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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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23 hours ago, Porthos said:

No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 Days and Counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

0

311

20218

38057

17839

46.87%

 

Total Showings Added Today 

3

Total Seats Added Today 

505

Total Seats Sold Today 

424

 

As of T-9, No Way Home has sold...

1.9399x as many tickets as Black Widow  did at stop of tracking.             [26.81m]*

3.0510x as many tickets as Shang-Chi did at stop of tracking.                 [26.85m]

2.3131x as many tickets as Let There Be Carnage did at stop of tracking. [26.83m]

2.7834x as many tickets as Eternals did at stop of tracking.                     [26.44m]

* [adj for Ontario]

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp 

[Made under OFFICIAL PROTEST]  [***100% use at own risk*** — see cautionary note below]

 

   %

 

Sold T-9

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

EG

83.85

 

287

19029

 

17/243

5547/24576

77.43%

 

50.31m

TROS

113.80

 

165

14871

 

5/210

9661/24532

60.62%

 

45.52m

NWH (EG adj)

---

 

372

15955

 

0/311

17137/33092

48.21%

 

---

NWH (SW adj)

---

 

381

16923

 

0/311

17925/34848

48.56%

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NWH (EG adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year, a theater which converted to reserved seating this year as well as making an on-the-fly adjustment for a theater which I had partial data for EG and has now shut down and been replaced by another theater a mile a way [for this I am doing only a PLF-PLF comparison for the theater in question]

ADJUSTMENT NOTE #2: NWH (SW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year as well as a theater that which converted to reserved seating this year.  The theater which has been replaced is 100% included in this comp. 

CAUTIONARY 2021 COMPS NOTE:  ***ALL*** Sacramento 2021 comps when compared to similar pre-COVID movies have been running higher than what has actually been reported.  ABSOLUTELY KEEP THIS IN MIND THAT THIS COMP COULD VERY WELL BE OFF BY AS MUCH AS 15 to 20 PERCENT, or even more.   See here for explanation.

 

Regal:       4886/12528 [37.51% sold] [+175 tickets]

Matinee:    1722/5023  [34.28% sold | 9.65% of all tickets sold]

 

No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and Counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

0

325

20891

39120

18229

46.60%

 

Total Showings Added Today 

14

Total Seats Added Today 

1063

Total Seats Sold Today 

390

 

As of T-8, No Way Home has sold...

1.9823x as many tickets as Black Widow  did at stop of tracking.             [27.40m]*

3.1177x as many tickets as Shang-Chi did at stop of tracking.                 [27.44m]

2.3637x as many tickets as Let There Be Carnage did at stop of tracking. [27.42m]

2.8443x as many tickets as Eternals did at stop of tracking.                     [27.02m]

* [adj for Ontario]

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp 

[Made under OFFICIAL PROTEST]  [***100% use at own risk*** — see cautionary note below]

 

   %

 

Sold T-8

Total Sold

 

Sellouts/Shows

Seats Left/Total Seats

Perct Sold

 

Comp

EG

84.79

 

200

19229

 

17/243

5347/24576

78.24%

 

50.87m

TROS

114.56

 

228

15099

 

5/212

9522/24621

61.33%

 

45.82m

NWH (EG adj)

---

 

349

16304

 

0/325

17667/33971

47.99%

 

---

NWH (SW adj)

---

 

374

17297

 

0/325

18430/35727

48.41%

 

---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NWH (EG adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year, a theater which converted to reserved seating this year as well as making an on-the-fly adjustment for a theater which I had partial data for EG and has now shut down and been replaced by another theater a mile a way [for this I am doing only a PLF-PLF comparison for the theater in question]

ADJUSTMENT NOTE #2: NWH (SW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year as well as a theater that which converted to reserved seating this year.  The theater which has been replaced is 100% included in this comp. 

CAUTIONARY 2021 COMPS NOTE:  ***ALL*** Sacramento 2021 comps when compared to similar pre-COVID movies have been running higher than what has actually been reported.  ABSOLUTELY KEEP THIS IN MIND THAT THIS COMP COULD VERY WELL BE OFF BY AS MUCH AS 15 to 20 PERCENT, or even more.   See here for explanation.

