The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

I believe WSS will play better nationwide than ITH. The sales at MTC2 were looking strong enough before it got shutdown showing it's not purely a coasts draw. Plus the musical is so well-known compared to In the Heights. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

6 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	West Side Story	Jacksonville	6	20	3,028	74	22	2.44%
		Phoenix	7	17	3,112	106	37	3.41%
		Raleigh	7	16	2,002	113	49	5.64%
	West Side Story Total		20	53	8,142	293	108	3.60%

 

WSS comps

Evan Hansen - 1.5x (1.2m)

Respect - 1.95x (1.27m)

Gucci - .65x (839k)

Heights - .485x (485k)

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Late	Dear Evan Hansen	Jacksonville	6	9	1,536	80	10	5.21%
		Phoenix	7	15	1,790	89	30	4.97%
		Raleigh	7	10	1,293	75	9	5.80%
	Dear Evan Hansen Total		20	34	4,619	244	49	5.28%
	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	15	2,498	185	84	7.41%
		Phoenix	7	11	1,484	253	46	17.05%
		Raleigh	7	9	1,087	232	86	21.34%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	35	5,069	670	216	13.22%
	Respect	Jacksonville	5	8	1,544	51	18	3.30%
		Phoenix	7	11	1,310	80	45	6.11%
		Raleigh	7	14	1,739	112	30	6.44%
	Respect Total		19	33	4,593	243	93	5.29%
	West Side Story	Jacksonville	6	20	3,028	95	21	3.14%
		Phoenix	7	17	3,112	137	31	4.40%
		Raleigh	7	16	2,002	148	35	7.39%
	West Side Story Total		20	53	8,142	380	87	4.67%

 

T-1 hour comps

 

Evan Hansen - 1.557x (1.25m)

Gucci - .567x (737k)

Respect - 1.564x (1.012m)

 

Keep in mind that all three of these had early access shows likely rolled into their previews (those sales not included in comparisons).

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

 

 

[TalismanRing]

22 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

NYC Regal (Local)  (6pm)

 

WSS:  22/1150

 

COMPS

 

HOG: $.98m

DEH:  $1.46m

LNIS: $1.18m

Duel: $1.16m

Green Knight: $1.18m

Bond: $1.22m

 

 

NYC Regal (Local)  (5pm)

 

WSS:  46/1150

 

COMPS

 

Downton Abbey: $1.86m

HOG: $1.06m

DEH:  $2.73m

LNIS: $2.3m

Duel: $2m

Green Knight: $1.72m

Bond: $1.54m

 

Avg = $1.88m

[Eric Atreides]

17 hours ago, Eric Feels Pretty said:

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	264	5500	4.80%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

 

Comp

0.270x of In the Heights' Thu+Fri T-1 (1.35M)

1.257x of Dear Evan Hansen T-1 and Counting (1.01M)

0.721x of House of Gucci T-1 and Counting (938K)

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	386	5500	7.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 122

 

Comp

0.944x of Cruella (1.32M)

1.233x of Dear Evan Hansen (987K)

0.642x of House of Gucci (834K)

 

This year really did suck a big fat one. The meltdowns and obituaries for adult moviegoing this weekend will be fun.

[TwoMisfits]

Just now, Eric Feels Pretty said:

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	386	5500	7.02%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 122

 

Comp

0.944x of Cruella (1.32M)

1.233x of Dear Evan Hansen (987K)

0.642x of House of Gucci (834K)

 

This year really did suck a big fat one. The meltdowns and obituaries for adult moviegoing this weekend will be fun.

 

Maybe it at least breaks the $4-7M curse and gets to $10M...which still would suck hard, but it seems we're in baby step territory for solely adult drawing product, just like we are for solely family drawing product...

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2380

3795

62.71%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2165

4232

51.16%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
14139	388	34065	41.51%	15	220

 

Showings added: 5

Seats added: 1046

 

AMCs sold	7524
Cinemarks sold	2750
Regals sold	2470
Harkins sold	1395

 

Eternals final comp: 30.17M

Shang-Chi final comp: 30.84M

Black Widow final comp: 29.34M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 33.72M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-8 comp: 47.89M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-8: +388, +2.82%

5.88x Eternals T-8 (+66, +3.99%)

3.26x Shang-Chi T-8 (+119, +11.90%)

2.73x Black Widow T-8 (+142, +6.94%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-8: +301, +2.57%

1.39x TRoS T-8 (+216, +2.20%)

 

