The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 10/18/2021 at 9:32 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales*	% Sold
T-17	Eternals	Jacksonville	6	47	7,996	419	63	5.24%
		Phoenix	6	35	5,949	369	71	6.20%
		Raleigh	7	26	3,094	396	65	12.80%
	Eternals Total		19	108	17,039	1,184	199	6.95%
T-3	Dune	Jacksonville	7	39	6,545	427	99	6.52%
		Phoenix	6	22	3,588	400	127	11.15%
		Raleigh	8	21	2,915	352	131	12.08%
	Dune Total		21	82	13,048	1,179	357	9.04%
T-3	Ron's Gone Wrong	Jacksonville	4	6	852	1	1	0.12%
		Phoenix	6	10	1,303	3	3	0.23%
		Raleigh	6	8	991	13	13	1.31%
	Ron's Gone Wrong Total		16	24	3,146	17	17	0.54%

*New sales since Thursday morning

 

Dune comps

Venom 2 - .739x (8.57m)

F9 - .814x (5.78m)

 

Average - 7.17m

 

I don't really have anything this low for kids movies.  Addams had 39 at this point, but with 4pm start which would be 240k.

 

Eternals comps

BW T-17 - .718x (9.48m)

Shang-Chi hadn't even gone on sell yet and day 7 would be t-10 so I'm not sure about using that comp until a few more days have passed.

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-16	Eternals	Jacksonville	6	47	7,996	414	-5	5.18%
		Phoenix	6	35	5,949	393	24	6.61%
		Raleigh	7	26	3,094	415	19	13.41%
	Eternals Total		19	108	17,039	1,222	38	7.17%
T-2	Dune	Jacksonville	7	40	6,439	503	76	7.81%
		Phoenix	7	27	3,981	565	165	14.19%
		Raleigh	8	24	3,137	439	87	13.99%
	Dune Total		22	91	13,557	1,507	328	11.12%
T-2	Ron's Gone Wrong	Jacksonville	4	6	852	1	0	0.12%
		Phoenix	6	10	1,303	3	0	0.23%
		Raleigh	7	13	1,281	14	1	1.09%
	Ron's Gone Wrong Total		17	29	3,436	18	1	0.52%

 

Dune comps

Venom 2 - .743x (8.62m)

F9 - .87x (6.185m)

 

Ron's Gone Wrong is DOA

 

Eternals T-16 comp

BW - .713x (9.41m)

[Eric Atreides]

Ron's Gone Wrong Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	19	14	2263	0.62%

 

Comp

0.341x of Addams Family 2 (188K)

[Eric Atreides]

On 10/17/2021 at 11:53 PM, Eric Atreides said:

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1306	11561	11.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 19

 

Comp

0.830x of Black Widow T-18 (10.96M)

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1356	11561	11.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 50

 

Comp

0.833x of Black Widow T-17 (10.99M)

[john2000]

22 minutes ago, Eric Atreides said:

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1356	11561	11.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 50

 

Comp

0.833x of Black Widow T-17 (10.99M)

nice it to see that it got a bump

[Utente]

Zero chance for Dune to open near the 50s? 

[keysersoze123]

On 10/17/2021 at 8:32 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Dune MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 47497/249345 863382.95 1235 shows.

Friday(T-5) -52271/539292 930386.03 2666 shows.

Dune MTC1

Previews - 53881/286470 971415.25 1502 shows

Friday - 62483/593248 1100048.15 3051 shows

 

It did move a bit after anemic pace seen past few days. Let us see how things go today. 

[titanic2187]

4 hours ago, DAJK said:

Huge here. HUGE.

 

more to come. Busy day today, it’s 3 AM and I haven’t slept yet

Maybe Denis canadian status boost the box office profile further 

14 minutes ago, Utente said:

Zero chance for Dune to open near the 50s? 

Zero until sandworm eats away AT&T

[XXR vs XXR]

34 minutes ago, Utente said:

Zero chance for Dune to open near the 50s? 

Guess it depends on what you mean by “near”, lol.

 

I’d probably put it in the $36-41m range.

[Menor the Destroyer]

39 minutes ago, john2000 said:

nice it to see that it got a bump

Just variance I think. Bumps wouldn't happen until today. 

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

 

Ron's Gone Wrong is DOA

Another sub $5m opener in a row for Disney/Fox? And without an at-home option? Yikes. 
 

And to think Cry Macho and Many Saints of Newark got a hard time with the press, lol. 

