The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[ConnorFilm]

48 minutes ago, Paul Verhoeven said:

 

$21M over the five day holiday weekend for Gucci would be good, especially for an rated r film that's two and half hours long. That would roughly translate to $12-13M over a regular three day weekend. 

[keysersoze123]

@katnisscinnaplex how big is afterlife early shows release. It looks like around MTC1/2 around 250K today and so overall BO should be close to half a million(roughly half of Bond). 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 10/6/2021 at 5:59 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

NTTD Early Shows

I'm seeing 414 shows in US and 45 in Canada.  

 

US breakdown looks like...

AMC: 182

Cinemark/Century: 64
Regal: 81

Other: 87

 

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

@katnisscinnaplex how big is afterlife early shows release. It looks like around MTC1/2 around 250K today and so overall BO should be close to half a million(roughly half of Bond). 

 

Added my counts from NTTD for comparison.  Here's what I can see for Afterlife tonight.

 

200 shows in US and 25 in Canada

 

US breakdown

AMC: 73

Cinemark/Century: 45

Regal: 35

Other: 44

 

So if show count = half of Bond and gross = half of Bond...  full weekend = Bond weekend?  

[keysersoze123]

Ok based on numbers you share I am thinking lower than half. May be 35-40%. So around 350-400K. I expect AMC/CIN ratio to be around 70%. 

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ok based on numbers you share I am thinking lower than half. May be 35-40%. So around 350-400K. I expect AMC/CIN ratio to be around 70%. 

That would be decent ? 

[von Kenni]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ok based on numbers you share I am thinking lower than half. May be 35-40%. So around 350-400K. I expect AMC/CIN ratio to be around 70%. 

 

 

24 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

 

Added my counts from NTTD for comparison.  Here's what I can see for Afterlife tonight.

 

200 shows in US and 25 in Canada

 

US breakdown

AMC: 73

Cinemark/Century: 45

Regal: 35

Other: 44

 

So if show count = half of Bond and gross = half of Bond...  full weekend = Bond weekend?  

 

Yeah, what does that all translate into OW? 70% of Bond OW ~ $40m?

[keysersoze123]

11 minutes ago, von Kenni said:

 

 

 

Yeah, what does that all translate into OW? 70% of Bond OW ~ $40m?

I am thinking in 35-40 range for now. Let us see how walkups go tomorrow. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am thinking in 35-40 range for now. Let us see how walkups go tomorrow. 

You have MTC1 back?

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

202

1750

11.54%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

179

1937

9.24%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
906	168	18171	4.99%	15	94

 

AMCs sold	635
Cinemarks sold	139
Regals sold	97
Harkins sold	35

 

Wednesday:

Total

126

786

 

NTTD comp: 3.66M

F9 comp: 5.84M

Ghostbusters Afterlife Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

233

1978

11.78%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

195

2280

8.55%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1046	140	19500	5.36%	15	111

 

Showings added: 17

Seats added: 1329

 

AMCs sold	741
Cinemarks sold	151
Regals sold	107
Harkins sold	47

 

NTTD comp: 3.25M

F9 comp: 4.83M

 

I should've been more specific previously, but I was using Wed+Thurs for the comps before today. So the F9 comp is taking the biggest hit. FWIW, comparing Thurs to F9 for yesterday would be 5.13M. So not as big of a drop as it seems. NTTD also had Wed showings of course, so I'm using 5.23M for the straight Thurs comp.

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/16/2021 at 4:08 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-1 days Wednesday(4 showings): 291(+120)/2144 in 4 theaters

 

T-2 days Thursday(71 showings): 758(+260)/22899(+1699) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 2.90M

F9 comp: 6.33M

 

T-3 days Friday(179 showings): 1183(+483)/50673(+18172) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 6.40M

F9 comp: 14.71M

 

T-4 days Saturday(184 showings): 1081(+438)/52072(+19085) in 15 theaters

 

T-5 days Sunday(150 showings): 193(+73)/43876(+17823) in 15 theaters

 

Good news, I fixed the newest version of the scrapper. Hopefully permanently, or at least long enough to get through No Way Home.

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-1 days Thursday(72 showings): 918(+160)/23059(+160) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 2.35M

F9 comp: 4.50M

 

T-2 days Friday(179 showings): 1590(+407)/50673 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 6.62M

F9 comp: 16.00M

 

T-3 days Saturday(184 showings): 1384(+203)/52072 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 10.26M

 

T-4 days Sunday(150 showings): 300(+107)/43876 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 8.68M

 

Keep in mind that yesterday's numbers were over 2 days, so all but Saturday had an increase in pace. And the straight Thurs F9 comp for yesterday would've been 4.57M, barely a decrease.

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/16/2021 at 4:11 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Thursday(178 showings): 3858(+408)/24546(+4133)

 

T-3 days Friday(216 showings): 3959(+626)/30804(+11652)

 

T-4 days Saturday(221 showings): 4045(+577)/32634(+9856)

 

T-5 days Sunday(181 showings): 2018(+288)/26180(+9189)

 

FYI, I'll do a report for Encanto tonight

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-1 days Thursday(214 showings): 4395(+537)/27995(+3449)

 

T-2 days Friday(281 showings): 4807(+848)/38127(+7323)

 

T-3 days Saturday(315 showings): 4909(+864)/42978(+10344)

 

T-4 days Sunday(242 showings): 2370(+352)/33501(+7321)

[Inceptionzq]

18 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Tuesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

9

728

1.24%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

6

538

1.12%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 14 HRS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
59	59	6587	0.90%	14	43

 

AMCs sold	31
Cinemarks sold	22
Regals sold	6
Harkins sold	0

 

Free Guy comp: 865K

Jungle Cruise comp: 1.00M

 

Looks like Cinemark is still gonna have a discount day for previews, so something to keep in mind.