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2418

3795

63.72%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2189

4232

51.72%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
14454	315	35723	40.46%	15	236

 

Showings added: 16

Seats added: 1658

 

AMCs sold	7620
Cinemarks sold	2814
Regals sold	2565
Harkins sold	1455

 

Eternals final comp: 30.84M

Shang-Chi final comp: 31.53M

Black Widow final comp: 29.99M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 34.39M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-7 comp: 47.91M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

Spoiler

NWH T-7: +315, +2.18%

5.00x Eternals T-7 (+63, +3.66%)

3.62x Shang-Chi T-7 (+87, +7.77%)

1.84x Black Widow T-7 (+171, +7.81%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-7(12263): +237, 1.97%

1.22x TRoS T-7 (+195, +1.94%)

 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-8 days Thursday(182 showings): 19707(+614)/41341(+1087) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 30.53M

Black Widow final comp: 31.42M

 

Daily pace comparison:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-8: +614, +3.22%

3.59x NTTD T-8 (+171, +18.06%)

3.49x Black Widow T-8 (+176, +7.04%)

 

T-9 days Friday(184 showings): 14671(+510)/51173 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 33.81M

Black Widow final comp: 41.55M

 

Daily pace comparison: 

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-9: +510, +3.60%

4.36x NTTD T-9 (+117, +10.22%)

2.82x Black Widow T-9 (+181, +10.11%)

 

T-10 days Saturday(193 showings): 8417(+439)/50454(+1914) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 23.66M

 

T-11 days Sunday(153 showings): 1992(+125)/46322 in 15 theaters

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-7 days Thursday(184 showings): 20142(+435)/41594(+253) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 31.20M

Black Widow final comp: 32.11M

 

Daily pace comparison:

Spoiler

NWH T-7: +435, +2.21%

2.54x NTTD T-7 (+171, +15.30%)

2.69x Black Widow T-7 (+162, +6.05%)

 

T-8 days Friday(184 showings): 15170(+499)/51173 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 34.96M

Black Widow final comp: 42.96M

 

Daily pace comparison: 

Spoiler

NWH T-8: +499, +3.40%

3.49x NTTD T-8 (+143, +11.33%)

2.11x Black Widow T-8 (+237, +12.02%)

 

T-9 days Saturday(193 showings): 8898(+481)/50454 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 25.01M

 

T-10 days Sunday(153 showings): 2130(+138)/46322 in 15 theaters

[Menor the Destroyer]

NWH being stagnant this week is okay I suppose since it has a short PS run and no reviews. But if it doesn't have a good bump on Sunday, I will be a bit concerned.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-8 days Thursday(266 showings): 26035(+436, +1.70%)/34333

 

Eternals final comp: 24.62M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.15x Eternals T-8 (+203, +3.97%)

 

T-9 days Friday(319 showings): 23373(+549, +2.41%)/42552

 

Eternals final comp: 38.04M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.69x Eternals T-9 (+204, +4.40%)

 

T-10 days Saturday(355 showings): 22795(+721, +3.27%)/47103(+80)

 

Eternals final comp: 36.85M

 

Daily pace comparison: 3.70x Eternals T-10 (+195, +4.15%)

 

T-11 days Sunday(295 showings): 11908(+540, +4.75%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.50x Eternals T-11 (+120, +4.37%)

 

I'm short on time so I'm gonna skip the Matrix update

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-7 days Thursday(272 showings): 26415(+380, +1.46%)/34849

 

Eternals final comp: 24.98M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.28x Eternals T-8 (+167, +3.14%)

 

T-8 days Friday(319 showings): 23897(+524, +2.24%)/42552

 

Eternals final comp: 38.90M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.35x Eternals T-9 (+223, +4.61%)

 

T-9 days Saturday(355 showings): 23563(+768, +3.37%)/47103

 

Eternals final comp: 38.10M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.09x Eternals T-10 (+188, +3.84%)

 

T-10 days Sunday(295 showings): 12570(+662, +5.56%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 8.17x Eternals T-11 (+81, +2.83%)

[john2000]

10 minutes ago, Menor said:

NWH being stagnant this week is okay I suppose since it has a short PS run and no reviews. But if it doesn't have a good bump on Sunday, I will be a bit concerned.

At least the comps keep going up and its floor is pretty high.

