family 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 54 61 8288 0.74%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 18

Total Seats Added Today: 2,568

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.341x of Boss Baby 2 T-2 (446K)

0.256x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (692K)

The Addams Family 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 54 105 8288 1.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 44

 

Comp

0.390x of Boss Baby 2 T-1 (511K)

0.335x of Jungle Cruise T-1 (906K)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.424x of The Addams Family T-1 (530K)

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23 hours ago, Eric Soprano said:

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 139 2163 25956 8.33%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 42

Total Seats Added Today: 5,913

Total Seats Sold Today: 404

 

Comp

1.116x of F9 T-2 (7.92M)

0.504x of Black Widow T-2 (6.66M)

2.409x of The Suicide Squad (9.87M)

0.823x of Shang-Chi T-2 (7.25M)

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 139 2979 25956 11.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 816

 

Comp

1.179x of F9 T-1 (8.37M)

0.579x of Black Widow T-1 (7.65M)

2.723x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (11.16M)

0.920x of Shang-Chi T-1 (8.09M)

 

Wild to think this could finish ahead of Shang-Chi tomorrow.

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23 hours ago, Eric Soprano said:

The Many Saints of Newark Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 64 501 9304 5.38%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 33

Total Seats Added Today: 4,805

Total Seats Sold Today: 124

 

Comp

0.924x of Cruella Thu+Fri Tuesday Before Release (7.12M)

0.497x of Conjuring 3 T-3 (4.88M)

 

If there's one thing you can say about this weekend's openers, it's that theaters are starved for fresh new blood and getting rid of some dead weight. These show increases are pretty darn crazy.

The Many Saints of Newark Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 68 655 9564 6.85%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 260

Total Seats Sold Today: 154

 

Comp

0.821x of Cruella Thu+Fri Wednesday Before Release (6.33M)

0.433x of Conjuring 3 T-2 (4.25M)

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23 hours ago, Eric Soprano said:

No Time to Die Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 75 825 14653 5.63%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 7

Total Seats Added Today: 483

Total Seats Sold Today: 74

 

Comp

0.881x of F9 T-9 (6.26M)

0.348x of Black Widow T-9 (4.59M)

2.463x of The Suicide Squad T-9 (10.1M)

0.625x of Shang-Chi T-9 (5.5M)

No Time to Die Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 75 941 14653 6.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 116

 

Comp

0.939x of F9 T-8 (6.67M)

0.374x of Black Widow T-8 (4.95M)

2.450x of The Suicide Squad T-8 (10.05M)

0.668x of Shang-Chi T-8 (5.88M)

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Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

IMAX showings: 83/1,164

4:00 P.M.: 15/388

6:45 P.M.: 53/388

9:30 P.M.: 15/388

3D showings: 40/255

4:30 P.M.: 8/85

7:15 P.M.: 25/85

10:00 P.M.: 7/85

2D showings: 259/1,485

5:00 P.M.: 38/135

5:15 P.M.: 18/94

5:35 P.M.: 27/238

6:10 P.M.: 53/141

7:30 P.M.: 22/67

7:45 P.M.: 53/135

8:00 P.M.: 11/94

8:20 P.M.: 19/238

8:55 P.M.: 8/141

10:15 P.M.: 5/67

10:30 P.M.: 5/135

Total Sold: 382/2,904 (13.15% sold)

 

Comps:

Black Widow: $8.53 mil

The Suicide Squad: $14.92 mil

Shang-Chi: $10.99 mil

Average: $11.48 mil

 

Friday:

IMAX showings: 37/1,940

11:00 A.M.: 1/388

1:40 P.M.: 0/388

4:20 P.M.: 6/388

7:00 P.M.: 19/388

9:40 P.M.: 11/388

3D showings: 26/452

12:30 P.M.: 3/141

4:00 P.M.: 6/85

6:40 P.M.: 2/85

8:30 P.M.: 15/141

2D showings: 263/3,118

10:20 A.M.: 9/135

11:30 A.M.: 5/238

11:50 A.M.: 0/85

12:15 A.M.: 2/94

1:00 P.M.: 5/135

1:20 P.M.: 2/85

2:10 P.M.: 4/238

2:30 P.M.: 0/85

2:55 P.M.: 0/94

3:10 P.M.: 7/141

3:40 P.M.: 5/135

4:50 P.M.: 15/238

5:10 P.M.: 3/85

5:35 P.M.: 0/94

5:50 P.M.: 45/141

6:20 P.M.: 33/135

7:30 P.M.: 53/238

7:50 P.M.: 6/85

8:15 P.M.: 7/94

9:00 P.M.: 24/135

9:20 P.M.: 6/85

10:10 P.M.: 28/238

10:30 P.M.: 4/85

Total Sold: 326/5,510 (5.92% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 708/8,414 (8.41% sold)

