The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Rumpot]

9 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

See, I'd just make it the $3 row...2nd row from front is $6 (or whatever discount day pricing is)...rest of rows are full price...

AMC recently said as much - that they are planning to significantly discount the front rows and perhaps raise prices for prime seats.  I went to an Odeon showing of Thor when visiting England last month and the "premium seats" were exactly that - the same exact seat, but centered.  It'll be an interesting experiment that I think will probably work as intended - tiered pricing based on view certainly does work with plays/concerts/sports, etc.  Still it could hurt them if someone goes discounted first row rather than watching at normal price in another showing - I love the psychology of such things...

[Sydney Bristow]

1 minute ago, Olive Skywalker said:

That seems... awfully low for a movie this size. Even WW that was tracking for 65M opened with 4,165.

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Sydney Bristow said:

That seems... awfully low for a movie this size. Even WW that was tracking for 65M opened with 4,165.

WW was tracking $90m+ by the week it opened.

 

More films in wide release right now and less screens open with another sizable opener next week

 

It's till more than both Ragnarok and GOTG 2 which opened to 4,080

 

After 3000 it doesn't matter much.  How many screens is more important.   I read more than 90%+ of revenue for films come from the top 2,000 theaters.  

[Brainiac5]

30 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Because if it didn't the 2nd row would b the front row 

But it would be much further from the screen and wouldn’t require you to look up as much to watch a film.

[Barnack]

19 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

The word analysis seem a bit click-baity here (or is the link not to the good page ?).

[Barnack]

38 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

I have no ideal why the front row even exist at theaters.

 

If you ever saw people sitting on it, you have your answer I think.

[BugsBunny]

Evidence suggests that this movie is shaping up to be extremely volatile/hard to predict.

 

BoxOfficePro rarely puts out their prediction on Thursday (usually Wednesday). I think Deadline usually has an article up by now previewing the weekend...

 

Seems like people are waiting around for a little more clarity before sticking their necks out?

[WrathOfHan]

48 minutes ago, filmlover said:

@WrathOfHan Lady Bird is expanding to 238 (adding 201) theaters this weekend. You should definitely be getting it next weekend.

I fucking better. If it pulls a Wind River and is not here by December 1, I might just bug my dad to see it the next time we're at Disney or Universal.

[TalismanRing]

@Sydney Bristow have you been tracking JL sales today on Fandango Meter, and if so could you post them?

[TalismanRing]

5 minutes ago, BugsBunny said:

Evidence suggests that this movie is shaping up to be extremely volatile/hard to predict.

 

BoxOfficePro rarely puts out their prediction on Thursday (usually Wednesday). I think Deadline usually has an article up by now previewing the weekend...

 

Seems like people are waiting around for a little more clarity before sticking their necks out?

Deadline buried it's prediction for domestic this week in their JL WW article on Tues but has yet to give Wonder or Star predictions

 

http://deadline.com/2017/11/justice-league-wonder-woman-gal-gadot-global-box-office-opening-1202207757/

 

Quote

 Justice League looking at $11oM-$120M this weekend at the domestic 

 

[Sydney Bristow]

@TalismanRing

 

Time: Thrusday, 15:30 EST

 

Movie Tickets:

 

JL: 44,3%

Wonder: 14,2% (great!)

Thor: 7,8%

BM: 7,4%

MOTOE: 5%

 

On Pulse:

1- JL

2- Wonder

3- JL 3d

4- JL imax

5- Thor

 

5 min watch:

 

JL: 518 (103,6 p.m.)

Wonder: 60 (12 p.m.)

The Star: 12 (2,4 p.m.)

Coco: 5 (1 p.m.)

 

At 13:30h, JL was doing 92 p/m. It stayed like (from 90 to 95 averages ) for a while. At 12h (I guess, don't remember exactly the time), it was 78.

 

Edited November 16, 2017 by Sydney Bristow

[BugsBunny]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

Deadline buried it's prediction for domestic this week in their JL WW article on Tues but has yet to give Wonder or Star predictions

 

http://deadline.com/2017/11/justice-league-wonder-woman-gal-gadot-global-box-office-opening-1202207757/

 

 

You often times will get a little one-liner from Deadline early in the week looking ahead while recapping the prior weekend, but you almost always have a proper forward looking weekend review by pretty early Thursday, no?

[TwoMisfits]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

Deadline buried it's prediction for domestic this week in their JL WW article on Tues but has yet to give Wonder or Star predictions

 

http://deadline.com/2017/11/justice-league-wonder-woman-gal-gadot-global-box-office-opening-1202207757/

 

 

They moved up $10M from earlier this week...

