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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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Kenneth Branagh is probably begging Disney to never release Death on Nile so it doesn't jeopardize with Oscar chances with Belfast. 

 

Deep Water is surely being pushed and Searchlight releases Nightmare Alley just a week after.

 

Without many Disney releases scheduled soon, Lightyear and Turning Red make the sense. 

 

I'd also imagine other films will be shown like The 355, Cyrano, Marry Me, Downton Abbey

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Just now, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Kenneth Branagh is probably begging Disney to never release Death on Nile so it doesn't jeopardize with Oscar chances with Belfast. 

 

Deep Water is surely being pushed and Searchlight releases Nightmare Alley just a week after.

 

Without many Disney releases scheduled soon, Lightyear and Turning Red make the sense. 

 

I'd also imagine other films will be shown like The 355, Cyrano, Marry Me, Downton Abbey

Deep Water is likely being dumped whenever it comes out at this point tbh. Adult dramas have been struggling for the most part and it's hard to imagine Affleck and de Armas being eager to do a promo tour for a movie they made when they were together forever ago and will have been broken up for eons by the time it sees the light of day.

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My theaters aren’t doing private showings up here. I called about one for a Christmas present, and they said that was just a Covid special. They weren’t gonna do them for the foreseeable future

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 2299 3431 67.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 2084 4232 49.24%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
13403 319 32711 40.97% 15 212

 

AMCs sold 7224
Cinemarks sold 2616
Regals sold 2253
Harkins sold 1310

 

Eternals final comp: 28.60M

Shang-Chi final comp: 29.23M

Black Widow final comp: 27.81M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 32.18M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-10 comp: 47.48M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

  Reveal hidden contents

 

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 2344 3739 62.69%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 2123 4232 50.17%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
13751 348 33019 41.65% 15 215

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 308

 

AMCs sold 7365
Cinemarks sold 2670
Regals sold 2358
Harkins sold 1358

 

Eternals final comp: 29.34M

Shang-Chi final comp: 29.99M

Black Widow final comp: 28.53M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 32.88M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-9 comp: 47.72M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

Spoiler

NWH T-9: +348, +2.59%

4.35x Eternals T-9 (+80, +5.08%)

3.31x Shang-Chi T-9 (+105, +11.73%)

2.70x Black Widow T-9 (+129, +6.73%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-9: +250, +2.18%

1.55x TRoS T-9 (+161, +1.67%)

 

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-10 days Thursday(161 showings): 18553(+580, +3.23%)/38339(+635) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 28.74M

Black Widow final comp: 29.58M

 

Daily pace comparison: 8.66x Black Widow T-10 (+67, +2.95%)

 

T-11 days Friday(181 showings): 13588(+601, +4.63%)/50009 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 31.31M

Black Widow final comp: 38.48M

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.56x Black Widow T-11 (+108, +7.11%)

 

T-12 days Saturday(179 showings): 7487(+595)/48174 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 21.05M

 

T-13 days Sunday(153 showings): 1766(+156)/46322 in 15 theaters

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-9 days Thursday(175 showings): 19093(+540)/40254(+1915) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 29.57M

Black Widow final comp: 30.44M

 

Daily pace comparison:

Spoiler

NWH T-9: +540, +2.91%

7.40x NTTD T-9 (+73, 8.35%)

3.33x Black Widow T-9 (+162, +6.93%)

 

T-10 days Friday(184 showings): 14161(+573)/51173(+1164) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 32.63M

Black Widow final comp: 40.10M

 

Daily pace comparison: 

Spoiler

NWH T-10: +573, +4.22%

3.92x NTTD T-10 (+146, +14.61%)

3.47x Black Widow T-10 (+165, +10.15%)

 

T-11 days Saturday(180 showings): 7978(+491)/48540(+366) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 22.43M

 

T-12 days Sunday(153 showings): 1867(+101)/46322 in 15 theaters

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1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Imagine if West Side Story's glitch-in-the-system disappearance for a brief moment had happened to Spider-Man instead.

 

People Panicking GIFs | Tenor

"Youll get it on streaming in 6 months and you're gonna like it!"

