The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

On 12/22/2021 at 10:39 PM, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	215	6254	3.44%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

 

Comp

6.719x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-22 (130.13M)

15.357x of The Conjuring 3 T-22 (150.58M)

 

So yeah, you probably understand why I said comps tomorrow will still be useless.  At the very least, this will probably give you guys a good laugh before it comes down to earth over the next few days.

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	231	6254	3.69%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

1.540x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-21 (29.83M)

10.043x of The Conjuring 3 T-21 (98.48M)

 

So to clarify, the reason why Quiet Place 2 dropped so hard was because tickets went on sale one day before they were officially announced on Paramount's social medias, meaning it had a massive 118-ticket jump. I have zero clue why Paramount/theaters put up tickets the day before the official announcement, but you can see why there was such a big boost. And...yeah, expect things to crumble down just a bit more over the next few days.  

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Updated Christmas tracking

 

Licorice Pizza

Friday- (28) Up 11 from Sunday tracking

4 OPEN CAPTION: (8)

725: (20)

Saturday- (18) Up 6

4 OPEN CAPTION: (1)

725: (17)

Sunday-  (24) up 9

4 OPEN CAPTION (2)

725: (22)

 

Journal For Jordan is not worth tracking. American Underdog will be more walk-up based

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/22/2021 at 3:11 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-2 days Friday(59 showings): 612(+107)/10629 in 15 theaters

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex Friday(59 showings)

 

895(+283)/10629 in 15 theaters

 

61.3% of Thursday at the same time

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/22/2021 at 3:15 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Friday(136 showings): 3079(+395)/14956(+872)

ATP: $13.33

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse Friday(139 showings)

 

4456(+1377)/15088(+132)

ATP: $13.10

 

55.18% of Thursday at the same time

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/22/2021 at 3:30 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Sing 2 Megaplex

 

T-2 days Friday(121 showings): 8375(+1116)/26760 in 15 theaters

Encanto T-2 Thursday comp: 4.52M

Sing 2 Megaplex Friday(121 showings)

 

12073(+3698)/26760 in 15 theaters

Encanto Thursday comp: 4.60M

[Inceptionzq]

On 12/22/2021 at 3:32 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Sing 2 Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 days Friday(107 showings): 3185(+987)/11226

ATP: $11.30

Encanto T-2 Thursday comp: 14.69M

Sing 2 Alamo Drafthouse Friday(107 showings)

 

4462(+1277)/11226

ATP: $11.47

 

74.18% of Thursday. Doing quite well here. Not even gonna bother putting the Encanto Thursday comp because it's doing way better

[Rorschach]

I’m away from the computer for the week and cell reception is a bit spotty where I’m at, but I figured I’d still post ticket sale totals, anyways. Just not in the usual format I generally do.

Davenport 53rd and IMAX Christmas Weekend Outlook (Friday Previews + Full Day Saturday Combined):

American Underdog - 224 sold/402 seats

Licorice Pizza - 53 sold/402 seats

A Journal for Jordan - 43 sold/402 seats

 

I guarantee that 95% of American Underdog’s box office intake will strictly come from every single theater that’s playing it in Iowa lol.

Edited December 24, 2021 by Rorschach

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 12/17/2021 at 11:49 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

US showtime sample 12/17 weekend

 

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Spider-Man	3,340	206,421		177,797	28,624	5,093	14,188
Encanto	2,892	36,779	-24.09%	36,622	157	0	91
Ghostbusters: Afterlife	2,781	31,463	-27.32%	31,369	94	0	0
West Side Story	2,471	28,409	-48.06%	28,349	60	0	0
Nightmare Alley	1,911	24,922		24,872	50	0	0
House of Gucci	1,528	14,874	-47.29%	14,856	18	0	0
Eternals	1,610	14,579	-38.74%	14,545	34	0	0
Clifford	655	4,878	-70.27%	4,866	12	0	0
Resident Evil	619	4,369	-79.06%	4,369	0	0	0
Christmas with Chosen	598	4,019		4,015	4	0	0
Don't Look Up	582	3,689	-54.56%	3,680	9	0	0
National Champions	842	2,965	-80.82%	2,962	3	0	0
Venom	390	2,807	-56.44%	2,807	0	0	0
Being the Ricardos	433	2,765	-45.71%	2,765	0	0	0
American Underdog (EA)	941	1,923		1,921	2	0	0
Dune	206	1,202	-71.10%	1,197	5	0	0
No Time to Die	181	1,025	-72.27%	1,025	0	0	0
Belfast	123	746	-82.31%	746	0	0	0
King Richard	122	688	-89.78%	688	0	0	0
French Dispatch	99	681	-54.23%	681	0	0	0

 

Huge drops across the board as expected.  

