The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Legion Again]

Looks like NWH previews over other 3 MCU previews combined is a go

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, Eric Atreides said:

Eternals Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	62	2270	12199	17.89%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 87

 

Comp

0.792x of Black Widow T-6 (10.45M)

1.357x of Shang-Chi T-6 (11.94M)

 

Yeah, next weekend's going to be miserable. Gonna love all the trolls randomly coming out of the woodwork.

[keysersoze123]

On 7/3/2021 at 9:47 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Black Widow MTC1

Previews - 97755/564418 1452914.00 3095 shows

Friday - 78706/802354 1061328.00 4020 shows

Saturday - 49106/841677 596441.00 4201 shows

This is data from morning. OD PS is catching up to previews. 

 

On 8/27/2021 at 4:06 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Previews(T-6)

MTC1  - 56887/399085 952003.09 2138 shows

MTC2(DBOX Adjusted)  - 28385/330124 ~400K 2134 shows

 

On 10/28/2021 at 8:15 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Eternal MTC1

Previews(T-7) - 78408/395727 1355795.22 2073 shows

Friday(T-8) - 59699/731665 1033139.25 3633 shows

Saturday(T-9) - 47802/782399 768560.54 3892 shows

 

Eternals MTC1

Previews(T-6) - 81338/396200 1402697.04 2084 shows +2930

Friday(T-7) - 63624/732050 1096156.98 3636 shows +3925

Saturday(T-8) - 50987/782782 816619.23 3895 shows +3185

 

1st things BW data is from Saturday morning and good news is Eternals is already ahead of BW for Saturday gross. There is definitely some growth today(at least for friday/saturday PS). It should continue to go up from this point. I am not updating any predictions at least until Tuesday. 

 

 

 

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

15 hours ago, Menor said:

Anyway data from yesterday (it differs from where Keyser had it but not significantly):

 

Eternals MTC2

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 1968 (+1)

Seats Sold: 39442/319863 (+4574)

$ Sales: 548459 (+53621)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 3720

Seats Sold: 31584/620839 (+4900)

$ Sales: 413952 (+56876)

 

 

2 days and a few hours of data. Not as awful as I was thinking at first but still way behind BW. I don't have exact comps for today but Thursday pace around 60% of BW and Friday pace probably 65-70%. 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 2017 (+49)

Seats Sold: 41323 (+1781) (ugh)

$ Sales: 573506 (+25047)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 3788 (+68)
Seats Sold: 33985/630374 (+2401)

$ Sales: 444191 (+29239)

 

Blech pace for Thursday, Friday is sort of ok I suppose but still not that good. BW comp will be back tomorrow onwards. 

Edited October 30, 2021 by Menor

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	13315	15968	2653	16.61%

 

Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	152
Total Seats Sold Today	67

 

T-7 Comp

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
SC	149.55		133	1774		0/111	15837/17611	10.07%		13.16m
BW	69.56		151	3814		0/177	21748/25562	14.92%		9.61m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Eternals' tickets have been on sale for seven more days than Shang-Chi' tickets have been on sale while Black Widow's tickets have been on sale for three more days than Eternals tickets have been on sale.

COMP NOTE: The Black Widow comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal: 571/4997 [11.43% sold] [+11 tickets]

 

Eternals Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	13218	15968	2750	17.22%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

97

 

T-6 Comp

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
SC	140.16		188	1962		0/111	15649/17611	11.14%		12.33m
BW	67.56		256	4070		0/178	21664/25734	15.82%		9.34m

COMP NOTE: The Black Widow comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal: 591/4997 [11.83% sold] [+20 tickets]

 

===

 

Yeah, I gots nothing. 

 

One thing that is hurting Eternals compared to Black Widow, aside from the obvious, is the wide disparity in showtimes.  At this point in time BW had about 76% more showtimes than Eternals does. So folks who might be wavering just aren't going for less-than-ideal seats or grabbing good seats at less-than-ideal times.  That's the barest of fig leafs, though.

