The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Tinalera]

Looks like Ghostbusters has started advanced Sales at Cineplex. Maybe Wed Ill get some numbers up to see how that's going.

[XXR vs XXR]

Ghostbusters will do at least $50m OW

[Maggie]

8 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Ghostbusters will do at least $50m OW

Don't get my hopes up. I'm rooting for it

[Porthos]

52 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Ghostbusters will do at least $50m OW

 

don'tgivemehope.gif

 

===

 

Will say that just about any OW won't surprise me for this film.  Can see everything from a TSS-style bugsplat to a Jungle Cruise-esque opening to a surprise-ish breakout.

 

Just really no clue whatsoever.

 

(if it does look like 50m+ could happen, might even end up tracking it)

Edited November 1, 2021 by Porthos

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Not bad, I guess. This won't have any sort of review bump since reviews are already out. Not sure how it can maintain or pickup pace.

 

Could try to follow the Let There Be Carnage playbook and get some free early screenings to drive WOM.  This seems like the type of film which could live or die on how other people are reacting to it.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

I'd say 26-32m? Wide range, sure, but the reviews are not strong and it's yet another nostalgia-quel. Despite the online chaos, Ghostbusters 2016 managed 46m but McCarthy was still a big draw then

 

Still getting Terminator: Dark Fate vibes (29m OW). But Ghostbusters is more family-oriented, so I don't know

[Ronin46]

I said 30/80 a few weeks ago and think that's more likely than 50. 

[keysersoze123]

11 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I'd say 26-32m? Wide range, sure, but the reviews are not strong and it's yet another nostalgia-quel. Despite the online chaos, Ghostbusters 2016 managed 46m but McCarthy was still a big draw then

 

Still getting Terminator: Dark Fate vibes (29m OW). But Ghostbusters is more family-oriented, so I don't know

I would be shocked if it opens to just 26million after the PS we have seen. This is not a hybrid release. Let us wait and watch for few days. But to me 40m+ looks good based on the start seen. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/31/2021 at 3:45 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

507

1478

34.30%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

377

1741

21.65%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2068	106	16403	12.61%	15	90

 

AMCs sold	1314
Cinemarks sold	330
Regals sold	308
Harkins sold	116

 

Shang-Chi comp: 11.91M
Adjusted Black Widow comp: 10.15M

Eternals Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

528

1478

35.72%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

400

1741

22.98%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2252	184	16403	13.73%	15	90

 

AMCs sold	1381
Cinemarks sold	377
Regals sold	350
Harkins sold	144

 

Shang-Chi comp: 11.07M
Adjusted Black Widow comp: 9.98M

[ThomasNicole]

I wouldn't call a 7.2 average on rotten tomatoes "not strong", especially for a Ghostbusters movie.

 

Reviews are pretty good and they're saying exactly what drive people into theaters, it's fun, feel good and will make fans cry of nostalgia. Yeah sure top critics reviews are mixed because it rely too much on nostalgia, but overall this is being praised and it will be the biggest selling point for this movie, so it's strong enough.

 

Unless this is a just a first day rush, +40M OW seems very likely.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-4 days Thursday(63 showings): 1922(+110)/19029(+243) in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 11.04M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 7.72M

 

T-5 days Friday(90 showings): 1584(+114)/32264 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 29.04M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 15.16M

 

T-6 days Saturday(84 showings): 858(+84)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-7 days Sunday(69 showings): 181(+14)/23475 in 11 theaters

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-3 days Thursday(63 showings): 2162(+240)/19029 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 10.55M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 7.91M

 

T-4 days Friday(90 showings): 1790(+206)/32264 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 25.59M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 14.99M

 

T-5 days Saturday(84 showings): 100(+142)/30586 in 14 theaters

 

T-6 days Sunday(69 showings): 255(+74)/23475 in 11 theaters

[TwoMisfits]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I would be shocked if it opens to just 26million after the PS we have seen. This is not a hybrid release. Let us wait and watch for few days. But to me 40m+ looks good based on the start seen. 

