The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/10/2021 at 4:33 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Megaplex

 

T-11 days Thursday(36 showings): 1457(+57)/11568 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 16.29M

Black Widow comp: 8.46M

 

T-12 days Friday(85 showings): 1563(+85)/29930 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 58.19M

Black Widow comp: 27.08M

 

T-13 days Saturday(82 showings): 834(+65)/28944 in 14 theaters

 

T-14 days Sunday(67 showings): 248(+24)/23463 in 12 theaters

Dune Megaplex

 

T-10 days Thursday(38 showings): 1578(+121)/11810(+242) in 14 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 15.66M

Black Widow comp: 8.91M

 

T-11 days Friday(85 showings): 1726(+163)/29930 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 59.95M

Black Widow comp: 27.92M

 

T-12 days Saturday(82 showings): 961(+127)/28944 in 14 theaters

 

T-13 days Sunday(67 showings): 295(+47)/23463 in 12 theaters

[Inceptionzq]

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

193

1665

11.59%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

130

1899

6.85%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 10 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
589	589	15775	3.73%	15	84

 

AMCs sold	495
Cinemarks sold	41
Regals sold	48
Harkins sold	5

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 12.93M

Black Widow day 1 comp(18 hours): 10.46M

 

Great start. It's running behind BW here, at 7 hours, BW was at 598 sold. I'll do another update around that 17-18 hour mark so we can have a better look with the comps I used. So, we'll see if it can have a better evening than BW.

[Inceptionzq]

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-24 days Thursday(44 showings): 394/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 9.05M

 

T-25 days Friday(77 showings): 185/28026 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 17.73M

 

T-26 days Saturday(73 showings): 115/25659 in 12 theaters

 

T-27 days Sunday(58 showings): 57/18026 in 9 theaters

 

It started off a bit slower than I expected here, but still doing well. Should pass the first day SC Friday comp when I update tonight. Also, I won't have a Black Widow comp for 2 days

[Inceptionzq]

1 hour ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I think most people are still buying Dune for next week? So it should pick up later

Yeah this would make sense for some places. I was thinking the same thing for Megaplex, though it’s pacing ahead of SC unlike your theater. But with how big of an overperformance it looks like Megaplex will have with Dune, it would stand to reason that people aren’t as worried about getting Eternals tickets yet.

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Yeah this would make sense for some places. I was thinking the same thing for Megaplex, though it’s pacing ahead of SC unlike your theater. But with how big of an overperformance it looks like Megaplex will have with Dune, it would stand to reason that people aren’t as worried about getting Eternals tickets yet.

The logic of that makes sense, but on the other hand, Dune is doing really well at MTC1, and Eternals is crushing it there even compared to MTC2. 

[Inceptionzq]

5 minutes ago, Menor said:

The logic of that makes sense, but on the other hand, Dune is doing really well at MTC1, and Eternals is crushing it there even compared to MTC2. 

True, but we are talking national vs regional. I wouldn’t really expect to see that kind of thing on a national level unless we’re talking about people not worrying about buying tickets for a 60M OW level film when a 200M OW level film comes out before it.
 

I mean, Dune looks like a 100M+ OW level film for Megaplex compared to SC and BW.

[ringedmortality]

What would The Last Duel have to make opening weekend in order to classify as a success? What are you guys currently predicting it would do?

[AJG]

7 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

What would The Last Duel have to make opening weekend in order to classify as a success? What are you guys currently predicting it would do?

Do we know the budget on that one?

[charlie Jatinder]

@keysersoze123 how is FRI selling?

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

9 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

What would The Last Duel have to make opening weekend in order to classify as a success? What are you guys currently predicting it would do?

It’ll open to 8-10m. Finish with like 20-25m DOM. No idea about overseas but will be under 100m WW for sure. Maybe like 60? It’s not going to classify as a success. But if it overperformed OW, the headlines will be good 

 

Its an epic medieval movie so it wasn’t cheap. Probably over 60m

[XXR vs XXR]

 

Not sure if this guy knows what he's talking about or not. Take this news with a grain of salt.

 

[ThomasNicole]

It's so good seing a "New" property generating so much buzz.

 

In one hand it's sad seeing that pretty much only Marvel manage to start new succesful franchises these days, but still it's incredible seeing a bunch of C List heroes getting so much attention in a year where pretty much all the successes was sequels.

[Legion Again]

10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Not sure if this guy knows what he's talking about or not. Take this news with a grain of salt.

 

Sounds like a crank to me, just look how far behind BW it is in some of our regionals  

[Mojoguy]

11 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Not sure if this guy knows what he's talking about or not. Take this news with a grain of salt.

 

Solo was tracking to be bigger than Black Panther too.

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Solo was tracking to be bigger than Black Panther too.

Amateurs. 😏

Edited October 12, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

Lemme go back in thread and see how thread was reacting on Solo first day, because SW is very pre-sales heavy so they would know it unlike media who knows s**t.

[charlie Jatinder]

So I went and not much tracking was done back then so very small run. Yeah people were aware that these aren't great. Grim put a stat showing it was way under Rogue One. 

[ThomasNicole]

14 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Solo was tracking to be bigger than Black Panther too.

Not here, it was way under Rogue One since day 1, then on final week it was terrible and pretty much everyone was expecting to be extremelly frontloaded and overall bad.

 

Media usually missed the point, just look the 100M articles for NTTD.

[Legion Again]

18 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Solo was tracking to be bigger than Black Panther too.

… no

[Darth Lehnsherr]

This thread has saved many a meltdown or well at least lowered how large a meltdown would be on Weekend Threads thanks to all the great work everyone here does.