The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

3 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

1. This is a rolling 24 hours that covers Bargain Tues

2. Doesn't look like just a little more

 

2018-04-19 01:01:17.055716 UTC

1	28.9%	Avengers: Infinity War
2	12.5%	Quiet Place, A
3	9.8%	Rampage
4	8.1%	Super Troopers 2
5	5.4%	I Feel Pretty

 

On Fandango the difference is even further a part

 

Fandango Tracker: 4.17 daily total (EST)

 

Avengers Infinity War	18,479
A Quiet Place	10,492
Rampage	7,175
Blockers	3,445
RPO	3,252
Super Troopers	3,203
Truth or Dare	3166
I Feel Pretty	1,540
Traffik	156

 

 

Fandango: Today up until 9pm EST

 

Avengers Infinity War	18,501
A Quiet Place	6,095
Super Troopers 2	5,066
Rampage	3,375
I Feel Pretty	3,134
Blockers	1,902
Deadpool 2	1,525
Truth or Dare	1,096

Fandango: 4-18  Daily Total (EST)

 

Avengers Infinity War	23,657
A Quiet Place	7,621
Super Troopers 2	6,596
Rampage	4,176
I Feel Pretty	4,109
Ready Player One	2,711
Blockers	2,400
Deadpool 2	1,973
Truth or Dare	1,396
Traffik	595

[RFF]

Fandango Tracking Numbers as of Wednesday Evening of Open

160 2018-02-22 THU Game Night (2018) (17 million open)

 

314 2018-02-23 FRI Game Night (2018)

 

193 2018-02-24 SAT Game Night (2018)

 

53 2018-02-25 SUN Game Night (2018)

958 2018-04-05 THU Blockers

 

1945 2018-04-06 FRI Blockers

 

1142 2018-04-07 SAT Blockers

 

247 2018-04-08 SUN Blockers (20.5 million open)

3508 2018-04-19 THU Super Troopers 2

10161 2018-04-20 FRI Super Troopers 2

2090 2018-04-21 SAT Super Troopers 2

600 2018-04-22 SUN Super Troopers 2

[TLK]

Monday-Wednesday Presales Volume

 

Date        Name                        Monday      Tuesday    Wednesday
04/06/18    A Quiet Place          2177          4003         10665
04/06/18    Blockers                  504           1106         2931
04/13/18    Rampage                705           1508         4109
04/13/18    Truth Or Dare         385           760           2133
04/20/18    Super Troopers 2    2825        3447          6811
04/20/18    I Feel Pretty             871         1610          4423

 

Both new openers have strong presales but Super Troopers 2 is the outlier of this group with pretty weak daily bumps. Only 22% Monday-Tuesday jump compared to the rest of the movies with 80-120%. Tuesday-Wednesday jump is weak likewise.

 

Edited April 19, 2018 by TLK

[el sid]

Didn`t see a MT update, so...

#1 A: IW 28.9%
#2 AQP 12.5%
#3 Rampage 9.8%
#4 ST 2 8.1%
#5 I Feel Pretty 5.4%

Edited April 19, 2018 by el sid

[Boxofficerules]

I wonder if Deadpool 2 could hit Pulse soon? I'm seeing a lot of sales for it. If they counted the Imax and regular screenings as one I feel it could have hit it by now.

[MCKillswitch123]

10 hours ago, The Mad Titan said:

As I said, when it's being promoted that a particular movie has presales HIGHER than the 7 previous entries in the series combined (2 of which are those you mentioned as $25 million), then yes, only being 20% higher than one of those would be a disappointment / underwhelming or whatever you'd like to call it.  

.....did it occur to you that maybe the presales aren't JUST for Thursday night alone? And did it occur to you that 2 of those movies came out in 2016 and presales have gotten more mainstream since, so it's not the best comparison? And did it occur to you that, time and time again, we've seen movies break presales records but still fall short of opening records due to that very factor of "presales being more mainstream every year, which means they weren't as implemented before as they are in the then-present time"? Hell, Civil War was promoted as a bigger presale hit than Age Of Ultron, and not only did it NOT outopen Ultron previews-wise, but it came over 10M below Ultron's OW period.... Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 was also said to be outpacing some of these movies on Fandango, and it also didn't beat them, Thursday or OW wise. Another example: Batman V Superman was, at the time, the highest preselling superhero film ever, but it still fell short of The Dark Knight Rises. PRESALES DON'T MEAN EVERYTHING.

 

Black Panther is far and away the best comparison to it, and if it beats it by 5M, that's an accomplishment. It is a pretty big deal to say that a movie is outselling 7 other movies combined, but there's context to this beyond "holy fucking shit". And if you cry because it "only" made 30 million in Thursday previews when it would be just the 2nd superhero movie in history to do it (and the 1st one was one of the most anticipated movies in modern history, though I don't think it was quite as anticipated as Infinity War but probably in the top 5 for the 2010's decade), then I'm sorry to tell you that you're making a storm in a teacup.