 

Regal:       5034/12528 [40.18% sold] [+148 tickets]

Matinee:    1780/5174  [34.40% sold | 9.76% of all tickets sold]

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14 minutes ago, john2000 said:

@charlie Jatinder , @Menor while a different kind of movie, would a comparison to lion king (2019)  presales be usefull ? if my memory serves that movie also had very big presales and closer to mcu than a regular family movie?

The Lion King if memory serves corrected while have huge ticket sales was more spread out and was more backloaded which is not the right comparison for NWH. Not to mention, The Lion King still skewed more families than the average MCU flick.

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On 12/8/2021 at 9:49 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 West Side Story Jacksonville 6 20 3,028 52 16 1.72%
    Phoenix 7 17 3,112 69 2 2.22%
    Raleigh 7 15 1,851 64 22 3.46%
  West Side Story Total   20 52 7,991 185 40 2.32%
T-15 Matrix 4 (Wed) Jacksonville 6 33 5,931 231 60 3.89%
    Phoenix 6 18 2,924 271 46 9.27%
    Raleigh 8 28 3,453 331 72 9.59%
  Matrix 4 (Wed) Total   19 79 12,308 833 178 6.77%

 

WSS comps

Evan Hansen - 1.28x (1.02m)

Respect - 1.76x (1.145m)

Gucci - .51x (663k)

Heights - .43x (429k)

 

Matrix comps

 

TSS - 3.51x (14.4m)

NTTD - 2.35x (12.24m)

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-0 West Side Story Jacksonville 6 20 3,028 74 22 2.44%
    Phoenix 7 17 3,112 106 37 3.41%
    Raleigh 7 16 2,002 113 49 5.64%
  West Side Story Total   20 53 8,142 293 108 3.60%
T-14 Matrix 4 (Wed) Jacksonville 6 33 5,931 262 31 4.42%
    Phoenix 6 18 2,924 293 22 10.02%
    Raleigh 8 28 3,453 364 33 10.54%
  Matrix 4 (Wed) Total   19 79 12,308 919 86 7.47%

 

WSS comps

Evan Hansen - 1.5x (1.2m)

Respect - 1.95x (1.27m)

Gucci - .65x (839k)

Heights - .485x (485k)

 

Matrix comps

 

TSS - 3.72x (15.25m)

NTTD - 2.39x (12.41m)

Dune - 2.19x (11.16m)

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On 12/8/2021 at 9:40 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 Hr Black Widow Jacksonville 6 76 12,095 2,333 555 19.29%
    Phoenix 7 77 10,692 1,881 270 17.59%
    Raleigh 8 74 8,303 3,148 746 37.91%
  Black Widow Total   21 227 31,090 7,362 1,571 23.68%
T-1 Hr Eternals Jacksonville 6 72 10,311 1,811 526 17.56%
    Phoenix 7 59 8,999 1,848 320 20.54%
    Raleigh 8 37 4,098 1,713 380 41.80%
  Eternals Total   21 168 23,408 5,372 1,226 22.95%
T-1 Hr Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 60 8,619 1,423 493 16.51%
    Phoenix 7 51 7,193 1,349 262 18.75%
    Raleigh 8 40 4,505 1,327 332 29.46%
  Shang-Chi Total   21 151 20,317 4,099 1,087 20.18%
T-8 Spider-Man Jacksonville 7 157 22,875 6,170 211 26.97%
    Phoenix 7 156 20,620 8,389 309 40.68%
    Raleigh 8 90 10,497 5,529 142 52.67%
  Spider-Man Total   22 403 53,992 20,088 662 37.21%

 

Added 41 shows and nearly 4k seats since yesterday, including the final theater in my sample at 12 shows.  Not too surprising then that sales had a pretty good bump as more shows became available.  There's still plenty of room in those shows so maybe the pace will hold a little higher for a couple of days.