 

Comps:

Black Widow: $23.21 mil

The Suicide Squad: $50.9 mil

Shang-Chi: $37.57 mil

Average: $37.23 mil

 

:ohmygod::Venom:
 

 

The Addams Family 2 (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

4:00 P.M.: 7/78

5:00 P.M.: 0/67

6:30 P.M.: 2/78

7:40 P.M.: 0/67

9:00 P.M.: 3/78

10:20 P.M.: 0/67

Total Sold: 12/435 (2.76% sold)

 

Comps:

Jungle Cruise: $540k

Free Guy: $695k

Average: $618k

 

Friday:

11:25 A.M.: 0/78

12:45 P.M.: 2/85

2:05 P.M.: 5/78

3:25 P.M.: 9/85

4:40 P.M.: 10/78

6:05 P.M.: 4/85

7:15 P.M.: 30/78

8:45 P.M.: 0/85

9:50 P.M.: 0/78

Total Sold: 60/730 (8.22% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 72/1,165 (6.18% sold)

 

Comps:

Space Jam: A New Legacy: $3.88 mil

Jungle Cruise: $5 mil

Free Guy: $7.45 mil

Paw Patrol: The Movie: $2.96 mil

Average: $4.82 mil


 

The Many Saints of Newark (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Friday:

10:55 A.M.: 4/94

2:00 P.M.: 5/94

5:00 P.M.: 11/94

8:00 P.M.: 16/94

Total Sold: 36/376 (9.57% sold)

 

Comps:

Stillwater: $2.3 mil

Reminiscence: $3.04 mil

Candyman: $4.95 mil

Malignant: $7.2 mil

Cry Macho: $5.24 mil

Average: $4.55 mil

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22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Venom 2

Previews(T-2)

MTC1 - 79487/684682 1324576.71 3641 shows (+16618)

MTC2 - 60900/672035 820780.94 4928 shows (+11922)

Friday(T-3)

MTC1 - 73954/1058723 1214876.16 5548 shows (+17988)

MTC2 - 61910/1031446 781550.17 7368 shows(+13974)

 

Venom 2

Previews(T-1)

MTC1 - 105386/694819 1723845.68 3758 shows (+25899)

MTC2 - 83346/686539 1111332.01 5082 shows (+22446)

Friday(T-2)

MTC1 - 96628/1079043 1566674.26 5694 shows (+22674)

MTC2 - 80037/1040744 1002734.60 7425 shows (+19137)

Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 -  66982/1170079 1006790.00 6201 shows

MTC2 - 52966/1075843 631082.40 7585 shows

 

Another impressive day. It exceeded numbers projected by @charlie Jatinder for previews. I agree with him on 10m+ previews now. Excellent MTC ratios for friday/saturday as well, compared to what we saw for Shang Chi. This is beating Venom 1 OW at this point. 

 

How good was the PS for previews. It sold 10K in past 4.5 hours in MTC1 and about the same in 5 hours at MTC2. 

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On 9/28/2021 at 11:35 PM, Porthos said:

 

No Time To Die Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 Days and Counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

142

21077

22115

1038

4.69%

 

Total Showings Added Today

7

Total Seats Added Today

856

Total Seats Sold Today

88

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp

 

   %

 

Sold T-9

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

AQP II 

137.33

 

79

750

 

3/86

2823/3573

20.99%

 

6.90m

F9

81.77

 

81

1223

 

0/80

11347/12570

9.73%

 

6.08m

NTTD (AQP adj)

---

 

86

1030

 

0/142

20935/21965

4.69%

 

---

NTTD (F9 adj)

---

 

80

1000

 

0/121

18065/19065

5.25%

 

---

COMP NOTE: Both the AQP II comp and the F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NTTD (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX showings which were not tracked at that time while NTTD (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

 

Matinee: 39/1644 [2.34% sold] | 3.76% of all tickets sold

Regal:   214/7504 [2.85% sold] [+23 tickets]

 

===

 

Don't think there was nearly enough time for social media reactions to have made too much of a difference locally (they dropped at 4pm my time).  Be interesting to see if there's any real movement tomorrow.

