The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Rumpot]

IW up to 33.9% Saturday morning on MT

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

9:05AM ET....Not much change from last night for the openers

 

33.9% Avengers: Infinity War

12% I Can Only Imagine

11.7% Black Panther

9.4% Tomb Raider

8.7% Wrinkle in Time, A

[TwoMisfits]

16 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

9:05AM ET....Not much change from last night for the openers

 

33.9% Avengers: Infinity War

12% I Can Only Imagine

11.7% Black Panther

9.4% Tomb Raider

8.7% Wrinkle in Time, A

BP should take its normal released-movies lead sometime later today and hold it throughout the weekend from then on:)...

[TwoMisfits]

On 3/13/2018 at 9:19 PM, TwoMisfits said:

So, 1st local (Cinemark) is up, and it seems like they were paying attention to MT.com...after not having ICOI in any presales for the weekend, it has decided to book it last minute (the local I was posting that had this movie was a Cinemark, so they must have chatted about how well that one's presales were doing)...now, they hedged their bets and put it in one of their smallest theaters, but I didn't think it was getting it at all, so...anyway here's the rest of the set...BIG clear out week...

 

NEW

ICOI (1 - 5 showings - smallest size)

Love Simon (1 - 5 showings - smallest size)

Tomb Raider (2 - 10 showings - 2 3d/8 2d - biggest and above average size - this will either be smart, or a big mistake - stay tuned:)

Kirrak Party (1 - 4 showings - smallest size)

Raid (1 - 4 showings - smallest size)

 

Returning

AWIT (2 - 2 3d/ 8 2d)

Black Panther (2 - 10 showings - all 2d) - lost a screen

Game Night (1)

Peter Rabbit (.8)

Annihilation (.2 - single showing on PR screen)

 

Gone

Death Wish, Red Sparrow, Jumanji, 2 previous foreign films

This local gave ICOI an extra matinee for the weekend (Sat/Sun) - Game Night lost their mid-day matinee...

I'm not sure if they will do any more pulls - ICOI has sold well today, but the extra matinee still has plenty of room for now:)...

 

[WrathOfHan]

14 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

This local gave ICOI an extra matinee for the weekend (Sat/Sun) - Game Night lost their mid-day matinee...

I'm not sure if they will do any more pulls - ICOI has sold well today, but the extra matinee still has plenty of room for now:)...

 

Yeah, Death Wish's morning show got canned here, and the ICOI replacement has sold nothing with about 70 minutes to go  

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com now - as expected, although ICOI still hanging on behind BP...and Avengers presales have definitely started their slow down for now...

25.4% Avengers: Infinity War

14% Black Panther

12.5% I Can Only Imagine

10.5% Wrinkle in Time, A

10.4% Tomb Raider

[Porthos]

A still very impressive 45 sets of tickets sold per minute for Infinity War over on Pulse just now (44, 48 for 10:19am and 10:20am PDT), but yeah, it's about to enter the Long Tail of presales before ramping back up again as it gets closer to release.

 

Just eyeballing things, ICOI was doing very well as well.  Might decide to do a count now that I think about it, but it doesn't appear to be collapsing quite yet.

 

(Black Panther is, naturally, lording over the box office)

 

edit: ICOI seems to be doing around 40-50 sets right now (10:47/48/49 am PDT) per minute over at Pulse, though it's pretty variable (42, 38, 48).

Edited March 17, 2018 by Porthos

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com - ICOI finally showing signs of drop-off...and Avengers fully going into a slower down...and BP showing its strength (and aWiT showing its own family day strength)...

18.6% Black Panther

13.4% Avengers: Infinity War

13.1% Wrinkle in Time, A

11.9% Tomb Raider

11.6% I Can Only Imagine

[Porthos]

GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-40 Days and counting  

Sellouts: 

1/106 (+0/+3)

 

2D:  0/68 (+0/+3)

3D:  1/38 (nc)        

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 73 showings [+3]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0 (nc)         

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

2 (+1)

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

17 (+1)

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

0 (nc)

 

Weekend Showings

Fr: 0/214 (nc)    

St: 0/215 (nc)

Su: 0/209 (nc)  

 

—

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (73/106 showings [+3/+3]):

100%:     1 (nc)

90-99%:  2 (+1)

80-89%:  8 (nc)

70-79%:  6 (nc)

60-69%: 15 (+4)

50-59%: 9 (+3)

40-49%: 5 (-1)

30-39%: 6 (-4)

20-29%: 6 (nc)

10-19%: 5 (+4)

0-9%:    10 (-4)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	106	5297	10500	49.55%

[TwoMisfits]

Morning MT.com...

19.8% Black Panther

13.7% Wrinkle in Time, A

12.6% Tomb Raider

11.7% I Can Only Imagine

9.2% Avengers: Infinity War

[Rumpot]

IW left MT for part of the day it back by end of day with 8.4%

[Porthos]

From here on out until about two weeks before release or so, I'll make the IW updates weekly so I don't spam the thread with incremental updates.  Unless folks want them, that is.

 

=====

 

GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-40 Days and counting  

Sellouts: 

1/106 (nc)

 

2D:  0/69 (nc)

3D:  1/37 (nc)        

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 73 showings>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0 (nc)         

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

4 (+2)

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

16 (-1)

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

0 (nc)

 

Weekend Showings

Fr: 0/214 (nc)    

St: 0/215 (nc)

Su: 0/209 (nc)  

 

—

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (73/106 showings]):

100%:     1 (nc)

90-99%:  4 (+2)

80-89%:  8 (nc)

70-79%:  6 (nc)

60-69%: 17 (+2)

50-59%: 7 (-2)

40-49%: 6 (+1)

30-39%: 7 (+1)

20-29%: 5 (-1)

10-19%: 3 (-2)

0-9%:    9 (-1)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	106	5033	10500	52.07%

[La Binoche]

is there any tracking for oceans 8 or is it way too early?

[George Parr]

2 hours ago, La Binoche said:

is there any tracking for oceans 8 or is it way too early?

Should be too early. There isn't even any tracking made public for Deadpool 2 and Solo yet, and those come out weeks earlier. Should take another month or so for Ocean's 8 to appear.

Edited March 19, 2018 by George Parr

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

8:10AM ET

 

18.1% Black Panther

13.6% I Can Only Imagine

13.5% Wrinkle in Time, A

13% Tomb Raider

9.2% Avengers: Infinity War

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Infinity War

2. Black Panther

3. Love, Simon

4. Tomb Raider

5. Infinity War 3D

 

Big drop incoming for ICOI today?

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. Infinity War

2. Black Panther

3. Love, Simon

4. Tomb Raider

5. Infinity War 3D

 

Big drop incoming for ICOI today?

How do you figure out top 5 on pulse btw? I don't see anything in the top sellers section.

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

How do you figure out top 5 on pulse btw? I don't see anything in the top sellers section.

It only shows in the iPad app

[TwoMisfits]

30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. Infinity War

2. Black Panther

3. Love, Simon

4. Tomb Raider

5. Infinity War 3D

 

Big drop incoming for ICOI today?

Probably no bigger than the other new movies...I mean, old people are part of its demo, and Monday is senior special day at many theaters, so even if it loses 1 part of its main demo, another part probably shows up:)...

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

Probably no bigger than the other new movies...I mean, old people are part of its demo, and Monday is senior special day at many theaters, so even if it loses 1 part of its main demo, another part probably shows up:)...

Well, it's #2 on Pulse now