The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[ZeeSoh]

Pulse :

 

Thor

MotOE

DH2

BM2

Thor 3d

 

MT:

 

Thor - 37%

DH2 - 19.7%

MotOE - 17.9%

BM2 - 6.6%

Lady Bird - 2%

[YM!]

7 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Pulse :

 

Thor

MotOE

DH2

BM2

Thor 3d

 

MT:

 

Thor - 37%

DH2 - 19.7%

MotOE - 17.9%

BM2 - 6.6%

Lady Bird - 2%

Lady Bird slay.

[YM!]

On 11/5/2017 at 11:49 AM, YourMother said:

Justice League 

North Shore Cinema 

11/16/17 (11 days before previews, 12 before release)

Mequon, WI

 

6:00 - 64/301 - Ultrascreen 

7:00 - 10/146 

8:00 - 1/139

9:00 - 36/301 - Ultrascreen 

10:00 - 2/146

11:00 - 1/139

12:00 - 9/301 - Ultrascreen 

 

Running 27% ahead of Homecoming at the same time, translating into a $148.24M OW.

Justice League 

North Shore Cinema 

11/16/17 (4 days before previews, 5 before release)

Mequon, WI

 

6:00 - 106/301

7:00 - 29/146

8:00 - 7/139

9:00 - 36/301

10:00 - 10/146

11:00 - 1/139

12:00 - 9/301

 

Running 36.5% ahead of Homecoming at the same time which translates into a $160M OW but it also has way more showtimes. If we use just Ultrascreen since only Ultrascreen was available for Homecoming presales until Tuesday, JL is looking at $122M. Using the an average, it’d be a $141M OW.

Edited November 12, 2017 by YourMother

[Brainiac5]

4 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Justice League 

North Shore Cinema 

11/16/17 (11 days before previews, 12 before release)

Mequon, WI

 

6:00 - 106/301

7:00 - 29/146

8:00 - 7/139

9:00 - 36/301

10:00 - 10/146

11:00 - 1/139

12:00 - 9/301

 

Running 36.5% ahead of Homecoming at the same time which translates into a $160M OW but it also has way more showtimes. If we use just Ultrascreen since only Ultrascreen was available for Homecoming, JL is looking at $122M. Using the an average, it’d be a $141M OW.

And walk ups can easily push it over 160.

[YM!]

Just now, Brainiac5 said:

And walk ups can easily push it over 160.

I should have a better idea Tuesday as a Thor comparison will be there as well along with an comparison to IT which also exploded Tuesday before release. 

[Brainiac5]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

I should have a better idea Tuesday as a Thor comparison will be there as well along with an comparison to IT which also exploded Tuesday before release. 

Yeah,we have no ideal how things are gonna look Tuesday evening.

JL seems like the film that will have Incredible wall ups.

Edited November 12, 2017 by Brainiac5

[YM!]

1 minute ago, Brainiac5 said:

Yeah,we have no ideal how things are gonna look Tuesday evening.

JL seems like the film that will have Incredible wall ups.

Not really. An example of walk up driven at my theater would be IT. IT started at pacing above Apes and finished at above Homecoming.

[Hiccup23]

Where Wonder Woman and Thor 3 were at the Sunday before their release. Justice League is in good company. Wonder Woman and Thor 3 however had strong walk-ups especially Wonder Woman. It will be interesting to see if Justice League gets the same. 

 

Wonder Woman	209	580	36.0%
Thor 3	303	1,004	30.2%
Justice League	340	1,216	28.0%

[Brainiac5]

7 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Not really. An example of walk up driven at my theater would be IT. IT started at pacing above Apes and finished at above Homecoming.

JL May do the same.

[YM!]

12 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

JL May do the same.

It is performing similar to most CBMs here in terms of jumps. IT just keep on jumping over things here and the first non Star Wars things I tracked to have sellouts.

Edited November 12, 2017 by YourMother

[a2k]

18 hours ago, mredman said:

Mendleson from Forbes says 140-160 million

Then it should do either under 140 or over 160.

[a2k]

13 hours ago, grim22 said:

His insistence that Jurassic World is a female led movie is one of the weirder things. If you have to insist that it is, it probably isn't.

Maybe he was talking about Indominus Rex.

[Xinau]

18 hours ago, grim22 said:

- TLJ is at about 75% of Rogue One's final number. Unlike other movies, Star Wars does not double on release week as presales are more frontloaded

 

That's gotta be somewhat disappointing, no? (considering RO pre-sales started relatively later, and TLJ is a saga film)

 

I know we're 4+ weeks out, but still...

Edited November 12, 2017 by Xinau

[MrGlass2]

6 minutes ago, Xinau said:

That's gotta be somewhat disappointing, no? (considering RO pre-sales started relatively later, and TLJ is a saga film)

 

I know we're 4+ weeks out, but still...

I have no idea about the numbers, but TLJ could (for example) double or triple in 4 weeks.

[grey ghost]

7 minutes ago, Xinau said:

That's gotta be somewhat disappointing, no? (considering RO pre-sales started relatively later, and TLJ is a saga film)

 

I know we're 4+ weeks out, but still...

Nah, most people are thinking about November movies.

 

Star Wars might be more frontloaded for ticket sales but I'm fairly certain at least half the ticket pre-sales happen in December.

[Stewart]

6 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

I have no idea about the numbers, but TLJ could (for example) double or triple in 4 weeks.

 

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Nah, most people are thinking about November movies.

 

Star Wars might be more frontloaded for ticket sales but I'm fairly certain at least half the ticket pre-sales happen in December.

 

If TLJ doubles at the low end from now until release, then it ends up with 150% of Rogue One presales, as Star Wars films likely have similar walk up rates, that would indicate an OW of $232M, and a total of about $798M, that seems about right for OW, and perhaps good for Total, but maybe this will be a little more front loaded than RO, so gonna say this prediction points to a 232/750 run.

[Hiccup23]

Just a reminder about this monster looming a month out. 

 

Stars Wars: Last Jedi

1,719

2,710

63.4%

[grim22]

JL begins the climb

 

Thor 36.7

DH2 19.9

MOTOE 17.8

BM2 6.8

JL 2.2

[Subzero]

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

JL begins the climb

 

Thor 36.7

DH2 19.9

MOTOE 17.8

BM2 6.8

JL 2.2

yeah been watching it through out since this morning been noticing it ...and pretty excited.. 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

I believe JL should have better walk ups than a film like BVS or SS.I think,after BVS and SS, many people are waiting to see of the films is any good before buying the tickets.

Edited November 12, 2017 by TheDarkKnightOfSteel