 

No Time To Die Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and Counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

144

21181

22353

1172

5.24%

 

Total Showings Added Today

2

Total Seats Added Today

238

Total Seats Sold Today

134

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp

 

   %

 

Sold T-8

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

AQP II 

141.76

 

69

819

 

2/86

2754/3573

22.92%

 

7.13m

F9

84.73

 

100

1323

 

0/84

11791/13114

10.09%

 

6.30m

NTTD (AQP adj)

---

 

131

1161

 

0/144

21042/22203

5.23%

 

---

NTTD (F9 adj)

---

 

121

1121

 

0/123

18182/19303

5.81%

 

---

COMP NOTE: Both the AQP II comp and the F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NTTD (AQP adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX showings which were not tracked at that time while NTTD (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps.

SELLOUT NOTE:  Locally, AQP II was still under a capacity cap, which greatly inflated the number of sellouts as well as depressing the amount of seats available.

 

Matinee: 48/1644 [2.88% sold] | 4.10% of all tickets sold

Regal:   244/7504 [3.25% sold] [+30 tickets]

 

===

 

All in all, a nice review boost. 👍

Edited by Porthos
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On 9/28/2021 at 11:36 PM, Porthos said:

 

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and Counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

241

29214

32969

3755

11.39%

 

Total Showings Added Today

26

Total Seats Added Today

1759

Total Seats Sold Today

718

 

T-2 Comp         

 

   %

 

Sold T-2

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

BW

64.74

 

706

5800

 

0/241

25079/30879

18.78%

 

8.95m

SC

114.52

 

490

3279

 

0/183

21325/24604

13.33%

 

10.08m

COMP NOTE:  Both the BW and the F9 comps has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

T-2 Adjusted Comp 

 

   %

 

Sold T-2

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

F9

140.61

 

397

2460

 

0/143

15720/18180

13.53%

 

10.45m

V2 (F9 adj)

---

 

656

3459

 

0/226

27133/30592

11.31%

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: V2 (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

Matinee:    232/3239 [7.16% sold] | 6.18% of all tickets sold

Regal:      792/10653 [7.43% sold] [+332 tickets]

 

===

 

Still managed to outsell Black Widow at T-2, if only just.  Not too bad at all. 👍

 

Venom: Let There Be Carnage Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and Counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

244

28009

33136

5127

15.47%

 

Total Showings Added Today

3

Total Seats Added Today

167

Total Seats Sold Today

1372

 

T-1 Comp         

 

   %

 

Sold T-1

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

BW

73.83

 

1144

6944

 

0/258

25357/32301

21.50%

 

10.21m

SC

121.84

 

929

4208

 

0/188

20777/24985

16.84%

 

10.72m

COMP NOTE:  Both the BW and the F9 comps has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

T-1 Adjusted Comp 

 

   %

 

Sold T-1

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

F9

162.88

 

439

2899

 

0/168

17632/20531

14.12%

 

12.11m

V2 (F9 adj)

---

 

1263

4722

 

0/229

26037/30759

15.35%

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: V2 (F9 adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in F9's track.

 

Matinee:    362/3239 [11.18% sold] | 7.06% of all tickets sold

Regal:      792/10653 [11.33% sold] [+415 tickets]

 

====

 

Just a monster of a day locally for :Venom:.

 

That F9 comp isn't gonna hold as F9 exploded on its last day, as per usual for the franchise.  But, sakes alive, to surpass Black Widow today by more than 200 tickets at T-1 isn't an easy ask at all.

Edited by Porthos
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3 minutes ago, XO21 said:

it was raging only in a certain weekend.

SC did have pretty awful timing, with respect to covid 🤣   
 

Hospitalizations have been over 80k from mid Nov 2020-mid feb 21 and mid Aug 21-end of Sep 21. Hoping we get a nice sentiment shift in the broader culture to be a tailwind for V2 all the way through M4, Sing2, etc

 

And I suppose I should probably take this to the actual covid theater thread if people are interested further.