 

T-8 increase % comps

 

Spider - 3.41%

BW - 6.77%

SC - 11.37%

Eternals - 7.54%

Venom 2 - 9.44%

 

Total sales

 

Spider-Man - $267,930 (13.34 ATP)

 

Black Widow Final - $94,329 (12.81 ATP)

Eternals Final - $74,356 (13.84 ATP)

Shang-Chi Final - $54,954 (13.41 ATP)

 

Splits

 

 

Movie Mat Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man N 17,512 87.18% $239,753.82 13.69
  Y 2,576 12.82% $28,176.57 10.94

 

 

Movie Format Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man PLF 7,328 36.48% $118,492.88 16.17
  Standard 12,760 63.52% $149,437.51 11.71

 

 

Movie Chain Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man AMC 12,041 59.94% $155,644.99 12.93
  Cinemark 5,208 25.93% $74,890.28 14.38
  CMX 24 0.12% $359.76 14.99
  Regal 2,528 12.58% $33,960.91 13.43
  RoadHouse 107 0.53% $1,139.45 10.65
  Sun-Ray 180 0.90% $1,935.00 10.75

 

Showtimes

 

Since last check on Monday morning, Spider-Man has added over 1100 preview shows and is now at 29,032 in 2,989 theaters in my sample.  That includes 1,037 IMAX shows and 2,471 3D shows; 5,372 total PLF shows. Breakdown by chain:

 

A - 8,039 (585 TC)

C - 5,654 (311 TC)

R - 4,593 (440 TC)

 

Time Shows %
3:00 2,291 7.89%
3:01-3:59 2,408 8.29%
4:00-4:59 3,641 12.54%
5:00-5:59 2,424 8.35%
6:00-6:59 3,714 12.79%
7:00-7:59 4,748 16.35%
8:00-8:59 2,993 10.31%
9:00-9:59 2,509 8.64%
10:00-10:59 2,794 9.62%
11:00+ 1,510 5.20%

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 Hr Black Widow Jacksonville 6 76 12,095 2,333 555 19.29%
    Phoenix 7 77 10,692 1,881 270 17.59%
    Raleigh 8 74 8,303 3,148 746 37.91%
  Black Widow Total   21 227 31,090 7,362 1,571 23.68%
T-1 Hr Eternals Jacksonville 6 72 10,311 1,811 526 17.56%
    Phoenix 7 59 8,999 1,848 320 20.54%
    Raleigh 8 37 4,098 1,713 380 41.80%
  Eternals Total   21 168 23,408 5,372 1,226 22.95%
T-1 Hr Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 60 8,619 1,423 493 16.51%
    Phoenix 7 51 7,193 1,349 262 18.75%
    Raleigh 8 40 4,505 1,327 332 29.46%
  Shang-Chi Total   21 151 20,317 4,099 1,087 20.18%
T-7 Spider-Man Jacksonville 7 158 22,970 6,326 156 27.54%
    Phoenix 7 165 21,355 8,660 271 40.55%
    Raleigh 8 92 10,597 5,696 167 53.75%
  Spider-Man Total   22 415 54,922 20,682 594 37.66%

 

Added a few more shows yesterday.  Sales are down a little, but still well above the valley it hit earlier in the week.  

 

T-7 increase % comps

 

Spider - 2.96%

BW - 8.21%

SC - 7.54%

Eternals - 7.84%

Venom 2 - 8.88%

 

Quick check-in on sales comps...

 

BW  - 7.3x (96.37m)

SC -  17.7x (155.69m)

Eternals - 9.96x (94.64m)

Venom 2 - 24.1x (279.6m)

 

Obviously the growth rate will remain much much lower than all of these, but this gives you an idea just how far ahead it is with just a week left.  Here's where the comps would be if it had no more presales until an hour before shows began...

