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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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34 minutes ago, john2000 said:

https://deadline.com/2021/11/eternals-opening-weekend-box-office-1234868870/

 

‘Eternals’ Powers Up $9.5M Thursday Night, 3rd Best Preview Night During Pandemic

 

congrats again, predictions were 9,5-10 so close right in your range.

 

18 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

I’m going with $9.6M for Eternals tonight. Seeing it in 2 hours. Happy Eternals Day, yall!


Close enough.

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1 minute ago, Danhjpn said:

$9.5M is their estimate or official number? 

If it is official number, how much is the chance for $80M+ OW? 

it depends more on how friday does than what the previews did, i would say decent chances.

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What a journey Eternals had? its OD PS at MTC1 was higher than BW(> 20%) and it ended up with low 70s of BW previews. 

20 minutes ago, Menor said:

Preview numbers are always estimated. We never know the actual since it gets rolled into the Friday.

 

I doubt it will be dramatically different. May be couple of % here and there. Last time I remember previews being updated was for Transformers 2 when they found another 800K from Imax shows in Puerto Rico creating a meme forever :-)

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10 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex Friday(188 showings):

 

4730(+852)/51921 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 25.60M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 15.25M

 

BW was just a different beast at Megaplex. But the number increases are stronger than SC. Eternals did +1789 from yesterday's update, SC did +1579. I'll do another update tomorrow morning with some sort of prediction.

Eternals Megaplex Friday(188 showings):

 

5257(+527)/51921 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 25.87M

Adjusted Black Widow comp: 15.59M

 

Both comps went up, so I suppose that's a good sign. The preview number ended up being a weighted average of 75% and 25% for the SC and BW Thursday comps. If I apply that here, the number ends up being 23.3M. But the preview number seemed to indicated that late walkups were relatively weak, so I'll chop off 500K and go with 22.8M

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9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

What a journey Eternals had? its OD PS at MTC1 was higher than BW(> 20%) and it ended up with low 70s of BW previews. 

Seems MTC 1 duped us. 

MTC 2 day 1 was 68% of BW, ended up being same. BW having seating restriction in MTC 1 probably the reason. 

Harkins sort of remained 77% of BW throughout run in admits. 

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I doubt it will be dramatically different. May be couple of % here and there. Last time I remember previews being updated was for Transformers 2 when they found another 800K from Imax shows in Puerto Rico creating a meme forever :-)

TFA actuals were $54M ish. 

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Way to go @Eric loves Ajak!  Nailed it even if you had an equivocation!

 

====

 

And lolme for trying to once again guess a ticket shift.  

 

Note to future self:  Only do that in the most exceptional of circumstances like Dune.

 

And good going Tracking Thread.  Most of us had it at 9.7m and 9.5m is more than close enough for the collective thread to take a victory lap.

 

(some more than others, as Eric showed ;))

Edited by Porthos
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Eternals Friday Mid day Update

MTC1 - 232103/1014947 3548111.41 5671 shows +65391

MTC2 - 163001/764883 1924202.76 5023 shows +50592

 

Its what low 90s% of MTC1/2 run rate since yesterday night. I think gap between the 2 will narrow by evening I would say ~22m friday. Let us where things are this evening. 

 

On 9/3/2021 at 12:52 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Shang Chi Mid Day Friday

MTC1 - 215178/1073741 3097276.61 6087 shows +70375

MTC2 - 146426/937407 1675414.46 6622 shows +56670

 

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 56 1660 3.37%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 65 1937 3.36%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
298 15 16293 1.83% 15 83

 

AMCs sold 260
Cinemarks sold 15
Regals sold 17
Harkins sold 6

 

NTTD comp: 4.22M

F9 comp: 4.45M

Ghostbusters Afterlife Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 65 1660 3.92%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 70 1937 3.61%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
326 28 16293 2.00% 15 83

 

AMCs sold 277
Cinemarks sold 21
Regals sold 22
Harkins sold 6

 

Wednesday:

Total 16 786

 

NTTD comp: 4.50M

F9 comp: 4.70M

 

Forgot to add in the early access shows until now. Not much sales, but it contributed to a nice boost to the comps along with a good day.