 

Future releases

 

Early Access

American Underdog (12/17-12/19) - 1,923 (941 TC)

 

T-1 Week

Sing (3-Day) - 29,347 (2,797 TC)

Sing (5-Day) - 57,601 (2,797)

Matrix (3-Day) - 23,924 (2,657)

Matrix (5-Day) - 46,330 (2,657)

King's Man (3-Day) - 19,568 (2,456)

King's Man (5-Day) - 42,918 (2,456)

Journal for Jordan - 12,263 (1,316)

Licorice Pizza - 5,632 (607)

 

T-3 Week Previews

The 355 - 1,082 (690)

 

T-4 Week Previews

Belle - 1,197 (728)

Scream - 2,631 (1,258)

US showtime sample 12/24 weekend

 

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Spider-Man	3,466	91,095	-55.87%	77,525	13,570	1,997	5,743
Sing 2	3,331	55,966		53,323	2,643	0	2,297
Matrix 4	3,054	38,807		36,024	2,783	1,675	0
King's Man	2,800	29,915		29,825	90	0	0
American Underdog	2,610	24,667	1182.74%	24,616	51	0	0
Encanto	2,433	19,202	-47.79%	19,160	42	0	16
Journal for Jordan	2,055	19,572		19,535	37	0	0
Ghostbusters:Afterlife	1,507	7,038	-77.63%	7,021	17	0	0
West Side Story	2,466	17,531	-38.29%	17,503	28	0	0
Licorice Pizza	744	7,164		7,164	0	0	0
Nightmare Alley	1,927	13,554	-45.61%	13,520	34	0	0
House of Gucci	631	2,407	-83.82%	2,407	0	0	0
Eternals	261	891	-93.89%	886	5	0	0
Clifford	79	486	-90.04%	486	0	0	0
Red Rocket	374	3,341		3,341	0	0	0
83	446	3,482		3,406	76	0	76
Shyam Singha Roy	231	1,372		1,372	0	0	0

 

Spider-Man loses the 40k preview shows, otherwise down 45% in weekend shows.   Brutal cuts for Gucci, Eternals and Clifford.  Dune, Venom, Belfast, French Dispatch, King Richard and No Time to Die all dropped below 50 theaters in my sample.

 

Future releases

 

T-2 Week Previews

The 355 - 1,846 (1,191)

RRR - 2,050 (526)

 

T-3 Week Previews

Belle - 1,258 (767)

Scream - 3,888 (1,802)

[ZackM]

Christmas Eve Presales for NWH at Alpha

 

Friday - SM:NWH

Theaters - 433

Showings - 4,074

Sold - 211,558

Total - 691,710

ATP - $13.57

Edited December 24, 2021 by ZackM

[XXR vs XXR]

7 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Christmas Eve Presales for NWH at Alpha

 

Friday - SM:NWH

Theaters - 433

Showings - 4,074

Sold - 211,558

Total - 691,710

ATP - $13.57

Only running about 20% behind Wednesday. I’m sure it won’t hold given a weaker evening but it would be really good if it did. 

[charlie Jatinder]

On 12/22/2021 at 5:43 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

RRR 6th Jan

 

Locs - 399

Tickets - 27,642

Gross - $750K

 

$5M THU previews possibly.

 

Top Locs

  Reveal hidden contents

TX	Plano	CNMK	Cinemark West Plano and XD	3	784	948	$23763.04
TX	Dallas	CNMK	Cinemark 17 and IMAX	3	792	1536	$21431.52
TX	Grapevine	CNMK	Cinemark Tinseltown Grapevine and XD	3	487	810	$14760.97
WA	Bellevue	CNMK	Cinemark Lincoln Square	5	559	2144	$14394.25
TX	Pflugerville	CNMK	Cinemark 20 and XD	3	411	615	$12457.41
MD	Hanover	CNMK	Cinemark Egyptian 24 and XD	3	387	606	$11648.70
IL	South Barrington	AMC	AMC South Barrington 24	2	310	890	$11315.00
VA	Fairfax	CNMK	Fairfax Corner 14 and XD	2	363	442	$10164.00

 

 

Locs - 431 
Shows - 1,802
Sold - 36,803
Available - 237,994
Gross - $1.1M

[Danhjpn]

10 hours ago, ZackM said:

Christmas Eve Presales for NWH at Alpha

 

Friday - SM:NWH

Theaters - 433

Showings - 4,074

Sold - 211,558

Total - 691,710

ATP - $13.57

 

comparing to its data on Thu??