[keysersoze123]

On 10/16/2021 at 12:40 PM, keysersoze123 said:

 

Eternals MTC1

Previews(T-19) - 48004/360866 856529.98 1821 shows

OD(T-20) - 29000/718285 521687.32 3543 shows

 

Eternals MTC1

Previews(T-16) - 52813/361619 936439.69 1825 shows

Friday(T-17) - 33442/718560 597805.52 3544 shows

 

Let us see how things move today with twitter reactions. Though I feel reviews will provide better boost as fanboys react to tweets and many of them already  have bought tickets looking at PS so far. it needs to accelerate to come close to BW which during the equivalent week had phenomenal sales. 

 

Still overall PS at MTC1 is excellent. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Good day for Dune, especially FRI. Should go for 5M previews. Which should mean 30M+ weekend certainly.

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Eternals MTC1

Previews(T-16) - 52813/361619 936439.69 1825 shows

Friday(T-17) - 33442/718560 597805.52 3544 shows

Good days for Eternals as well. Just for record in future these numbers are T-16 morning not end of day. Almost as if T-17 end of day.

[keysersoze123]

16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Good days for Eternals as well. Just for record in future these numbers are T-16 morning not end of day. Almost as if T-17 end of day.

I had taken a snapshot saturday morning. So it was almost 3 days. This far ahead exact time does not matter. Closer to release I will take it EOD. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

I had taken a snapshot saturday morning. So it was almost 3 days. This far ahead exact time does not matter. Closer to release I will take it EOD. 

Not a big deal today, but 4-5 months from now, when I will be using search to see Eternals comp, this will show up as T-16 days number. Today is day after reaction, should be bigger than normal this far out. So just for my record keeping.

[keysersoze123]

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Not a big deal today, but 4-5 months from now, when I will be using search to see Eternals comp, this will show up as T-16 days number. Today is day after reaction, should be bigger than normal this far out. So just for my record keeping.

Ok. Just for today I will update evening time to see how the reactions boost look like. BW sold big when reviews came out I believe. Dont remember much about reactions. 

[Old Spice]

Salt Lake City Cinemark Sugarhouse theater (non PLF), 10:00 AM Tuesday update.

 

Dune previews 118/212 55.6%

Friday 149/424 35%

 

Nice bump yesterday puts it at 200%+ of HK's preview night at the same time. Would like to see some more mid-evening showtimes added, as right now, it only has a 6:00 and 9:35 slot both Thursday and Friday. It will need those to catch up to NTTD, which was at 274 for its preview night two hours before the first showing.

 

Anecdotally, I'm hearing a lot more interest in this among the under-30 crowd than I did 007. One book club chose this title as their September entry and then booked tix for opening night, 22 in all.

 

Oh, and I should also mention that there are two private watch parties that were reserved a long time ago for preview night, and I'm assuming those are for Dune as well. 

 

I think $40M+ is definitely in play.

 

 

 

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ok. Just for today I will update evening time to see how the reactions boost look like. BW sold big when reviews came out I believe. Dont remember much about reactions. 

For MTC2 BW reactions increased the pace by ~40% from the day before. 

[Starphanluke]

1 hour ago, A Star is Orm said:

Salt Lake City Cinemark Sugarhouse theater (non PLF), 10:00 AM Tuesday update.

 

Dune previews 118/212 55.6%

Friday 149/424 35%

 

Nice bump yesterday puts it at 200%+ of HK's preview night at the same time. Would like to see some more mid-evening showtimes added, as right now, it only has a 6:00 and 9:35 slot both Thursday and Friday. It will need those to catch up to NTTD, which was at 274 for its preview night two hours before the first showing.

 

Anecdotally, I'm hearing a lot more interest in this among the under-30 crowd than I did 007. One book club chose this title as their September entry and then booked tix for opening night, 22 in all.

 

Oh, and I should also mention that there are two private watch parties that were reserved a long time ago for preview night, and I'm assuming those are for Dune as well. 

 

I think $40M+ is definitely in play.

 

 

 

 

 

I'm hearing a lot of interest among younger crowds, too... but hard to tell if much of that translates to Box Office sales or HBO Max viewership. It feels like the one big variable we can't predict right now which is making Dune tricky.

Edited October 19, 2021 by Starphanluke

[Plain Old Tele]

7 hours ago, Let There Be Legion said:

Canada skew should be even heavier than bond considering max vs no max

I assume Villeneuve being a Canadian director also plays some role in this.