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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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16 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 214 1665 12.85%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 147 1899 7.74%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 7 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
700 111 16131 4.34% 15 86

 

AMCs sold 554
Cinemarks sold 56
Regals sold 76
Harkins sold 14

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 15.36M

Adjusted Black Widow day 1 comp(18 hours): 13.02M

 

Took a look at @Porthos' notes and adjusted the BW comp by dividing by 0.955. All in all, a very solid day. Didn't quite catch up to BW, but the comps are great.

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 236 1665 14.17%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 158 1899 8.32%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 17 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
777 77 16131 4.82% 15 86

 

AMCs sold 608
Cinemarks sold 64
Regals sold 88
Harkins sold 17

 

Shang-Chi day 2 comp: 13.30M

Adjusted Black Widow day 2 comp: 13.61M

 

SC comp suffered a bit, but I believe it was still riding some of the high from the world premiere.

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16 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-24 days Thursday(44 showings): 495(+101)/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 11.37M

 

T-25 days Friday(77 showings): 241(+56)/28026 in 13 theaters

 

Shang-Chi day 1 comp(17 hours): 23.10M

 

T-26 days Saturday(73 showings): 138(+23)/25659 in 12 theaters

 

T-27 days Sunday(58 showings): 69(+12)/18548(+522) in 9 theaters

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-23 days Thursday(44 showings): 566(+71)/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Shang-Chi day 2 comp: 10.21M

 

T-24 days Friday(82 showings): 276(+35)/29200(+1174) in 14 theaters

 

Shang-Chi day 2 comp: 20.26M

 

T-25 days Saturday(76 showings): 166(+28)/26178(+519) in 13 theaters

 

T-26 days Sunday(62 showings): 69/19240(+692) in 10 theaters

 

Same thing here. SC had the benefit of the world premiere

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Out of curiosity, just did a quick run in Sacto for Halloween Kills, and I got something in the 3m range off a AQP II comp (used T-3 numbers for AQP II since it's in the afternoon here in Sacramento), so much like Denver it doesn't appear to be taking off here quite yet. 

 

Horror is extremely walkup based, but so was AQP II.  If I have the time/inclination tonight I might do a more rigorous check so I can also compare it to F9.

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Eternals-Thursday showings Nov 4th

AMC Sunset Place 24

 

Dolby Cinema

6pm- 102/174

9:45pm- 99/174

 

IMAX

6:30pm- 49/443

10:15pm- 36/443

 

REAL D 3D

7:30pm - 0/238

 

DIGITAL

8:30pm- 29/410

 

Total 315/1882

 

This is definitely ahead of Shang-Chi here at this theater. A lot of Shang-Chi's showings filled up several days before release. I expect more showtimes to be added soon. At least one more Dolby and one more Digital as we get closer to the release date.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by cookieleeann
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Halloween Kills MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 1973

Seats Sold: 29499/263080

Total $ Sales: 380012

 

WOW. I don't have any good horror comps other than Keyser's numbers for AQP2 which was a different environment, but definitely looks like 6m+ in previews. Maybe even higher if walkups are good, which horror should have. 

 

Friday is taking a while, probably won't post it tonight. But it is looking at 48-50k which is 80% of Venom 2 at the same point. This movie is doing incredibly well. We have been sleeping on it, but unless Peacock impacts the walkups, I won't be surprised if this outopens the first. Let's see how the pace goes tomorrow to be sure. 

 

Edit: MTC1 previews look a bit weaker. I guess be a bit cautious on MTC2 here, it may be overindexing on previews. Still Friday seems extremely strong for both even accounting for the MTC2 overindex. 

Edited by Menor
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1 minute ago, Menor said:

Halloween Kills MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 1973

Seats Sold: 29499/263080

Total $ Sales: 380012

 

WOW. I don't have any good horror comps other than Keyser's numbers for AQP2 which was a different environment, but definitely looks like 6m+ in previews. 

 

Friday is taking a while, probably won't post it tonight. But it is looking at 48-50k which is 80% of Venom 2 at the same point. This movie is doing incredibly well. We have been sleeping on it, but unless Peacock impacts the walkups, I won't be surprised if this outopens the first. Let's see how the pace goes tomorrow to be sure. 

 

Last Halloween did 7.7M in previews and a 76.2M OW so a 10x

 

Are we expecting a 10 multiplier this time with a Peacock streaming option (meaning a torrent download quickly thereafter available to people)? So if a 6M preview meaning a 60M opening and no legs due to the steaming/torrent option (and nature of a slasher film)?

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Just now, Ronin46 said:

 

Last Halloween did 7.7M in previews and a 76.2M OW so a 10x

 

Are we expecting a 10 multiplier this time with a Peacock streaming option (meaning a torrent download quickly thereafter available to people)? So if a 6M preview meaning a 60M opening and no legs due to the steaming/torrent option (and nature of a slasher film)?