 

BW  - 2.81x (37.08m)

SC -  5.046x (44.4m)

Eternals - 3.85x (36.57m)

 

 

Total sales

 

Spider-Man - $275,298 (13.31 ATP)

 

Black Widow Final - $94,329 (12.81 ATP)

Eternals Final - $74,356 (13.84 ATP)

Shang-Chi Final - $54,954 (13.41 ATP)

 

Splits

 

Movie Mat Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man N 18,027 87.16% $246,314.57 13.66
  Y 2,655 12.84% $28,984.00 10.92

 

Movie Format Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man PLF 7,451 36.03% $120,470.19 16.17
  Standard 13,231 63.97% $154,828.38 11.70

 

Movie Chain Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man AMC 12,332 59.63% $159,060.23 12.90
  Cinemark 5,292 25.59% $76,114.19 14.38
  CMX 24 0.12% $359.76 14.99
  Regal 2,675 12.93% $35,915.94 13.43
  RoadHouse 172 0.83% $1,838.20 10.69
  Sun-Ray 187 0.90% $2,010.25 10.75
Edited by katnisscinnaplex
Fixed T-1 hour comps
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16 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Here's where the comps would be if it had no more presales until an hour before shows began...

 

BW  - 3.57x (47.14m)

SC -  6.87x (60.42m)

Eternals - 4.99x (47.39m)

Venom 2 - 5.53x (64.1m)

This seems to be really blowing away the final comps from other regions, interesting.

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54 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 Hr Black Widow Jacksonville 6 76 12,095 2,333 555 19.29%
    Phoenix 7 77 10,692 1,881 270 17.59%
    Raleigh 8 74 8,303 3,148 746 37.91%
  Black Widow Total   21 227 31,090 7,362 1,571 23.68%
T-1 Hr Eternals Jacksonville 6 72 10,311 1,811 526 17.56%
    Phoenix 7 59 8,999 1,848 320 20.54%
    Raleigh 8 37 4,098 1,713 380 41.80%
  Eternals Total   21 168 23,408 5,372 1,226 22.95%
T-1 Hr Shang-Chi Jacksonville 6 60 8,619 1,423 493 16.51%
    Phoenix 7 51 7,193 1,349 262 18.75%
    Raleigh 8 40 4,505 1,327 332 29.46%
  Shang-Chi Total   21 151 20,317 4,099 1,087 20.18%
T-7 Spider-Man Jacksonville 7 158 22,970 6,326 156 27.54%
    Phoenix 7 165 21,355 8,660 271 40.55%
    Raleigh 8 92 10,597 5,696 167 53.75%
  Spider-Man Total   22 415 54,922 20,682 594 37.66%

 

Added a few more shows yesterday.  Sales are down a little, but still well above the valley it hit earlier in the week.  

 

T-7 increase % comps

 

Spider - 2.96%

BW - 8.21%

SC - 7.54%

Eternals - 7.84%

Venom 2 - 8.88%

 

Quick check-in on sales comps...

 

BW  - 7.3x (96.37m)

SC -  17.7x (155.69m)

Eternals - 9.96x (94.64m)

Venom 2 - 24.1x (279.6m)

 

Obviously the growth rate will remain much much lower than all of these, but this gives you an idea just how far ahead it is with just a week left.  Here's where the comps would be if it had no more presales until an hour before shows began...

Spoiler

 

BW  - 3.57x (47.14m)

SC -  6.87x (60.42m)

Eternals - 4.99x (47.39m)

Venom 2 - 5.53x (64.1m)

 

 

 

Total sales

 

Spider-Man - $275,298 (13.31 ATP)

 

Black Widow Final - $94,329 (12.81 ATP)

Eternals Final - $74,356 (13.84 ATP)

Shang-Chi Final - $54,954 (13.41 ATP)

 

Splits

 

 

Movie Mat Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man N 18,027 87.16% $246,314.57 13.66
  Y 2,655 12.84% $28,984.00 10.92

 

 

Movie Format Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man PLF 7,451 36.03% $120,470.19 16.17
  Standard 13,231 63.97% $154,828.38 11.70

 

 

Movie Chain Sold % Sales ATP
Spider-Man AMC 12,332 59.63% $159,060.23 12.90
  Cinemark 5,292 25.59% $76,114.19 14.38
  CMX 24 0.12% $359.76 14.99
  Regal 2,675 12.93% $35,915.94 13.43
  RoadHouse 172 0.83% $1,838.20 10.69
  Sun-Ray 187 0.90% $2,010.25 10.75

 

Okay, ignore the T-1 hour ticket sales comps... I was accidentally using the preview morning update.  Here is the real T-1 hour comparison if Spider-Man has no more sales until then...

