The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[CJohn]

13 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

CJ o CJ, this stop being funny a month ago. rest it.

Bond is literally tanking as we speak and Venom is now running behind the first movie's total. If anyone believes theaters will ever be back they have to be trolling.

Edited October 10, 2021 by CJ Sarandos

[katnisscinnaplex]

I think it depends what your definition of "being back" is.  In my opinion, Venom 2 is about where I would have expected it to be normally.  Bond might be a little low, but that can be attributed to the older audience still being cautious/long delay from previous movie.  I'm very happy with the recovery so far. Once the same day streaming ends for the bigger movies, we should be in a really good place.

[keysersoze123]

13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

5.1k sold in last 3 days. Not bad actually. Around 60% pace of SC. We don't have direct comp with NTTD, but that added 4k in 2 days from T-12 to T-10 days (just THU alone I suppose), so slightly lower pace I suppose.

 

MTC 2 is lower than NTTD though. 

 

Won't go $3M I guess but $4-5M range more likely.

One can never say where it will end up but 4m means sub 80K finish. That seems improbable to me but who knows who the final days will be. I am expecting another Tmobile atom deal to boost its PS during its release week. 

[john2000]

Tomorrow

 

[keysersoze123]

14 minutes ago, john2000 said:

Tomorrow

 

[john2000]

28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

by the way i think that i speak for everyone when i  say that we appreciate what you , @Porthos , @Menor , @charlie Jatinder, @Inceptionzq , @Eric Safin and the rest of you guys do  here,this thread would be nothing without you guys. 

Edited October 10, 2021 by john2000

[Inceptionzq]

14 minutes ago, john2000 said:

by the way i think that i speak for everyone when i  say that we appreciate what you , @Porthos , @Menor , @charlie Jatinder, @Inceptionzq , @Eric Safin and the rest of you guys do  here,this thread would be nothing without you guys. 

+ @katnisscinnaplex @WrathOfHan @DAJK @el sid @TalismanRing @Tinalera Sorry if I'm forgetting anyone else, but I really do appreciate everyone's contributions to our love of tracking

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Halloween Kills Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

98

311

31.51%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

52

318

16.35%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
404	24	5099	7.92%	15	33

 

AMCs sold	262
Cinemarks sold	82
Regals sold	39
Harkins sold	21

 

Fast 9 comp: 3.39M

 

Only the Fast 9 comp today. So, the Cinemark website has a banner at the top when a "movie is hot". It shows when at least 100 people have looked at showtimes for the theater in a given day. The theater it popped up at only added 2 tickets for previews, so I took a look at Friday and Saturday showings, and they're looking good. Did the same for some other theaters, and showings are also looking good for those days. The same thing happened at Megaplex yesterday with weak additions to Thursday, but strong ones for Friday and Saturday. All this to say, presales may be spread out to a bigger degree than at least I expected.

Halloween Kills Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

108

311

34.73%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

69

318

21.70%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
475	71	5099	9.32%	15	33

 

AMCs sold	311
Cinemarks sold	95
Regals sold	44
Harkins sold	25

 

A Quiet Place 2 comp: 3.81M

Suicide Squad comp: 3.65M

Fast 9 comp: 3.64M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Halloween Kills Megaplex

 

T-5 days Thursday(24 showings): 178(+22)/4244 in 14 theaters

 

T-6 days Friday(51 showings): 252(+44)/8135 in 13 theaters

 

T-7 days Saturday(51 showings): 102(+18)/8135 in 13 theaters

 

T-8 days Sunday(30 showings): 21(+2)/4882 in 9 theaters

 

No comps today

Halloween Kills Megaplex

 

T-4 days Thursday(24 showings): 191(+13)/4244 in 14 theaters

 

Suicide Squad comp: 2.76M

 

T-5 days Friday(51 showings): 312(+60)/8135 in 13 theaters

 

Suicide Squad comp: 13.21M

 

T-6 days Saturday(51 showings): 136(+34)/8135 in 13 theaters

 

T-7 days Sunday(30 showings): 28(+7)/4882 in 9 theaters

 

Weird how weak Thursday has been the past few days, but Friday has been strong so I'm not too worried at this point. 

[john2000]

so what are we thinking for halloween kills ow ? 40-45 ?

[Krissykins]

8 hours ago, CJ Sarandos said:

Theater business is booming lmao. It is still dropping 50%. It won't reach 40M with 5M previews.

The last film did 10 x it’s preview number. However, Halloween Kills will be available at home and illegally unfortunately. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

239

653

36.60%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

206

1451

14.20%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
931	60	10415	8.94%	15	53

 

AMCs sold	680
Cinemarks sold	71
Regals sold	167
Harkins sold	13

 

Shang-Chi comp: 11.03M

Black Widow comp: 6.93M

Dune Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

246

653

37.67%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

212

1451

14.61%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
984	53	10415	9.45%	15	53

 

AMCs sold	705
Cinemarks sold	77
Regals sold	180
Harkins sold	22

 

Shang-Chi comp: 10.77M

Black Widow comp: 7.04M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Megaplex

 

T-12 days Thursday(36 showings): 1400(+48)/11568 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 16.40M

Black Widow comp: 8.35M

 

T-13 days Friday(85 showings): 1478(+116)/29930 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 57.62M

Black Widow comp: 26.83M

 

T-14 days Saturday(82 showings): 769(+119)/28944 in 14 theaters

 

T-15 days Sunday(67 showings): 224(+9)/23463 in 12 theaters

Dune Megaplex

 

T-11 days Thursday(36 showings): 1457(+57)/11568 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 16.29M

Black Widow comp: 8.46M

 

T-12 days Friday(85 showings): 1563(+85)/29930 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 58.19M

Black Widow comp: 27.08M

 

T-13 days Saturday(82 showings): 834(+65)/28944 in 14 theaters

 

T-14 days Sunday(67 showings): 248(+24)/23463 in 12 theaters

[ViewerAnon]

39 minutes ago, john2000 said:

so what are we thinking for halloween kills ow ? 40-45 ?

 

Hard to tell with the Peacock factor but I’d think closer to $30-35M. H2018 made $7.7M in previews and KILLS seems to be pacing somewhere around half of that based on the comps in this thread?

Edited October 10, 2021 by ViewerAnon

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Peacock will have no impact on this OW at all. Maybe if it was HBO MAX but I’m not even factoring in Peacock

[AJG]

2 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Peacock will have no impact on this OW at all. Maybe if it was HBO MAX but I’m not even factoring in Peacock

Peacock still doesn’t offer 4K HDR thus making the film unwatchable on their platform.

[Tinalera]

1 hour ago, Inceptionzq said:

+ @katnisscinnaplex @WrathOfHan @DAJK @el sid @TalismanRing @Tinalera Sorry if I'm forgetting anyone else, but I really do appreciate everyone's contributions to our love of tracking

I wish I could contribute more regularly these days, I can get some in but days are busy so I really can't get in every day. For me its become an interesting hobby of sorts, and everyone here is encouraging so it makes for a great experience to post. And thank you for your contributions as well!

[charlie Jatinder]

5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

One can never say where it will end up but 4m means sub 80K finish.

I think 4.5 ish will take 100k admits.

[DAJK]

3 hours ago, john2000 said:

so what are we thinking for halloween kills ow ? 40-45 ?

30-35

[Legion Again]

I think over 45 is quite plausible.