 

Don't ask me where it's gonna end up, but for now... As I said "I gots nothing."

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-6	Eternals	Jacksonville	6	49	8,384	717	38	8.55%
		Phoenix	7	42	6,832	777	63	11.37%
		Raleigh	8	34	3,886	715	32	18.40%
	Eternals Total		21	125	19,102	2,209	133	11.56%

 

Eternals comps

BW - .732x (9.66m)

SC - 1.7x (14.96m)

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-5	Eternals	Jacksonville	6	49	8,384	744	27	8.87%
		Phoenix	7	42	6,832	823	46	12.05%
		Raleigh	8	34	3,886	733	18	18.86%
	Eternals Total		21	125	19,102	2,300	91	12.04%

 

Eternals comps

BW - .72x (9.51m)

SC - 1.598x (14.07m)

 

It feels like Eternals is just crawling along but it's hanging right with BW.  Since T-10 the BW comp has fluctuated from 9.43 to 9.7 to 9.51.  

[XXR vs XXR]

I'm thinking $10m previews / $70-80m OW (depends on audience WOM).

Definitely quite a bit less than I'd hope for but not cratering. 

[SpiderByte]

Strange days where a 80 million opening is called a bomb but 40 million is a massive dominating hit.

[efialtes76]

4 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:

Strange days where a 80 million opening is called a bomb but 40 million is a massive dominating hit.

What's your problem with Dune?

[Last Man Standing]

5 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:

Strange days where a 80 million opening is called a bomb but 40 million is a massive dominating hit.

You sure are showing that strawman what's what.

[SpiderByte]

4 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

What's your problem with Dune?

Is what I'm saying not accurate? It's certainly how people are acting. Dune drops and it's "dominating", Eternals estmates dropped and it's "cratering".

Edited October 30, 2021 by SpiderByte

[Eric Atreides]

Moderation

 

@SpiderByte that’s enough. Straight up, that is enough. You have made your point, and it’s not giving anything productive. If you want to troll Dune or attack others for not being super ultra nice against Eternals, know you will see threadbans.

 

And if you don’t like this, just know you can go to another forum where the rules are way more lax.

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, VenomXXR said:

I'm thinking $10m previews / $70-80m OW (depends on audience WOM).

Definitely quite a bit less than I'd hope for but not cratering. 

The numbers you have put are quite good but that is best case scenario at this point. I can definitely see previews below SC and OW below 60m if the growth is anemic. I can confirm so far nothing has changed and there is no catalyst left as well except final few days of sales when things do go vertical in a day. 

 

Anyway just for comps with BW saturday morning. 

 

MTC1 previews - 82289/396338 1417571.09 2086 shows

MTC1 Friday - 65010/732339 1118010.04  3639 shows. 

 

Pace is still sub par. OD is slightly better but at current pace its not overtaking previews. 

[john2000]

24 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

The numbers you have put are quite good but that is best case scenario at this point. I can definitely see previews below SC and OW below 60m if the growth is anemic. I can confirm so far nothing has changed and there is no catalyst left as well except final few days of sales when things do go vertical in a day. 

 

Anyway just for comps with BW saturday morning. 

 

MTC1 previews - 82289/396338 1417571.09 2086 shows

MTC1 Friday - 65010/732339 1118010.04  3639 shows. 

 

Pace is still sub par. OD is slightly better but at current pace its not overtaking previews. 

below 60 would be a disaster for sure lets at least hope that it hits in the 70-80

[WrathOfHan]

Eternals:

6:00 Dolby: 118/236

6:45 IMAX: 39/372

7:15: 25/107

7:45 3D: 1/67

8:15: 7/107

8:45 Open Caption: 11/107

9:45 Dolby: 73/236

10:30 IMAX: 7/372

Total: 281/1,604

 

Comps:

 

81% of Black Widow the day before (10.8M)

170% of Shang-Chi five days out (15M)

194% of Dune five days out (9.9M)

273% of No Time to Die five days out (17.2M)

 

Sales are still good, but aside from the late Dolby show, it hasn't gained much ground from the last time I checked a week or two ago.