 

BW  - 2.81x (37.08m)

SC -  5.046x (44.4m)

Eternals - 3.85x (36.57m)

Didn't get Venom late numbers

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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Theaters tracking

 

First update since Sunday morning, so new sales are really three days of sales, although they mostly come from the shows that were added yesterday (26 shows).

 

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sales Total Sold True Capacity % Sold ATP Gross
T-8 Spider-Man PLF 39 99 7,123 8,518 83.62% $14.42 $102,678.06
    Standard 103 822 8,259 13,683 60.36% $10.98 $90,706.17
  Spider-Man Total   142 921 15,382 22,201 69.29% $12.57 $193,384.23
T-9 Spidey (Fri) PLF 56 386 7,313 12,379 59.08% $14.23 $104,044.95
    Standard 84 407 5,314 13,046 40.73% $10.59 $56,300.37
  Spidey (Fri) Total   140 793 12,627 25,425 49.66% $12.70 $160,345.32

 

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sales Total Sold True Capacity % Sold ATP Gross
T-8 Spider-Man N 106 738 11,778 16,282 72.34% $13.35 $157,246.40
    Y 36 183 3,604 5,919 60.89% $10.03 $36,137.83
  Spider-Man Total   142 921 15,382 22,201 69.29% $12.57 $193,384.23
T-9 Spidey (Fri) N 71 346 8,753 13,419 65.23% $13.65 $119,435.09
    Y 69 447 3,874 12,006 32.27% $10.56 $40,910.23
  Spidey (Fri) Total   140 793 12,627 25,425 49.66% $12.70 $160,345.32

Santikos Theaters tracking

 

Right at 600 tickets sold for Thurs + Fri since yesterday.  Next update will be either Sat or Sun.

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sales Total Sold True Capacity % Sold ATP Gross
T-7 Spider-Man PLF 39 15 7,138 8,518 83.80% $14.41 $102,850.68
    Standard 103 314 8,573 13,683 62.65% $10.98 $94,114.11
  Spider-Man Total   142 329 15,711 22,201 70.77% $12.54 $196,964.79
T-8 Spidey (Fri) PLF 56 103 7,416 12,379 59.91% $14.22 $105,486.49
    Standard 84 171 5,485 13,046 42.04% $10.56 $57,914.24
  Spidey (Fri) Total   140 274 12,901 25,425 50.74% $12.67 $163,400.73

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sales Total Sold True Capacity % Sold ATP Gross
T-7 Spider-Man N 106 250 12,028 16,282 73.87% $13.31 $160,118.39
    Y 36 79 3,683 5,919 62.22% $10.00 $36,846.40
  Spider-Man Total   142 329 15,711 22,201 70.77% $12.54 $196,964.79
T-8 Spidey (Fri) N 71 112 8,865 13,419 66.06% $13.65 $121,000.62
    Y 69 162 4,036 12,006 33.62% $10.51 $42,400.11
  Spidey (Fri) Total   140 274 12,901 25,425 50.74% $12.67 $163,400.73
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5 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

BW  - 2.81x (37.08m)

SC -  5.046x (44.4m)

Eternals - 3.85x (36.57m)

Didn't get Venom late numbers


Yea these make more sense :) 

 

I stopped tracking for a while so I don’t have anything since TROS but comping my theater (as of my last update) to EG, IW and CM gives me equivalent comps with no more sales of…

 

EG = $38.93M

IW = $37.44M

CM = $42.67M

 

A TROS comp wouldn’t be relevant for me since it underperformed here (would be $51.5M for the record). Mind you, these comps are as of Sunday. I will update again today to see how we’re looking.

