The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-19 days Thursday(44 showings): 819(+12)/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 6.22M

 

T-20 days Friday(86 showings): 411(+44)/31248 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 11.03M

 

T-21 days Saturday(84 showings): 250(+23)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-22 days Sunday(70 showings): 73(+2)/23648(+4408) in 11 theaters

 

Slow Thursday here too, but at least Friday had a little boost.

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-18 days Thursday(44 showings): 837(+18)/15020 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 6.22M

 

T-19 days Friday(86 showings): 431(+20)/31248 in 14 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 11.10M

 

T-20 days Saturday(84 showings): 270(+20)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-21 days Sunday(70 showings): 74(+1)/23648(+4408) in 11 theaters

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, john2000 said:

good that it started to increase already, the reactions tomorrow will certainly help

Well the reactions are tomorrow night, so they won't help until Tuesday. I could see the world premiere having some effect on night sales but that won't matter for Denver since Inception posts these in the afternoon. 

[SpiderByte]

It's Monday depending on the time zone. It's weird. But it'll be late Monday so it'll be negligible. The big boost comes on the 24th when reviews hit.

 

 

[cookieleeann]

On 10/16/2021 at 12:53 AM, cookieleeann said:

 

Eternals Thursday Showings Nov 4

AMC Sunset Place 24

 

Dolby

6pm- 113/174(+5)

9:45pm- 114/174(+13)

 

IMAX

6:30pm- 65/443(+12)

10:15pm- 38/443(+1)

 

REAL D 3D

7:30pm- 0/238(+0)

 

DIGITAL

8:30pm- 34/410(+2)

 

Total 364/1882(+33 tickets sold from yesterday)

 

 

 

ETERNALS THURSDAY SHOWINGS NOV 4

AMC SUNSET PLACE 24

 

DOLBY

6pm 121/174(+8)

9:45pm 115/174(+1)

 

IMAX

6:30pm- 69/443(+4)

10:15pm- 41/443(+3)

 

REAL D 3D

7:30pm 0/238(no change)

 

DIGITAL

8:30pm- 34/410(no change)

 

Total 380/1882(+16 )

 

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Dune MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 1128

Seats Sold: 17537/190081

Gross: 246639

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 2110

Seats Sold: 20039/371967

Gross: 264491

 

Thursday is somewhat close to Bond at the same point. Friday is well below (around 80%).

 

Eternals MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 1967

Seats Sold: 21050/320645

 

Added around 2300 in the past 2.5 days. Slowish pace but not a big deal this far out (it has kept around 70% of BW's pace consistently). First big test will be the reactions bump and how well it can keep that. 

 

Will post Fri tomorrow. 

Edited October 18, 2021 by Menor

[XXR vs XXR]

Really pulling for $14M+ previews. Let's go Eternals!!

[charlie Jatinder]

Dune added 7500 in last 6 days. 40% of Venom 2. 6 days back Dune was 49% of V2 in MTC 2, now its 43% and falling. We will get better idea of pace tomorrow.

 

Nationwide I think $1.75M Approx at T-4 days (will adjust when MTC1 come). 

[Cmasterclay]

Yeesh, is Dune even gonna hit 40 at this pace? Doesn't look like it.

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, Cmasterclay said:

Yeesh, is Dune even gonna hit 40 at this pace? Doesn't look like it.

Let's see the pace on Monday. That's when real test begin. My projection remain same as they were weeks ago. 25-35 but now leaning more toward lower end if things dont improve.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

25m feels low a major lowball

Edited October 18, 2021 by BestPicturePlutoNash

[Eric Duncan]

Lana needs to do everything in her power to get Matrix excluded from the Max release. It's disgusting to think that film and Dune will be saddled with the HBO Max 35M Special because of Jason Kilar's utter idiocy. 

[Legion Again]

I don't quite think this will happen but it would be kind of amazing from a historical perspective if WB's first blockbuster of the year just kept the record forever.

[Nikostar]

21 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Let's see the pace on Monday. That's when real test begin. My projection remain same as they were weeks ago. 25-35 but now leaning more toward lower end if things dont improve.

Sounds about right. Also a lot of people will watch it early on HBO max. WB strikes again.

[ThomasNicole]

We're heading to November and HBO Max changing their minds is still being discussed.

 

It's shit but my hopes disappeared in June, it's clearly going nowhere no matter if every single movie made trash numbers.

[Ronin46]

So something in the 40s is being replaced with something in the 30s. A domestic total of 100M looks like a dream now.

 

35M/80 would be respectable at this stage. It might struggle to get that. I really hope it picks up but its a few days of this malaise and its running out of time.

[famicommander]

16 minutes ago, Eric Atreides said:

Lana needs to do everything in her power to get Matrix excluded from the Max release. It's disgusting to think that film and Dune will be saddled with the HBO Max 35M Special because of Jason Kilar's utter idiocy. 

Maybe these HBO Max subscribers are worth more long term than the difference in US box office between the movie now versus the movie with a hypothetical theatrical-only release. If they went back on the promise they made to these subscribers with Dune or Matrix that might really sour people on the service.

 

If the movie blows up on streaming that probably bodes really well for the Dune: The Sisterhood prequel series, for instance.

 

Also consider the colossal bomb (and terrible movie, but that's neither here nor there) that was Wonder Woman 1984. A reported 166 million dollars at the box office on a 200 million dollar budget. And yet, WB claims they are developing both an exclusive theatrical sequel and an HBO Max exclusive spin-off film. Mortal Kombat returned 84 million on a 55 million dollar budget, but Variety reported last month that WB is looking to do more films in the same universe.

 

So I really think we'd have to have a pretty colossal tank in the US, UK, China, etc this weekend for them to hold off on the sequel. 

[excel1]

WB would be very foolish to think Dune 1 is where the money is. Just saying. It was always going to be Dune 2 if the first is well received .

 

Plus it is a longer term investment in Villanueve. 

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Dune MTC1

Previews(T-5) - 44211/249358 807374.11 1234 shows

Friday(T-6) - 47266/539213 845884.04 2665 shows

Dune MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 47497/249345 863382.95 1235 shows.

Friday(T-5) -52271/539292 930386.03 2666 shows.

 

Another meh day. I would wait until tuesday to spell doom as early PS was so strong. Still overall numbers are not bad. But I hope to see show count bump up by tuesday at latest but PS has to improve soon. 

 

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric Atreides said:

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	1064	7031	15.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

0.822x of F9 T-5 (5.84M)

0.347x of Black Widow T-5 (4.58M)

2.082x of The Suicide Squad T-5 (8.54M)

0.595x of Shang-Chi T-5 (5.24M)

0.838x of Venom 2 T-5 (9.72M)

0.875x of No Time to Die T-5 (5.51M)

 

Don't know why today was so awful, but it seems like it's a fluke to my area compared to other people's posts for today.

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	1172	7031	16.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 108

 

Comp

0.836x of F9 T-4 (5.94M)

0.349x of Black Widow T-4 (4.61M)

1.934x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (7.93M)

0.591x of Shang-Chi T-4 (5.2M)

0.821x of Venom 2 T-4 (9.53M)

0.887x of No Time to Die T-4 (5.59M)

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric Atreides said:

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1287	11561	11.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

 

Comp

0.854x of Black Widow T-19 (11.27M)

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1306	11561	11.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 19

 

Comp

0.830x of Black Widow T-18 (10.96M)