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On 11/4/2021 at 3:50 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-14 days Thursday(56 showings): 162(+11)/19379 in 14 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 1.46M

 

T-15 days Friday(86 showings): 217(+42)/31653 in 14 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 4.86M

 

T-16 days Saturday(84 showings): 132(+16)/30741 in 13 theaters

 

T-17 days Sunday(70 showings): 11/24661 in 11 theaters

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-12 days Wednesday(4 showings): 96/2144 in 4 theaters

 

T-13 days Thursday(56 showings): 172(+10)/19379 in 14 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 2.29M

 

T-14 days Friday(86 showings): 232(+15)/31653 in 14 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 4.97M

 

T-15 days Saturday(84 showings): 162(+30)/30741 in 13 theaters

 

T-16 days Sunday(70 showings): 15(+4)/24661 in 11 theaters

 

Adding those early access showings definitely helped a ton here.

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On 11/4/2021 at 3:53 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-14 days Thursday(98 showings): 1575(+115)/15614

 

T-15 days Friday(108 showings): 1277(+132)/17586

 

T-16 days Saturday(126 showings): 1151(+106)/20679

 

T-17 days Sunday(104 showings): 492(+47)/16341

 

Put the wrong Saturday number yesterday

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-13 days Thursday(102 showings): 1713(+138)/16217(+603)

 

T-14 days Friday(111 showings): 1428(+151)/18051(+465)

 

T-15 days Saturday(129 showings): 1307(+156)/21144(+465)

 

T-16 days Sunday(106 showings): 565(+73)/16651(+310)

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-2 days Saturday(187 showings): 2151(+491)/51614(+256) in 15 theaters

 

T-3 days Sunday(168 showings): 577(+151)/46209(+210) in 15 theaters

 

Didn't do a midday update for SC Friday, so no comp. But I'll do one tonight and I have a comp for that.

Eternals Megaplex

 

T-1 days Saturday(191 showings): 3370(+1219)/52304(+690) in 15 theaters

 

T-2 days Sunday(170 showings): 804(+227)/46567(+358) in 15 theaters

 

Saturday is at 86.9% of what Friday was at yesterday at the same time. I guess for comparison's sake, Dune's afternoon Sat T-1 was 88.3% of its Fri T-1, and NTTD was 84.9%. So seems normal.

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On 11/4/2021 at 4:08 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Eternals Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Saturday(317 showings): 9889(+1620)/42721

 

Dune comp: 14.49M

 

T-3 days Sunday(277 showings): 5685(+765)/37347(+1081)

 

Dune comp: 8.94M

Eternals Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-1 days Saturday(321 showings): 12852(+2963)/43046(+325)

 

Dune comp: 14.64M

 

T-2 days Sunday(281 showings): 6987(+1302)/37669(+322)

 

Dune comp: 8.92M

 

Saturday is 23.1% ahead of Friday at the same time. But that's normal in this chain because they open earlier on Saturdays. Dune's Sat was 23.7% ahead of its Fri at the same time for example.

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On 11/4/2021 at 11:17 PM, Eric loves Ajak said:

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 64 420 14319 2.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 28

 

Comp

1.597x of The Suicide Squad T-14 (6.55M)

0.473x of Shang-Chi T-14 (4.17M)

0.663x of Venom 2 T-14 (7.7M)

0.743x of No Time to Die T-14 (4.68M)

 

Weed

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 66 461 14545 3.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 41

 

Comp

1.676x of The Suicide Squad T-13 (6.87M)

0.490x of Shang-Chi T-13 (4.31M)

0.683x of Venom 2 T-13 (7.92M)

0.788x of No Time to Die T-13 (4.96M)

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On 11/4/2021 at 11:20 PM, Eric loves Ajak said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-48 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 40 36 8527 0.42%

 

I'm including the Early Access shows happening on November 27 into the full count. I just don't see the need to divide them up. However, it should not come as a surprise to anybody here that almost all the sales so far are from said Early Access shows. In fact, only four tickets were sold for OD, December 22. But honestly...that's four more than I expected, considering how far away the movie is. :lol:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-47 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 47 57 9176 0.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

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