 

 

Spencer:

5:00 3/77

8:00: 5/77

Total: 8/154

 

Strong start so far. Hopefully it can get a good opening.

[Eric Atreides]

2 hours ago, Eric Atreides said:

Moderation

 

@SpiderByte that’s enough. Straight up, that is enough. You have made your point, and it’s not giving anything productive. If you want to troll Dune or attack others for not being super ultra nice against Eternals, know you will see threadbans.

 

And if you don’t like this, just know you can go to another forum where the rules are way more lax.

For the record, this doesn't mean I want people to respond or encourage SpiderByte in any way. There's no point in instigating the guy and making things worse.

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/29/2021 at 3:51 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

477

1478

32.27%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

333

1741

19.13%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1857	73	16403	11.32%	15	90

 

AMCs sold	1201
Cinemarks sold	286
Regals sold	272
Harkins sold	98

 

Shang-Chi comp: 12.21M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 10.36M

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

501

1478

33.90%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

351

1741

20.16%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1962	105	16403	11.96%	15	90

 

AMCs sold	1255
Cinemarks sold	303
Regals sold	295
Harkins sold	109

 

Shang-Chi comp: 12.08M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 10.24M

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/29/2021 at 3:54 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-6 days Thursday(61 showings): 1750(+120)/18701(+865) in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 11.91M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 7.98M

 

T-7 days Friday(90 showings): 1400(+107)/32264(+726) in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 31.13M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 16.34M

 

T-8 days Saturday(84 showings): 731(+31)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-9 days Sunday(69 showings): 155(+12)/23475 in 11 theaters

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-5 days Thursday(62 showings): 1812(+62)/18786(+85) in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 11.41M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 7.83M

 

T-6 days Friday(90 showings): 1472(+72)/32264 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 29.10M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 15.51M

 

T-7 days Saturday(84 showings): 774(+43)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-8 days Sunday(69 showings): 167(+12)/23475 in 11 theaters

 

Awful day for Megaplex

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/29/2021 at 4:00 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-6 days Thursday(107 showings): 5722(+234)/15764

 

Dune comp: 9.08M

 

T-7 days Friday(154 showings): 5408(+349)/22970

 

Dune comp: 14.62M

 

T-8 days Saturday(175 showings): 5296(+214)/26432

 

Dune comp: 18.29M

 

T-9 days Sunday(153 showings): 3095(+150)/22904

 

Dune comp: 10.24M

Eternals Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-5 days Thursday(110 showings): 5906(+184)/16167(+403)

 

Dune comp: 8.56M

 

T-6 days Friday(156 showings): 5649(+241)/23221(+251)

 

Dune comp: 14.35M

 

T-7 days Saturday(175 showings): 5624(+328)/26432

 

Dune comp: 17.26M

 

T-8 days Sunday(158 showings): 3237(+142)/23369(+465)

 

Dune comp: 10.11M

[Menor the Destroyer]

21 hours ago, Menor said:

Thursday:

Showtimes: 2017 (+49)

Seats Sold: 41323 (+1781) (ugh)

$ Sales: 573506 (+25047)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 3788 (+68)
Seats Sold: 33985/630374 (+2401)

$ Sales: 444191 (+29239)

 

Blech pace for Thursday, Friday is sort of ok I suppose but still not that good. BW comp will be back tomorrow onwards. 

Eternals

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 2026 (+9)

Seats Sold: 43202/326285 (+1879)

$ Sales: 598749 (+25243)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 3796 (+8)

Seats Sold: 36320/631299 (+2335)

$ Sales: 473318 (+29127)

 

No bump, though I did take it slightly early.