 

 

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22 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 Addams Family 2 Jacksonville 6 18 3,102 28 13 0.90%
    Phoenix 7 19 2,228 46 23 2.06%
    Raleigh 7 19 1,681 46 33 2.74%
  Addams Family 2 Total   20 56 7,011 120 69 1.71%
  Venom 2 Jacksonville 6 83 11,952 823 181 6.89%
    Phoenix 7 70 10,651 1,053 257 9.89%
    Raleigh 7 53 6,013 768 178 12.77%
  Venom 2 Total   20 206 28,616 2,644 616 9.24%
T-2 Many Saints Jacksonville 7 31 3,559 98 21 2.75%
    Phoenix 7 30 3,292 112 38 3.40%
    Raleigh 7 30 3,431 131 38 3.82%
  Many Saints Total   21 91 10,282 341 97 3.32%
T-7 No Time to Die (Wed) Jacksonville 3 3 1,046 78 12 7.46%
    Phoenix 1 1 410 14 2 3.41%
    Raleigh 1 1 151 81 3 53.64%
  No Time to Die (Wed) Total   5 5 1,607 173 17 10.77%
T-8 No Time to Die* Jacksonville 7 60 10,170 184 25 1.81%
    Phoenix 6 31 5,132 161 24 3.14%
    Raleigh 7 32 3,812 244 13 6.40%
  No Time to Die Total   20 123 19,114 589 62 3.08%

*No Time to Die had 15 seats switched from sold to unavailable and have been removed from previous days

 

Venom 2 has now surpassed SC at the same point.

 

Addams Family 2 T-1 comps

Boss Baby 2 - .69x (898k)

Peter Rabbit 2 - 1.12x (1.01m)

 

Many Saints T-2 comps (Friday)

Candyman - 1.67x (5.01m)

 

Venom 2 T-1 comps

TSS - 2.76x (11.32m)

F9 - 1.21x (8.61m)

SC - 1.08x (9.5m)

 

Average - 9.81m

 

No Time to Die T-8 comps

F9 - .65x (4.65m)

TSS - 1.72x (7.06m)

 

Average - 5.85m

Average incl Wed - 7.57m

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-0 Addams Family 2 Jacksonville 6 18 3,102 34 6 1.10%
    Phoenix 7 19 2,228 57 11 2.56%
    Raleigh 7 20 1,723 60 14 3.48%
  Addams Family 2 Total   20 57 7,053 151 31 2.14%
  Venom 2 Jacksonville 6 85 12,126 1,182 359 9.75%
    Phoenix 7 70 10,651 1,510 457 14.18%
    Raleigh 7 56 6,240 1,051 283 16.84%
  Venom 2 Total   20 211 29,017 3,743 1,099 12.90%
T-1 Many Saints Jacksonville 7 31 3,559 130 32 3.65%
    Phoenix 7 30 3,292 196 84 5.95%
    Raleigh 8 32 3,557 159 28 4.47%
  Many Saints Total   22 93 10,408 485 144 4.66%
T-6 No Time to Die (Wed) Jacksonville 3 3 1,046 93 15 8.89%
    Phoenix 1 1 410 15 1 3.66%
    Raleigh 1 1 151 87 6 57.62%
  No Time to Die (Wed) Total   5 5 1,607 195 22 12.13%
T-7 No Time to Die Jacksonville 7 60 10,170 207 23 2.04%
    Phoenix 7 37 5,593 203 42 3.63%
    Raleigh 7 32 3,812 276 32 7.24%
  No Time to Die Total   21 129 19,575 686 97 3.50%

 

Addams Family 2 T-0 comps

Boss Baby 2 - .583x (763k)

Peter Rabbit 2 - .585x (527k)

 

Many Saints T-1 comps (Friday)

Candyman - 1.65x (4.95m)

Cry Macho - 2.62x (4.19m

 

Venom 2 T-0 comps

TSS - 2.95x (12.11m)

F9 - 1.22x (8.69m)

SC - 1.24x (10.94m)

 

Average - 10.58m

 

No Time to Die T-7 comps

F9 - .71x (5.05m)

TSS - 1.73x (7.1m)

 

Average - 6.075m

Average incl Wed - 7.8m

 

I haven't been posting numbers separately for the new Jacksonville theater but there was a big jump for Venom there in the past day that maybe warrants a separate note.  Overall the % sold isn't too different from the totals above so I'm not sure it's making too much of an impact being new, other than what would be expected.  It could help explain why my numbers are higher overall and I'll be interested to see if numbers come in below my comp predictions this week. If I had time I'd do some historical sales by theater in Jacksonville to see if I can see how it's affecting others.