I kinda just put the 6 there as a floor. With these sorts of PS for a notoriously walkup-heavy genre, I think it should go higher than 6, but I just want to see tomorrow's pace first to see how big the jumps are. 

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Just now, ThomasNicole said:

It will look bad for NTTD if Halloween opens higher being Rated R and with day and date.

 

Based on presales, seems possible 

But Peacock is meaningless, it has less subscribers than HBO Max. 
 

This is a loyal younger fanbase and horror has constantly overperformed all year. The 2018 film was a hit. 

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Just now, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

But Peacock is meaningless, it has less subscribers than HBO Max. 
 

This is a loyal younger fanbase and horror has constantly overperformed all year. The 2018 film was a hit. 

I know, but still it will have an HD version of it online 30 minutes after release, i think it will hurt it even if just a little.

 

I'm happy with anything over 40M but 55-60M OW would be incredible, all things considered. I was expecting this before pandemic and theatrical only, now is even more great if happen.

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That is crazy strong at MTC2 as well. I was thinking it would be weaker but horror does play well almost everywhere. Its not just big markets. We were definitely sleeping on it.

 

8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Halloween Kills MTC1

Previews - 30394/208699 460522.16 1262 shows

OD - 45767/550416 685746.49 3080 shows

HK MTC1 Update'

Previews(T-2) - 34941/240095 527103.07 1495 shows

Friday(T-3) - 54584/676313 814971.60 3920 shows

 

That is good growth for 8 hours especially OD PS. And MTC2 is almost on par with MTC1 at least on ticket numbers. if this continues I think we will see friday including previews in 25m+ range

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Well, there's a case for an opening near Bond, isn't there? NTTD did 55m OW, and that was coming off a meh received film from 2015 that did 70m OW. Halloween is coming off a well-received film from 2018 that did 77m OW. I'm still just looking in the 40s, but there's always been a case for it.

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23 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

But Peacock is meaningless, it has less subscribers than HBO Max. 
 

This is a loyal younger fanbase and horror has constantly overperformed all year. The 2018 film was a hit. 

 

Thats why I said Peacock/torrent. People will turn up for previews and opening day etc but the high quality torrent might stop it very quickly. The last Halloween struggled to even do a 2 multiplier after OW of 76 and 160 in total. This one might have just as big a preview and opening day (as the figures say at this stage) but fall even more rapidly. 

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3 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

high quality torrent might stop it very quickly.

The genre can make it seen for many has a near irrelevant home watch too, would be curious to see the rating of people that have seen a movie like It first weekend in a filled crowd versus at home.

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On 10/11/2021 at 9:16 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Eternals MTC1

Previews(T-24) - 35230/354306 637939.98 1782 shows

Friday(T-25) - 18648/707046 340687.48 3473 shows

 

Excellent 1st day for sure. 

Eternals MTC1

Previews(T-23) - 39960/355659 719503.42 1790 shows (+4730)

Friday(T-24) - 22230/710878 404356.28 3492 shows (+3582)

 

Obviously after a huge OD PS it had to come down. I feel comps with BW will also start to come down soon. It does not play as wide as BW considering its 1st movie who are unknown minus the fanbase. On the plus side it has Jolie, Maden, Hayek and so star power is definitely not lacking. Let us see in few days how things go. Still great start overall. 

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On 10/11/2021 at 11:33 PM, Eric Atreides said:

Halloween Kills Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 31 1067 5343 19.97%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 6

Total Seats Added Today: 914

Total Seats Sold Today: 209

 

Comp

0.630x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-3 (12.2M)

1.516x of The Conjuring 3 3 Days Before Release (14.86M)

0.659x of F9 T-3 (4.68M)

7.904x of Old T-3 (11.86M)

1.440x of The Suicide Squad T-3 (5.9M)

4.521x of Candyman T-3 (8.59M)

0.607x of Venom 2 T-3 (7.04M)

 

Well, even with more horror comps, the range is still all over the place. But still, even though it won't reach any of the high-end numbers...this is still really good.

Halloween Kills Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 50 1347 8238 16.35%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 19

Total Seats Added Today: 2,895

Total Seats Sold Today: 280

 

Comp

0.525x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-2 (10.17M)

1.338x of The Conjuring 3 2 Days Before Release (13.11M)

0.695x of F9 T-2 (4.93M)

7.089x of Old T-2 (10.63M)

1.500x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (6.15M)

3.508x of Candyman T-2 (6.66M)

0.623x of Venom 2 T-2 (7.22M)

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1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

considering its 1st movie who are unknown minus the fanbase

This is why the BW comps will go up...

 

Just like we saw with SC. More established will be more front loaded, as a general rule, first intro of new characters less, right? I feel like this dynamic is very well established.

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