[Legion Again]

11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Locs - 431 
Shows - 1,802
Sold - 36,803
Available - 237,994
Gross - $1.1M

Still two weeks to go, nice growth, must be on downslope of U still. I assume 5 Th /15 OW still possible on high end? Should be weekend top 3 with anything 10+ I guess — beat ow gross and wknd rank for an Indian release in can/us?

[charlie Jatinder]

7 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

Still two weeks to go, nice growth, must be on downslope of U still. I assume 5 Th /15 OW still possible on high end? Should be weekend top 3 with anything 10+ I guess — beat ow gross and wknd rank for an Indian release in can/us?

Yep that's what expectations are, but if WoM is bad, gonna crash bad.

[XXR vs XXR]

On 12/23/2021 at 7:58 PM, GoblinXXR said:

 

 

No estimates yet for Thursday. I figure that lack of later show times overall will hurt ATP a bit so I'd adjust down at least 5% and then account for the ticket sales difference. Overall I'm expecting Friday to be $8-9M less than whatever Thursday comes in at. 

 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 8PM - December 23, 2021

Counting for Friday - December 24, 2021

19 show times, 532 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to NWH 1st Thursday 

-34.80% with no adjustment 

 

I expected a larger number today than I got. This is lower than my presale count for Thursday. I'm hoping Saturday can beat Friday by at least 60% but my initial goal was 80%. We will see how well walkups end up doing. 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 9PM - December 24, 2021

Counting for Saturday - December 25, 2021

24 show times, 770 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to NWH 2nd Friday

+44.74% with no adjustment 

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	231	6254	3.69%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

1.540x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-21 (29.83M)

10.043x of The Conjuring 3 T-21 (98.48M)

 

So to clarify, the reason why Quiet Place 2 dropped so hard was because tickets went on sale one day before they were officially announced on Paramount's social medias, meaning it had a massive 118-ticket jump. I have zero clue why Paramount/theaters put up tickets the day before the official announcement, but you can see why there was such a big boost. And...yeah, expect things to crumble down just a bit more over the next few days.  

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	238	6254	3.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 7

 

Comp

1.315x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-20 (25.47M)

6.263x of The Conjuring 3 T-20 (61.41M)

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

I expected a larger number today than I got. This is lower than my presale count for Thursday. I'm hoping Saturday can beat Friday by at least 60% but my initial goal was 80%. We will see how well walkups end up doing. 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 9PM - December 24, 2021

Counting for Saturday - December 25, 2021

24 show times, 770 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to NWH 2nd Friday

+44.74% with no adjustment 

You’re at the point where you could start doing vertical comps instead/in addition. PSm should be better than 7 days earlier but it’s more consistent in some ways that comparing to the previous day — especially once we hit 2nd mon.

[XXR vs XXR]

5 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

You’re at the point where you could start doing vertical comps instead/in addition. PSm should be better than 7 days earlier but it’s more consistent in some ways that comparing to the previous day — especially once we hit 2nd mon.

 

Yea we don't want to do that at this point. If I compared tomorrow to my count for last Saturday (2867 vs 770), we'd be looking at sub-$20M tomorrow and we know that's not going to happen. 

[Legion Again]

11 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

Yea we don't want to do that at this point. If I compared tomorrow to my count for last Saturday (2867 vs 770), we'd be looking at sub-$20M tomorrow and we know that's not going to happen. 

If your theater was nationally representative we’d be in for a really ugly Sat. Using both last Sat and Fri I get like 30-32.   
 

The good news is — your loc will probably just end up unrepresentative.

[XXR vs XXR]

8 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

If your theater was nationally representative we’d be in for a really ugly Sat. Using both last Sat and Fri I get like 30-32.   
 

The good news is — your loc will probably just end up unrepresentative.

 

I think it's just not the best comp to use. If today is $20M, then a +44% presale rate and expected walkup increase is a better comp than anything in the opening weekend. Idk if over $35M is happening though...