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-10 days Thursday(260 showings): 25200(+294, +1.18%)/33921

 

Eternals final comp: 23.84M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.66x Eternals T-10 (+177, +3.69%)

 

T-11 days Friday(318 showings): 22261(+742, +3.45%)/42510(+101)

 

Eternals final comp: 36.23M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.52x Eternals T-11 (+164, 3.87%)

 

T-12 days Saturday(354 showings): 21252(+783, +3.83%)/47023

 

Eternals final comp: 34.36M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.47x Eternals T-12 (+175, 4.06%)

 

T-13 days Sunday(295 showings): 10881(+718, +7.06%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.74x Eternals T-13 (+125, 5.00%)

 

The capacity issues are really showing with the Thursday pace comparison

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-9 days Thursday(266 showings): 25599(+399, +1.58%)/34333(+412)

 

Eternals final comp: 24.21M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.77x Eternals T-9 (+144, +2.90%)

 

T-10 days Friday(319 showings): 22824(+563, +2.53%)/42552(+42)

 

Eternals final comp: 37.15M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.46x Eternals T-10 (+229, +5.20%)

 

T-11 days Saturday(354 showings): 22074(+822, +3.87%)/47023

 

Eternals final comp: 35.69M

 

Daily pace comparison: 3.88x Eternals T-11 (+212, +4.72%)

 

T-12 days Sunday(295 showings): 11368(+487, +4.48%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.02x Eternals T-12 (+121, +4.61%)

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 119 794 14.99%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 76 1036 7.34%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 7 HOURS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
398 398 10018 3.97% 15 63

 

AMCs sold 283
Cinemarks sold 27
Regals sold 65
Harkins sold 23

 

Pacing ahead of what Dune started at, though that's previews vs OD. But nonetheless, Dune was at 434 sold after 8 hours.

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total 163 794 20.53%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 104 1036 10.04%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
587 189 10018 5.86% 15 63

 

AMCs sold 408
Cinemarks sold 44
Regals sold 97
Harkins sold 38

 

The pace has dropped behind Dune, 630 vs 587

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-16 days Wednesday(37 showings): 138/8660 in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Thursday(33 showings): 64/8048 in 8 theaters

 

T-18 days Friday(23 showings): 54/5190 in 8 theaters

 

T-19 days Saturday(34 showings): 36/7783 in 8 theaters

 

T-20 days Sunday(21 showings): 7/4202 in 6 theaters

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-15 days Wednesday(40 showings): 300(+162)/8906(+246) in 10 theaters

 

T-16 days Thursday(36 showings): 122(+58)/8294(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Friday(26 showings): 81(+27)/5436(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-18 days Saturday(37 showings): 64(+28)/8029(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-19 days Sunday(21 showings): 11(+4)/4202 in 6 theaters

 

Megaplex will probably underperform for Matrix

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23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-16 days Wednesday(86 showings): 2053/11113

 

T-17 days Thursday(81 showings): 909/10091

 

T-18 days Friday(48 showings): 214/5585

 

T-19 days Saturday(67 showings): 366/7530

 

T-20 days Sunday(55 showings): 181/6434

 

Strong start here. For comparison's sake, Dune was at 3126 sold for T-7 Thursday and 4338 for T-8 Friday

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-15 days Wednesday(86 showings): 2916(+863)/11113

 

T-16 days Thursday(81 showings): 1418(+509)/10091

 

T-17 days Friday(48 showings): 377(+163)/5585

 

T-18 days Saturday(67 showings): 638(+272)/7530

 

T-19 days Sunday(55 showings): 315(+134)/6434

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3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

No. My data was incomplete yesterday as I was getting the data. This is complete data. I dont think they added any shows yesterday. 


I just checked and it’s at 53 shows for Thursday. I wonder if they added 11 more or your scraper is dropping 11 shows for some reason.

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13 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:


I just checked and it’s at 53 shows for Thursday. I wonder if they added 11 more or your scraper is dropping 11 shows for some reason.

I think they added some today for sure after I checked this morning. yesterday there was just 42 shows. Someone did post so on this thread. 

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On 12/6/2021 at 11:47 PM, Eric Feels Pretty said:

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 31 142 4975 2.85%

 

Comp

0.959x of Dear Evan Hansen T-3 and Counting (768K)

 

Well I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but things seem super soft as we near the homestretch. And while I always appreciate Menor's numbers, I don't think Free Guy is a good comp to use for this film. Maybe things will change as we get closer, but I don't have huge hopes.