Encanto Tuesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

9

728

1.24%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

11

538

2.04%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 18 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
82	23	6814	1.20%	15	45

 

AMCs sold	47
Cinemarks sold	22
Regals sold	10
Harkins sold	3

 

Jungle Cruise comp: 1.22M

[Inceptionzq]

17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Megaplex

 

T-7 days Tuesday(34 showings):  47/8803 in 14 theaters

 

T-8 days Wednesday(96 showings): 222/29503 in 14 theaters

 

T-9 days Thursday(95 showings): 2523/29549 in 14 theaters

 

T-10 days Friday(94 showings): 737/29851 in 14 theaters

 

T-11 days Saturday(94 showings): 159/29854 in 14 theaters

 

I held off on posting this for a bit because I didn't believe the numbers. Thought the seating maps were jacked up or something because my tracker doesn't count blocked but not sold seats. But I finally got the wits to look at other chains in the area, and they are doing very well too. So it appears to be legit. I know it's a holiday and everything, and Utah has a ton of kids and big families, but this is still pretty crazy to me after just 14 hours.

Encanto Megaplex

 

T-6 days Tuesday(34 showings):  71(+24)/8803 in 14 theaters

 

T-7 days Wednesday(97 showings): 325(+103)/29585(+82) in 14 theaters

 

T-8 days Thursday(99 showings): 3321(+798)/30605(+1056) in 14 theaters

 

T-9 days Friday(95 showings): 953(+216)/29933(+82) in 14 theaters

 

T-10 days Saturday(94 showings): 234(+75)/29854 in 14 theaters

 

Numbers are still doing great. Don't think I've ever gone to the movies on Thanksgiving, but apparently that's a popular thing to do here with families.

[Inceptionzq]

18 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-7 days Tuesday(43 showings): 162/6088

 

T-8 days Wednesday(80 showings): 245/11463

 

T-9 days Thursday(88 showings): 138/12469

 

T-10 days Friday(66 showings): 278/8736

 

T-11 days Saturday(68 showings): 103/8699

Encanto Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-6 days Tuesday(43 showings): 198(+36)/6088

 

T-7 days Wednesday(80 showings): 401(+156)/11463

 

T-8 days Thursday(88 showings): 218(+80)/12469

 

T-9 days Friday(66 showings): 368(+90)/8736

 

T-10 days Saturday(73 showings): 133(+30)/9461(+762)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

King Richard

AMC: (13)

345 open caption: 0

715: 13

 

Cinemark: (7)

12 (0), 325 (2), 650 (5), 1010 (0)

 

Not great here by any means

 

Gucci

(Tuesday)

Cinemark 7- (8)

Amc- (54)

7pm DOLBY (47)

8- (7)

 

(Wednesday)

Cinemark (4)

230 (0), 605 (4), 940 (0)

AMC (22)

4pm open caption (0)

730 DOLBY (22)

8 (0)

 

Seems solid. 

[Tinalera]

All those movies coming out in Dec, Im probably prep my excel sheets for doing all those counts.

 

I don't drink alcohol at all, but this might be the thing that pushes me to the brink.....

[Ronin46]

Deadline

 

Sony is conservatively projecting $27M-$28M for the U.S./Canadian weekend; industry rivals are seeing $30M-$35M at 4,300 theaters. Tack on an overseas launch in UK, Germany, Italy, Latin America (incl. Brazil, Mexico), Benelux, Sweden and Denmark and the global start for the movie could reach $45M. As the old adage goes, Ghostbusters is a domestic property, not overseas. Stateside previews start tomorrow at 4PM at 3,450 theaters. Sony will have all the Imax and PDFs in the pic’s opening U.S./Canada suite.

 

Warner Bros. has their Will Smith movie King Richard about Venus and Serena Williams’ father Richard who coached them to tennis championship stardom on Friday, while MGM/United Artist Releasing has Ridley Scott’s The House of Gucci opening on Wednesday. The difference is that King Richard is available on HBO Max in homes, the second to last movie that’s part of WarnerMedia’s day-and-date theatrical-HBO Max day-and-date 2021 strategy, while House of Gucci is on a theatrical window. The outlook for King Richard at 3,250 theaters is $10M for the 2 hour 18 minute running time feature.

 

Disney/Marvel’s third weekend of Eternals is eyeing a -50% decline for $13.4M in the No. 2 spot ahead of King Richard. The Chloe Zhao directed feature through yesterday stands at $121.9M. Paramount/eOne’s Clifford the Big Red Dog is estimated to be off at least -40% from its 3-day of $16.6M with just under $10M. That pic’s running total through seven days is $24M.

 

 

[Tinalera]

I put out a post complaining about Cineplex updating their site, but looks like I can get back to my original format as I had it before (thank goodness).

 

Still threw me off though lol

Edited November 18, 2021 by Tinalera

[XXR vs XXR]

49 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

Sony is conservatively projecting $27M-$28M for the U.S./Canadian weekend; industry rivals are seeing $30M-$35M at 4,300 theaters. 

 

I'm going with $39M on $4.6M previews.

 

50 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

Disney/Marvel’s third weekend of Eternals is eyeing a -50% decline for $13.4M in the No. 2 spot ahead of King Richard. The Chloe Zhao directed feature through yesterday stands at $121.9M.

 

So we're looking at a domestic final somewhere around $160-170m?

[Tinalera]

Ghostbusters Afterlife

Toronto Ontario

Friday Nov 19 (taken Wed Nov 17)

13 theatres

117 shows

 

Total sold 571

Total Remaining 17009

Total seats 17580

 

Percentage 3.25