[Brainbug]

Id love to see Wonder going 30M+.

[TwoMisfits]

Just now, Brainbug said:

Id love to see Wonder going 30M+.

Amen!  I'd love to see all 3 openers go big...I'd love for Wonder to beat out all the openers so far this month (except JL and Thor, b/c I'm not crazy:)...

[Rumpot]

3 hours ago, Rumpot said:

JL@Mclean with strong jump from prior

 

Total $13,115.50 up from $10,430.73 about 20 hours ago (early, will try to update again)

*Past IT's $12,843 preview and nearing Thor $15,348.16 (this is minus fan event which was $3270)

 

Dolby 

6pm - 134/245  (up 21)

935pm - 134/245 (up 21)

 

Imax 

6pm - 102/461 (up 16)

855pm - 138/461 (up 21)

 

RealD  

7pm- 20/291 (up 1)

1010pm - 4/291 (up 3)

 

Regular 

6pm – 46/291 (up 34)

8pm - 73/291 (up 18)

1030pm – 5/162 (up 4)

1055pm - 44/291 (up 14)

I'll be out for a bit, but try to screenshot and update.  But in the last 3.5 hours a huge increase in ticket sales for JL here

 

Total up to $15,273.08 from $13,115.50 about 3.5 hours ago and now 2.5 hours from previews starting

*Well past IT's $12,843 preview and basically at Thor $15,348.16 (this is minus fan event which was $3270).  It will certainly pass that Thor final total maybe even including the fan event.  I should note also that Thor had 3 more showings than JL does (4 including fan event)

 

Dolby 

6pm - 146/245  (up 12)

935pm - 159/245 (up 25)

 

Imax 

6pm - 113/461 (up 11)

855pm - 150/461 (up 12)

 

RealD  

7pm- 26/291 (up 6)

1010pm - 8/291 (up 4)

 

Regular 

6pm – 58/291 (up 12)

8pm - 101/291 (up 28)

1030pm – 6/162 (up 1)

1055pm - 55/291 (up 11)

[TalismanRing]

41 minutes ago, Sydney Bristow said:

@TalismanRing

 

Time: Thrusday, 15:30 EST

 

Movie Tickets:

 

JL: 44,3%

Wonder: 14,2% (great!)

Thor: 7,8%

BM: 7,4%

MOTOE: 5%

 

On Pulse:

1- JL

2- Wonder

3- JL 3d

4- JL imax

5- Thor

 

5 min watch:

 

JL: 518 (103,6 p.m.)

Wonder: 60 (12 p.m.)

The Star: 12 (2,4 p.m.)

Coco: 5 (1 p.m.)

 

At 13:30h, JL was doing 92 p/m. It stayed like (from 90 to 95 averages ) for a while. At 12h (I guess, don't remember exactly the time), it was 78.

 

Thank you.

 

Hmm.... these JL numbers don't look nearly as good as the NYC Fandango sell out charts.  

 

Wonder is holding steady but not surging like MOTOE.

 

The Star might hit Nutty numbers by tonight. 

 

Edited November 16, 2017 by TalismanRing

[Ms Lady Hawk]

JL is killing it in NY right now. Just took a cursory look at the AMC chain website and it is more than holding its own. It is anyone's guess as to what that means until we see preview numbers.

[Sydney Bristow]

12 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Thank you.

 

Hmm.... these JL numbers don't look nearly as good as the NYC Fandango sell out charts.  

 

Wonder is holding steady but surging like MOTOE.

 

The Star might hit Nutty numbers by tonight. 

 

Yes. I think it's going to to great on the coasts, but apparently WB forgot to market between them.

[Rumpot]

10 minutes ago, Sydney Bristow said:

Yes. I think it's going to to great on the coasts, but apparently WB forgot to market between them.

Google Trending helpful here

California - 100

Utah - 96 {Utah usually #1, population relative}

AZ - 89

TX - 87

NY - 87

NJ - 86

MD - 81

NV - 81

MI - 79

FL - 79

-since the sub rankings are relative to population theoretically better to have bigger states trend higher as is the case here.  Doesn't mean these people are buying tickets but they are doing searches for Justice League so at least awareness is high.

*This is for 24 hours.  

**Also key is knowing how big the whole pie is of course. It's bigger than Thor for sure in terms of country-wide searches but in that ballpark I'd say but it's all eyeballing various timeframes

Edited November 16, 2017 by Rumpot