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 33 194 5500 3.53%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 525

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

1.148x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 and Counting (918K)

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On 12/6/2021 at 11:57 PM, Eric Feels Pretty said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 6 205 17,035 37,701 45.18%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 600

 

Comp

2.243x of Black Widow's Final Count (29.61M)

3.252x of Venom 2's Final Count (37.72M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.264x of Star Wars: TROS T-10 (50.57M)

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 6 205 17,443 37,701 46.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 408

 

Comp

2.297x of Black Widow's Final Count (30.32M)

3.330x of Venom 2's Final Count (38.63M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.268x of Star Wars: TROS T-9 (50.71M)

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23 hours ago, Eric Feels Pretty said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 55 621 9574 6.49%

 

Comp

0.847x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-16 (8.22M)

2.642x of The Suicide Squad T-16 (10.83M)

1.161x of Dune T-16 (5.92M)

 

Over the past few days there's been this weird mindset that Matrix 4 is set to bomb big time and only do like 10-20M on its OW. But honestly, while it's not a crazy first day of sales, if you take out the Dune number, which had an insane fan/PLF rush, these numbers seem pretty solid. I know that this is being hurt by Spidey and that it would have done way better in 2022 (telling ya, this would have been a slam dunk on Labor Day weekend if Warner didn't already pay for Keanu's backend deal), but I think these are pretty good results, barring a potential fan rush that doesn't pick up once we head towards release. That idea isn't impossible, but I think we're good for right now.

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 55 729 9574 7.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 108

 

Comp

0.875x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-15 (8.49M)

2.928x of The Suicide Squad T-15 (12M)

1.266x of Dune T-15 (6.45M)

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On 12/7/2021 at 12:21 AM, Eric Feels Pretty said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 59 1541 10681 14.43%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 765

Total Seats Sold Today: 56

 

Finally, we're starting to see some non-Early Access acceleration here. And I think I'll finally add in some comps in the next few days, albeit with some modifications that will ignore the already established Early Access numbers.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 59 1559 10681 14.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 18

 

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 151

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

8.389x of Jungle Cruise T-15 (22.65M)

 

I felt it was best to use non-EA shows, as that amounted to about 1,408 seats sold and a gross of...1.5M. Yeah, that's just too out of whack here. And yeah, that Jungle Cruise comp isn't good right now, but things will go down to Earth pretty quickly. And since I can't use Space Jam due to demographic issues, this is all I got at this point in time. What are you gonna do?

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No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 Days and Counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

0

311

20218

38057

17839

46.87%

 

Total Showings Added Today 

3

Total Seats Added Today 

505

Total Seats Sold Today 

424

 

As of T-9, No Way Home has sold...

1.9399x as many tickets as Black Widow  did at stop of tracking.             [26.81m]*

3.0510x as many tickets as Shang-Chi did at stop of tracking.                 [26.85m]

2.3131x as many tickets as Let There Be Carnage did at stop of tracking. [26.83m]

2.7834x as many tickets as Eternals did at stop of tracking.                     [26.44m]

* [adj for Ontario]

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp 

[Made under OFFICIAL PROTEST]  [***100% use at own risk*** — see cautionary note below]

 

   %

 

Sold T-9

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

EG

83.85

 

287

19029

 

17/243

5547/24576

77.43%

 

50.31m

TROS

113.80

 

165

14871

 

5/210

9661/24532

60.62%

 

45.52m

NWH (EG adj)

---

 

372

15955

 

0/311

17137/33092

48.21%

 

---

NWH (SW adj)

---

 

381

16923

 

0/311

17925/34848

48.56%

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NWH (EG adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year, a theater which converted to reserved seating this year as well as making an on-the-fly adjustment for a theater which I had partial data for EG and has now shut down and been replaced by another theater a mile a way [for this I am doing only a PLF-PLF comparison for the theater in question]

ADJUSTMENT NOTE #2: NWH (SW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year as well as a theater that which converted to reserved seating this year.  The theater which has been replaced is 100% included in this comp. 

CAUTIONARY 2021 COMPS NOTE:  ***ALL*** Sacramento 2021 comps when compared to similar pre-COVID movies have been running higher than what has actually been reported.  ABSOLUTELY KEEP THIS IN MIND THAT THIS COMP COULD VERY WELL BE OFF BY AS MUCH AS 15 to 20 PERCENT, or even more.   See here for explanation.

 

Regal:       4886/12528 [37.51% sold] [+1875 tickets]

Matinee:    1722/5023  [34.28% sold | 9.65% of all tickets sold]

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