Edited April 19, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[Nova]

I feel like it's awesome that we get presales data because it definitely helps us gauge at how a movie is going to do. However I feel like some folks abuse presales data to the point where they end up being disappointed or end up underestimating a movie. How many times has a movie opened way higher than what it's presales would indicate? How many times has a movie opened way lower than what it's presales indicate? Too many instances to count. The reality is that presales data shouldn't be used as the end all be all to how a film is going to perform. There are so many other factors to it that one has to consider. 

[filmlover]

5 hours ago, TLK said:

Monday-Wednesday Presales Volume

 

Date        Name                        Monday      Tuesday    Wednesday
04/06/18    A Quiet Place          2177          4003         10665
04/06/18    Blockers                  504           1106         2931
04/13/18    Rampage                705           1508         4109
04/13/18    Truth Or Dare         385           760           2133
04/20/18    Super Troopers 2    2825        3447          6811
04/20/18    I Feel Pretty             871         1610          4423

 

Both new openers have strong presales but Super Troopers 2 is the outlier of this group with pretty weak daily bumps. Only 22% Monday-Tuesday jump compared to the rest of the movies with 80-120%. Tuesday-Wednesday jump is weak likewise.

 

That seems promising for both openers. Super Troopers 2 is bound to be frontloaded considering its niche nature.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Hoping Super Troopers 2 beats tracking but it's likely to fall off after the 4/20 opening day.

[Boxofficerules]

Dead pool 2 hits Pulse

 

• Avengers Infinity War
  Rel. date Apr 27
• Deadpool 2
  Rel. date May 18
• Super Troopers 2
  Rel. date Apr 20
• I Feel Pretty
  Rel. date Apr 20
• Avengers Infinity War 3D

[Boxofficerules]

14 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Hoping Super Troopers 2 beats tracking but it's likely to fall off after the 4/20 opening day.

Is 4/20 to stoner comedies what Friday The 13th is to horror movies?

[The Mad Titan]

1 hour ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

.....did it occur to you that maybe the presales aren't JUST for Thursday night alone? And did it occur to you that 2 of those movies came out in 2016 and presales have gotten more mainstream since, so it's not the best comparison? And did it occur to you that, time and time again, we've seen movies break presales records but still fall short of opening records due to that very factor of "presales being more mainstream every year, which means they weren't as implemented before as they are in the then-present time"? Hell, Civil War was promoted as a bigger presale hit than Age Of Ultron, and not only did it NOT outopen Ultron previews-wise, but it came over 10M below Ultron's OW period.... Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 was also said to be outpacing some of these movies on Fandango, and it also didn't beat them, Thursday or OW wise. Another example: Batman V Superman was, at the time, the highest preselling superhero film ever, but it still fell short of The Dark Knight Rises. PRESALES DON'T MEAN EVERYTHING.

 

Black Panther is far and away the best comparison to it, and if it beats it by 5M, that's an accomplishment. It is a pretty big deal to say that a movie is outselling 7 other movies combined, but there's context to this beyond "holy fucking shit". And if you cry because it "only" made 30 million in Thursday previews when it would be just the 2nd superhero movie in history to do it (and the 1st one was one of the most anticipated movies in modern history, though I don't think it was quite as anticipated as Infinity War but probably in the top 5 for the 2010's decade), then I'm sorry to tell you that you're making a storm in a teacup.

 

 I hardly consider anything I’ve said to be crying or complaining. Just making observations. Get off your diatribes dude. 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

8 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is 4/20 to stoner comedies what Friday The 13th is to horror movies?

Probably but I don't remember any stoner comedies that opened on 4/20 with this kind of following.

[Nova]

12 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Dead pool 2 hits Pulse

 

• Avengers Infinity War
  Rel. date Apr 27
• Deadpool 2
  Rel. date May 18
• Super Troopers 2
  Rel. date Apr 20
• I Feel Pretty
  Rel. date Apr 20
• Avengers Infinity War 3D

Marvel taking over the planet confirmed. 

[Lordmandeep]

Amy Schumer still makes movies? 

 

[Blaze Heatnix]

Holy crap! Deadpool 2 appearing that early...

 

 

[MCKillswitch123]

21 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said:

 

 I hardly consider anything I’ve said to be crying or complaining. Just making observations. Get off your diatribes dude. 

I was just pointing out why I personally find it - not to be rude, but here it goes - pretty dumb that anyone would be disappointed by that of all reasons. Kind of an observation too, structured as an argument of sorts.

[ZeeSoh]

8 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Holy crap! Deadpool 2 appearing that early...

 

 

Every big movie appears on Pulse when the tickets officially go on sale which is supposed to be today for Deadpool. It is hardly shocking

[Boxofficerules]

When do Solo tickets go on sale?

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

When do Solo tickets go on sale?

May 4th