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Sing 2 

Greater Toronto Area, Ontario

Wed Dec 22 taken Dec 9

22 Theatres

95 shows


Total Sold 156

Total Remaining 25284

Total Seats 25440

Percentage .6

 

Obviously very very early for Toronto and area. For a movie that properly opens just before Christmas, I think the big push will happen last days up to opening, and it being family oriented, a lot of families going over the Christmas break. So early numbers may not be reflective on what is pretty much a holiday season movie.

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On 12/7/2021 at 10:12 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections  OD

MTC1 - 23077/233739 372800.53 1332 shows

 

Matrix Resurrections OD

MTC1 - 30159/247142 478757.35 1416 shows

 

This is the only thing working for me(I am getting queued on Spidey requests). Spidey is anyway tracked by Zack and MTC2 is just not working for now.

 

Matrix show counts seem very small. @katnisscinnaplex is it possible for you to look at show counts for it on 22nd and may be friday(24th). Still ticket sales numbers are not bad at all. Definitely ahead of Dune.  

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9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections OD

MTC1 - 30159/247142 478757.35 1416 shows

 

This is the only thing working for me(I am getting queued on Spidey requests). Spidey is anyway tracked by Zack and MTC2 is just not working for now.

 

Matrix show counts seem very small. @katnisscinnaplex is it possible for you to look at show counts for it on 22nd and may be friday(24th). Still ticket sales numbers are not bad at all. Definitely ahead of Dune.  

Don't mind at all

 

Matrix Wed 22nd

8,110 (2056 TC)

 

A 1,972 (560)

C - 1,485 (297)

R - 1,769 (423)

 

Matrix Fri 24th

5,992 (1,816 TC)

 

A - 1,735 (550)

C - 1,158 (297)

R - 1,247 (376)

 

I think this looks about normal this far out.  I usually only pull preview show counts before T-1 week, but here's how it stacks up against preview shows at T-2.

 

Dune - 5,906 (2,129 TC)

Ghostbusters - 9,550 (2,316)

NTTD - 10,513 (2,492)

Venom - 13,768 (2,381)

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WSS, counted today at 10am EST for Friday, December 10:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): still no showtimes (but it has good presales in the AMC Lincoln Sq)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 50 (12 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18):
39 (6 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 8 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 13 (6 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16):
224 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 279 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 613.

Up 20% since yesterday.
Comps (all counted for Friday): Respect (8.8M OW) had on Thursday of its release week 152 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters (but a way better Thursday jump of 91%).

And In the Heights (11.5M OW) had on Thursday of its release week 773 sold tickets in the same 6 theaters.
So WSS didn't reach the final presale number of In the Height but it gained a lot of ground since last Friday where it had only 47% of In the Heights and now it's at 79%.
Hard for me to say a concrete OW number. On the one hand good reviews didn't save other films, it concerns me that it's doing fine on the coasts but that's more or less it and of course I remember how disappointed many people were when In the Heights underperformed. OTOH the time of the year should help a film with a central love story, the reviews are very good and the trailers IMO create a good retro atmosphere. So because the presales in other reports here look pretty solid too I go with 15M+ and with decent walk-ups high teens could be possible I think.

National Champions did not improve with 7 sold tickets today 5 of my theaters. Very probably its OW will be bad (under 3M) but I also guess that this is another movie where interested people see that there's no need at all to buy tickets in advance because the cinema halls are almost empty.

Nightmare Alley had today 50 sold tickets in 4 theaters (one show in each) for its Early Access shows on December 15. It has so far no showtimes in my normal AMC in Texas but had surprisingly good sales in the AMCBarton Creek Square where its show is almost sold out (57 sold tickets), no idea why it works so well exactly in that theater.

American Underdog had today 135 sold tickets also in 4 theaters (and in sum also 4 showtimes) for its EA shows on December 17 (on Saturday it looks similar, a bit worse).
A good number so far but no big jump over the last days.

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