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-0 Addams Family 2 Jacksonville 1 3 294 17 1 5.78%
  Venom 2 Jacksonville 1 23 2,273 260 101 11.44%
T-1 Many Saints Jacksonville 1 4 392 18 3 4.59%
T-7 No Time to Die Jacksonville 1 11 1,085 50 4 4.61%
Edited by katnisscinnaplex
Missed updating the average
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7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Venom 2

Previews(T-1)

MTC1 - 105386/694819 1723845.68 3758 shows (+25899)

MTC2 - 83346/686539 1111332.01 5082 shows (+22446)

Friday(T-2)

MTC1 - 96628/1079043 1566674.26 5694 shows (+22674)

MTC2 - 80037/1040744 1002734.60 7425 shows (+19137)

Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 -  66982/1170079 1006790.00 6201 shows

MTC2 - 52966/1075843 631082.40 7585 shows

 

Another impressive day. It exceeded numbers projected by @charlie Jatinder for previews. I agree with him on 10m+ previews now. Excellent MTC ratios for friday/saturday as well, compared to what we saw for Shang Chi. This is beating Venom 1 OW at this point. 

 

How good was the PS for previews. It sold 10K in past 4.5 hours in MTC1 and about the same in 5 hours at MTC2. 

Friday ratio seems worse than Shang-Chi actually which is surprising after it started out much stronger. I think the huge preview show count is cannibalizing from Friday.

 

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7 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Venom 2 Nationwide T-1

THU - $5.3M

FRI - $5.1M

SAT - $3.1M

SUN and Rest - $1.25M

 

Total - $14.75M

 

THU is now 5% over Shang Chi while FRI is same. Expecting
10.25
21.75
25
16 // 73

 

You are expecting Venom 2 to have higher skew at MTC than BW(about 44%) and Shang Chi(about 48%). Looking at how its MTC1/2 ratio is looking, I think it will do better than BW. There is no way it will be > 50%. Even Canada trackers are saying its doing well over there. 

 

Friday ratio drops to sub 40% and saturday even lower. So your numbers dont make sense unless you are just projecting MTC to sell even better with PS and rest catch up with walk ups. 

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On 9/1/2021 at 10:05 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Previews (T-1)

MTC1 - 106741/496553 1706964.55 2955 shows (+16952)

MTC2 - 62714/437426 847217.55 3239 shows(+12322)

 

Friday(T-2)

MTC1 - 104635/1049190 1611227.01 5755 shows (+21066)

MTC2 -  62984/907790 776121.42 6379 shows (+14287) 

 

Saturday(T-3)

MTC1 - 66911/1123011 952734.16 6191 shows (+12678)

MTC2 - 39995/923499 458032.07 6346 shows (+8182)

 

Black Widow MTC1 (on Jul 7 though I believe it was few hours earlier)

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39 minutes ago, Menor said:

Friday ratio seems worse than Shang-Chi actually which is surprising after it started out much stronger. I think the huge preview show count is cannibalizing from Friday.

 

 

Are you seeing something else. SC was way more skewed at MTC1 than Venom is. Just compare numbers I posted for Venom 2 with SC numbers. Venom has higher PS for all 3 days and excellent MTC ratios. 

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1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

 

Are you seeing something else. SC was way more skewed at MTC1 than Venom is. Just compare numbers I posted for Venom 2 with SC numbers. Venom has higher PS for all 3 days and excellent MTC ratios. 

Shang-Chi Friday was 2.387 million while Thursday was 2.553 million so 93.4%. Venom Friday is 2.568 million while Thursday is 2.834 million so 90.6%. Last week it was the opposite with SC sales being much more Thursday loaded than Venom. 

 

Which indicates to me that a lot of casual audience demand is being shifted to Thursday with the huge showcount. Which means that Venom's True Fri/Th ratio may be lower than Shang-Chi. 

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1 minute ago, Menor said:

Shang-Chi Friday was 2.387 million while Thursday was 2.553 million so 93.4%. Venom Friday is 2.568 million while Thursday is 2.834 million so 90.6%. Last week it was the opposite with SC sales being much more Thursday loaded than Venom. 

 

Which indicates to me that a lot of casual audience demand is being shifted to Thursday with the huge showcount. Which means that Venom's True Fri/Th ratio may be lower than Shang-Chi. 

you are comparing thu to fri. That is the factor with small run time and more shows for venom2. But daily sales for Venom 2 being so much stronger means it will comfortably beat SC on all days. I am thinking 10.5-11m previews and OW somewhere in 80s. 

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