 

I'm actually most interested in MTC 2 early numbers - are the monthly subscribers choosing this as the November family movie over Eternals, Encanto, and Clifford (okay, forget the last one - yes, they totally are for that one:)...if they are, this might get some family momentum going:)...

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

I'm actually most interested in MTC 2 early numbers - are the monthly subscribers choosing this as the November family movie over Eternals, Encanto, and Clifford (okay, forget the last one - yes, they totally are for that one:)...if they are, this might get some family momentum going:)...

MTC2 rarely explodes out of the block unless its a uber blockbuster. This is definitely not one of that. Even Eternals did not explode out nor did Venom 2 or Shang Chi. I think the next movie to explode out of the gate at MTC2 should be Spidey. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-4 days Thursday(110 showings): 6095(+189)/16167

 

Dune comp: 7.65M

 

T-5 days Friday(156 showings): 5960(+311)/23221

 

Dune comp: 13.63M

 

T-6 days Saturday(175 showings): 5923(+299)/26432

 

Dune comp: 15.37M

 

T-7 days Sunday(158 showings): 3446(+209)/23369

 

Dune comp: 9.36M

Eternals Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-3 days Thursday(113 showings): 6520(+425)/16436(+269)

 

Dune comp: 7.65M

 

T-4 days Friday(157 showings): 6446(+486)/23336(+115)

 

Dune comp: 13.43M

 

T-5 days Saturday(174 showings): 6428(+505)/26311(-121)

 

Dune comp: 15.40M

 

T-6 days Sunday(158 showings): 3926(+480)/23369

 

Dune comp: 9.98M

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC2 rarely explodes out of the block unless its a uber blockbuster. This is definitely not one of that. Even Eternals did not explode out nor did Venom 2 or Shang Chi. I think the next movie to explode out of the gate at MTC2 should be Spidey. 

 

That's b/c MTC 1 explosion is mostly just all the subscribers getting tickets if they are gonna get them b/c their plan is almost unlimited movies...

 

MTC 2's plan requires subscribers to be selective and only get 1 movie a month, but those folks tend to bring people, so if a movie is the pick, it can explode:)...when there are lots of options, yeah, there won't usually be an out of the box explosion, but it's noteworthy if there is one...

 

TL/DR - it's not a surprise that Ghosbusters decided to start presales when MTC 2's subscriber month rolled over:)...they are hoping to be THE November film, but that is a tough ask this month...

Edited November 1, 2021 by TwoMisfits

[Menor the Destroyer]

I wouldn't expect Ghostbusters to be particularly strong at MTC2, but we'll see. Overperformers at MTC2 are usually F9/Venom stuff that appeals to diverse audiences, as well as family animated films especially Disney (I remember Frozen 2 was monstrous). Ghostbusters has an older audience and (my guess is) a whiter one. But I'll take the first day tonight. 

Edited November 1, 2021 by Menor

[Ryan Reynolds]

so Ghostbusters doing well ? Paramount moved Top Gun Maverick for nothing

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

54 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

I wouldn't call a 7.2 average on rotten tomatoes "not strong", especially for a Ghostbusters movie.

 

Reviews are pretty good and they're saying exactly what drive people into theaters, it's fun, feel good and will make fans cry of nostalgia. Yeah sure top critics reviews are mixed because it rely too much on nostalgia, but overall this is being praised and it will be the biggest selling point for this movie, so it's strong enough.

 

Unless this is a just a first day rush, +40M OW seems very likely.

62 on Metacritic is not good. Will probably settle in 50s. 

[ThomasNicole]

18 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

62 on Metacritic is not good. Will probably settle in 50s. 

Yes, because Metacritic takes only top critics, pretty much all movies have lower grades there.

 

Still, nobody cares that much about MC for movies, what really matters is RT and reception there is pretty good, the reviews give exactly what people want to hear from this to watch it, so unless this is just a fan rush sales, OW should be good.

[Eric Atreides]

This new Ghostbusters is nothing more than wanking off 80s nostalgia. Reviews won't matter since that's the only thing people want anymore.