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/7/2021 at 4:36 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

163

794

20.53%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

104

1036

10.04%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
587	189	10018	5.86%	15	63

 

AMCs sold	408
Cinemarks sold	44
Regals sold	97
Harkins sold	38

 

The pace has dropped behind Dune, 630 vs 587

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

198

794

24.94%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

141

1036

13.61%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
805	218	10018	8.04%	15	63

 

AMCs sold	534
Cinemarks sold	66
Regals sold	136
Harkins sold	69

 

Don't have any good comps for this... But it's ahead of Dune's day 4 now

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/7/2021 at 4:40 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-15 days Wednesday(40 showings): 300(+162)/8906(+246) in 10 theaters

 

T-16 days Thursday(36 showings): 122(+58)/8294(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Friday(26 showings): 81(+27)/5436(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-18 days Saturday(37 showings): 64(+28)/8029(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-19 days Sunday(21 showings): 11(+4)/4202 in 6 theaters

 

Megaplex will probably underperform for Matrix

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-13 days Wednesday(40 showings): 508(+208)/8906 in 10 theaters

 

T-14 days Thursday(36 showings): 177(+55)/8294 in 9 theaters

 

T-15 days Friday(26 showings): 94(+13)/5436 in 9 theaters

 

T-16 days Saturday(37 showings): 94(+30)/8029 in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Sunday(25 showings): 23(+12)/4882(+680) in 6 theaters

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/7/2021 at 4:42 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-15 days Wednesday(86 showings): 2916(+863)/11113

 

T-16 days Thursday(81 showings): 1418(+509)/10091

 

T-17 days Friday(48 showings): 377(+163)/5585

 

T-18 days Saturday(67 showings): 638(+272)/7530

 

T-19 days Sunday(55 showings): 315(+134)/6434

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-13 days Wednesday(90 showings): 3532(+616)/11765(+652)

 

T-14 days Thursday(87 showings): 1901(+483)/10840(+749)

 

T-15 days Friday(53 showings): 543(+166)/6175(+590)

 

T-16 days Saturday(70 showings): 854(+216)/7840(+310)

 

T-19 days Sunday(58 showings): 436(+121)/6744(+310)

[keysersoze123]

46 minutes ago, Menor said:

NWH being stagnant this week is okay I suppose since it has a short PS run and no reviews. But if it doesn't have a good bump on Sunday, I will be a bit concerned.

Concerned about what? It has already sold gazillion tickets.

[Landon1195]

How has the presales for No Way Home been like this week?

[Porthos]

46 minutes ago, Menor said:

NWH being stagnant this week is okay I suppose since it has a short PS run and no reviews. But if it doesn't have a good bump on Sunday, I will be a bit concerned.

 

Is this where I mention that every other film not named Endgame would kill for the level that NWH has been "stagnant" at? 

 

At least from what I can tell from Sacto data.  Haven't delved deeply enough into Denver/Philly or other places to comment on their paces. 
 

===

 

Also, it's not like Endgame wasn't stagnant one week plus out [Sacto data, slightly different sources, far less capacity yadda yada]:

 

T-15 202

T-14 188

T-13 159

T-12 128

T-11 109

T-10 141

T-9   287

T-8   200

T-7   240

T-6   223

T-5   222

 

Did jump from one plateau to a second, (don't know what happened at T-9 and I don't feel like investigating) but IMO it really can't be said to have taken off 'till Sunday/T-4 (457, 651, 1182, 1563, 2888). 

 

I realize that's more or less what you're expecting.  But did want to point out that at the level NWH is currently at it doesn't need to be rising yet.

[Menor the Destroyer]

20 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Concerned about what? It has already sold gazillion tickets.

That it will be presale-heavy and hence very preview-heavy. Obviously it's relative as the movie is guaranteed to do great. Maybe "concerned" is the wrong word. 

 

8 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Is this where I mention that every other film not named Endgame would kill for the level that NWH has been "stagnant" at? 

 

At least from what I can tell from Sacto data.  Haven't delved deeply enough into Denver/Philly or other places to comment on their paces. 

-- data --

Yeah, I'm not calling for doom or anything like that. Even if it's super PS-heavy at this point it will put up big numbers. Just hoping that it follows that EG final week bump. 

[Ronin46]

BoPRO forecast

 

WSS 13.2

NC 1

 

[ZackM]

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days
	Last Day
Showings Added	275
Seats Added	24,954
Seats Sold	12,603
12/9/2021	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	433	7,577	591,273	1,211,139	48.82%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	71	704	1,458	2,312	3,200

 

It should be noted that many of the "90%+" shows are effectively sellouts and may only have wheelchair accessible seats remaining.